The Dengue risk transmission during the FIFA 2014 World Cup

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Lucio, Paulo S.
Data de Publicação: 2014
Outros Autores: Degallier, Nicolas, Spyrides, Maria H. C., Silva, Cláudio Moisés Santos e, Silva, Julio C. B. da, Silva, Helder J. F. da, Máximo, Geovane, Junior, Walter, Mesquita, Michel
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: eng
Título da fonte: Repositório Institucional da UFRN
Texto Completo: https://repositorio.ufrn.br/handle/123456789/47653
Resumo: Dengue is a persistent threat to Brazilians. The twentieth FIFA World Cup will take place in Brazil in June and July this year. This paper warning that Dengue fever could be not a significant problem in competition locations. Temperature is a very strong predictor of suitability for Dengue and it seems evident that relative humidity measurements are less satisfactory in biological (ecological, entomological or even in epidemiological studies) work as indicator of atmospheric factors influencing evaporation than are measurements of vapor pressure deficit. In fact, the vapour pressure deficit is a much more sensitive indicator of water vapor conditions of the atmosphere and undergoes greater variations for temperature changes than does the relative humidity. Further, relative humidity alone gives no indication of the rate of evaporation while the vapour pressure deficit alone does give an indication of the evaporation rates, then areas having the same vapour pressure deficit do influence evaporation rates in the same way whether temperature are identical or not. It is the reason why vapour pressure deficit was chosen in this study. Human and mosquito populations associated with precipitation are good predictors of Dengue in suitable places but don’t capture the whole picture. The determinants of Dengue virus transmission is composition of suitable climate, susceptible people and competent mosquitos virus interactions. For the 2014 World Cup twelve host cities the Dengue risk transmission will be not close to its peak when matches will be played, because this is a non epidemic period overall the brazilian territory. Despite the low risk – it always exists - the Brazilian authorities must communicate this fact and what protective measures FIFA World Cup fans should be take. In fact, the risk of an outbreak of dengue fever during the upcoming soccer World Cup in Brazil is not serious enough to warrant a high alert in the host cities, according to an early warning system for the disease.
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spelling Lucio, Paulo S.Degallier, NicolasSpyrides, Maria H. C.Silva, Cláudio Moisés Santos eSilva, Julio C. B. daSilva, Helder J. F. daMáximo, GeovaneJunior, WalterMesquita, Michel2022-06-14T15:06:55Z2022-06-14T15:06:55Z2014LUCIO, Paulo S.; DEGALLIER, Nicolas; SPYRIDES, Maria H. C.; SILVA, Cláudio M. S. e; SILVA, Julio C. B. da; SILVA, Helder J. F. da; MÁXIMO, Geovane; WALTER JUNIOR,; MESQUITA, Michel. The Dengue risk transmission during the FIFA 2014 World Cup. 2014. Disponível em: https://arxiv.org/abs/1405.6172. Acesso em: 27 abr. 2020.https://repositorio.ufrn.br/handle/123456789/47653arXivAedes aegyptiEpidemiologyClimatic factorsMosquito development rateVectorial capacityThe Dengue risk transmission during the FIFA 2014 World Cupinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleDengue is a persistent threat to Brazilians. The twentieth FIFA World Cup will take place in Brazil in June and July this year. This paper warning that Dengue fever could be not a significant problem in competition locations. Temperature is a very strong predictor of suitability for Dengue and it seems evident that relative humidity measurements are less satisfactory in biological (ecological, entomological or even in epidemiological studies) work as indicator of atmospheric factors influencing evaporation than are measurements of vapor pressure deficit. In fact, the vapour pressure deficit is a much more sensitive indicator of water vapor conditions of the atmosphere and undergoes greater variations for temperature changes than does the relative humidity. Further, relative humidity alone gives no indication of the rate of evaporation while the vapour pressure deficit alone does give an indication of the evaporation rates, then areas having the same vapour pressure deficit do influence evaporation rates in the same way whether temperature are identical or not. It is the reason why vapour pressure deficit was chosen in this study. Human and mosquito populations associated with precipitation are good predictors of Dengue in suitable places but don’t capture the whole picture. The determinants of Dengue virus transmission is composition of suitable climate, susceptible people and competent mosquitos virus interactions. For the 2014 World Cup twelve host cities the Dengue risk transmission will be not close to its peak when matches will be played, because this is a non epidemic period overall the brazilian territory. Despite the low risk – it always exists - the Brazilian authorities must communicate this fact and what protective measures FIFA World Cup fans should be take. In fact, the risk of an outbreak of dengue fever during the upcoming soccer World Cup in Brazil is not serious enough to warrant a high alert in the host cities, according to an early warning system for the disease.engreponame:Repositório Institucional da UFRNinstname:Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte (UFRN)instacron:UFRNinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessORIGINALDengueRiskTransmission_Lucio_2014.pdfDengueRiskTransmission_Lucio_2014.pdfapplication/pdf514234https://repositorio.ufrn.br/bitstream/123456789/47653/1/DengueRiskTransmission_Lucio_2014.pdf4c401466faf4360125b2bbbf2ceecbe7MD51LICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-81484https://repositorio.ufrn.br/bitstream/123456789/47653/2/license.txte9597aa2854d128fd968be5edc8a28d9MD52123456789/476532022-06-14 12:06:56.191oai:https://repositorio.ufrn.br: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Repositório de PublicaçõesPUBhttp://repositorio.ufrn.br/oai/opendoar:2022-06-14T15:06:56Repositório Institucional da UFRN - Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte (UFRN)false
dc.title.pt_BR.fl_str_mv The Dengue risk transmission during the FIFA 2014 World Cup
title The Dengue risk transmission during the FIFA 2014 World Cup
spellingShingle The Dengue risk transmission during the FIFA 2014 World Cup
Lucio, Paulo S.
Aedes aegypti
Epidemiology
Climatic factors
Mosquito development rate
Vectorial capacity
title_short The Dengue risk transmission during the FIFA 2014 World Cup
title_full The Dengue risk transmission during the FIFA 2014 World Cup
title_fullStr The Dengue risk transmission during the FIFA 2014 World Cup
title_full_unstemmed The Dengue risk transmission during the FIFA 2014 World Cup
title_sort The Dengue risk transmission during the FIFA 2014 World Cup
author Lucio, Paulo S.
author_facet Lucio, Paulo S.
Degallier, Nicolas
Spyrides, Maria H. C.
Silva, Cláudio Moisés Santos e
Silva, Julio C. B. da
Silva, Helder J. F. da
Máximo, Geovane
Junior, Walter
Mesquita, Michel
author_role author
author2 Degallier, Nicolas
Spyrides, Maria H. C.
Silva, Cláudio Moisés Santos e
Silva, Julio C. B. da
Silva, Helder J. F. da
Máximo, Geovane
Junior, Walter
Mesquita, Michel
author2_role author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Lucio, Paulo S.
Degallier, Nicolas
Spyrides, Maria H. C.
Silva, Cláudio Moisés Santos e
Silva, Julio C. B. da
Silva, Helder J. F. da
Máximo, Geovane
Junior, Walter
Mesquita, Michel
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Aedes aegypti
Epidemiology
Climatic factors
Mosquito development rate
Vectorial capacity
topic Aedes aegypti
Epidemiology
Climatic factors
Mosquito development rate
Vectorial capacity
description Dengue is a persistent threat to Brazilians. The twentieth FIFA World Cup will take place in Brazil in June and July this year. This paper warning that Dengue fever could be not a significant problem in competition locations. Temperature is a very strong predictor of suitability for Dengue and it seems evident that relative humidity measurements are less satisfactory in biological (ecological, entomological or even in epidemiological studies) work as indicator of atmospheric factors influencing evaporation than are measurements of vapor pressure deficit. In fact, the vapour pressure deficit is a much more sensitive indicator of water vapor conditions of the atmosphere and undergoes greater variations for temperature changes than does the relative humidity. Further, relative humidity alone gives no indication of the rate of evaporation while the vapour pressure deficit alone does give an indication of the evaporation rates, then areas having the same vapour pressure deficit do influence evaporation rates in the same way whether temperature are identical or not. It is the reason why vapour pressure deficit was chosen in this study. Human and mosquito populations associated with precipitation are good predictors of Dengue in suitable places but don’t capture the whole picture. The determinants of Dengue virus transmission is composition of suitable climate, susceptible people and competent mosquitos virus interactions. For the 2014 World Cup twelve host cities the Dengue risk transmission will be not close to its peak when matches will be played, because this is a non epidemic period overall the brazilian territory. Despite the low risk – it always exists - the Brazilian authorities must communicate this fact and what protective measures FIFA World Cup fans should be take. In fact, the risk of an outbreak of dengue fever during the upcoming soccer World Cup in Brazil is not serious enough to warrant a high alert in the host cities, according to an early warning system for the disease.
publishDate 2014
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv 2014
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv 2022-06-14T15:06:55Z
dc.date.available.fl_str_mv 2022-06-14T15:06:55Z
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
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dc.identifier.citation.fl_str_mv LUCIO, Paulo S.; DEGALLIER, Nicolas; SPYRIDES, Maria H. C.; SILVA, Cláudio M. S. e; SILVA, Julio C. B. da; SILVA, Helder J. F. da; MÁXIMO, Geovane; WALTER JUNIOR,; MESQUITA, Michel. The Dengue risk transmission during the FIFA 2014 World Cup. 2014. Disponível em: https://arxiv.org/abs/1405.6172. Acesso em: 27 abr. 2020.
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv https://repositorio.ufrn.br/handle/123456789/47653
identifier_str_mv LUCIO, Paulo S.; DEGALLIER, Nicolas; SPYRIDES, Maria H. C.; SILVA, Cláudio M. S. e; SILVA, Julio C. B. da; SILVA, Helder J. F. da; MÁXIMO, Geovane; WALTER JUNIOR,; MESQUITA, Michel. The Dengue risk transmission during the FIFA 2014 World Cup. 2014. Disponível em: https://arxiv.org/abs/1405.6172. Acesso em: 27 abr. 2020.
url https://repositorio.ufrn.br/handle/123456789/47653
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
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