Desenvolvimento econômico e crise estrutural no Brasil (1950-2014)

• Autor(a) principal: Filho, Nelson Rubens Coutinho
• Data de Publicação: 2015
• Tipo de documento: Trabalho de conclusão de curso
• Idioma: por
• Título da fonte: Repositório Institucional da UFRN
• Texto Completo: https://repositorio.ufrn.br/handle/123456789/41721
• topic: estrutura produtiva; crescimento econômico; especialização produtiva; vantagens comparativas; intervencionismo; neoliberalismo; production structure; economic growth; productive specialization; comparative advantages; GDP growth; interventionism; neoliberalism

This quantitative and qualitative research aimed to study the changes occurred in the Brazilian productive structure and Brazilian foreign trade from 1950 to 2014, from the interventionist and liberal models adopted in the different periods covered by this study. Three periods were analyzed. The first addressed the rise and crisis of industrialization from 1950 to 1980. It is emphasized, during this period, the economic transformations verified in the 1950s, 1960s and 1970s according to the developments plans implemented and the economic crisis of the 1980s that was due to the change in the international conjuncture. The second chapter dealt with the economic and financial opening and productive destructuration occurred in the decades of 1990 and 2000, from the neoliberal reforms implemented by the Brazilian State. The third included the analysis of the consolidation of productive specialization in commodities as well as the long-term GDP growth prospects. Emphasis was placed on the concentration of the export basket on a few products, as well as the closer trade relationship between Brazil and China, showing the risks and the possibilities for the Brazilian long-term GDP growth. The theoretical framework used as base of the research was the Keynesian. The method used for the foundation of the research was the inductive history which, it is believed, is the substance for ECLAC's structuralism and Neostructuralism, having very strong identity with Keynesian theory.