Seasonal analysis of return periods for maximum daily precipitation in the Brazilian Amazon

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Silva, Cláudio Moisés Santos e
Data de Publicação: 2015
Outros Autores: Lucio, Paulo Sérgio, Santos, Eliane Barbosa
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: eng
Título da fonte: Repositório Institucional da UFRN
Texto Completo: https://repositorio.ufrn.br/jspui/handle/123456789/28824
Resumo: The aim of this study is to estimate the return period of maximum daily precipitation for each season of theyear in different subregions of the Brazilian Amazon. For this, the extreme value theory was used, through thegeneralized extreme value (GEV) distribution and the generalized Pareto distribution (GPD). The GEVdistribution and GPD were applied in precipitation series from homogeneous regions of the Brazilian Am-azon. The GEV and GPD goodness of fit were evaluated by the application of the Kolmogorov–Smirnov (KS)test, which compares the cumulative empirical distributions with theoretical ones. The KS test results indicatethat the tested distributions have a good fit, particularly the GEV distribution. Thus, they are adequate tostudy the seasonal maximum daily precipitation. The results indicate that extremes of more intense rainfallare expected during the rainy or transition seasons of each subregion. Using the GEV distribution (GPD),a daily total of 146.1 (201.6), 143.1 (209.5), and 109.4 (152.4) mm is expected at least once a year in the south, atthe Atlantic coast in the Amazon catchment, and in the northwest of the Brazilian Amazon, respectively.
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spelling Silva, Cláudio Moisés Santos eLucio, Paulo SérgioSantos, Eliane Barbosa2020-04-20T21:25:12Z2020-04-20T21:25:12Z2015-06SANTOS, E. B.; LUCIO, P. S.; SILVA, C. M. S. e. Seasonal analysis of return periods for maximum daily precipitation in the Brazilian Amazon. Journal of Hydrometeorology (Print), v. 16, p. 973-984, 2015. Disponível em: https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/JHM-D-14-0201.1. Acesso em: 17 abr. 2020. https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-14-0201.11525-7541https://repositorio.ufrn.br/jspui/handle/123456789/2882410.1175/JHM-D-14-0201.1American Meteorological SocietyPrecipitation Brazilian AmazonSeasonal analysis of return periods for maximum daily precipitation in the Brazilian Amazoninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleThe aim of this study is to estimate the return period of maximum daily precipitation for each season of theyear in different subregions of the Brazilian Amazon. For this, the extreme value theory was used, through thegeneralized extreme value (GEV) distribution and the generalized Pareto distribution (GPD). The GEVdistribution and GPD were applied in precipitation series from homogeneous regions of the Brazilian Am-azon. The GEV and GPD goodness of fit were evaluated by the application of the Kolmogorov–Smirnov (KS)test, which compares the cumulative empirical distributions with theoretical ones. The KS test results indicatethat the tested distributions have a good fit, particularly the GEV distribution. Thus, they are adequate tostudy the seasonal maximum daily precipitation. The results indicate that extremes of more intense rainfallare expected during the rainy or transition seasons of each subregion. Using the GEV distribution (GPD),a daily total of 146.1 (201.6), 143.1 (209.5), and 109.4 (152.4) mm is expected at least once a year in the south, atthe Atlantic coast in the Amazon catchment, and in the northwest of the Brazilian Amazon, respectively.engreponame:Repositório Institucional da UFRNinstname:Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte (UFRN)instacron:UFRNinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessORIGINALSeasonalAnalysisPrecipitation_SantoseSiva_2015.pdfSeasonalAnalysisPrecipitation_SantoseSiva_2015.pdfapplication/pdf1726569https://repositorio.ufrn.br/bitstream/123456789/28824/1/SeasonalAnalysisPrecipitation_SantoseSiva_2015.pdf0f03fd651c5719c0472696817840df6fMD51LICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-81484https://repositorio.ufrn.br/bitstream/123456789/28824/2/license.txte9597aa2854d128fd968be5edc8a28d9MD52TEXTSeasonalAnalysisPrecipitation_SantoseSiva_2015.pdf.txtSeasonalAnalysisPrecipitation_SantoseSiva_2015.pdf.txtExtracted texttext/plain39003https://repositorio.ufrn.br/bitstream/123456789/28824/3/SeasonalAnalysisPrecipitation_SantoseSiva_2015.pdf.txte3bc2b14f5f362e497a814139e4c9cf7MD53THUMBNAILSeasonalAnalysisPrecipitation_SantoseSiva_2015.pdf.jpgSeasonalAnalysisPrecipitation_SantoseSiva_2015.pdf.jpgGenerated Thumbnailimage/jpeg1823https://repositorio.ufrn.br/bitstream/123456789/28824/4/SeasonalAnalysisPrecipitation_SantoseSiva_2015.pdf.jpgb6c0ccd749d347615fd28e5b82469ad0MD54123456789/288242020-04-26 04:30:36.676oai:https://repositorio.ufrn.br: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Repositório de PublicaçõesPUBhttp://repositorio.ufrn.br/oai/opendoar:2020-04-26T07:30:36Repositório Institucional da UFRN - Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte (UFRN)false
dc.title.pt_BR.fl_str_mv Seasonal analysis of return periods for maximum daily precipitation in the Brazilian Amazon
title Seasonal analysis of return periods for maximum daily precipitation in the Brazilian Amazon
spellingShingle Seasonal analysis of return periods for maximum daily precipitation in the Brazilian Amazon
Silva, Cláudio Moisés Santos e
Precipitation Brazilian Amazon
title_short Seasonal analysis of return periods for maximum daily precipitation in the Brazilian Amazon
title_full Seasonal analysis of return periods for maximum daily precipitation in the Brazilian Amazon
title_fullStr Seasonal analysis of return periods for maximum daily precipitation in the Brazilian Amazon
title_full_unstemmed Seasonal analysis of return periods for maximum daily precipitation in the Brazilian Amazon
title_sort Seasonal analysis of return periods for maximum daily precipitation in the Brazilian Amazon
author Silva, Cláudio Moisés Santos e
author_facet Silva, Cláudio Moisés Santos e
Lucio, Paulo Sérgio
Santos, Eliane Barbosa
author_role author
author2 Lucio, Paulo Sérgio
Santos, Eliane Barbosa
author2_role author
author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Silva, Cláudio Moisés Santos e
Lucio, Paulo Sérgio
Santos, Eliane Barbosa
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Precipitation Brazilian Amazon
topic Precipitation Brazilian Amazon
description The aim of this study is to estimate the return period of maximum daily precipitation for each season of theyear in different subregions of the Brazilian Amazon. For this, the extreme value theory was used, through thegeneralized extreme value (GEV) distribution and the generalized Pareto distribution (GPD). The GEVdistribution and GPD were applied in precipitation series from homogeneous regions of the Brazilian Am-azon. The GEV and GPD goodness of fit were evaluated by the application of the Kolmogorov–Smirnov (KS)test, which compares the cumulative empirical distributions with theoretical ones. The KS test results indicatethat the tested distributions have a good fit, particularly the GEV distribution. Thus, they are adequate tostudy the seasonal maximum daily precipitation. The results indicate that extremes of more intense rainfallare expected during the rainy or transition seasons of each subregion. Using the GEV distribution (GPD),a daily total of 146.1 (201.6), 143.1 (209.5), and 109.4 (152.4) mm is expected at least once a year in the south, atthe Atlantic coast in the Amazon catchment, and in the northwest of the Brazilian Amazon, respectively.
publishDate 2015
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv 2015-06
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv 2020-04-20T21:25:12Z
dc.date.available.fl_str_mv 2020-04-20T21:25:12Z
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
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status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.citation.fl_str_mv SANTOS, E. B.; LUCIO, P. S.; SILVA, C. M. S. e. Seasonal analysis of return periods for maximum daily precipitation in the Brazilian Amazon. Journal of Hydrometeorology (Print), v. 16, p. 973-984, 2015. Disponível em: https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/JHM-D-14-0201.1. Acesso em: 17 abr. 2020. https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-14-0201.1
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv https://repositorio.ufrn.br/jspui/handle/123456789/28824
dc.identifier.issn.none.fl_str_mv 1525-7541
dc.identifier.doi.none.fl_str_mv 10.1175/JHM-D-14-0201.1
identifier_str_mv SANTOS, E. B.; LUCIO, P. S.; SILVA, C. M. S. e. Seasonal analysis of return periods for maximum daily precipitation in the Brazilian Amazon. Journal of Hydrometeorology (Print), v. 16, p. 973-984, 2015. Disponível em: https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/JHM-D-14-0201.1. Acesso em: 17 abr. 2020. https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-14-0201.1
1525-7541
10.1175/JHM-D-14-0201.1
url https://repositorio.ufrn.br/jspui/handle/123456789/28824
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv American Meteorological Society
publisher.none.fl_str_mv American Meteorological Society
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:Repositório Institucional da UFRN
instname:Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte (UFRN)
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