PROBABILITY OF OCCURRENCE OF HARMFUL AND FAVORABLE MONTHLY MINIMUM TEMPERATURES FOR AGRICULTURAL CROPS IN MINAS GERAIS
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2023 |
Outros Autores: | , |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | por |
Título da fonte: | Caminhos de Geografia |
Texto Completo: | https://seer.ufu.br/index.php/caminhosdegeografia/article/view/65064 |
Resumo: | The objectives of this work were to verify the fit of the data series of monthly minimum air temperature (Tmin), from 47 municipalities in the State of Minas Gerais, to the functions of normal, log-normal, gamma and weibull probability distributions; determine, for each data series, value of Tmin whose probability of occurrence of Tmin less than or equal to this value is 90%; and prepare maps with the interpolation of these values in isolines with a difference of 0.5ºC. In the 564 data series (47 municipalities × 12 months) of Tmin, the Kolmogorov-Smirnov adherence test was applied and the value of Tmin was determined, whose probability of occurrence of Tmin less than or equal to this value is 90%. The Tmin data fits the normal, log-normal, gamma, and weibull distributions. The estimates of the parameters of the normal distribution (mean and standard deviation) can be used to determine the value of Tmin whose probability of occurrence of Tmin less than or equal to this value is 90% and, for later elaboration of maps with the interpolation of these values of Tmin in isolines. Isolines are useful to verify the probability of occurrence of harmful or favorable Tmin for agricultural crops. |
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PROBABILITY OF OCCURRENCE OF HARMFUL AND FAVORABLE MONTHLY MINIMUM TEMPERATURES FOR AGRICULTURAL CROPS IN MINAS GERAISPROBABILIDADE DE OCORRÊNCIA DE TEMPERATURAS MÍNIMAS MENSAIS PREJUDICIAIS E FAVORÁVEIS AOS CULTIVOS AGRÍCOLAS EM MINAS GERAISSéries temporaisDistribuição normalRedução de riscosTime seriesNormal distributionRisk reductionThe objectives of this work were to verify the fit of the data series of monthly minimum air temperature (Tmin), from 47 municipalities in the State of Minas Gerais, to the functions of normal, log-normal, gamma and weibull probability distributions; determine, for each data series, value of Tmin whose probability of occurrence of Tmin less than or equal to this value is 90%; and prepare maps with the interpolation of these values in isolines with a difference of 0.5ºC. In the 564 data series (47 municipalities × 12 months) of Tmin, the Kolmogorov-Smirnov adherence test was applied and the value of Tmin was determined, whose probability of occurrence of Tmin less than or equal to this value is 90%. The Tmin data fits the normal, log-normal, gamma, and weibull distributions. The estimates of the parameters of the normal distribution (mean and standard deviation) can be used to determine the value of Tmin whose probability of occurrence of Tmin less than or equal to this value is 90% and, for later elaboration of maps with the interpolation of these values of Tmin in isolines. Isolines are useful to verify the probability of occurrence of harmful or favorable Tmin for agricultural crops.Os objetivos deste trabalho foram verificar o ajuste das séries de dados de temperatura mínima mensal do ar (Tmin), de 47 municípios do Estado de Minas Gerais, às funções de distribuições de probabilidade normal, log-normal, gama e weibull; determinar, para cada série de dados, o valor de Tmin cuja probabilidade de ocorrência de Tmin menor ou igual a esse valor é de 90%; e elaborar mapas com a interpolação desses valores em isolinhas com diferença de 0,5ºC. Nas 564 séries de dados (47 municípios × 12 meses) de Tmin aplicou-se o teste de aderência de Kolmogorov-Smirnov e determinou-se o valor de Tmin cuja probabilidade de ocorrência de Tmin menor ou igual a esse valor é de 90%. Os dados de Tmin se ajustam às distribuições normal, log-normal, gama e weibull. As estimativas dos parâmetros da distribuição normal (média e desvio padrão) podem ser utilizadas para determinar o valor de Tmin cuja probabilidade de ocorrência de Tmin menor ou igual a esse valor é de 90% e, para posterior elaboração de mapas com a interpolação desses valores de Tmin em isolinhas. As isolinhas são úteis para verificar a probabilidade de ocorrência de Tmin prejudicial ou favorável para culturas agrícolas.EDUFU - Editora da Universidade Federal de Uberlândia2023-06-12info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionAvaliado pelos paresapplication/pdfhttps://seer.ufu.br/index.php/caminhosdegeografia/article/view/6506410.14393/RCG249365064Caminhos de Geografia; Vol. 24 No. 93 (2023): Junho; 196-212Caminhos de Geografia; Vol. 24 Núm. 93 (2023): Junho; 196-212Caminhos de Geografia; v. 24 n. 93 (2023): Junho; 196-2121678-6343reponame:Caminhos de Geografiainstname:Universidade Federal de Uberlândia (UFU)instacron:UFUporhttps://seer.ufu.br/index.php/caminhosdegeografia/article/view/65064/36144Copyright (c) 2023 Rodrigo de Morais Borges, Alberto Cargnelutti Filho, Murilo Vieira Lorohttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessBorges, Rodrigo de MoraisCargnelutti Filho, AlbertoLoro, Murilo Vieira2023-06-12T12:32:07Zoai:ojs.www.seer.ufu.br:article/65064Revistahttps://seer.ufu.br/index.php/caminhosdegeografia/indexPUBhttp://www.seer.ufu.br/index.php/caminhosdegeografia/oaiflaviasantosgeo@gmail.com1678-63431678-6343opendoar:2023-06-12T12:32:07Caminhos de Geografia - Universidade Federal de Uberlândia (UFU)false |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
PROBABILITY OF OCCURRENCE OF HARMFUL AND FAVORABLE MONTHLY MINIMUM TEMPERATURES FOR AGRICULTURAL CROPS IN MINAS GERAIS PROBABILIDADE DE OCORRÊNCIA DE TEMPERATURAS MÍNIMAS MENSAIS PREJUDICIAIS E FAVORÁVEIS AOS CULTIVOS AGRÍCOLAS EM MINAS GERAIS |
title |
PROBABILITY OF OCCURRENCE OF HARMFUL AND FAVORABLE MONTHLY MINIMUM TEMPERATURES FOR AGRICULTURAL CROPS IN MINAS GERAIS |
spellingShingle |
PROBABILITY OF OCCURRENCE OF HARMFUL AND FAVORABLE MONTHLY MINIMUM TEMPERATURES FOR AGRICULTURAL CROPS IN MINAS GERAIS Borges, Rodrigo de Morais Séries temporais Distribuição normal Redução de riscos Time series Normal distribution Risk reduction |
title_short |
PROBABILITY OF OCCURRENCE OF HARMFUL AND FAVORABLE MONTHLY MINIMUM TEMPERATURES FOR AGRICULTURAL CROPS IN MINAS GERAIS |
title_full |
PROBABILITY OF OCCURRENCE OF HARMFUL AND FAVORABLE MONTHLY MINIMUM TEMPERATURES FOR AGRICULTURAL CROPS IN MINAS GERAIS |
title_fullStr |
PROBABILITY OF OCCURRENCE OF HARMFUL AND FAVORABLE MONTHLY MINIMUM TEMPERATURES FOR AGRICULTURAL CROPS IN MINAS GERAIS |
title_full_unstemmed |
PROBABILITY OF OCCURRENCE OF HARMFUL AND FAVORABLE MONTHLY MINIMUM TEMPERATURES FOR AGRICULTURAL CROPS IN MINAS GERAIS |
title_sort |
PROBABILITY OF OCCURRENCE OF HARMFUL AND FAVORABLE MONTHLY MINIMUM TEMPERATURES FOR AGRICULTURAL CROPS IN MINAS GERAIS |
author |
Borges, Rodrigo de Morais |
author_facet |
Borges, Rodrigo de Morais Cargnelutti Filho, Alberto Loro, Murilo Vieira |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Cargnelutti Filho, Alberto Loro, Murilo Vieira |
author2_role |
author author |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Borges, Rodrigo de Morais Cargnelutti Filho, Alberto Loro, Murilo Vieira |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Séries temporais Distribuição normal Redução de riscos Time series Normal distribution Risk reduction |
topic |
Séries temporais Distribuição normal Redução de riscos Time series Normal distribution Risk reduction |
description |
The objectives of this work were to verify the fit of the data series of monthly minimum air temperature (Tmin), from 47 municipalities in the State of Minas Gerais, to the functions of normal, log-normal, gamma and weibull probability distributions; determine, for each data series, value of Tmin whose probability of occurrence of Tmin less than or equal to this value is 90%; and prepare maps with the interpolation of these values in isolines with a difference of 0.5ºC. In the 564 data series (47 municipalities × 12 months) of Tmin, the Kolmogorov-Smirnov adherence test was applied and the value of Tmin was determined, whose probability of occurrence of Tmin less than or equal to this value is 90%. The Tmin data fits the normal, log-normal, gamma, and weibull distributions. The estimates of the parameters of the normal distribution (mean and standard deviation) can be used to determine the value of Tmin whose probability of occurrence of Tmin less than or equal to this value is 90% and, for later elaboration of maps with the interpolation of these values of Tmin in isolines. Isolines are useful to verify the probability of occurrence of harmful or favorable Tmin for agricultural crops. |
publishDate |
2023 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2023-06-12 |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion Avaliado pelos pares |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
https://seer.ufu.br/index.php/caminhosdegeografia/article/view/65064 10.14393/RCG249365064 |
url |
https://seer.ufu.br/index.php/caminhosdegeografia/article/view/65064 |
identifier_str_mv |
10.14393/RCG249365064 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
por |
language |
por |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
https://seer.ufu.br/index.php/caminhosdegeografia/article/view/65064/36144 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
Copyright (c) 2023 Rodrigo de Morais Borges, Alberto Cargnelutti Filho, Murilo Vieira Loro http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
rights_invalid_str_mv |
Copyright (c) 2023 Rodrigo de Morais Borges, Alberto Cargnelutti Filho, Murilo Vieira Loro http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0 |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
EDUFU - Editora da Universidade Federal de Uberlândia |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
EDUFU - Editora da Universidade Federal de Uberlândia |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
Caminhos de Geografia; Vol. 24 No. 93 (2023): Junho; 196-212 Caminhos de Geografia; Vol. 24 Núm. 93 (2023): Junho; 196-212 Caminhos de Geografia; v. 24 n. 93 (2023): Junho; 196-212 1678-6343 reponame:Caminhos de Geografia instname:Universidade Federal de Uberlândia (UFU) instacron:UFU |
instname_str |
Universidade Federal de Uberlândia (UFU) |
instacron_str |
UFU |
institution |
UFU |
reponame_str |
Caminhos de Geografia |
collection |
Caminhos de Geografia |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Caminhos de Geografia - Universidade Federal de Uberlândia (UFU) |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
flaviasantosgeo@gmail.com |
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1797067010514878464 |