Valoração do potencial de impacto econômico com a introdução de Moniliophthora roreri no Brasil

• Autor(a) principal: Nascimento, Tatiane Almeida do
• Data de Publicação: 2014
• Tipo de documento: Dissertação
• Idioma: por
• Título da fonte: LOCUS Repositório Institucional da UFV
• Texto Completo: http://locus.ufv.br/handle/123456789/5875
• topic: Cacau - Doenças e pragas; Cacau - Aspectos econômicos; Fungo; Moniliophthora roreri; Cocoa - Diseases and pests; Cocoa - Economic aspects; Fungus; Moniliophthora roreri; CNPQ::CIENCIAS AGRARIAS::AGRONOMIA::FITOSSANIDADE::DEFESA FITOSSANITARIA

The indication of the requirements and phytosanitary measures to be required for import vegetable products depends on the potential economic impact by the introduction of pests associated with the importation desired, as well as the potential for dispersal of the pest in the area. The indication of the potential economic impact from the introduction of the pest in the country is one of the most difficult stages in the pest risk analyze, due to its complexity. In this study, we aimed to work with this value the potential economic impact after the introduction of Moniliophthora roreri. To value the potential economic impact of M. roreri, validated the model proposed by Ribeiro (2009) with data from M. perniciosa in Brazil, using data available in the literature on cocoa production from 2010 to 2013, as well as data on the impact of M. perniciosa. With the calculations, was concluded that the valuation of economic damage model proposed may be useful for estimating the economic losses in studies of future scenarios that consider the possibility of introduction of new plant pests in Brazil as well. If was M. roreri introduced in Brazil in similar conditions that occurred in Mexico, with a level of 15% incidence of disease, cause a loss of about 100 million dollars.