Spatio-temporal dynamic climate model for Neoleucinodes elegantalis using CLIMEX

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Silva, Ricardo Siqueira da
Data de Publicação: 2016
Outros Autores: Kumar, Lalit, Shabani, Farzin, Silva, Ezio Marques da, Galdino, Tarcisio Visintin da Silva, Picanço, Marcelo Coutinho
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: eng
Título da fonte: LOCUS Repositório Institucional da UFV
Texto Completo: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00484-016-1256-2
http://www.locus.ufv.br/handle/123456789/20002
Resumo: Seasonal variations are important components in understanding the ecology of insect population of crops. Ecological studies through modeling may be a useful tool for enhancing knowledge of seasonal patterns of insects on field crops as well as seasonal patterns of favorable climatic conditions for species. Recently CLIMEX, a semi-mechanistic niche model, was upgraded and enhanced to consider spatio-temporal dynamics of climate suitability through time. In this study, attempts were made to determine monthly variations of climate suitability for Neoleucinodes elegantalis (Guenée) (Lepidoptera: Crambidae) in five commercial tomato crop localities through the latest version of CLIMEX. We observed that N. elegantalis displays seasonality with increased abundance in tomato crops during summer and autumn, corresponding to the first 6 months of the year in monitored areas in this study. Our model demonstrated a strong accord between the CLIMEX weekly growth index (GIw) and the density of N. elegantalis for this period, thus indicating a greater confidence in our model results. Our model shows a seasonal variability of climatic suitability for N. elegantalis and provides useful information for initiating methods for timely management, such as sampling strategies and control, during periods of high degree of suitability for N. elegantalis. In this study, we ensure that the simulation results are valid through our verification using field data.
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spelling Silva, Ricardo Siqueira daKumar, LalitShabani, FarzinSilva, Ezio Marques daGaldino, Tarcisio Visintin da SilvaPicanço, Marcelo Coutinho2018-06-11T13:06:03Z2018-06-11T13:06:03Z2016-10-1314321254http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00484-016-1256-2http://www.locus.ufv.br/handle/123456789/20002Seasonal variations are important components in understanding the ecology of insect population of crops. Ecological studies through modeling may be a useful tool for enhancing knowledge of seasonal patterns of insects on field crops as well as seasonal patterns of favorable climatic conditions for species. Recently CLIMEX, a semi-mechanistic niche model, was upgraded and enhanced to consider spatio-temporal dynamics of climate suitability through time. In this study, attempts were made to determine monthly variations of climate suitability for Neoleucinodes elegantalis (Guenée) (Lepidoptera: Crambidae) in five commercial tomato crop localities through the latest version of CLIMEX. We observed that N. elegantalis displays seasonality with increased abundance in tomato crops during summer and autumn, corresponding to the first 6 months of the year in monitored areas in this study. Our model demonstrated a strong accord between the CLIMEX weekly growth index (GIw) and the density of N. elegantalis for this period, thus indicating a greater confidence in our model results. Our model shows a seasonal variability of climatic suitability for N. elegantalis and provides useful information for initiating methods for timely management, such as sampling strategies and control, during periods of high degree of suitability for N. elegantalis. In this study, we ensure that the simulation results are valid through our verification using field data.engInternational Journal of Biometeorologyv. 61, n. 5, p. 785–795, Maio 2017Springer International Publishing AGinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessSpatio-temporal dynamicsSmall tomato borerSolanaceaeModelingSpatio-temporal dynamic climate model for Neoleucinodes elegantalis using CLIMEXinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleapplication/pdfreponame:LOCUS Repositório Institucional da UFVinstname:Universidade Federal de Viçosa (UFV)instacron:UFVORIGINALartigo.pdfartigo.pdftexto completoapplication/pdf3044829https://locus.ufv.br//bitstream/123456789/20002/1/artigo.pdf631d2189c170d63c119b8d4a048586feMD51LICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-81748https://locus.ufv.br//bitstream/123456789/20002/2/license.txt8a4605be74aa9ea9d79846c1fba20a33MD52THUMBNAILartigo.pdf.jpgartigo.pdf.jpgIM Thumbnailimage/jpeg5075https://locus.ufv.br//bitstream/123456789/20002/3/artigo.pdf.jpg37b31a63dfe054492271361ec74cb4ccMD53123456789/200022018-06-11 23:00:40.86oai:locus.ufv.br:123456789/20002Tk9URTogUExBQ0UgWU9VUiBPV04gTElDRU5TRSBIRVJFClRoaXMgc2FtcGxlIGxpY2Vuc2UgaXMgcHJvdmlkZWQgZm9yIGluZm9ybWF0aW9uYWwgcHVycG9zZXMgb25seS4KCk5PTi1FWENMVVNJVkUgRElTVFJJQlVUSU9OIExJQ0VOU0UKCkJ5IHNpZ25pbmcgYW5kIHN1Ym1pdHRpbmcgdGhpcyBsaWNlbnNlLCB5b3UgKHRoZSBhdXRob3Iocykgb3IgY29weXJpZ2h0Cm93bmVyKSBncmFudHMgdG8gRFNwYWNlIFVuaXZlcnNpdHkgKERTVSkgdGhlIG5vbi1leGNsdXNpdmUgcmlnaHQgdG8gcmVwcm9kdWNlLAp0cmFuc2xhdGUgKGFzIGRlZmluZWQgYmVsb3cpLCBhbmQvb3IgZGlzdHJpYnV0ZSB5b3VyIHN1Ym1pc3Npb24gKGluY2x1ZGluZwp0aGUgYWJzdHJhY3QpIHdvcmxkd2lkZSBpbiBwcmludCBhbmQgZWxlY3Ryb25pYyBmb3JtYXQgYW5kIGluIGFueSBtZWRpdW0sCmluY2x1ZGluZyBidXQgbm90IGxpbWl0ZWQgdG8gYXVkaW8gb3IgdmlkZW8uCgpZb3UgYWdyZWUgdGhhdCBEU1UgbWF5LCB3aXRob3V0IGNoYW5naW5nIHRoZSBjb250ZW50LCB0cmFuc2xhdGUgdGhlCnN1Ym1pc3Npb24gdG8gYW55IG1lZGl1bSBvciBmb3JtYXQgZm9yIHRoZSBwdXJwb3NlIG9mIHByZXNlcnZhdGlvbi4KCllvdSBhbHNvIGFncmVlIHRoYXQgRFNVIG1heSBrZWVwIG1vcmUgdGhhbiBvbmUgY29weSBvZiB0aGlzIHN1Ym1pc3Npb24gZm9yCnB1cnBvc2VzIG9mIHNlY3VyaXR5LCBiYWNrLXVwIGFuZCBwcmVzZXJ2YXRpb24uCgpZb3UgcmVwcmVzZW50IHRoYXQgdGhlIHN1Ym1pc3Npb24gaXMgeW91ciBvcmlnaW5hbCB3b3JrLCBhbmQgdGhhdCB5b3UgaGF2ZQp0aGUgcmlnaHQgdG8gZ3JhbnQgdGhlIHJpZ2h0cyBjb250YWluZWQgaW4gdGhpcyBsaWNlbnNlLiBZb3UgYWxzbyByZXByZXNlbnQKdGhhdCB5b3VyIHN1Ym1pc3Npb24gZG9lcyBub3QsIHRvIHRoZSBiZXN0IG9mIHlvdXIga25vd2xlZGdlLCBpbmZyaW5nZSB1cG9uCmFueW9uZSdzIGNvcHlyaWdodC4KCklmIHRoZSBzdWJtaXNzaW9uIGNvbnRhaW5zIG1hdGVyaWFsIGZvciB3aGljaCB5b3UgZG8gbm90IGhvbGQgY29weXJpZ2h0LAp5b3UgcmVwcmVzZW50IHRoYXQgeW91IGhhdmUgb2J0YWluZWQgdGhlIHVucmVzdHJpY3RlZCBwZXJtaXNzaW9uIG9mIHRoZQpjb3B5cmlnaHQgb3duZXIgdG8gZ3JhbnQgRFNVIHRoZSByaWdodHMgcmVxdWlyZWQgYnkgdGhpcyBsaWNlbnNlLCBhbmQgdGhhdApzdWNoIHRoaXJkLXBhcnR5IG93bmVkIG1hdGVyaWFsIGlzIGNsZWFybHkgaWRlbnRpZmllZCBhbmQgYWNrbm93bGVkZ2VkCndpdGhpbiB0aGUgdGV4dCBvciBjb250ZW50IG9mIHRoZSBzdWJtaXNzaW9uLgoKSUYgVEhFIFNVQk1JU1NJT04gSVMgQkFTRUQgVVBPTiBXT1JLIFRIQVQgSEFTIEJFRU4gU1BPTlNPUkVEIE9SIFNVUFBPUlRFRApCWSBBTiBBR0VOQ1kgT1IgT1JHQU5JWkFUSU9OIE9USEVSIFRIQU4gRFNVLCBZT1UgUkVQUkVTRU5UIFRIQVQgWU9VIEhBVkUKRlVMRklMTEVEIEFOWSBSSUdIVCBPRiBSRVZJRVcgT1IgT1RIRVIgT0JMSUdBVElPTlMgUkVRVUlSRUQgQlkgU1VDSApDT05UUkFDVCBPUiBBR1JFRU1FTlQuCgpEU1Ugd2lsbCBjbGVhcmx5IGlkZW50aWZ5IHlvdXIgbmFtZShzKSBhcyB0aGUgYXV0aG9yKHMpIG9yIG93bmVyKHMpIG9mIHRoZQpzdWJtaXNzaW9uLCBhbmQgd2lsbCBub3QgbWFrZSBhbnkgYWx0ZXJhdGlvbiwgb3RoZXIgdGhhbiBhcyBhbGxvd2VkIGJ5IHRoaXMKbGljZW5zZSwgdG8geW91ciBzdWJtaXNzaW9uLgo=Repositório InstitucionalPUBhttps://www.locus.ufv.br/oai/requestfabiojreis@ufv.bropendoar:21452018-06-12T02:00:40LOCUS Repositório Institucional da UFV - Universidade Federal de Viçosa (UFV)false
dc.title.en.fl_str_mv Spatio-temporal dynamic climate model for Neoleucinodes elegantalis using CLIMEX
title Spatio-temporal dynamic climate model for Neoleucinodes elegantalis using CLIMEX
spellingShingle Spatio-temporal dynamic climate model for Neoleucinodes elegantalis using CLIMEX
Silva, Ricardo Siqueira da
Spatio-temporal dynamics
Small tomato borer
Solanaceae
Modeling
title_short Spatio-temporal dynamic climate model for Neoleucinodes elegantalis using CLIMEX
title_full Spatio-temporal dynamic climate model for Neoleucinodes elegantalis using CLIMEX
title_fullStr Spatio-temporal dynamic climate model for Neoleucinodes elegantalis using CLIMEX
title_full_unstemmed Spatio-temporal dynamic climate model for Neoleucinodes elegantalis using CLIMEX
title_sort Spatio-temporal dynamic climate model for Neoleucinodes elegantalis using CLIMEX
author Silva, Ricardo Siqueira da
author_facet Silva, Ricardo Siqueira da
Kumar, Lalit
Shabani, Farzin
Silva, Ezio Marques da
Galdino, Tarcisio Visintin da Silva
Picanço, Marcelo Coutinho
author_role author
author2 Kumar, Lalit
Shabani, Farzin
Silva, Ezio Marques da
Galdino, Tarcisio Visintin da Silva
Picanço, Marcelo Coutinho
author2_role author
author
author
author
author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Silva, Ricardo Siqueira da
Kumar, Lalit
Shabani, Farzin
Silva, Ezio Marques da
Galdino, Tarcisio Visintin da Silva
Picanço, Marcelo Coutinho
dc.subject.pt-BR.fl_str_mv Spatio-temporal dynamics
Small tomato borer
Solanaceae
Modeling
topic Spatio-temporal dynamics
Small tomato borer
Solanaceae
Modeling
description Seasonal variations are important components in understanding the ecology of insect population of crops. Ecological studies through modeling may be a useful tool for enhancing knowledge of seasonal patterns of insects on field crops as well as seasonal patterns of favorable climatic conditions for species. Recently CLIMEX, a semi-mechanistic niche model, was upgraded and enhanced to consider spatio-temporal dynamics of climate suitability through time. In this study, attempts were made to determine monthly variations of climate suitability for Neoleucinodes elegantalis (Guenée) (Lepidoptera: Crambidae) in five commercial tomato crop localities through the latest version of CLIMEX. We observed that N. elegantalis displays seasonality with increased abundance in tomato crops during summer and autumn, corresponding to the first 6 months of the year in monitored areas in this study. Our model demonstrated a strong accord between the CLIMEX weekly growth index (GIw) and the density of N. elegantalis for this period, thus indicating a greater confidence in our model results. Our model shows a seasonal variability of climatic suitability for N. elegantalis and provides useful information for initiating methods for timely management, such as sampling strategies and control, during periods of high degree of suitability for N. elegantalis. In this study, we ensure that the simulation results are valid through our verification using field data.
publishDate 2016
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv 2016-10-13
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv 2018-06-11T13:06:03Z
dc.date.available.fl_str_mv 2018-06-11T13:06:03Z
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
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status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00484-016-1256-2
http://www.locus.ufv.br/handle/123456789/20002
dc.identifier.issn.none.fl_str_mv 14321254
identifier_str_mv 14321254
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00484-016-1256-2
http://www.locus.ufv.br/handle/123456789/20002
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.ispartofseries.pt-BR.fl_str_mv v. 61, n. 5, p. 785–795, Maio 2017
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv Springer International Publishing AG
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv Springer International Publishing AG
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
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dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv International Journal of Biometeorology
publisher.none.fl_str_mv International Journal of Biometeorology
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