O redirecionamento intersetorial do investimento direto estrangeiro na Indústria Brasileira: impactos sobre a economia nacional

• Autor(a) principal: Silva, Breno Augusto da Silva e
• Data de Publicação: 2013
• Tipo de documento: Tese
• Idioma: por
• Título da fonte: LOCUS Repositório Institucional da UFV
• Texto Completo: http://locus.ufv.br/handle/123456789/156
• topic: Investimento direto estrangeiro; Setores-chave; Mudança estrutural; Competitividade internacional; Economias de escala; Foreign direct investment; Key Sectors; Structural change; International competitiveness; Economies of scale; CNPQ::CIENCIAS SOCIAIS APLICADAS::ECONOMIA::ECONOMIA INTERNACIONAL

Foreign direct investment has grown in many countries, especially in emerging countries. However, the sector to which such investment is directed may bring different results in terms of economic growth for these countries. In Brazil, specifically, the manufacturing sector has lost relative share of investments into the country, which can be one of the obstacles to further development of Brazil. This study aims to verify whether general redirection of foreign direct investment for key sectors of Brazilian industry could result in the expansion of the national economy and a greater international competitiveness. Specifically, the study aims: to determine the sectors where FDI would result in a greater return to the Brazilian economy in terms of gross value of production and welfare; and determine the potential gains of competitiveness and export growth in sectors that are considered of greater value. To perform the procedures for analysis of intersectoral shocks and simulation, use will be a model of Computable General Equilibrium, multiregional and multisectoral approach based on Model GTAPinGAMS. The results shown that the winner sector, in terms of gross product value in the occurrence of shock of 10% of investments is the chemistry industry (medium-high technology), for the economy and for the own sector; for exportations, the metal industry is the winner; about importations, the oil industry (medium-low technology) is the one that less increase the importations of the own sector. The food industry is the one that more increase the balance payment the economy and the metal industry is the one the more increase the balance payment of the own sector. About welfare, in terms of equivalent variation, the chemistry industry is the winner. Then, the results shown the investments is some medium-low and medium high technology sectors could provide better results for the economic variables, instead of low technology sectors.