Análise comparativa da viabilidade econômica da produção de mamão nos sistemas tradicional e integrada (PI)

• Autor(a) principal: Mendonça, Talles Girardi de
• Data de Publicação: 2008
• Tipo de documento: Dissertação
• Idioma: por
• Título da fonte: LOCUS Repositório Institucional da UFV
• Texto Completo: http://locus.ufv.br/handle/123456789/16
• topic: Produção integrada; Produção convencional; EUREPGAP; Integrated production systems; Traditional production systems; EUREPGAP; CNPQ::CIENCIAS SOCIAIS APLICADAS::ECONOMIA::TEORIA ECONOMICA

International fruit market demands have led Brazilian producers, willing to be a part of it, to adopt The Good Agricultural Practices (GAP). However, such practices require expenditures on special installations, certification processes and specialized technical support. Integrated Fruit Production (IFP) and the protocol EUREPGAP (Euro-Retailer Produce Working Group EUREP and Good Agriculture Pratices GAP) are norms determining the adoption of such practices and the additional costs associated to it provide discussions on their influence on producer profitability. Thus, this work aimed to analyze the economic feasibility of papaya cultivation under the conventional and the Integrated Production systems. The selection of this fruit took into account aspects such as fruit export relevance, stage of IFP adoption for papaya production, and technical visit availability. To reach the objectives of this research, cash flows representative of both productive systems were elaborated, main feasibility indicators were calculated and risk analysis was performed. The indicators calculated were: a) Net Present Value (NPV), b) Internal Rate of Return (IRR), c) Discounted Payback and d) Benefit-Cost Ratio. Risk analysis was performed by the Monte Carlo simulation model. The results indicated that papaya cultivation is feasible regardless of the system adopted and that Integrated Production presented a small favorable differential in terms of profitability. Risk analysis showed that, under either system, price and productivity were the variables that most affected the indicators selected (NPV and Benefit-Cost Ratio), an indication that these variables are the most relevant in the project. Risk analysis also confirmed that Integrated Production, although with a small differentiation, presented better returns and smaller risks, since the mean values of the indicators selected were higher under this system while the variation coefficients (VC) were smaller. Risk analysis by means of accumulated distribution of probability corroborated this result since the probability to obtain a negative NPV or a Benefit-Cost Ratio lower than 1, i.e., the probability of project failure, although with little differentiation between the systems, was superior under the conventional production system, indicating that the system incurs in higher risks. Thus, it was concluded that Integrated Production allows producers higher returns and lower risks with small differentiation.