The thermal discomfort index and its projection for future scenarios in the municipality of Tucuruí – PA
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2024 |
Outros Autores: | , , , |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | por |
Título da fonte: | Revista Ouricuri (Online) |
Texto Completo: | https://www.revistas.uneb.br/index.php/ouricuri/article/view/19525 |
Resumo: | With climate change happening on the planet, such as the rise in the average temperature of the earth, where the Amazon is notoriously one of the regions most susceptible to feeling impacts. Meteorological conditions, such as air temperature and humidity, play a crucial role in thermal discomfort. The thermal discomfort index (TDI) quantifies the levels of stress that a person experiences in the face of these adverse conditions. The objective of this work was to analyze the variability of temperature and relative humidity, calculate thermal discomfort indices in the municipality of Tucuruí (PA) and its projections for future scenarios. Based on observed temperature and humidity data (1980 to 2022), and future scenarios RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5, the variability of climatological variables was analyzed. In the last stage, the IDT of the observed data and future scenarios was calculated. From the results, it was possible to observe that meteorological variables correlate, acting inversely, with significant drops in humidity rates over the years. It was found that the municipality of Tucuruí is constantly in the mild discomfort zone, and that meteorological variables greatly influence the IDT, especially during drought in the municipality. In RCP 8.5, despite starting in the comfort zone, from the middle of the century it will present rates of mild discomfort to discomfort due to heating. |
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The thermal discomfort index and its projection for future scenarios in the municipality of Tucuruí – PAÍndice de malestar térmico y su proyección para escenarios futuros en el municipio de Tucuruí-PAÍndice de desconforto térmico e sua projeção para cenários futuros no município de Tucuruí-PAClimatologiaMudanças ClimáticasTemperaturaUmidadeAmazônia.With climate change happening on the planet, such as the rise in the average temperature of the earth, where the Amazon is notoriously one of the regions most susceptible to feeling impacts. Meteorological conditions, such as air temperature and humidity, play a crucial role in thermal discomfort. The thermal discomfort index (TDI) quantifies the levels of stress that a person experiences in the face of these adverse conditions. The objective of this work was to analyze the variability of temperature and relative humidity, calculate thermal discomfort indices in the municipality of Tucuruí (PA) and its projections for future scenarios. Based on observed temperature and humidity data (1980 to 2022), and future scenarios RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5, the variability of climatological variables was analyzed. In the last stage, the IDT of the observed data and future scenarios was calculated. From the results, it was possible to observe that meteorological variables correlate, acting inversely, with significant drops in humidity rates over the years. It was found that the municipality of Tucuruí is constantly in the mild discomfort zone, and that meteorological variables greatly influence the IDT, especially during drought in the municipality. In RCP 8.5, despite starting in the comfort zone, from the middle of the century it will present rates of mild discomfort to discomfort due to heating.Con los cambios climáticos que ocurren en el planeta, como el aumento de la temperatura promedio de la tierra, la Amazonía es notoriamente una de las regiones más susceptibles a sentir impactos. Las condiciones meteorológicas, como la temperatura y la humedad del aire, desempeñan un papel crucial en el malestar térmico. El índice de malestar térmico (TDI) cuantifica los niveles de estrés que experimenta una persona ante estas condiciones adversas. El objetivo de este trabajo fue analizar la variabilidad de la temperatura y la humedad relativa, calcular índices de malestar térmico en el municipio de Tucuruí (PA) y sus proyecciones para escenarios futuros. Con base en los datos observados de temperatura y humedad (1980 a 2022), y los escenarios futuros RCP 4.5 y RCP 8.5, se analizó la variabilidad de las variables climatológicas. En la última etapa se calculó el IDT de los datos observados y escenarios futuros. A partir de los resultados se pudo observar que las variables meteorológicas se correlacionan, actuando de manera inversa, con caídas significativas en los índices de humedad a lo largo de los años. Se encontró que el municipio de Tucuruí se encuentra constantemente en la zona de malestar leve, y que las variables meteorológicas influyen mucho en el IDT, especialmente durante la sequía en el municipio. En RCP 8.5, pese a partir de la zona de confort, a partir de mediados de siglo presentará índices de malestar leve a malestar por calefacción.Com as mudanças climáticas acontecendo no planeta, como a elevação da temperatura média da terra, onde a Amazônia é notoriamente uma das regiões mais suscetível a sentir impactos. As condições meteorológicas, como temperatura e umidade do ar, desempenham um papel crucial no desconforto térmico. O índice de desconforto térmico (IDT) quantifica os níveis de estresse que uma pessoa experimenta em face dessas condições adversas. O objetivo deste trabalho foi analisar a variabilidade da temperatura e umidade relativa do ar, calcular os índices de desconforto térmico no município de Tucuruí (PA) e suas projeções para cenários futuros. A partir dos dados observados de temperatura e umidade (1980 a 2022), e dos cenários futuros RCP 4.5 e RCP 8.5 foram analisados a variabilidade das variáveis climatológicas. Na última etapa realizou-se o cálculo do IDT dos dados observados e dos cenários futuros. A partir dos resultados, foi possível observar que as variáveis meteorológicas se correlacionam agindo de maneira inversa, havendo quedas significativas nas taxas de umidade com o passar dos anos. Constatou-se que o município de Tucuruí se apresenta de maneira constante na zona de desconforto leve, e que as variáveis meteorológicas influenciam bastante o IDT, principalmente durante a estiagem do município. No RCP 8.5, apesar de começar na zona de conforto, a partir do meio do século apresentará índices de desconforto leve ao desconforto ao desconforto por aquecimento.Universidade do Estado da Bahia - UNEB2024-07-25info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionapplication/pdftext/htmlhttps://www.revistas.uneb.br/index.php/ouricuri/article/view/1952510.59360/ouricuri.vol14.i2.a19525Ouricuri Magazine; Vol. 14 No. 2 (2024); 03-26Revista Ouricuri; Vol. 14 Núm. 2 (2024); 03-26Ouricuri Magazine; Vol. 14 No. 2 (2024); 03-26Revista Ouricuri; v. 14 n. 2 (2024); 03-262317-01312176-3216reponame:Revista Ouricuri (Online)instname:Universidade do Estado da Bahia (UNEB)instacron:UNEBporhttps://www.revistas.uneb.br/index.php/ouricuri/article/view/19525/13935https://www.revistas.uneb.br/index.php/ouricuri/article/view/19525/13936Copyright (c) 2024 Carlos Eduardo Aguiar de Souza Costa, Amanda Sena de Sá, Márcia Evellyn Portilho Cruz, Vanessa Conceição dos Santos, Laila Rover Santanahttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/?ref=chooser-v1info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessAguiar de Souza Costa, Carlos EduardoSena de Sá, AmandaPortilho Cruz, Márcia EvellynConceição dos Santos, VanessaRover Santana, Laila2024-07-25T03:13:57Zoai:ojs.revistas.uneb.br:article/19525Revistahttps://www.revistas.uneb.br/index.php/ouricuriPUBhttps://www.revistas.uneb.br/index.php/ouricuri/oai||ouricuri@nectas.org2317-01312176-3216opendoar:2024-07-25T03:13:57Revista Ouricuri (Online) - Universidade do Estado da Bahia (UNEB)false |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
The thermal discomfort index and its projection for future scenarios in the municipality of Tucuruí – PA Índice de malestar térmico y su proyección para escenarios futuros en el municipio de Tucuruí-PA Índice de desconforto térmico e sua projeção para cenários futuros no município de Tucuruí-PA |
title |
The thermal discomfort index and its projection for future scenarios in the municipality of Tucuruí – PA |
spellingShingle |
The thermal discomfort index and its projection for future scenarios in the municipality of Tucuruí – PA Aguiar de Souza Costa, Carlos Eduardo Climatologia Mudanças Climáticas Temperatura Umidade Amazônia. |
title_short |
The thermal discomfort index and its projection for future scenarios in the municipality of Tucuruí – PA |
title_full |
The thermal discomfort index and its projection for future scenarios in the municipality of Tucuruí – PA |
title_fullStr |
The thermal discomfort index and its projection for future scenarios in the municipality of Tucuruí – PA |
title_full_unstemmed |
The thermal discomfort index and its projection for future scenarios in the municipality of Tucuruí – PA |
title_sort |
The thermal discomfort index and its projection for future scenarios in the municipality of Tucuruí – PA |
author |
Aguiar de Souza Costa, Carlos Eduardo |
author_facet |
Aguiar de Souza Costa, Carlos Eduardo Sena de Sá, Amanda Portilho Cruz, Márcia Evellyn Conceição dos Santos, Vanessa Rover Santana, Laila |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Sena de Sá, Amanda Portilho Cruz, Márcia Evellyn Conceição dos Santos, Vanessa Rover Santana, Laila |
author2_role |
author author author author |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Aguiar de Souza Costa, Carlos Eduardo Sena de Sá, Amanda Portilho Cruz, Márcia Evellyn Conceição dos Santos, Vanessa Rover Santana, Laila |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Climatologia Mudanças Climáticas Temperatura Umidade Amazônia. |
topic |
Climatologia Mudanças Climáticas Temperatura Umidade Amazônia. |
description |
With climate change happening on the planet, such as the rise in the average temperature of the earth, where the Amazon is notoriously one of the regions most susceptible to feeling impacts. Meteorological conditions, such as air temperature and humidity, play a crucial role in thermal discomfort. The thermal discomfort index (TDI) quantifies the levels of stress that a person experiences in the face of these adverse conditions. The objective of this work was to analyze the variability of temperature and relative humidity, calculate thermal discomfort indices in the municipality of Tucuruí (PA) and its projections for future scenarios. Based on observed temperature and humidity data (1980 to 2022), and future scenarios RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5, the variability of climatological variables was analyzed. In the last stage, the IDT of the observed data and future scenarios was calculated. From the results, it was possible to observe that meteorological variables correlate, acting inversely, with significant drops in humidity rates over the years. It was found that the municipality of Tucuruí is constantly in the mild discomfort zone, and that meteorological variables greatly influence the IDT, especially during drought in the municipality. In RCP 8.5, despite starting in the comfort zone, from the middle of the century it will present rates of mild discomfort to discomfort due to heating. |
publishDate |
2024 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2024-07-25 |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
https://www.revistas.uneb.br/index.php/ouricuri/article/view/19525 10.59360/ouricuri.vol14.i2.a19525 |
url |
https://www.revistas.uneb.br/index.php/ouricuri/article/view/19525 |
identifier_str_mv |
10.59360/ouricuri.vol14.i2.a19525 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
por |
language |
por |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
https://www.revistas.uneb.br/index.php/ouricuri/article/view/19525/13935 https://www.revistas.uneb.br/index.php/ouricuri/article/view/19525/13936 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/?ref=chooser-v1 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
rights_invalid_str_mv |
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/?ref=chooser-v1 |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf text/html |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Universidade do Estado da Bahia - UNEB |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Universidade do Estado da Bahia - UNEB |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
Ouricuri Magazine; Vol. 14 No. 2 (2024); 03-26 Revista Ouricuri; Vol. 14 Núm. 2 (2024); 03-26 Ouricuri Magazine; Vol. 14 No. 2 (2024); 03-26 Revista Ouricuri; v. 14 n. 2 (2024); 03-26 2317-0131 2176-3216 reponame:Revista Ouricuri (Online) instname:Universidade do Estado da Bahia (UNEB) instacron:UNEB |
instname_str |
Universidade do Estado da Bahia (UNEB) |
instacron_str |
UNEB |
institution |
UNEB |
reponame_str |
Revista Ouricuri (Online) |
collection |
Revista Ouricuri (Online) |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Revista Ouricuri (Online) - Universidade do Estado da Bahia (UNEB) |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
||ouricuri@nectas.org |
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1809209582876098560 |