Prospecting and modeling of primary energy production indicators in Brazil supported by graph theory

• Autor(a) principal: Mollo Neto, Mario
• Data de Publicação: 2021
• Outros Autores: Casagrande, Lucélia Maria, Cremasco, Camila Pires, Gabriel Filho, Luís Roberto Almeida
• Tipo de documento: Artigo
• Idioma: eng
• Título da fonte: Research, Society and Development
• Texto Completo: https://rsdjournal.org/index.php/rsd/article/view/19199
• topic: Primary energy; Graph theory; Ucinet software; SNA.; Energía primaria; Teoría de grafos; Software Ucinet; SNA.; Energia primária; Teoria dos grafos; Software Ucinet; SNA.

This research presents a study on the scenario of primary energy production in Brazil over the period from 1970 to 2018, as well as the main sources that contributed to the national energy matrix. To map trends in primary energy production, Social Network Analysis was applied. Also are presented the mathematical models that represent the variation in the centrality and density of primary energy production. Based on the results and the literature on the economy of Brazil in the period between the years 1970 to 2018, it discuss the movements carried out by public policymakers that culminated in a reduction of investments in the sector, even that demand would always be growing. However, it would continue to be linked to the results of small increases in GDP and HDI. Another result was the evolution and of oil as a non-renewable primary source offer for the entire period of the research. Was perceived the alternation of offers from non-renewable sources that, starting with the predominance of firewood, passing on to the generation of hydraulic energy, the most important for two decades, and the substitution by-products derived from sugarcane, which extends until the year 2018. It was also observed that in the period from 2010 to 2018, the share of supply from renewable primary sources, in percentage terms, it is no longer so distant from the share of offers from non-renewable primary sources, almost even dividing availability for the composition of the Brazilian matrix.