Analysis of space variations in the municipality of Pontal do Paraná (Paraná - Brazil), between 1980 and 2032 arising from the port complex installation

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Silva, Jean Jesus Ilsuk da
Data de Publicação: 2017
Outros Autores: Caneparo, Sony Cortese
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: por
Título da fonte: Revista Cerrados (Montes Claros. Online)
Texto Completo: https://www.periodicos.unimontes.br/index.php/cerrados/article/view/1317
Resumo: The city of Pontal do Paraná is located on the coast of the state of Paraná, in the southern region of Brazil. In 1995, the Port of Pontal Importação e Exportação Company was installed there, and in 2013, the environmental license was approved for the installation of a port complex in this municipality. This Port presents itself as a challenge, due to its potential in producing environmental impacts and changes in land use patterns. This research aims to analyze the spatial changes that may occur in the future of land use and vegetation cover of Pontal do Paraná (2032), due to the installation of this complex. Routines of geographic information systems, inserted in the IDRISI TAIGA, of Clark University, among them, the Markov Chain and the Cellular Automatics were used to generate the future scenario. The result of predictive modeling (2032), caused by the port expansion, was an increase in urban areas, a factor that could directly impact the areas of restingas,  mangroves, and the atlantic rainforest. The present study revealed that the use of predictive modeling can be a very useful tool for the evaluation and interpretation of future scenarios.
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spelling Analysis of space variations in the municipality of Pontal do Paraná (Paraná - Brazil), between 1980 and 2032 arising from the port complex installationAnálisis de las variaciones espaciales en el municipio de Pontal do Paraná (Paraná - Brasil), entre los años 1980 y 2032 resultante de la instalación del complejo portuarioAnálise das variações espaciais no município de Pontal do Paraná (Paraná – Brasil), entre os anos de 1980 e 2032 decorrentes da instalação do complexo portuárioModelagem Preditiva; Ambiente Litorâneo; Dinâmica Espaço-Temporal.Predictive Modeling; Coastal Environment; Spatio-Temporal Dynamics.Modelado Predictivo; Costero; Dinámica Espacio-Temporal.The city of Pontal do Paraná is located on the coast of the state of Paraná, in the southern region of Brazil. In 1995, the Port of Pontal Importação e Exportação Company was installed there, and in 2013, the environmental license was approved for the installation of a port complex in this municipality. This Port presents itself as a challenge, due to its potential in producing environmental impacts and changes in land use patterns. This research aims to analyze the spatial changes that may occur in the future of land use and vegetation cover of Pontal do Paraná (2032), due to the installation of this complex. Routines of geographic information systems, inserted in the IDRISI TAIGA, of Clark University, among them, the Markov Chain and the Cellular Automatics were used to generate the future scenario. The result of predictive modeling (2032), caused by the port expansion, was an increase in urban areas, a factor that could directly impact the areas of restingas,  mangroves, and the atlantic rainforest. The present study revealed that the use of predictive modeling can be a very useful tool for the evaluation and interpretation of future scenarios.El municipio de Pontal do Paraná está ubicado en la costa del estado de Paraná, en la región sur de Brasil. En 1995, se instaló el Puerto de Importación y Exportación de Pontal Ltd. y, en 2013, se aprobó el permiso ambiental para la construcción de un complejo portuario en este municipio. Esta obra se presenta como un desafío, debido a la posibilidad  de producir impactos ambientales y cambios en los patrones de uso de la tierra. El objetivo de este estudio es analizar los cambios espaciales que puedan ocurrir en el futuro uso de la tierra y la vegetación en el Pontal do Paraná (2032), debido a la instalación de este complejo. Las rutinas se utilizan sistemas de información geográfica, insertado en el IDRISI TAIGA, Clark University, entre ellos se encuentran la Cadena de Markov y Autómatas Celulares para la generación de escenarios futuros. Los resultados de la modelización predictiva (2032), dependiendo de la expansión de lo puerto, fue un aumento en las zonas urbanas, un factor que podría tener un impacto directo sobre las áreas de Restinga, Manglares y Bosque Ombrophilous Denso. El presente estudio demostró que el uso de modelado predictivo puede ser una herramienta muy útil para la evaluación e interpretación de escenarios futuros.O município de Pontal do Paraná está localizado no litoral do estado do Paraná, na região sul do Brasil. Em 1995, foi aí instalado o Porto de Pontal Importação e Exportação LTDA e, em 2013, foi aprovada a licença ambiental para a construção de um complexo portuário neste município. Tal obra se apresenta como um desafio, devido ao potencial que o mesmo apresenta em produzir impactos ambientais e mudanças nos padrões de uso da terra.Essa pesquisa objetiva analisar as mudanças espaciais que podem ocorrer futuramente no uso da terra e na cobertura vegetal em Pontal do Paraná (2032), em virtude da instalação deste complexo. Foram utilizadas rotinas de sistemas de informações geográficas, inseridas no IDRISI TAIGA, da Clark University, dentre elas se destacam a  Cadeia de Markov e os Autômatos Celulares para a geração do cenário futuro. O resultado da modelagem preditiva (2032), em função da expansão portuária, foi um aumento nas áreas urbanas, fator que poderia impactar diretamente as áreas de Restingas, de Mangues e da Floresta Ombrófila Densa. O presente trabalho revelou que o uso da modelagem preditiva pode ser uma ferramenta bastante útil para a avaliação e interpretação de cenários futuros.Editora Unimontes2017-12-31info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionArtigoapplication/pdfhttps://www.periodicos.unimontes.br/index.php/cerrados/article/view/131710.22238/rc24482692v15n22017p263a290Revista Cerrados; v. 15 n. 02 (2017): Revista Cerrados ; 263-2902448-26921678-8346reponame:Revista Cerrados (Montes Claros. Online)instname:Universidade Estadual de Montes Claros (UNIMONTES)instacron:UNIMONTESporhttps://www.periodicos.unimontes.br/index.php/cerrados/article/view/1317/1432https://www.periodicos.unimontes.br/index.php/cerrados/article/view/1317/4124Copyright (c) 2017 Revista Cerradoshttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/deed.pt_BRinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessSilva, Jean Jesus Ilsuk da Caneparo, Sony Cortese 2021-04-29T13:05:56Zoai:ojs2.periodicos.unimontes.br:article/1317Revistahttps://www.periodicos.unimontes.br/index.php/cerradosPUBhttps://www.periodicos.unimontes.br/index.php/cerrados/oairevista.cerrados@unimontes.br||portal.periodicos@unimontes.br.2448-26921678-8346opendoar:2021-04-29T13:05:56Revista Cerrados (Montes Claros. Online) - Universidade Estadual de Montes Claros (UNIMONTES)false
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Analysis of space variations in the municipality of Pontal do Paraná (Paraná - Brazil), between 1980 and 2032 arising from the port complex installation
Análisis de las variaciones espaciales en el municipio de Pontal do Paraná (Paraná - Brasil), entre los años 1980 y 2032 resultante de la instalación del complejo portuario
Análise das variações espaciais no município de Pontal do Paraná (Paraná – Brasil), entre os anos de 1980 e 2032 decorrentes da instalação do complexo portuário
title Analysis of space variations in the municipality of Pontal do Paraná (Paraná - Brazil), between 1980 and 2032 arising from the port complex installation
spellingShingle Analysis of space variations in the municipality of Pontal do Paraná (Paraná - Brazil), between 1980 and 2032 arising from the port complex installation
Silva, Jean Jesus Ilsuk da
Modelagem Preditiva; Ambiente Litorâneo; Dinâmica Espaço-Temporal.
Predictive Modeling; Coastal Environment; Spatio-Temporal Dynamics.
Modelado Predictivo; Costero; Dinámica Espacio-Temporal.
title_short Analysis of space variations in the municipality of Pontal do Paraná (Paraná - Brazil), between 1980 and 2032 arising from the port complex installation
title_full Analysis of space variations in the municipality of Pontal do Paraná (Paraná - Brazil), between 1980 and 2032 arising from the port complex installation
title_fullStr Analysis of space variations in the municipality of Pontal do Paraná (Paraná - Brazil), between 1980 and 2032 arising from the port complex installation
title_full_unstemmed Analysis of space variations in the municipality of Pontal do Paraná (Paraná - Brazil), between 1980 and 2032 arising from the port complex installation
title_sort Analysis of space variations in the municipality of Pontal do Paraná (Paraná - Brazil), between 1980 and 2032 arising from the port complex installation
author Silva, Jean Jesus Ilsuk da
author_facet Silva, Jean Jesus Ilsuk da
Caneparo, Sony Cortese
author_role author
author2 Caneparo, Sony Cortese
author2_role author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Silva, Jean Jesus Ilsuk da
Caneparo, Sony Cortese
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Modelagem Preditiva; Ambiente Litorâneo; Dinâmica Espaço-Temporal.
Predictive Modeling; Coastal Environment; Spatio-Temporal Dynamics.
Modelado Predictivo; Costero; Dinámica Espacio-Temporal.
topic Modelagem Preditiva; Ambiente Litorâneo; Dinâmica Espaço-Temporal.
Predictive Modeling; Coastal Environment; Spatio-Temporal Dynamics.
Modelado Predictivo; Costero; Dinámica Espacio-Temporal.
description The city of Pontal do Paraná is located on the coast of the state of Paraná, in the southern region of Brazil. In 1995, the Port of Pontal Importação e Exportação Company was installed there, and in 2013, the environmental license was approved for the installation of a port complex in this municipality. This Port presents itself as a challenge, due to its potential in producing environmental impacts and changes in land use patterns. This research aims to analyze the spatial changes that may occur in the future of land use and vegetation cover of Pontal do Paraná (2032), due to the installation of this complex. Routines of geographic information systems, inserted in the IDRISI TAIGA, of Clark University, among them, the Markov Chain and the Cellular Automatics were used to generate the future scenario. The result of predictive modeling (2032), caused by the port expansion, was an increase in urban areas, a factor that could directly impact the areas of restingas,  mangroves, and the atlantic rainforest. The present study revealed that the use of predictive modeling can be a very useful tool for the evaluation and interpretation of future scenarios.
publishDate 2017
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2017-12-31
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
Artigo
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv https://www.periodicos.unimontes.br/index.php/cerrados/article/view/1317
10.22238/rc24482692v15n22017p263a290
url https://www.periodicos.unimontes.br/index.php/cerrados/article/view/1317
identifier_str_mv 10.22238/rc24482692v15n22017p263a290
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv por
language por
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv https://www.periodicos.unimontes.br/index.php/cerrados/article/view/1317/1432
https://www.periodicos.unimontes.br/index.php/cerrados/article/view/1317/4124
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv Copyright (c) 2017 Revista Cerrados
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/deed.pt_BR
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv Copyright (c) 2017 Revista Cerrados
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/deed.pt_BR
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Editora Unimontes
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Editora Unimontes
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv Revista Cerrados; v. 15 n. 02 (2017): Revista Cerrados ; 263-290
2448-2692
1678-8346
reponame:Revista Cerrados (Montes Claros. Online)
instname:Universidade Estadual de Montes Claros (UNIMONTES)
instacron:UNIMONTES
instname_str Universidade Estadual de Montes Claros (UNIMONTES)
instacron_str UNIMONTES
institution UNIMONTES
reponame_str Revista Cerrados (Montes Claros. Online)
collection Revista Cerrados (Montes Claros. Online)
repository.name.fl_str_mv Revista Cerrados (Montes Claros. Online) - Universidade Estadual de Montes Claros (UNIMONTES)
repository.mail.fl_str_mv revista.cerrados@unimontes.br||portal.periodicos@unimontes.br.
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