IMPACT OF GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT GROWTH ON BRAZILIAN NATIVE FORESTS: A COMPUTABLE GENERAL BALANCE ANALYSIS

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Suela, Attawan Guerino Locatel
Data de Publicação: 2023
Outros Autores: Zanetti de Lima, Cicero, Wolf, Rayan, Michael Trotter, Ian
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: por
Título da fonte: Informe Gepec (Online)
Texto Completo: https://e-revista.unioeste.br/index.php/gepec/article/view/30378
Resumo: Brazil is one of the world's leading producers and exporters of agricultural products. And it should continue to expand its production in the coming decades, thus remaining one of the main providers of food, fiber and bioenergy for domestic and foreign consumption. This study aimed to analyze, through the Static Computable General Equilibrium model, BREA, the impacts on intermediate demand and on the growth of agricultural production necessary for GDP to reach the expected projection for 2030, both for Brazilian macro-regions and for the MATOPIBA as well as the loss of native forest necessary for this to occur. As a result, to compose the GDP growth in the North region, fruit growing would emerge with a growth of 9.2%. In MATOPIBA, soybean growth in suppressed forest areas showed a growth of approximately 9.7%. It is observed that soy would continue to migrate to regions that hold cheap land and without the embargo of the soy moratorium. The total number of forests suppressed in Brazil for this to occur would be 490 thousand hectares. It is concluded that economic growth related to agricultural sectors is also linked to the conversion of areas of native vegetation for the growth of future production of commodities.
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spelling IMPACT OF GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT GROWTH ON BRAZILIAN NATIVE FORESTS: A COMPUTABLE GENERAL BALANCE ANALYSISIMPACT OF GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT GROWTH ON BRAZILIAN NATIVE FORESTS: A COMPUTABLE GENERAL BALANCE ANALYSIS /Impacto do crescimento do Produto Interno Bruto sobre as florestas nativas brasileiras: uma análise de balanço geral computável SoyDeforestationEconomic GrowthCerradoMATOPIBARegional Development Crescimento econômico MATOPIBACerrado e Desenvolvimento RegionalSojaEl crecimiento económicoMATOPIBA SojaDesarrollo regional Cerrado Brazil is one of the world's leading producers and exporters of agricultural products. And it should continue to expand its production in the coming decades, thus remaining one of the main providers of food, fiber and bioenergy for domestic and foreign consumption. This study aimed to analyze, through the Static Computable General Equilibrium model, BREA, the impacts on intermediate demand and on the growth of agricultural production necessary for GDP to reach the expected projection for 2030, both for Brazilian macro-regions and for the MATOPIBA as well as the loss of native forest necessary for this to occur. As a result, to compose the GDP growth in the North region, fruit growing would emerge with a growth of 9.2%. In MATOPIBA, soybean growth in suppressed forest areas showed a growth of approximately 9.7%. It is observed that soy would continue to migrate to regions that hold cheap land and without the embargo of the soy moratorium. The total number of forests suppressed in Brazil for this to occur would be 490 thousand hectares. It is concluded that economic growth related to agricultural sectors is also linked to the conversion of areas of native vegetation for the growth of future production of commodities.Brasil es uno de los principales productores y exportadores mundiales de productos agrícolas. Y deberá seguir ampliando su producción en las próximas décadas, manteniéndose así como uno de los principales proveedores de alimentos, fibras y bioenergía para el consumo interno y externo. Este estudio tuvo como objetivo analizar, utilizando el modelo Computable Static General Equilibrium, BREA, los impactos sobre la demanda intermedia y sobre el crecimiento de la producción agrícola necesarios para que el PIB alcance la proyección esperada para 2030, tanto para las macrorregiones brasileñas como para el MATOPIBA así como la pérdida de bosque nativo necesaria para que esto ocurra. En consecuencia, para componer el crecimiento del PIB de la región Norte, la fruticultura crecería un 9,2%. En MATOPIBA, el crecimiento de la soja en áreas de bosque suprimido mostró un aumento de aproximadamente 9,7%. Se observa que la soja seguiría migrando a regiones que tienen tierra barata y sin el embargo de la moratoria de la soja. La cantidad total de bosques suprimidos en Brasil para que esto suceda sería de 490.000 hectáreas. Se concluye que el crecimiento económico relacionado con los sectores agrícolas también está ligado a la conversión de áreas de vegetación nativa para el crecimiento de la futura producción de commodities.The Brazil is one of the world's leading producers and exporters of agricultural products, and it should continue to expand its production in the coming decades, remaining one of the main providers of food, fiber, and bioenergy for domestic and foreign consumption. This study aimed to analyze, by using Static Computable General Equilibrium model (BREA), the impacts on intermediate demand and the growth of agricultural production necessary for GDP to reach the expected projection for 2030, both for Brazilian macro-regions and for the MATOPIBA as well as the loss of native forest necessary for this happens. As a result, to compose the GDP growth in the North region, fruit growing would emerge with an increase of 9.2%. In MATOPIBA, soybean growth in suppressed forest areas showed an elevation of approximately 9.7%. It is observed that soy would continue to migrate to regions that hold cheap land and without the soybean moratorium embargo. The total amount of forests suppressed in Brazil for the expected economic growth to occur would be 490,000 ha. It is concluded that the economic growth related to the agricultural sectors is also linked to the conversion of native vegetation areas for future economic growth.   Resumo: O Brasil é um dos principais produtores e exportadores mundiais de produtos agrícolas e deve continuar expandindo sua produção nas próximas décadas, mantendo-se como um dos principais fornecedores de alimentos, fibras e bioenergia para consumo interno e externo. Este estudo teve como objetivo analisar, por meio do modelo de Equilíbrio Geral Estático Computável (BREA), os impactos sobre a demanda intermediária e o crescimento da produção agrícola necessários para que o PIB atinja a projeção esperada para 2030, tanto para as macrorregiões brasileiras quanto para o MATOPIBA como bem como a perda de mata nativa necessária para que isso aconteça. Com isso, para compor o crescimento do PIB da região Norte, a fruticultura despontaria com crescimento de 9,2%. No MATOPIBA, o crescimento da soja em áreas de floresta suprimida apresentou uma elevação de aproximadamente 9,7%. Observa-se que a soja continuaria migrando para regiões que possuem terras baratas e sem o embargo da moratória da soja. A quantidade total de florestas suprimidas no Brasil para que ocorra o crescimento econômico esperado seria de 490.000 ha. Conclui-se que o crescimento econômico relacionado aos setores agropecuários também está atrelado à conversão de áreas de vegetação nativa para o crescimento econômico futuro.EdUnioeste2023-03-07info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionapplication/pdfhttps://e-revista.unioeste.br/index.php/gepec/article/view/3037810.48075/igepec.v27i1.30378Informe GEPEC; v. 27 n. 1 (2023): Revista Informe GEPEC; 228-2451679-415X1676-067010.48075/igepec.v27i1reponame:Informe Gepec (Online)instname:Universidade Estadual do Oeste do Paraná (UNIOESTE)instacron:UNIOESTEporhttps://e-revista.unioeste.br/index.php/gepec/article/view/30378/21658Copyright (c) 2023 Informe GEPEChttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessSuela, Attawan Guerino LocatelZanetti de Lima, Cicero Wolf, RayanMichael Trotter, Ian2023-06-14T13:24:29Zoai:ojs.e-revista.unioeste.br:article/30378Revistahttps://e-revista.unioeste.br/index.php/gepecPUBhttps://e-revista.unioeste.br/index.php/gepec/oairevista.gepec@gmail.com1679-415X1676-0670opendoar:2023-06-14T13:24:29Informe Gepec (Online) - Universidade Estadual do Oeste do Paraná (UNIOESTE)false
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv IMPACT OF GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT GROWTH ON BRAZILIAN NATIVE FORESTS: A COMPUTABLE GENERAL BALANCE ANALYSIS
IMPACT OF GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT GROWTH ON BRAZILIAN NATIVE FORESTS: A COMPUTABLE GENERAL BALANCE ANALYSIS /Impacto do crescimento do Produto Interno Bruto sobre as florestas nativas brasileiras: uma análise de balanço geral computável
title IMPACT OF GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT GROWTH ON BRAZILIAN NATIVE FORESTS: A COMPUTABLE GENERAL BALANCE ANALYSIS
spellingShingle IMPACT OF GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT GROWTH ON BRAZILIAN NATIVE FORESTS: A COMPUTABLE GENERAL BALANCE ANALYSIS
Suela, Attawan Guerino Locatel
Soy
Deforestation
Economic Growth
Cerrado
MATOPIBA
Regional Development
Crescimento econômico
MATOPIBA
Cerrado e Desenvolvimento Regional
Soja
El crecimiento económico
MATOPIBA
Soja
Desarrollo regional
Cerrado
title_short IMPACT OF GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT GROWTH ON BRAZILIAN NATIVE FORESTS: A COMPUTABLE GENERAL BALANCE ANALYSIS
title_full IMPACT OF GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT GROWTH ON BRAZILIAN NATIVE FORESTS: A COMPUTABLE GENERAL BALANCE ANALYSIS
title_fullStr IMPACT OF GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT GROWTH ON BRAZILIAN NATIVE FORESTS: A COMPUTABLE GENERAL BALANCE ANALYSIS
title_full_unstemmed IMPACT OF GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT GROWTH ON BRAZILIAN NATIVE FORESTS: A COMPUTABLE GENERAL BALANCE ANALYSIS
title_sort IMPACT OF GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT GROWTH ON BRAZILIAN NATIVE FORESTS: A COMPUTABLE GENERAL BALANCE ANALYSIS
author Suela, Attawan Guerino Locatel
author_facet Suela, Attawan Guerino Locatel
Zanetti de Lima, Cicero
Wolf, Rayan
Michael Trotter, Ian
author_role author
author2 Zanetti de Lima, Cicero
Wolf, Rayan
Michael Trotter, Ian
author2_role author
author
author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Suela, Attawan Guerino Locatel
Zanetti de Lima, Cicero
Wolf, Rayan
Michael Trotter, Ian
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Soy
Deforestation
Economic Growth
Cerrado
MATOPIBA
Regional Development
Crescimento econômico
MATOPIBA
Cerrado e Desenvolvimento Regional
Soja
El crecimiento económico
MATOPIBA
Soja
Desarrollo regional
Cerrado
topic Soy
Deforestation
Economic Growth
Cerrado
MATOPIBA
Regional Development
Crescimento econômico
MATOPIBA
Cerrado e Desenvolvimento Regional
Soja
El crecimiento económico
MATOPIBA
Soja
Desarrollo regional
Cerrado
description Brazil is one of the world's leading producers and exporters of agricultural products. And it should continue to expand its production in the coming decades, thus remaining one of the main providers of food, fiber and bioenergy for domestic and foreign consumption. This study aimed to analyze, through the Static Computable General Equilibrium model, BREA, the impacts on intermediate demand and on the growth of agricultural production necessary for GDP to reach the expected projection for 2030, both for Brazilian macro-regions and for the MATOPIBA as well as the loss of native forest necessary for this to occur. As a result, to compose the GDP growth in the North region, fruit growing would emerge with a growth of 9.2%. In MATOPIBA, soybean growth in suppressed forest areas showed a growth of approximately 9.7%. It is observed that soy would continue to migrate to regions that hold cheap land and without the embargo of the soy moratorium. The total number of forests suppressed in Brazil for this to occur would be 490 thousand hectares. It is concluded that economic growth related to agricultural sectors is also linked to the conversion of areas of native vegetation for the growth of future production of commodities.
publishDate 2023
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2023-03-07
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv https://e-revista.unioeste.br/index.php/gepec/article/view/30378
10.48075/igepec.v27i1.30378
url https://e-revista.unioeste.br/index.php/gepec/article/view/30378
identifier_str_mv 10.48075/igepec.v27i1.30378
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv por
language por
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv https://e-revista.unioeste.br/index.php/gepec/article/view/30378/21658
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv Copyright (c) 2023 Informe GEPEC
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv Copyright (c) 2023 Informe GEPEC
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv EdUnioeste
publisher.none.fl_str_mv EdUnioeste
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv Informe GEPEC; v. 27 n. 1 (2023): Revista Informe GEPEC; 228-245
1679-415X
1676-0670
10.48075/igepec.v27i1
reponame:Informe Gepec (Online)
instname:Universidade Estadual do Oeste do Paraná (UNIOESTE)
instacron:UNIOESTE
instname_str Universidade Estadual do Oeste do Paraná (UNIOESTE)
instacron_str UNIOESTE
institution UNIOESTE
reponame_str Informe Gepec (Online)
collection Informe Gepec (Online)
repository.name.fl_str_mv Informe Gepec (Online) - Universidade Estadual do Oeste do Paraná (UNIOESTE)
repository.mail.fl_str_mv revista.gepec@gmail.com
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