Dependency ratio: a spatial analysis for brazilian municipalities

• Autor(a) principal: Bastos, Suzana Quinet Andrade
• Data de Publicação: 2022
• Outros Autores: Gomes, Bruno Silva Moraes, Pereira, Marcilio Zanelli, Tosta, Tamires Vieira
• Tipo de documento: Artigo
• Idioma: por; eng
• Título da fonte: Redes (Santa Cruz do Sul. Online)
• Texto Completo: https://online.unisc.br/seer/index.php/redes/article/view/14970
• topic: Transição demográfica; Razão de dependência; Análise Exploratória de Dados Espaciais (AEDE); Econometria espacial; Transición demográfica; Índice de dependência; Análisis Exploratorio de Datos Espaciales (AEDE); Econometría espacial; Demographic transition; Dependency ratio; Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis (ESDA); Spatial econometric

This paper analyzes the phenomenon of demographic transition in order to verify the existence and evolution of clusters in Brazilian municipalities, as well as capturing the social and economic indicators that influence this phenomenon. The dependency ratio is adopted as an indicator of demographic transition, which measures the relative participation of the inactive population, which should be sustained by the portion of the working age population. To this end, the Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis (ESDA) method and the estimation of spatial econometric models are used with data from the Demographic Censuses of 1991, 2000 and 2010. The results highlight that there is heterogeneity of the demographic transition in Brazilian municipalities, and the municipalities of the South and Southeast of the country are present at a more advanced stage. In spatial regression, the variables: life expectancy at birth, infant mortality rate, Gini coefficient and inadequate water and sanitation show a positive relationship with the dependency ratio. On the other hand, per capita income, expected years of schooling and MHDI indicate an inverse relationship.