The behavior of Expenditure on Brazilian International Travel: from 1947 to 2005

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Meurer, Roberto
Data de Publicação: 2008
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: por
Título da fonte: Turismo : Visão e Ação (Online)
Texto Completo: https://periodicos.univali.br/index.php/rtva/article/view/171
Resumo: This work is based on the premise that macroeconomic variables influence microeconomic decisions relating to foreign travel. The results are important for government planning actions, and for analyzing business planning scenarios, particularly for assisting in forecasting demand for domestic travel (as a substitute for international travel) and planning the offer of services associated with outbound tourism. Given the importance of expenditure on international travel for the Brazilian balance of payments, it is necessary to consider this variable in the forecasts and strategic actions, so that this doesn’t become a bottleneck for the external sector of the Brazilian economy. The data analysis was carried out through comparison of the behavior of the graphs and the coefficients of correlation with the variables related to international travel and the explanatory variables. The results obtained indicate that expenditure by Brazil on international travel is sensitive to the behavior of the GDP, with a positive relationship between expenditure and GDP. For the exchange rate, appreciations/valorizations (depreciations/devaluations) of the Brazilian currency lead to na increase (reduction) in expenditure. If the Brazilian economy enters a new growth cycle, the increase in demand for travel abroad tends to increase considerably, depending on the exchange rate. Key words: Expenditure on international travel; Number of travelers; Real exchange rate.
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spelling The behavior of Expenditure on Brazilian International Travel: from 1947 to 2005Comportamiento de los Gastos con Viajes Internacionales del Brasil: de 1947 a 2005Comportamento das Despesas com Viagens Internacionais do Brasil: 1947 a 2005This work is based on the premise that macroeconomic variables influence microeconomic decisions relating to foreign travel. The results are important for government planning actions, and for analyzing business planning scenarios, particularly for assisting in forecasting demand for domestic travel (as a substitute for international travel) and planning the offer of services associated with outbound tourism. Given the importance of expenditure on international travel for the Brazilian balance of payments, it is necessary to consider this variable in the forecasts and strategic actions, so that this doesn’t become a bottleneck for the external sector of the Brazilian economy. The data analysis was carried out through comparison of the behavior of the graphs and the coefficients of correlation with the variables related to international travel and the explanatory variables. The results obtained indicate that expenditure by Brazil on international travel is sensitive to the behavior of the GDP, with a positive relationship between expenditure and GDP. For the exchange rate, appreciations/valorizations (depreciations/devaluations) of the Brazilian currency lead to na increase (reduction) in expenditure. If the Brazilian economy enters a new growth cycle, the increase in demand for travel abroad tends to increase considerably, depending on the exchange rate. Key words: Expenditure on international travel; Number of travelers; Real exchange rate.Este trabajo considera que variables macroeconómicas influyen en las decisiones macroeconómicas sobre viajes al exterior. Los resultados son importantes para acciones de planeamiento gubernamental, como así también, para el análisis de escenarios em El planeamiento empresarial, especialmente para auxiliar en las proyecciones de demanda de viajes domésticos, sustitutivos de los internacionales, y el planeamiento de la oferta de servicios al turismo de emisión. Dada la importancia de los gastos de viajes internacionales para la balanza de pagos brasileños, es necesario considerar esta variable en las proyecciones y acciones estratégicas para que no se torne un factor de asfixia del sector externo de la economía brasileña. El análisis de los datos fue realizado a través de la comparación entre El comportamiento de los gráficos y de los coeficientes de correlación entre variables relacionadas a los viajes internacionales, y las variables explicativas. Los resultados obtenidos indican que los gastos del Brasil con viajes internacionales son sensibles al comportamiento del PBI, con una relación positiva entre gastos y PBI. Para la tasa de cambio, apreciaciones – valorizaciones (despreciación – desvalorización) de la moneda brasileña, conlleva un aumento o disminución de los gastos. En el caso que la economía brasileña entre en un ciclo de nuevo crecimiento, el aumento de la demanda por viajes al exterior, tenderá a aumentar considerablemente, dependiendo de la tasa de cambio. Palabras llave: Gastos con viajes internacionales; Número de viajeros; Tasa real de cambio.Este trabalho considera que variáveis macroeconômicas influenciam as decisões microeconômicas sobre viagens ao exterior. Os resultados são importantes para ações de planejamento governamental, bem como para a análise de cenários no planejamento empresarial, especialmente para auxiliar nas projeções de demanda das viagens domésticas, substitutas das internacionais, e planejamento da oferta de serviços associados ao turismo emissivo. Dada a importância das despesas com viagens internacionais para o balanço de pagamentos brasileiro, é necessário considerar esta variável nas projeções e ações estratégicas para que este não se torne um fator de estrangulamento do setor externo da economia brasileira. A análise dos dados foi feita através de comparação entre o comportamento dos gráficos e dos coeficientes de correlação entre as variáveis relacionadas às viagens internacionais e as variáveis explicativas. Os resultados obtidos indicam que as despesas do Brasil com viagens internacionais são sensíveis ao comportamento do PIB, com uma relação positiva entre despesas e PIB. Para a taxa de câmbio, apreciações/valorizações (depreciações/desvalorizações) da moeda brasileira levam a aumento (redução) das despesas. Caso a economia brasileira entre em um novo ciclo de crescimento, o aumento da demanda por viagens ao exterior tenderá a aumentar consideravelmente, dependendo da taxa de câmbio. Palavras-chave: Despesas com viagens internacionais; Número de viajantes; Taxa real de câmbio.Universidade do Vale do Itajaí­ - UNIVALI / SC2008-08-07info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionapplication/pdfhttps://periodicos.univali.br/index.php/rtva/article/view/17110.14210/rtva.v9n3.p359-374Turismo: Visão e Ação; Vol. 9 No. 3 (2007); 359-374Turismo: Visão e Ação; Vol. 9 Núm. 3 (2007); 359-374Turismo: Visão e Ação; v. 9 n. 3 (2007); 359-3741983-71511415-639310.14210/rtva.v9i3reponame:Turismo : Visão e Ação (Online)instname:Universidade do Vale do Itajaí (UNIVALI)instacron:UNIVALIporhttps://periodicos.univali.br/index.php/rtva/article/view/171/144Meurer, Robertoinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess2008-08-14T18:34:33Zoai:ojs.periodicos.univali.br:article/171Revistahttps://periodicos.univali.br/index.php/rtvaPUBhttps://periodicos.univali.br/index.php/rtva/oailuiz.flores@univali.br || revistaturismo@univali.br1983-71511415-6393opendoar:2008-08-14T18:34:33Turismo : Visão e Ação (Online) - Universidade do Vale do Itajaí (UNIVALI)false
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv The behavior of Expenditure on Brazilian International Travel: from 1947 to 2005
Comportamiento de los Gastos con Viajes Internacionales del Brasil: de 1947 a 2005
Comportamento das Despesas com Viagens Internacionais do Brasil: 1947 a 2005
title The behavior of Expenditure on Brazilian International Travel: from 1947 to 2005
spellingShingle The behavior of Expenditure on Brazilian International Travel: from 1947 to 2005
Meurer, Roberto
title_short The behavior of Expenditure on Brazilian International Travel: from 1947 to 2005
title_full The behavior of Expenditure on Brazilian International Travel: from 1947 to 2005
title_fullStr The behavior of Expenditure on Brazilian International Travel: from 1947 to 2005
title_full_unstemmed The behavior of Expenditure on Brazilian International Travel: from 1947 to 2005
title_sort The behavior of Expenditure on Brazilian International Travel: from 1947 to 2005
author Meurer, Roberto
author_facet Meurer, Roberto
author_role author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Meurer, Roberto
description This work is based on the premise that macroeconomic variables influence microeconomic decisions relating to foreign travel. The results are important for government planning actions, and for analyzing business planning scenarios, particularly for assisting in forecasting demand for domestic travel (as a substitute for international travel) and planning the offer of services associated with outbound tourism. Given the importance of expenditure on international travel for the Brazilian balance of payments, it is necessary to consider this variable in the forecasts and strategic actions, so that this doesn’t become a bottleneck for the external sector of the Brazilian economy. The data analysis was carried out through comparison of the behavior of the graphs and the coefficients of correlation with the variables related to international travel and the explanatory variables. The results obtained indicate that expenditure by Brazil on international travel is sensitive to the behavior of the GDP, with a positive relationship between expenditure and GDP. For the exchange rate, appreciations/valorizations (depreciations/devaluations) of the Brazilian currency lead to na increase (reduction) in expenditure. If the Brazilian economy enters a new growth cycle, the increase in demand for travel abroad tends to increase considerably, depending on the exchange rate. Key words: Expenditure on international travel; Number of travelers; Real exchange rate.
publishDate 2008
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2008-08-07
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv https://periodicos.univali.br/index.php/rtva/article/view/171
10.14210/rtva.v9n3.p359-374
url https://periodicos.univali.br/index.php/rtva/article/view/171
identifier_str_mv 10.14210/rtva.v9n3.p359-374
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv por
language por
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv https://periodicos.univali.br/index.php/rtva/article/view/171/144
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Universidade do Vale do Itajaí­ - UNIVALI / SC
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Universidade do Vale do Itajaí­ - UNIVALI / SC
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv Turismo: Visão e Ação; Vol. 9 No. 3 (2007); 359-374
Turismo: Visão e Ação; Vol. 9 Núm. 3 (2007); 359-374
Turismo: Visão e Ação; v. 9 n. 3 (2007); 359-374
1983-7151
1415-6393
10.14210/rtva.v9i3
reponame:Turismo : Visão e Ação (Online)
instname:Universidade do Vale do Itajaí (UNIVALI)
instacron:UNIVALI
instname_str Universidade do Vale do Itajaí (UNIVALI)
instacron_str UNIVALI
institution UNIVALI
reponame_str Turismo : Visão e Ação (Online)
collection Turismo : Visão e Ação (Online)
repository.name.fl_str_mv Turismo : Visão e Ação (Online) - Universidade do Vale do Itajaí (UNIVALI)
repository.mail.fl_str_mv luiz.flores@univali.br || revistaturismo@univali.br
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