Climate change will decrease the range size of snake species under negligible protection in the Brazilian Atlantic Forest hotspot

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Lourenço-de-Moraes, Ricardo
Data de Publicação: 2019
Outros Autores: Lansac-Toha, Fernando Miranda, Schwind, Leilane Talita Fatoreto, Arrieira, Rodrigo Leite, Rosa, Rafael Rogério, Terribile, Levi Carina, Lemes, Priscila [UNESP], Fernando Rangel, Thiago, Diniz-Filho, José Alexandre Felizola, Bastos, Rogério Pereira, Bailly, Dayani
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: eng
Título da fonte: Repositório Institucional da UNESP
Texto Completo: http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-44732-z
http://hdl.handle.net/11449/187796
Resumo: Reptiles are highly susceptible to climate change, responding negatively to thermal and rainfall alterations mainly in relation to their reproductive processes. Based on that, we evaluated the effects of climate change on climatically suitable areas for the occurrence of snakes in the Atlantic Forest hotspot, considering the responses of distinct reproductive groups (oviparous and viviparous). We assessed the species richness and turnover patterns affected by climate change and projected the threat status of each snake species at the end of the century. We also evaluated the effectiveness of the protected areas in safeguarding the species by estimating the mean percentage overlap between snake species distribution and protected areas (PAs) network and by assessing whether such areas will gain or lose species under climate change. Our results showed greater species richness in the eastern-central portion of the Atlantic Forest at present. In general, we evidenced a drastic range contraction of the snake species under climate change. Temporal turnover tends to be high in the western and north-eastern edges of the biome, particularly for oviparous species. Our predictions indicate that 73.6% of oviparous species and 67.6% of viviparous species could lose at least half of their original range by 2080. We also found that existing protected areas of the Atlantic Forest Hotspot have a very limited capacity to safeguard snakes at the current time, maintaining the precarious protection in the future, with the majority of them predicted to lose species at the end of this century. Although oviparous and viviparous snakes have been designated to be dramatically impacted, our study suggests a greater fragility of the former in the face of climate change. We advocated that the creation of new protected areas and/or the redesign of the existing network to harbour regions that maximize the snake species occupancy in the face of future warming scenarios are crucial measures for the conservation of this group.
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spelling Climate change will decrease the range size of snake species under negligible protection in the Brazilian Atlantic Forest hotspotReptiles are highly susceptible to climate change, responding negatively to thermal and rainfall alterations mainly in relation to their reproductive processes. Based on that, we evaluated the effects of climate change on climatically suitable areas for the occurrence of snakes in the Atlantic Forest hotspot, considering the responses of distinct reproductive groups (oviparous and viviparous). We assessed the species richness and turnover patterns affected by climate change and projected the threat status of each snake species at the end of the century. We also evaluated the effectiveness of the protected areas in safeguarding the species by estimating the mean percentage overlap between snake species distribution and protected areas (PAs) network and by assessing whether such areas will gain or lose species under climate change. Our results showed greater species richness in the eastern-central portion of the Atlantic Forest at present. In general, we evidenced a drastic range contraction of the snake species under climate change. Temporal turnover tends to be high in the western and north-eastern edges of the biome, particularly for oviparous species. Our predictions indicate that 73.6% of oviparous species and 67.6% of viviparous species could lose at least half of their original range by 2080. We also found that existing protected areas of the Atlantic Forest Hotspot have a very limited capacity to safeguard snakes at the current time, maintaining the precarious protection in the future, with the majority of them predicted to lose species at the end of this century. Although oviparous and viviparous snakes have been designated to be dramatically impacted, our study suggests a greater fragility of the former in the face of climate change. We advocated that the creation of new protected areas and/or the redesign of the existing network to harbour regions that maximize the snake species occupancy in the face of future warming scenarios are crucial measures for the conservation of this group.Programa de Pós-graduação em Ecologia de Ambientes Aquáticos Continentais (PEA) Universidade Estadual de Maringá MaringáLaboratório de Herpetologia e Comportamento Animal Universidade Federal de GoiásPrograma de Pós-Graduação em Biologia Comparada (PGB) Universidade Estadual de MaringáLaboratório de Macroecologia Universidade Federal de Goiás Regional de JataíDepartamento de Zoologia Instituto de Biociências Universidade Estadual Paulista Júlio de Mesquita Filho (UNESP)Departamento de Ecologia Instituto de Ciências Biológicas Universidade Federal de GoiásDepartamento de Zoologia Instituto de Biociências Universidade Estadual Paulista Júlio de Mesquita Filho (UNESP)Universidade Estadual de Maringá (UEM)Universidade Federal de Goiás (UFG)Universidade Estadual Paulista (Unesp)Lourenço-de-Moraes, RicardoLansac-Toha, Fernando MirandaSchwind, Leilane Talita FatoretoArrieira, Rodrigo LeiteRosa, Rafael RogérioTerribile, Levi CarinaLemes, Priscila [UNESP]Fernando Rangel, ThiagoDiniz-Filho, José Alexandre FelizolaBastos, Rogério PereiraBailly, Dayani2019-10-06T15:47:30Z2019-10-06T15:47:30Z2019-12-01info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articlehttp://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-44732-zScientific Reports, v. 9, n. 1, 2019.2045-2322http://hdl.handle.net/11449/18779610.1038/s41598-019-44732-z2-s2.0-85067692592Scopusreponame:Repositório Institucional da UNESPinstname:Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP)instacron:UNESPengScientific Reportsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess2021-10-23T01:57:59Zoai:repositorio.unesp.br:11449/187796Repositório InstitucionalPUBhttp://repositorio.unesp.br/oai/requestopendoar:29462024-08-05T23:27:14.810728Repositório Institucional da UNESP - Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP)false
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Climate change will decrease the range size of snake species under negligible protection in the Brazilian Atlantic Forest hotspot
title Climate change will decrease the range size of snake species under negligible protection in the Brazilian Atlantic Forest hotspot
spellingShingle Climate change will decrease the range size of snake species under negligible protection in the Brazilian Atlantic Forest hotspot
Lourenço-de-Moraes, Ricardo
title_short Climate change will decrease the range size of snake species under negligible protection in the Brazilian Atlantic Forest hotspot
title_full Climate change will decrease the range size of snake species under negligible protection in the Brazilian Atlantic Forest hotspot
title_fullStr Climate change will decrease the range size of snake species under negligible protection in the Brazilian Atlantic Forest hotspot
title_full_unstemmed Climate change will decrease the range size of snake species under negligible protection in the Brazilian Atlantic Forest hotspot
title_sort Climate change will decrease the range size of snake species under negligible protection in the Brazilian Atlantic Forest hotspot
author Lourenço-de-Moraes, Ricardo
author_facet Lourenço-de-Moraes, Ricardo
Lansac-Toha, Fernando Miranda
Schwind, Leilane Talita Fatoreto
Arrieira, Rodrigo Leite
Rosa, Rafael Rogério
Terribile, Levi Carina
Lemes, Priscila [UNESP]
Fernando Rangel, Thiago
Diniz-Filho, José Alexandre Felizola
Bastos, Rogério Pereira
Bailly, Dayani
author_role author
author2 Lansac-Toha, Fernando Miranda
Schwind, Leilane Talita Fatoreto
Arrieira, Rodrigo Leite
Rosa, Rafael Rogério
Terribile, Levi Carina
Lemes, Priscila [UNESP]
Fernando Rangel, Thiago
Diniz-Filho, José Alexandre Felizola
Bastos, Rogério Pereira
Bailly, Dayani
author2_role author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv Universidade Estadual de Maringá (UEM)
Universidade Federal de Goiás (UFG)
Universidade Estadual Paulista (Unesp)
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Lourenço-de-Moraes, Ricardo
Lansac-Toha, Fernando Miranda
Schwind, Leilane Talita Fatoreto
Arrieira, Rodrigo Leite
Rosa, Rafael Rogério
Terribile, Levi Carina
Lemes, Priscila [UNESP]
Fernando Rangel, Thiago
Diniz-Filho, José Alexandre Felizola
Bastos, Rogério Pereira
Bailly, Dayani
description Reptiles are highly susceptible to climate change, responding negatively to thermal and rainfall alterations mainly in relation to their reproductive processes. Based on that, we evaluated the effects of climate change on climatically suitable areas for the occurrence of snakes in the Atlantic Forest hotspot, considering the responses of distinct reproductive groups (oviparous and viviparous). We assessed the species richness and turnover patterns affected by climate change and projected the threat status of each snake species at the end of the century. We also evaluated the effectiveness of the protected areas in safeguarding the species by estimating the mean percentage overlap between snake species distribution and protected areas (PAs) network and by assessing whether such areas will gain or lose species under climate change. Our results showed greater species richness in the eastern-central portion of the Atlantic Forest at present. In general, we evidenced a drastic range contraction of the snake species under climate change. Temporal turnover tends to be high in the western and north-eastern edges of the biome, particularly for oviparous species. Our predictions indicate that 73.6% of oviparous species and 67.6% of viviparous species could lose at least half of their original range by 2080. We also found that existing protected areas of the Atlantic Forest Hotspot have a very limited capacity to safeguard snakes at the current time, maintaining the precarious protection in the future, with the majority of them predicted to lose species at the end of this century. Although oviparous and viviparous snakes have been designated to be dramatically impacted, our study suggests a greater fragility of the former in the face of climate change. We advocated that the creation of new protected areas and/or the redesign of the existing network to harbour regions that maximize the snake species occupancy in the face of future warming scenarios are crucial measures for the conservation of this group.
publishDate 2019
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2019-10-06T15:47:30Z
2019-10-06T15:47:30Z
2019-12-01
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-44732-z
Scientific Reports, v. 9, n. 1, 2019.
2045-2322
http://hdl.handle.net/11449/187796
10.1038/s41598-019-44732-z
2-s2.0-85067692592
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-44732-z
http://hdl.handle.net/11449/187796
identifier_str_mv Scientific Reports, v. 9, n. 1, 2019.
2045-2322
10.1038/s41598-019-44732-z
2-s2.0-85067692592
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv Scientific Reports
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv Scopus
reponame:Repositório Institucional da UNESP
instname:Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP)
instacron:UNESP
instname_str Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP)
instacron_str UNESP
institution UNESP
reponame_str Repositório Institucional da UNESP
collection Repositório Institucional da UNESP
repository.name.fl_str_mv Repositório Institucional da UNESP - Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP)
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