Prediction of biological age and evaluation of genome-wide dynamic methylomic changes throughout human aging

• Autor(a) principal: Roudbar, Mahmoud Amiri
• Data de Publicação: 2021
• Outros Autores: Mousavi, Seyedeh Fatemeh, Ardestani, Siavash Salek, Lopes, Fernando Brito [UNESP], Momen, Mehdi, Gianola, Daniel, Khatib, Hasan
• Tipo de documento: Artigo
• Idioma: eng
• Título da fonte: Repositório Institucional da UNESP
• Texto Completo: http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/g3journal/jkab112; http://hdl.handle.net/11449/229232
• topic: Aging; Bayesian ridge regression; Reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces; Whole-methylome prediction

The use of DNA methylation signatures to predict chronological age and aging rate is of interest in many fields, including disease prevention and treatment, forensics, and anti-aging medicine. Although a large number of methylation markers are significantly associated with age, most age-prediction methods use a few markers selected based on either previously published studies or datasets containing methylation information. Here, we implemented reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (RKHS) regression and a ridge regression model in a Bayesian framework that utilized phenotypic and methylation profiles simultaneously to predict chronological age. We used over 450,000 CpG sites from the whole blood of a large cohort of 4409 human individuals with a range of 10-101 years of age. Models were fitted using adjusted and un-adjusted methylation measurements for cell heterogeneity. Un-adjusted methylation scores delivered a significantly higher prediction accuracy than adjusted methylation data, with a correlation between age and predicted age of 0.98 and a root mean square error (RMSE) of 3.54 years in un-adjusted data, and 0.90 (correlation) and 7.16 (RMSE) years in adjusted data. Reducing the number of predictors (CpG sites) through subset selection improved predictive power with a correlation of 0.98 and an RMSE of 2.98 years in the RKHS model. We found distinct global methylation patterns, with a significant increase in the proportion of methylated cytosines in CpG islands and a decreased proportion in other CpG types, including CpG shore, shelf, and open sea (P < 5e-06). Epigenetic drift seemed to be a widespread phenomenon as more than 97% of the age-associated methylation sites had heteroscedasticity. Apparent methylomic aging rate (AMAR) had a sex-specific pattern, with an increase in AMAR in females with age related to males.