Comparison of adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) and machine learning algorithms for electricity production forecasting
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2022 |
Outros Autores: | , , , , |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | eng |
Título da fonte: | Repositório Institucional da UNESP |
Texto Completo: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/TLA.2022.9885166 http://hdl.handle.net/11449/237688 |
Resumo: | Combined cycle power plants (CCPP) are popular in the energy sector for the production of electricity, and are the union of two thermodynamic cycles, corresponding to the steam turbine and the gas turbine. This paper presents the application of several machine learning (ML) techniques and the adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) to predict the hourly electricity production in a CCPP. The models were developed using 5-fold cross-validation with the collected features of temperature, exhaust pressure, relative humidity, ambient pressure, and electricity production per hour (the target feature). The hyperparameters of the tested models were optimized. The correlation and determination coefficients of the models were higher than 92%, showing a significant performance. The ANFIS (r = 98% e R2 = 95%) model shows the lowest values in the evaluated error metrics, compared to the other ML models. Finally, the results showed the effectiveness of ANFIS in predicting the hourly production of electricity in CCPP. |
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Repositório Institucional da UNESP |
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Comparison of adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) and machine learning algorithms for electricity production forecastingElectricityPower generationFuzzy neural networksMachine learningPredictive modelsCombined cycle power plants (CCPP) are popular in the energy sector for the production of electricity, and are the union of two thermodynamic cycles, corresponding to the steam turbine and the gas turbine. This paper presents the application of several machine learning (ML) techniques and the adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) to predict the hourly electricity production in a CCPP. The models were developed using 5-fold cross-validation with the collected features of temperature, exhaust pressure, relative humidity, ambient pressure, and electricity production per hour (the target feature). The hyperparameters of the tested models were optimized. The correlation and determination coefficients of the models were higher than 92%, showing a significant performance. The ANFIS (r = 98% e R2 = 95%) model shows the lowest values in the evaluated error metrics, compared to the other ML models. Finally, the results showed the effectiveness of ANFIS in predicting the hourly production of electricity in CCPP.Univ Estadual Paulista, Fac Engn Guaratingueta, Guaratingueta, BrazilInst Tecnol Aeronaut, Sao Jose Dos Campos, BrazilUniv Estadual Paulista, Fac Engn Guaratingueta, Guaratingueta, BrazilIeee-inst Electrical Electronics Engineers IncUniversidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP)Inst Tecnol Aeronaut (ITA)Rodriguez, Elen Y. A. [UNESP]Gamboa, Alexander A. R.Rodriguez, Elias C. A. [UNESP]Silva, Aneirson F. da [UNESP]Rizol, Paloma M. S. R. [UNESP]Marins, Fernando A. S. [UNESP]2022-11-30T13:41:56Z2022-11-30T13:41:56Z2022-10-01info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/article2288-2294http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/TLA.2022.9885166Ieee Latin America Transactions. Piscataway: Ieee-inst Electrical Electronics Engineers Inc, v. 20, n. 10, p. 2288-2294, 2022.1548-0992http://hdl.handle.net/11449/23768810.1109/TLA.2022.9885166WOS:000852215100010Web of Sciencereponame:Repositório Institucional da UNESPinstname:Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP)instacron:UNESPengIeee Latin America Transactionsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess2022-11-30T13:41:56Zoai:repositorio.unesp.br:11449/237688Repositório InstitucionalPUBhttp://repositorio.unesp.br/oai/requestopendoar:29462024-08-05T21:16:10.064556Repositório Institucional da UNESP - Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP)false |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Comparison of adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) and machine learning algorithms for electricity production forecasting |
title |
Comparison of adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) and machine learning algorithms for electricity production forecasting |
spellingShingle |
Comparison of adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) and machine learning algorithms for electricity production forecasting Rodriguez, Elen Y. A. [UNESP] Electricity Power generation Fuzzy neural networks Machine learning Predictive models |
title_short |
Comparison of adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) and machine learning algorithms for electricity production forecasting |
title_full |
Comparison of adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) and machine learning algorithms for electricity production forecasting |
title_fullStr |
Comparison of adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) and machine learning algorithms for electricity production forecasting |
title_full_unstemmed |
Comparison of adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) and machine learning algorithms for electricity production forecasting |
title_sort |
Comparison of adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) and machine learning algorithms for electricity production forecasting |
author |
Rodriguez, Elen Y. A. [UNESP] |
author_facet |
Rodriguez, Elen Y. A. [UNESP] Gamboa, Alexander A. R. Rodriguez, Elias C. A. [UNESP] Silva, Aneirson F. da [UNESP] Rizol, Paloma M. S. R. [UNESP] Marins, Fernando A. S. [UNESP] |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Gamboa, Alexander A. R. Rodriguez, Elias C. A. [UNESP] Silva, Aneirson F. da [UNESP] Rizol, Paloma M. S. R. [UNESP] Marins, Fernando A. S. [UNESP] |
author2_role |
author author author author author |
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv |
Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP) Inst Tecnol Aeronaut (ITA) |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Rodriguez, Elen Y. A. [UNESP] Gamboa, Alexander A. R. Rodriguez, Elias C. A. [UNESP] Silva, Aneirson F. da [UNESP] Rizol, Paloma M. S. R. [UNESP] Marins, Fernando A. S. [UNESP] |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Electricity Power generation Fuzzy neural networks Machine learning Predictive models |
topic |
Electricity Power generation Fuzzy neural networks Machine learning Predictive models |
description |
Combined cycle power plants (CCPP) are popular in the energy sector for the production of electricity, and are the union of two thermodynamic cycles, corresponding to the steam turbine and the gas turbine. This paper presents the application of several machine learning (ML) techniques and the adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) to predict the hourly electricity production in a CCPP. The models were developed using 5-fold cross-validation with the collected features of temperature, exhaust pressure, relative humidity, ambient pressure, and electricity production per hour (the target feature). The hyperparameters of the tested models were optimized. The correlation and determination coefficients of the models were higher than 92%, showing a significant performance. The ANFIS (r = 98% e R2 = 95%) model shows the lowest values in the evaluated error metrics, compared to the other ML models. Finally, the results showed the effectiveness of ANFIS in predicting the hourly production of electricity in CCPP. |
publishDate |
2022 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2022-11-30T13:41:56Z 2022-11-30T13:41:56Z 2022-10-01 |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/TLA.2022.9885166 Ieee Latin America Transactions. Piscataway: Ieee-inst Electrical Electronics Engineers Inc, v. 20, n. 10, p. 2288-2294, 2022. 1548-0992 http://hdl.handle.net/11449/237688 10.1109/TLA.2022.9885166 WOS:000852215100010 |
url |
http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/TLA.2022.9885166 http://hdl.handle.net/11449/237688 |
identifier_str_mv |
Ieee Latin America Transactions. Piscataway: Ieee-inst Electrical Electronics Engineers Inc, v. 20, n. 10, p. 2288-2294, 2022. 1548-0992 10.1109/TLA.2022.9885166 WOS:000852215100010 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
Ieee Latin America Transactions |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
2288-2294 |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Ieee-inst Electrical Electronics Engineers Inc |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Ieee-inst Electrical Electronics Engineers Inc |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
Web of Science reponame:Repositório Institucional da UNESP instname:Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP) instacron:UNESP |
instname_str |
Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP) |
instacron_str |
UNESP |
institution |
UNESP |
reponame_str |
Repositório Institucional da UNESP |
collection |
Repositório Institucional da UNESP |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Repositório Institucional da UNESP - Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP) |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
|
_version_ |
1808129301976973312 |