Investigating spatiotemporal patterns of the Covid-19 in Sao Paulo State, Brazil
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2020 |
Outros Autores: | , , , , , |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | eng |
Título da fonte: | Repositório Institucional da UNESP |
Texto Completo: | http://dx.doi.org/10.4081/gh.2020.925 http://hdl.handle.net/11449/209869 |
Resumo: | As of 16 May 2020, the number of confirmed cases and deaths in Brazil due to Covid-19 hit 233,142 and 15,633, respectively, making the country one of the most affected by the pandemic. The State of Sao Paulo (SSP) hosts the largest number of confirmed cases in Brazil, with over 60,000 cases to date. Here we investigate the spatial distribution and spreading patterns of Covid-19 in the SSP by mapping the spatial autocorrelation and the clustering patterns of the virus in relation to the population density and the number of hospital beds. Clustering analysis indicated that Sao Paulo City is a significant hotspot for both the confirmed cases and deaths, whereas other cities across the state were less affected. Bivariate Moran's I showed a low relationship between the number of deaths and population density, whereas the number of hospital beds was less related, implying that the fatality depends substantially on the actual patients' conditions. Multivariate Local Geary showed a positive relationship between the number of deaths and population density, with two cities near Sao Paulo City being negatively related; the relationship between the number of deaths and hospital beds availability in the Sao Paulo Metropolitan Area was basically positive. Social isolation measures throughout the State of Sao Paulo have been gradually increasing since early March, an action that helped to slow down the emergence of the new confirmed cases, highlighting the importance of the safe-distancing measures in mitigating the local transmission within and between cities in the state. |
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Investigating spatiotemporal patterns of the Covid-19 in Sao Paulo State, BrazilCovid-19biological hazardspatial autocorrelationSao PauloBrazilAs of 16 May 2020, the number of confirmed cases and deaths in Brazil due to Covid-19 hit 233,142 and 15,633, respectively, making the country one of the most affected by the pandemic. The State of Sao Paulo (SSP) hosts the largest number of confirmed cases in Brazil, with over 60,000 cases to date. Here we investigate the spatial distribution and spreading patterns of Covid-19 in the SSP by mapping the spatial autocorrelation and the clustering patterns of the virus in relation to the population density and the number of hospital beds. Clustering analysis indicated that Sao Paulo City is a significant hotspot for both the confirmed cases and deaths, whereas other cities across the state were less affected. Bivariate Moran's I showed a low relationship between the number of deaths and population density, whereas the number of hospital beds was less related, implying that the fatality depends substantially on the actual patients' conditions. Multivariate Local Geary showed a positive relationship between the number of deaths and population density, with two cities near Sao Paulo City being negatively related; the relationship between the number of deaths and hospital beds availability in the Sao Paulo Metropolitan Area was basically positive. Social isolation measures throughout the State of Sao Paulo have been gradually increasing since early March, an action that helped to slow down the emergence of the new confirmed cases, highlighting the importance of the safe-distancing measures in mitigating the local transmission within and between cities in the state.Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq)Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)Sao Paulo State Univ, Inst Sci & Technol, Sao Jose Dos Campos, BrazilSao Paulo State Univ, Fac Sci & Technol, Presidente Prudente, SP, BrazilNanyang Technol Univ, Natl Inst Educ, Singapore, SingaporeFed Inst Educ Sci & Technol State, Castanhal, BrazilUniv Estadual Campinas, Inst Geosci, Campinas, SP, BrazilSao Paulo State Univ, Inst Sci & Technol, Sao Jose Dos Campos, BrazilSao Paulo State Univ, Fac Sci & Technol, Presidente Prudente, SP, BrazilCNPq: 303169/2018-4CNPq: 309712/2017-3CAPES: 88882.317841/2019-01Univ Naples Federico IiUniversidade Estadual Paulista (Unesp)Nanyang Technol UnivFed Inst Educ Sci & Technol StateUniversidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP)Alcantara, Enner [UNESP]Mantovani, Jose [UNESP]Rotta, Luiz [UNESP]Park, EdwardRodrigues, ThananCarvalho, Fernando Campos [UNESP]Souza Filho, Carlos Roberto2021-06-25T12:31:56Z2021-06-25T12:31:56Z2020-01-01info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/article201-209http://dx.doi.org/10.4081/gh.2020.925Geospatial Health. Naples: Univ Naples Federico Ii, v. 15, n. 2, p. 201-209, 2020.1827-1987http://hdl.handle.net/11449/20986910.4081/gh.2020.925WOS:000605982200003Web of Sciencereponame:Repositório Institucional da UNESPinstname:Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP)instacron:UNESPengGeospatial Healthinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess2024-06-18T18:18:15Zoai:repositorio.unesp.br:11449/209869Repositório InstitucionalPUBhttp://repositorio.unesp.br/oai/requestopendoar:29462024-08-05T21:03:55.801286Repositório Institucional da UNESP - Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP)false |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Investigating spatiotemporal patterns of the Covid-19 in Sao Paulo State, Brazil |
title |
Investigating spatiotemporal patterns of the Covid-19 in Sao Paulo State, Brazil |
spellingShingle |
Investigating spatiotemporal patterns of the Covid-19 in Sao Paulo State, Brazil Alcantara, Enner [UNESP] Covid-19 biological hazard spatial autocorrelation Sao Paulo Brazil |
title_short |
Investigating spatiotemporal patterns of the Covid-19 in Sao Paulo State, Brazil |
title_full |
Investigating spatiotemporal patterns of the Covid-19 in Sao Paulo State, Brazil |
title_fullStr |
Investigating spatiotemporal patterns of the Covid-19 in Sao Paulo State, Brazil |
title_full_unstemmed |
Investigating spatiotemporal patterns of the Covid-19 in Sao Paulo State, Brazil |
title_sort |
Investigating spatiotemporal patterns of the Covid-19 in Sao Paulo State, Brazil |
author |
Alcantara, Enner [UNESP] |
author_facet |
Alcantara, Enner [UNESP] Mantovani, Jose [UNESP] Rotta, Luiz [UNESP] Park, Edward Rodrigues, Thanan Carvalho, Fernando Campos [UNESP] Souza Filho, Carlos Roberto |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Mantovani, Jose [UNESP] Rotta, Luiz [UNESP] Park, Edward Rodrigues, Thanan Carvalho, Fernando Campos [UNESP] Souza Filho, Carlos Roberto |
author2_role |
author author author author author author |
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv |
Universidade Estadual Paulista (Unesp) Nanyang Technol Univ Fed Inst Educ Sci & Technol State Universidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP) |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Alcantara, Enner [UNESP] Mantovani, Jose [UNESP] Rotta, Luiz [UNESP] Park, Edward Rodrigues, Thanan Carvalho, Fernando Campos [UNESP] Souza Filho, Carlos Roberto |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Covid-19 biological hazard spatial autocorrelation Sao Paulo Brazil |
topic |
Covid-19 biological hazard spatial autocorrelation Sao Paulo Brazil |
description |
As of 16 May 2020, the number of confirmed cases and deaths in Brazil due to Covid-19 hit 233,142 and 15,633, respectively, making the country one of the most affected by the pandemic. The State of Sao Paulo (SSP) hosts the largest number of confirmed cases in Brazil, with over 60,000 cases to date. Here we investigate the spatial distribution and spreading patterns of Covid-19 in the SSP by mapping the spatial autocorrelation and the clustering patterns of the virus in relation to the population density and the number of hospital beds. Clustering analysis indicated that Sao Paulo City is a significant hotspot for both the confirmed cases and deaths, whereas other cities across the state were less affected. Bivariate Moran's I showed a low relationship between the number of deaths and population density, whereas the number of hospital beds was less related, implying that the fatality depends substantially on the actual patients' conditions. Multivariate Local Geary showed a positive relationship between the number of deaths and population density, with two cities near Sao Paulo City being negatively related; the relationship between the number of deaths and hospital beds availability in the Sao Paulo Metropolitan Area was basically positive. Social isolation measures throughout the State of Sao Paulo have been gradually increasing since early March, an action that helped to slow down the emergence of the new confirmed cases, highlighting the importance of the safe-distancing measures in mitigating the local transmission within and between cities in the state. |
publishDate |
2020 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2020-01-01 2021-06-25T12:31:56Z 2021-06-25T12:31:56Z |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://dx.doi.org/10.4081/gh.2020.925 Geospatial Health. Naples: Univ Naples Federico Ii, v. 15, n. 2, p. 201-209, 2020. 1827-1987 http://hdl.handle.net/11449/209869 10.4081/gh.2020.925 WOS:000605982200003 |
url |
http://dx.doi.org/10.4081/gh.2020.925 http://hdl.handle.net/11449/209869 |
identifier_str_mv |
Geospatial Health. Naples: Univ Naples Federico Ii, v. 15, n. 2, p. 201-209, 2020. 1827-1987 10.4081/gh.2020.925 WOS:000605982200003 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
Geospatial Health |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
201-209 |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Univ Naples Federico Ii |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Univ Naples Federico Ii |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
Web of Science reponame:Repositório Institucional da UNESP instname:Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP) instacron:UNESP |
instname_str |
Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP) |
instacron_str |
UNESP |
institution |
UNESP |
reponame_str |
Repositório Institucional da UNESP |
collection |
Repositório Institucional da UNESP |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Repositório Institucional da UNESP - Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP) |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
|
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1808129280179175424 |