Study of collision probability considering a non-uniform cloud of space debris

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Formiga, Jorge Kennety Silva [UNESP]
Data de Publicação: 2019
Outros Autores: Santos, Denilson Paulo Souza dos [UNESP], Fiore, Fabiana A. [UNESP], de Moraes, Rodolpho Vilhena, Prado, Antonio Fernando Bertachini A.
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: eng
Título da fonte: Repositório Institucional da UNESP
Texto Completo: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s40314-019-0997-z
http://hdl.handle.net/11449/198156
Resumo: The present paper aims to study the cumulative collision probability of a target that crosses a cloud of particles that has the orbital parameters of each individual element modified by a close approach with the Earth. Clouds of this type are formed when natural or man-made bodies explode for some reason. After an explosion like that, the individual particles have different trajectories. The clouds are specified by a non-uniform distribution of semi-major axis and eccentricity of their particles which are assumed to pass close to the Earth, making a close approach that modifies the trajectory of every single particle that belongs to the cloud. This study makes simulations considering separately two different clouds based on the patched conics model to obtain the new trajectories of each particle and to analyze the density of the whole cloud. Then it is possible to map the new distribution of the orbital elements of the fragments that constituted the cloud, using the distribution as initial conditions. After calculating the spatial density for the whole cloud, it is possible to obtain the cumulative collision probability for one space vehicle that crosses the cloud. These pieces of information are important when planning satellite missions where a spacecraft passes close to a cloud of this type, because we can determine values to study the risks of collision and the possible maneuvers that need to be made to avoid them.
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spelling Study of collision probability considering a non-uniform cloud of space debrisClose approachOrbital maneuverSpace debrisSpace trajectoriesThe present paper aims to study the cumulative collision probability of a target that crosses a cloud of particles that has the orbital parameters of each individual element modified by a close approach with the Earth. Clouds of this type are formed when natural or man-made bodies explode for some reason. After an explosion like that, the individual particles have different trajectories. The clouds are specified by a non-uniform distribution of semi-major axis and eccentricity of their particles which are assumed to pass close to the Earth, making a close approach that modifies the trajectory of every single particle that belongs to the cloud. This study makes simulations considering separately two different clouds based on the patched conics model to obtain the new trajectories of each particle and to analyze the density of the whole cloud. Then it is possible to map the new distribution of the orbital elements of the fragments that constituted the cloud, using the distribution as initial conditions. After calculating the spatial density for the whole cloud, it is possible to obtain the cumulative collision probability for one space vehicle that crosses the cloud. These pieces of information are important when planning satellite missions where a spacecraft passes close to a cloud of this type, because we can determine values to study the risks of collision and the possible maneuvers that need to be made to avoid them.Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)Institute of Science and Technology São Paulo State University (UNESP)São Paulo State University (UNESP)Federal University of So Paulo (UNIFESP)SNational Institute for Space Research(INPE)Institute of Science and Technology São Paulo State University (UNESP)São Paulo State University (UNESP)FAPESP: 2016/15675-1FAPESP: 2017/04643-4Universidade Estadual Paulista (Unesp)Universidade Federal de São Paulo (UNIFESP)National Institute for Space Research(INPE)Formiga, Jorge Kennety Silva [UNESP]Santos, Denilson Paulo Souza dos [UNESP]Fiore, Fabiana A. [UNESP]de Moraes, Rodolpho VilhenaPrado, Antonio Fernando Bertachini A.2020-12-12T01:00:43Z2020-12-12T01:00:43Z2019-01-01info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articlehttp://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s40314-019-0997-zComputational and Applied Mathematics, v. 39, n. 1, 2019.1807-03022238-3603http://hdl.handle.net/11449/19815610.1007/s40314-019-0997-z2-s2.0-85075175658990553971561964577409171447574100000-0002-2430-82400000-0003-1289-8332Scopusreponame:Repositório Institucional da UNESPinstname:Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP)instacron:UNESPengComputational and Applied Mathematicsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess2021-10-23T10:26:19Zoai:repositorio.unesp.br:11449/198156Repositório InstitucionalPUBhttp://repositorio.unesp.br/oai/requestopendoar:29462024-08-05T20:16:36.710485Repositório Institucional da UNESP - Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP)false
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Study of collision probability considering a non-uniform cloud of space debris
title Study of collision probability considering a non-uniform cloud of space debris
spellingShingle Study of collision probability considering a non-uniform cloud of space debris
Formiga, Jorge Kennety Silva [UNESP]
Close approach
Orbital maneuver
Space debris
Space trajectories
title_short Study of collision probability considering a non-uniform cloud of space debris
title_full Study of collision probability considering a non-uniform cloud of space debris
title_fullStr Study of collision probability considering a non-uniform cloud of space debris
title_full_unstemmed Study of collision probability considering a non-uniform cloud of space debris
title_sort Study of collision probability considering a non-uniform cloud of space debris
author Formiga, Jorge Kennety Silva [UNESP]
author_facet Formiga, Jorge Kennety Silva [UNESP]
Santos, Denilson Paulo Souza dos [UNESP]
Fiore, Fabiana A. [UNESP]
de Moraes, Rodolpho Vilhena
Prado, Antonio Fernando Bertachini A.
author_role author
author2 Santos, Denilson Paulo Souza dos [UNESP]
Fiore, Fabiana A. [UNESP]
de Moraes, Rodolpho Vilhena
Prado, Antonio Fernando Bertachini A.
author2_role author
author
author
author
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv Universidade Estadual Paulista (Unesp)
Universidade Federal de São Paulo (UNIFESP)
National Institute for Space Research(INPE)
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Formiga, Jorge Kennety Silva [UNESP]
Santos, Denilson Paulo Souza dos [UNESP]
Fiore, Fabiana A. [UNESP]
de Moraes, Rodolpho Vilhena
Prado, Antonio Fernando Bertachini A.
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Close approach
Orbital maneuver
Space debris
Space trajectories
topic Close approach
Orbital maneuver
Space debris
Space trajectories
description The present paper aims to study the cumulative collision probability of a target that crosses a cloud of particles that has the orbital parameters of each individual element modified by a close approach with the Earth. Clouds of this type are formed when natural or man-made bodies explode for some reason. After an explosion like that, the individual particles have different trajectories. The clouds are specified by a non-uniform distribution of semi-major axis and eccentricity of their particles which are assumed to pass close to the Earth, making a close approach that modifies the trajectory of every single particle that belongs to the cloud. This study makes simulations considering separately two different clouds based on the patched conics model to obtain the new trajectories of each particle and to analyze the density of the whole cloud. Then it is possible to map the new distribution of the orbital elements of the fragments that constituted the cloud, using the distribution as initial conditions. After calculating the spatial density for the whole cloud, it is possible to obtain the cumulative collision probability for one space vehicle that crosses the cloud. These pieces of information are important when planning satellite missions where a spacecraft passes close to a cloud of this type, because we can determine values to study the risks of collision and the possible maneuvers that need to be made to avoid them.
publishDate 2019
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2019-01-01
2020-12-12T01:00:43Z
2020-12-12T01:00:43Z
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s40314-019-0997-z
Computational and Applied Mathematics, v. 39, n. 1, 2019.
1807-0302
2238-3603
http://hdl.handle.net/11449/198156
10.1007/s40314-019-0997-z
2-s2.0-85075175658
9905539715619645
7740917144757410
0000-0002-2430-8240
0000-0003-1289-8332
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s40314-019-0997-z
http://hdl.handle.net/11449/198156
identifier_str_mv Computational and Applied Mathematics, v. 39, n. 1, 2019.
1807-0302
2238-3603
10.1007/s40314-019-0997-z
2-s2.0-85075175658
9905539715619645
7740917144757410
0000-0002-2430-8240
0000-0003-1289-8332
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv Computational and Applied Mathematics
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv Scopus
reponame:Repositório Institucional da UNESP
instname:Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP)
instacron:UNESP
instname_str Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP)
instacron_str UNESP
institution UNESP
reponame_str Repositório Institucional da UNESP
collection Repositório Institucional da UNESP
repository.name.fl_str_mv Repositório Institucional da UNESP - Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP)
repository.mail.fl_str_mv
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