Stochastic economic analysis of investment projects in forest restoration involving containerized tree seedlings in brazil
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2021 |
Outros Autores: | , , , |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | eng |
Título da fonte: | Repositório Institucional da UNESP |
Texto Completo: | http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/f12101381 http://hdl.handle.net/11449/229754 |
Resumo: | Background: Experts in ecological restoration have discussed the cost reduction to make forest restoration financially feasible. This is very important in developing countries, such as Brazil, and for smallholder farmers; however, economic studies do not usually consider the uncertainties in their analysis. Therefore, this study aimed to analyze, under conditions of uncertainty, how tropical tree seedlings produced in polyethylene bags, polyethylene tubes, and biodegradable containers (Ellepot®) interfere with the costs of implementation and post-planting maintenance investment projects in a deforested tropical seasonal forest area in southern Brazil. Methods: We evaluated total costs, production costs, and equivalent annual uniform costs, and the probability distributions and estimated ranges of stochastic values were adjusted through Monte Carlo method simulation. Furthermore, the seedling survival rate was recorded over 12 months post-planting. Results: The costs with tree seedling acquisition and direct labor were the components that most impacted total costs in the three investment projects. The forest restoration investment project with tree seedlings produced in polyethylene bags was economically unfeasible in relation to other projects. Conclusions: The best economic alternative was observed in the investment project with tree seedlings produced in Ellepot®, which showed a survival rate >80% after one year and the lowest total cost, production cost, and equivalent uniform annual cost. |
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Repositório Institucional da UNESP |
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Stochastic economic analysis of investment projects in forest restoration involving containerized tree seedlings in brazilAtlantic ForestCostDegradable containerPolyethylene bagPolyethylene tubeUncertaintiesBackground: Experts in ecological restoration have discussed the cost reduction to make forest restoration financially feasible. This is very important in developing countries, such as Brazil, and for smallholder farmers; however, economic studies do not usually consider the uncertainties in their analysis. Therefore, this study aimed to analyze, under conditions of uncertainty, how tropical tree seedlings produced in polyethylene bags, polyethylene tubes, and biodegradable containers (Ellepot®) interfere with the costs of implementation and post-planting maintenance investment projects in a deforested tropical seasonal forest area in southern Brazil. Methods: We evaluated total costs, production costs, and equivalent annual uniform costs, and the probability distributions and estimated ranges of stochastic values were adjusted through Monte Carlo method simulation. Furthermore, the seedling survival rate was recorded over 12 months post-planting. Results: The costs with tree seedling acquisition and direct labor were the components that most impacted total costs in the three investment projects. The forest restoration investment project with tree seedlings produced in polyethylene bags was economically unfeasible in relation to other projects. Conclusions: The best economic alternative was observed in the investment project with tree seedlings produced in Ellepot®, which showed a survival rate >80% after one year and the lowest total cost, production cost, and equivalent uniform annual cost.Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)Universidade Estadual PaulistaBanco Nacional de Desenvolvimento Econômico e SocialCampus of Itapeva São Paulo State University (UNESP)School of Agriculture São Paulo State University (UNESP)Campus of Itapeva São Paulo State University (UNESP)School of Agriculture São Paulo State University (UNESP)Banco Nacional de Desenvolvimento Econômico e Social: 17207111Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP)Simões, Danilo [UNESP]Gil, Jean Fernando Silva [UNESP]da Silva, Richardson Barbosa Gomes [UNESP]Munis, Rafaele Almeida [UNESP]da Silva, Magali Ribeiro [UNESP]2022-04-29T08:35:38Z2022-04-29T08:35:38Z2021-10-01info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articlehttp://dx.doi.org/10.3390/f12101381Forests, v. 12, n. 10, 2021.1999-4907http://hdl.handle.net/11449/22975410.3390/f121013812-s2.0-85117512256Scopusreponame:Repositório Institucional da UNESPinstname:Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP)instacron:UNESPengForestsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess2022-04-29T08:35:38Zoai:repositorio.unesp.br:11449/229754Repositório InstitucionalPUBhttp://repositorio.unesp.br/oai/requestopendoar:29462024-08-05T19:35:02.032059Repositório Institucional da UNESP - Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP)false |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Stochastic economic analysis of investment projects in forest restoration involving containerized tree seedlings in brazil |
title |
Stochastic economic analysis of investment projects in forest restoration involving containerized tree seedlings in brazil |
spellingShingle |
Stochastic economic analysis of investment projects in forest restoration involving containerized tree seedlings in brazil Simões, Danilo [UNESP] Atlantic Forest Cost Degradable container Polyethylene bag Polyethylene tube Uncertainties |
title_short |
Stochastic economic analysis of investment projects in forest restoration involving containerized tree seedlings in brazil |
title_full |
Stochastic economic analysis of investment projects in forest restoration involving containerized tree seedlings in brazil |
title_fullStr |
Stochastic economic analysis of investment projects in forest restoration involving containerized tree seedlings in brazil |
title_full_unstemmed |
Stochastic economic analysis of investment projects in forest restoration involving containerized tree seedlings in brazil |
title_sort |
Stochastic economic analysis of investment projects in forest restoration involving containerized tree seedlings in brazil |
author |
Simões, Danilo [UNESP] |
author_facet |
Simões, Danilo [UNESP] Gil, Jean Fernando Silva [UNESP] da Silva, Richardson Barbosa Gomes [UNESP] Munis, Rafaele Almeida [UNESP] da Silva, Magali Ribeiro [UNESP] |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Gil, Jean Fernando Silva [UNESP] da Silva, Richardson Barbosa Gomes [UNESP] Munis, Rafaele Almeida [UNESP] da Silva, Magali Ribeiro [UNESP] |
author2_role |
author author author author |
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv |
Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP) |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Simões, Danilo [UNESP] Gil, Jean Fernando Silva [UNESP] da Silva, Richardson Barbosa Gomes [UNESP] Munis, Rafaele Almeida [UNESP] da Silva, Magali Ribeiro [UNESP] |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Atlantic Forest Cost Degradable container Polyethylene bag Polyethylene tube Uncertainties |
topic |
Atlantic Forest Cost Degradable container Polyethylene bag Polyethylene tube Uncertainties |
description |
Background: Experts in ecological restoration have discussed the cost reduction to make forest restoration financially feasible. This is very important in developing countries, such as Brazil, and for smallholder farmers; however, economic studies do not usually consider the uncertainties in their analysis. Therefore, this study aimed to analyze, under conditions of uncertainty, how tropical tree seedlings produced in polyethylene bags, polyethylene tubes, and biodegradable containers (Ellepot®) interfere with the costs of implementation and post-planting maintenance investment projects in a deforested tropical seasonal forest area in southern Brazil. Methods: We evaluated total costs, production costs, and equivalent annual uniform costs, and the probability distributions and estimated ranges of stochastic values were adjusted through Monte Carlo method simulation. Furthermore, the seedling survival rate was recorded over 12 months post-planting. Results: The costs with tree seedling acquisition and direct labor were the components that most impacted total costs in the three investment projects. The forest restoration investment project with tree seedlings produced in polyethylene bags was economically unfeasible in relation to other projects. Conclusions: The best economic alternative was observed in the investment project with tree seedlings produced in Ellepot®, which showed a survival rate >80% after one year and the lowest total cost, production cost, and equivalent uniform annual cost. |
publishDate |
2021 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2021-10-01 2022-04-29T08:35:38Z 2022-04-29T08:35:38Z |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/f12101381 Forests, v. 12, n. 10, 2021. 1999-4907 http://hdl.handle.net/11449/229754 10.3390/f12101381 2-s2.0-85117512256 |
url |
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/f12101381 http://hdl.handle.net/11449/229754 |
identifier_str_mv |
Forests, v. 12, n. 10, 2021. 1999-4907 10.3390/f12101381 2-s2.0-85117512256 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
Forests |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
Scopus reponame:Repositório Institucional da UNESP instname:Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP) instacron:UNESP |
instname_str |
Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP) |
instacron_str |
UNESP |
institution |
UNESP |
reponame_str |
Repositório Institucional da UNESP |
collection |
Repositório Institucional da UNESP |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Repositório Institucional da UNESP - Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP) |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
|
_version_ |
1808129089195737088 |