Chronological Monte Carlo-based assessment of distribution system reliability
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2006 |
Outros Autores: | , , , , , |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo de conferência |
Idioma: | eng |
Título da fonte: | Repositório Institucional da UNESP |
Texto Completo: | http://hdl.handle.net/11449/194665 |
Resumo: | Regulatory authorities in many countries, in order to maintain an acceptable balance between appropriate customer service qualities and costs, are introducing a performance-based regulation. These regulations impose penalties, and in some cases rewards, which introduce a component of financial risk to an electric power utility due to the uncertainty associated with preserving a specific level of system reliability. In Brazil, for instance, one of the reliability indices receiving special attention by the utilities is the Maximum Continuous Interruption Duration per customer (MCID). This paper describes a chronological Monte Carlo simulation approach to evaluate probability distributions of reliability indices, including the MCID, and the corresponding penalties. In order to get the desired efficiency, modern computational techniques are used for modeling (UML - Unified Modeling Language) as well as for programming (Object- Oriented Programming). Case studies on a simple distribution network and on real Brazilian distribution systems are presented and discussed. |
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Chronological Monte Carlo-based assessment of distribution system reliabilitydistribution reliabilityobject-oriented programmingMarkov chainsMonte Carlo simulationRegulatory authorities in many countries, in order to maintain an acceptable balance between appropriate customer service qualities and costs, are introducing a performance-based regulation. These regulations impose penalties, and in some cases rewards, which introduce a component of financial risk to an electric power utility due to the uncertainty associated with preserving a specific level of system reliability. In Brazil, for instance, one of the reliability indices receiving special attention by the utilities is the Maximum Continuous Interruption Duration per customer (MCID). This paper describes a chronological Monte Carlo simulation approach to evaluate probability distributions of reliability indices, including the MCID, and the corresponding penalties. In order to get the desired efficiency, modern computational techniques are used for modeling (UML - Unified Modeling Language) as well as for programming (Object- Oriented Programming). Case studies on a simple distribution network and on real Brazilian distribution systems are presented and discussed.Fed Univ, Power Syst Eng Grp, Itajuba, MG, BrazilSao Paulo State Univ, UNESP, Guaratingueta, SP, BrazilCEMIG, Expans Planing Dept, Belo Horizonte, MG, BrazilSao Paulo State Univ, UNESP, Guaratingueta, SP, BrazilIeeeFed UnivUniversidade Estadual Paulista (Unesp)CEMIGLeite da Silva, Armando M.Cassula, Agnelo M. [UNESP]Nascimento, Luiz C.Freire, Jose C. [UNESP]Sacramento, Cleber E.Guimaraes, Ana Carolina R.IEEE2020-12-10T16:33:43Z2020-12-10T16:33:43Z2006-01-01info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/conferenceObject1165-11712006 International Conference On Probabilistic Methods Applied To Power Systems, Vols 1 And 2. New York: Ieee, p. 1165-1171, 2006.http://hdl.handle.net/11449/194665WOS:000246355900182Web of Sciencereponame:Repositório Institucional da UNESPinstname:Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP)instacron:UNESPeng2006 International Conference On Probabilistic Methods Applied To Power Systems, Vols 1 And 2info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess2021-10-22T19:57:48Zoai:repositorio.unesp.br:11449/194665Repositório InstitucionalPUBhttp://repositorio.unesp.br/oai/requestopendoar:29462024-08-05T22:02:01.813627Repositório Institucional da UNESP - Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP)false |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Chronological Monte Carlo-based assessment of distribution system reliability |
title |
Chronological Monte Carlo-based assessment of distribution system reliability |
spellingShingle |
Chronological Monte Carlo-based assessment of distribution system reliability Leite da Silva, Armando M. distribution reliability object-oriented programming Markov chains Monte Carlo simulation |
title_short |
Chronological Monte Carlo-based assessment of distribution system reliability |
title_full |
Chronological Monte Carlo-based assessment of distribution system reliability |
title_fullStr |
Chronological Monte Carlo-based assessment of distribution system reliability |
title_full_unstemmed |
Chronological Monte Carlo-based assessment of distribution system reliability |
title_sort |
Chronological Monte Carlo-based assessment of distribution system reliability |
author |
Leite da Silva, Armando M. |
author_facet |
Leite da Silva, Armando M. Cassula, Agnelo M. [UNESP] Nascimento, Luiz C. Freire, Jose C. [UNESP] Sacramento, Cleber E. Guimaraes, Ana Carolina R. IEEE |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Cassula, Agnelo M. [UNESP] Nascimento, Luiz C. Freire, Jose C. [UNESP] Sacramento, Cleber E. Guimaraes, Ana Carolina R. IEEE |
author2_role |
author author author author author author |
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv |
Fed Univ Universidade Estadual Paulista (Unesp) CEMIG |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Leite da Silva, Armando M. Cassula, Agnelo M. [UNESP] Nascimento, Luiz C. Freire, Jose C. [UNESP] Sacramento, Cleber E. Guimaraes, Ana Carolina R. IEEE |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
distribution reliability object-oriented programming Markov chains Monte Carlo simulation |
topic |
distribution reliability object-oriented programming Markov chains Monte Carlo simulation |
description |
Regulatory authorities in many countries, in order to maintain an acceptable balance between appropriate customer service qualities and costs, are introducing a performance-based regulation. These regulations impose penalties, and in some cases rewards, which introduce a component of financial risk to an electric power utility due to the uncertainty associated with preserving a specific level of system reliability. In Brazil, for instance, one of the reliability indices receiving special attention by the utilities is the Maximum Continuous Interruption Duration per customer (MCID). This paper describes a chronological Monte Carlo simulation approach to evaluate probability distributions of reliability indices, including the MCID, and the corresponding penalties. In order to get the desired efficiency, modern computational techniques are used for modeling (UML - Unified Modeling Language) as well as for programming (Object- Oriented Programming). Case studies on a simple distribution network and on real Brazilian distribution systems are presented and discussed. |
publishDate |
2006 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2006-01-01 2020-12-10T16:33:43Z 2020-12-10T16:33:43Z |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/conferenceObject |
format |
conferenceObject |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
2006 International Conference On Probabilistic Methods Applied To Power Systems, Vols 1 And 2. New York: Ieee, p. 1165-1171, 2006. http://hdl.handle.net/11449/194665 WOS:000246355900182 |
identifier_str_mv |
2006 International Conference On Probabilistic Methods Applied To Power Systems, Vols 1 And 2. New York: Ieee, p. 1165-1171, 2006. WOS:000246355900182 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/11449/194665 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
2006 International Conference On Probabilistic Methods Applied To Power Systems, Vols 1 And 2 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
1165-1171 |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Ieee |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Ieee |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
Web of Science reponame:Repositório Institucional da UNESP instname:Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP) instacron:UNESP |
instname_str |
Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP) |
instacron_str |
UNESP |
institution |
UNESP |
reponame_str |
Repositório Institucional da UNESP |
collection |
Repositório Institucional da UNESP |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Repositório Institucional da UNESP - Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP) |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
|
_version_ |
1808129384959180800 |