Development of a mixed model using generalized renewal processes and the weibull distribution
Autor(a) principal: | |
---|---|
Data de Publicação: | 2016 |
Tipo de documento: | Tese |
Idioma: | eng |
Título da fonte: | Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da UFRPE |
Texto Completo: | http://www.tede2.ufrpe.br:8080/tede2/handle/tede2/7248 |
Resumo: | In order to analyze interventions in repairable systems, the literature contains several methodologies aiming to model the behavior of times between interventions. Such interventions can be modeled by Point Stochastic Processes in order to analyze the probabilistic behavior of times between events. Specifically, the Generalized Renewal Processes allow the study of times between interventions by measuring the quality of each intervention and the response of the system to these interventions — this is done by using the concept of virtual age. In such concept it is possible to apply two kinds of Kijima models (Type I and II). Therefore, this work presents a model capable of study the quality of interventions using up of a mix between the two Kijima models where it is possible to capture the performance on each of these interventions proportionally. Specifically, a new approach to virtual age of Kijima models is presented as well as mathematical properties of the Generalized Renewal Process using the Weibull distribution probability. Finally, the applicability of the model is checked in real data from some problems found in the literature. |
id |
URPE_24bbd0cc75cb2448c937933f9387ae5d |
---|---|
oai_identifier_str |
oai:tede2:tede2/7248 |
network_acronym_str |
URPE |
network_name_str |
Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da UFRPE |
repository_id_str |
|
spelling |
CRISTINO, Cláudio TadeuFIRMINO, Paulo Renato AlvesLINS, Isis DidierMOURA, Márcio José das ChagasFIRMINO, Paulo Renato AlvesSILVA, Rodrigo Bernardo dahttp://lattes.cnpq.br/7953720608673612FERREIRA, Ricardo José2018-05-15T13:58:25Z2016-01-29FERREIRA, Ricardo José. Development of a mixed model using generalized renewal processes and the weibull distribution. 2016. 56 f. Tese (Programa de Pós-Graduação em Biometria e Estatística Aplicada) - Universidade Federal Rural de Pernambuco, Recife.http://www.tede2.ufrpe.br:8080/tede2/handle/tede2/7248In order to analyze interventions in repairable systems, the literature contains several methodologies aiming to model the behavior of times between interventions. Such interventions can be modeled by Point Stochastic Processes in order to analyze the probabilistic behavior of times between events. Specifically, the Generalized Renewal Processes allow the study of times between interventions by measuring the quality of each intervention and the response of the system to these interventions — this is done by using the concept of virtual age. In such concept it is possible to apply two kinds of Kijima models (Type I and II). Therefore, this work presents a model capable of study the quality of interventions using up of a mix between the two Kijima models where it is possible to capture the performance on each of these interventions proportionally. Specifically, a new approach to virtual age of Kijima models is presented as well as mathematical properties of the Generalized Renewal Process using the Weibull distribution probability. Finally, the applicability of the model is checked in real data from some problems found in the literature.Para analisar intervenções em sistemas reparáveis, a literatura apresenta diversas metodologias visando modelar o comportamento de tempos entre intervenções. Tais intervenções podem ser modeladas por Processos Estocásticos Pontuais visando analisar o comportamento probabilístico dos tempos entre eventos. Especificamente, os Processos de Renovação Generalizados permitem o estudo de tempos entre intervenções medindo a qualidade de impacto de cada intervenção e a resposta do sistema a tais intervenções - isto é feito utilizando o conceito de idade virtual. Em tal conceito é possível se aplicar dois tipos de modelos Kijima (tipo I e II).Sendo assim, esse trabalho apresenta um modelo capaz de estudar a qualidade de intervenções utilizando-se de uma mistura entre os dois modelos Kijima onde é possível capturar a atuação de cada um desses sobre as intervenções proporcionalmente. Especificamente, uma nova abordagem sobre a idade virtual dos modelos Kijima é apresentada, bem como propriedades matemáticas dos Processos de Renovação Generalizados utilizando a distribuição de probabilidadeWeibull. Por fim, a aplicabilidade do modelo é verificada em dados reais de alguns problemas presentes na literatura.Submitted by Mario BC (mario@bc.ufrpe.br) on 2018-05-15T13:58:25Z No. of bitstreams: 1 Ricardo Jose Ferreira.pdf: 1514159 bytes, checksum: 365dd17d70da575c6399efe53acf1631 (MD5)Made available in DSpace on 2018-05-15T13:58:25Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 Ricardo Jose Ferreira.pdf: 1514159 bytes, checksum: 365dd17d70da575c6399efe53acf1631 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2016-01-29application/pdfengUniversidade Federal Rural de PernambucoPrograma de Pós-Graduação em Biometria e Estatística AplicadaUFRPEBrasilDepartamento de Estatística e InformáticaSistema reparávelModelos KijimaCIENCIAS EXATAS E DA TERRA::PROBABILIDADE E ESTATISTICADevelopment of a mixed model using generalized renewal processes and the weibull distributioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/doctoralThesis768382242446187918600600600-6774555140396120501-5836407828185143517info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da UFRPEinstname:Universidade Federal Rural de Pernambuco (UFRPE)instacron:UFRPEORIGINALRicardo Jose Ferreira.pdfRicardo Jose Ferreira.pdfapplication/pdf1514159http://www.tede2.ufrpe.br:8080/tede2/bitstream/tede2/7248/2/Ricardo+Jose+Ferreira.pdf365dd17d70da575c6399efe53acf1631MD52LICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-82165http://www.tede2.ufrpe.br:8080/tede2/bitstream/tede2/7248/1/license.txtbd3efa91386c1718a7f26a329fdcb468MD51tede2/72482018-05-15 10:58:25.936oai:tede2: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Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertaçõeshttp://www.tede2.ufrpe.br:8080/tede/PUBhttp://www.tede2.ufrpe.br:8080/oai/requestbdtd@ufrpe.br ||bdtd@ufrpe.bropendoar:2024-05-28T12:35:24.094215Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da UFRPE - Universidade Federal Rural de Pernambuco (UFRPE)false |
dc.title.por.fl_str_mv |
Development of a mixed model using generalized renewal processes and the weibull distribution |
title |
Development of a mixed model using generalized renewal processes and the weibull distribution |
spellingShingle |
Development of a mixed model using generalized renewal processes and the weibull distribution FERREIRA, Ricardo José Sistema reparável Modelos Kijima CIENCIAS EXATAS E DA TERRA::PROBABILIDADE E ESTATISTICA |
title_short |
Development of a mixed model using generalized renewal processes and the weibull distribution |
title_full |
Development of a mixed model using generalized renewal processes and the weibull distribution |
title_fullStr |
Development of a mixed model using generalized renewal processes and the weibull distribution |
title_full_unstemmed |
Development of a mixed model using generalized renewal processes and the weibull distribution |
title_sort |
Development of a mixed model using generalized renewal processes and the weibull distribution |
author |
FERREIRA, Ricardo José |
author_facet |
FERREIRA, Ricardo José |
author_role |
author |
dc.contributor.advisor1.fl_str_mv |
CRISTINO, Cláudio Tadeu |
dc.contributor.advisor-co1.fl_str_mv |
FIRMINO, Paulo Renato Alves |
dc.contributor.referee1.fl_str_mv |
LINS, Isis Didier |
dc.contributor.referee2.fl_str_mv |
MOURA, Márcio José das Chagas |
dc.contributor.referee3.fl_str_mv |
FIRMINO, Paulo Renato Alves |
dc.contributor.referee4.fl_str_mv |
SILVA, Rodrigo Bernardo da |
dc.contributor.authorLattes.fl_str_mv |
http://lattes.cnpq.br/7953720608673612 |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
FERREIRA, Ricardo José |
contributor_str_mv |
CRISTINO, Cláudio Tadeu FIRMINO, Paulo Renato Alves LINS, Isis Didier MOURA, Márcio José das Chagas FIRMINO, Paulo Renato Alves SILVA, Rodrigo Bernardo da |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Sistema reparável Modelos Kijima |
topic |
Sistema reparável Modelos Kijima CIENCIAS EXATAS E DA TERRA::PROBABILIDADE E ESTATISTICA |
dc.subject.cnpq.fl_str_mv |
CIENCIAS EXATAS E DA TERRA::PROBABILIDADE E ESTATISTICA |
description |
In order to analyze interventions in repairable systems, the literature contains several methodologies aiming to model the behavior of times between interventions. Such interventions can be modeled by Point Stochastic Processes in order to analyze the probabilistic behavior of times between events. Specifically, the Generalized Renewal Processes allow the study of times between interventions by measuring the quality of each intervention and the response of the system to these interventions — this is done by using the concept of virtual age. In such concept it is possible to apply two kinds of Kijima models (Type I and II). Therefore, this work presents a model capable of study the quality of interventions using up of a mix between the two Kijima models where it is possible to capture the performance on each of these interventions proportionally. Specifically, a new approach to virtual age of Kijima models is presented as well as mathematical properties of the Generalized Renewal Process using the Weibull distribution probability. Finally, the applicability of the model is checked in real data from some problems found in the literature. |
publishDate |
2016 |
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv |
2016-01-29 |
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv |
2018-05-15T13:58:25Z |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/doctoralThesis |
format |
doctoralThesis |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.citation.fl_str_mv |
FERREIRA, Ricardo José. Development of a mixed model using generalized renewal processes and the weibull distribution. 2016. 56 f. Tese (Programa de Pós-Graduação em Biometria e Estatística Aplicada) - Universidade Federal Rural de Pernambuco, Recife. |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://www.tede2.ufrpe.br:8080/tede2/handle/tede2/7248 |
identifier_str_mv |
FERREIRA, Ricardo José. Development of a mixed model using generalized renewal processes and the weibull distribution. 2016. 56 f. Tese (Programa de Pós-Graduação em Biometria e Estatística Aplicada) - Universidade Federal Rural de Pernambuco, Recife. |
url |
http://www.tede2.ufrpe.br:8080/tede2/handle/tede2/7248 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.program.fl_str_mv |
768382242446187918 |
dc.relation.confidence.fl_str_mv |
600 600 600 |
dc.relation.department.fl_str_mv |
-6774555140396120501 |
dc.relation.cnpq.fl_str_mv |
-5836407828185143517 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Universidade Federal Rural de Pernambuco |
dc.publisher.program.fl_str_mv |
Programa de Pós-Graduação em Biometria e Estatística Aplicada |
dc.publisher.initials.fl_str_mv |
UFRPE |
dc.publisher.country.fl_str_mv |
Brasil |
dc.publisher.department.fl_str_mv |
Departamento de Estatística e Informática |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Universidade Federal Rural de Pernambuco |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
reponame:Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da UFRPE instname:Universidade Federal Rural de Pernambuco (UFRPE) instacron:UFRPE |
instname_str |
Universidade Federal Rural de Pernambuco (UFRPE) |
instacron_str |
UFRPE |
institution |
UFRPE |
reponame_str |
Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da UFRPE |
collection |
Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da UFRPE |
bitstream.url.fl_str_mv |
http://www.tede2.ufrpe.br:8080/tede2/bitstream/tede2/7248/2/Ricardo+Jose+Ferreira.pdf http://www.tede2.ufrpe.br:8080/tede2/bitstream/tede2/7248/1/license.txt |
bitstream.checksum.fl_str_mv |
365dd17d70da575c6399efe53acf1631 bd3efa91386c1718a7f26a329fdcb468 |
bitstream.checksumAlgorithm.fl_str_mv |
MD5 MD5 |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da UFRPE - Universidade Federal Rural de Pernambuco (UFRPE) |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
bdtd@ufrpe.br ||bdtd@ufrpe.br |
_version_ |
1810102247741194240 |