Simulação de sistemas agrícolas com uso do modelo Aquacrop parametrizado para culturas forrageiras em ambiente semiárido
Autor(a) principal: | |
---|---|
Data de Publicação: | 2022 |
Tipo de documento: | Tese |
Idioma: | por |
Título da fonte: | Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da UFRPE |
Texto Completo: | http://www.tede2.ufrpe.br:8080/tede2/handle/tede2/9069 |
Resumo: | Knowledge of the best strategies for agricultural crops to meet the demand for food from livestock in a semiarid environment is essential, especially in periods of water scarcity. With this, the objective of the study was to calibrate and validate the AquaCrop model for simulating productive arrangements of forage crops, indicating parameters of practical applications and providing production perspectives for different locations in the Brazilian semiarid region. The model was calibrated and validated in agricultural areas located in Serra Talhada - PE, during the period from 2019 to 2020. 29 agricultural arrangements were simulated with forage crops such as forage cactus clones and sorghum varieties. Throughout the cycle, biometric and plant biomass data, information on soil conditions and management, variability of climate conditions, irrigation depths and levels of agricultural management were collected. The consistency of the parameterization of the AquaCrop model was performed through the analysis of statistical parameters (RMSE, NRMSE, R2, R, d and c). Consecutively, the parameterized model was expanded to estimate the biomass production and agricultural calendar for 14 locations representative of the semiarid region, considering their respective soil characteristics and historical meteorological variables (1961 - 2018). Thus, it was found that the AquaCrop model resulted in permissible errors in predicting the productivity of the evaluated agricultural systems, presenting a very good performance (c > 0.80) and a coefficient of determination (R2) greater than 0.80. The risk of losses increases when cultivation is carried out under rainfed conditions and decreases when irrigated. It was concluded that the AquaCrop model is an effective tool in predicting forage production and productive arrangements for the Brazilian semiarid region, with direct application in the indication of productive arrangements with better responses and aid in the elaboration of the agricultural calendar, planning and decision-making. However, additional investigations are needed to optimize the model applied to forage crops, integrating biotic factors in the simulations, in addition to different cropping arrangements. |
id |
URPE_f5c7d1cdacee1ec721767b624285452c |
---|---|
oai_identifier_str |
oai:tede2:tede2/9069 |
network_acronym_str |
URPE |
network_name_str |
Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da UFRPE |
repository_id_str |
|
spelling |
SILVA, Thieres George Freire daLOPES, Daniela de CarvalhoSTEIDLE NETO, Antônio JoséMORAIS, José Edson Florentino deSOUZA, Luciana Sandra Bastos dehttp://lattes.cnpq.br/3512744814845792PINHEIRO, Antonio Gebson2023-06-13T16:39:40Z2022-08-31PINHEIRO, Antonio Gebson. Simulação de sistemas agrícolas com uso do modelo Aquacrop parametrizado para culturas forrageiras em ambiente semiárido. 2022. 170 f. Tese (Programa de Pós-Graduação em Engenharia Agrícola) - Universidade Federal Rural de Pernambuco, Recife.http://www.tede2.ufrpe.br:8080/tede2/handle/tede2/9069Knowledge of the best strategies for agricultural crops to meet the demand for food from livestock in a semiarid environment is essential, especially in periods of water scarcity. With this, the objective of the study was to calibrate and validate the AquaCrop model for simulating productive arrangements of forage crops, indicating parameters of practical applications and providing production perspectives for different locations in the Brazilian semiarid region. The model was calibrated and validated in agricultural areas located in Serra Talhada - PE, during the period from 2019 to 2020. 29 agricultural arrangements were simulated with forage crops such as forage cactus clones and sorghum varieties. Throughout the cycle, biometric and plant biomass data, information on soil conditions and management, variability of climate conditions, irrigation depths and levels of agricultural management were collected. The consistency of the parameterization of the AquaCrop model was performed through the analysis of statistical parameters (RMSE, NRMSE, R2, R, d and c). Consecutively, the parameterized model was expanded to estimate the biomass production and agricultural calendar for 14 locations representative of the semiarid region, considering their respective soil characteristics and historical meteorological variables (1961 - 2018). Thus, it was found that the AquaCrop model resulted in permissible errors in predicting the productivity of the evaluated agricultural systems, presenting a very good performance (c > 0.80) and a coefficient of determination (R2) greater than 0.80. The risk of losses increases when cultivation is carried out under rainfed conditions and decreases when irrigated. It was concluded that the AquaCrop model is an effective tool in predicting forage production and productive arrangements for the Brazilian semiarid region, with direct application in the indication of productive arrangements with better responses and aid in the elaboration of the agricultural calendar, planning and decision-making. However, additional investigations are needed to optimize the model applied to forage crops, integrating biotic factors in the simulations, in addition to different cropping arrangements.O conhecimento das melhores estratégias de cultivos agrícola para fins de suprir a demanda de alimentos da pecuária em ambiente semiárido é fundamental, principalmente em períodos de escassez hídrica. Com isso, o objetivo do estudo foi calibrar e validar o modelo AquaCrop para simulação de arranjos produtivos de culturas forrageiras, indicando parâmetros de aplicações práticas e proporcionando perspectivas de produções para diferentes localidades no semiárido brasileiro. O modelo foi calibrado e validado em áreas agrícolas localizadas em Serra Talhada – PE, durante o período de 2019 a 2020. Foram simulados 29 arranjos agrícolas com cultivos de forrageiras como clones de palma forrageira e variedades de sorgo. Ao longo do ciclo foram coletados dados biométricos e de biomassa das plantas, informações sobre as condições e manejo do solo, variabilidade das condições climáticas, lâminas de irrigação e níveis de manejo agrícola. A consistência da parametrização do modelo AquaCrop foi realizada mediante análise de parâmetros estatísticos (RMSE, NRMSE, R2, R, d e c). Consecutivamente, o modelo parametrizado foi expandido na estimativa da produção de biomassa e calendário agrícola para 14 localizadas representativas do semiárido, considerando suas respectivas características de solo e variáveis meteorológicas históricas (1961 – 2018). Com isso, constatou-se que o modelo AquaCrop resultou em erros admissíveis na predição da produtividade dos sistemas agrícolas avaliados, apresentando desempenho muito bom (c > 0,80) e coeficiente de determinação (R2) superior a 0,80. Os riscos de perdas aumentam quando o cultivo é realizado em condições de sequeiro e diminuem quando irrigado. Concluiu-se que o modelo AquaCrop é uma ferramenta eficaz na predição da produção de forrageiras e arranjos produtivos para o semiárido brasileiro, com aplicação direta na indicação de arranjos produtivos com melhores respostas e auxílio na elaboração do calendário agrícola, planejamento e tomadas de decisões. Contudo, investigações adicionais são necessárias na otimização do modelo aplicado a cultivos de forrageiras, integrando fatores bióticos nas simulações, além de diferentes arranjos de cultivos.Submitted by (ana.araujo@ufrpe.br) on 2023-06-13T16:39:40Z No. of bitstreams: 1 Antonio Gebson Pinheiro.pdf: 4696737 bytes, checksum: e1b460a4fdc471ee04640f8c31647f43 (MD5)Made available in DSpace on 2023-06-13T16:39:40Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 Antonio Gebson Pinheiro.pdf: 4696737 bytes, checksum: e1b460a4fdc471ee04640f8c31647f43 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2022-08-31application/pdfporUniversidade Federal Rural de PernambucoPrograma de Pós-Graduação em Engenharia AgrícolaUFRPEBrasilDepartamento de Engenharia AgrícolaModelagemModelo de simulaçãoForragemProdutividadeCIENCIAS AGRARIAS::ENGENHARIA AGRICOLASimulação de sistemas agrícolas com uso do modelo Aquacrop parametrizado para culturas forrageiras em ambiente semiáridoSimulation of agricultural systems using the parameterized AquaCrop model for forage crops in a semiarid environmentinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/doctoralThesis-5347692450416052129600600600-28621161963550796749185445721588761555info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da UFRPEinstname:Universidade Federal Rural de Pernambuco (UFRPE)instacron:UFRPEORIGINALAntonio Gebson Pinheiro.pdfAntonio Gebson Pinheiro.pdfapplication/pdf4696737http://www.tede2.ufrpe.br:8080/tede2/bitstream/tede2/9069/2/Antonio+Gebson+Pinheiro.pdfe1b460a4fdc471ee04640f8c31647f43MD52LICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-82165http://www.tede2.ufrpe.br:8080/tede2/bitstream/tede2/9069/1/license.txtbd3efa91386c1718a7f26a329fdcb468MD51tede2/90692023-07-05 14:22:24.041oai:tede2: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Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertaçõeshttp://www.tede2.ufrpe.br:8080/tede/PUBhttp://www.tede2.ufrpe.br:8080/oai/requestbdtd@ufrpe.br ||bdtd@ufrpe.bropendoar:2024-05-28T12:37:47.597918Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da UFRPE - Universidade Federal Rural de Pernambuco (UFRPE)false |
dc.title.por.fl_str_mv |
Simulação de sistemas agrícolas com uso do modelo Aquacrop parametrizado para culturas forrageiras em ambiente semiárido |
dc.title.alternative.eng.fl_str_mv |
Simulation of agricultural systems using the parameterized AquaCrop model for forage crops in a semiarid environment |
title |
Simulação de sistemas agrícolas com uso do modelo Aquacrop parametrizado para culturas forrageiras em ambiente semiárido |
spellingShingle |
Simulação de sistemas agrícolas com uso do modelo Aquacrop parametrizado para culturas forrageiras em ambiente semiárido PINHEIRO, Antonio Gebson Modelagem Modelo de simulação Forragem Produtividade CIENCIAS AGRARIAS::ENGENHARIA AGRICOLA |
title_short |
Simulação de sistemas agrícolas com uso do modelo Aquacrop parametrizado para culturas forrageiras em ambiente semiárido |
title_full |
Simulação de sistemas agrícolas com uso do modelo Aquacrop parametrizado para culturas forrageiras em ambiente semiárido |
title_fullStr |
Simulação de sistemas agrícolas com uso do modelo Aquacrop parametrizado para culturas forrageiras em ambiente semiárido |
title_full_unstemmed |
Simulação de sistemas agrícolas com uso do modelo Aquacrop parametrizado para culturas forrageiras em ambiente semiárido |
title_sort |
Simulação de sistemas agrícolas com uso do modelo Aquacrop parametrizado para culturas forrageiras em ambiente semiárido |
author |
PINHEIRO, Antonio Gebson |
author_facet |
PINHEIRO, Antonio Gebson |
author_role |
author |
dc.contributor.advisor1.fl_str_mv |
SILVA, Thieres George Freire da |
dc.contributor.referee1.fl_str_mv |
LOPES, Daniela de Carvalho |
dc.contributor.referee2.fl_str_mv |
STEIDLE NETO, Antônio José |
dc.contributor.referee3.fl_str_mv |
MORAIS, José Edson Florentino de |
dc.contributor.referee4.fl_str_mv |
SOUZA, Luciana Sandra Bastos de |
dc.contributor.authorLattes.fl_str_mv |
http://lattes.cnpq.br/3512744814845792 |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
PINHEIRO, Antonio Gebson |
contributor_str_mv |
SILVA, Thieres George Freire da LOPES, Daniela de Carvalho STEIDLE NETO, Antônio José MORAIS, José Edson Florentino de SOUZA, Luciana Sandra Bastos de |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Modelagem Modelo de simulação Forragem Produtividade |
topic |
Modelagem Modelo de simulação Forragem Produtividade CIENCIAS AGRARIAS::ENGENHARIA AGRICOLA |
dc.subject.cnpq.fl_str_mv |
CIENCIAS AGRARIAS::ENGENHARIA AGRICOLA |
description |
Knowledge of the best strategies for agricultural crops to meet the demand for food from livestock in a semiarid environment is essential, especially in periods of water scarcity. With this, the objective of the study was to calibrate and validate the AquaCrop model for simulating productive arrangements of forage crops, indicating parameters of practical applications and providing production perspectives for different locations in the Brazilian semiarid region. The model was calibrated and validated in agricultural areas located in Serra Talhada - PE, during the period from 2019 to 2020. 29 agricultural arrangements were simulated with forage crops such as forage cactus clones and sorghum varieties. Throughout the cycle, biometric and plant biomass data, information on soil conditions and management, variability of climate conditions, irrigation depths and levels of agricultural management were collected. The consistency of the parameterization of the AquaCrop model was performed through the analysis of statistical parameters (RMSE, NRMSE, R2, R, d and c). Consecutively, the parameterized model was expanded to estimate the biomass production and agricultural calendar for 14 locations representative of the semiarid region, considering their respective soil characteristics and historical meteorological variables (1961 - 2018). Thus, it was found that the AquaCrop model resulted in permissible errors in predicting the productivity of the evaluated agricultural systems, presenting a very good performance (c > 0.80) and a coefficient of determination (R2) greater than 0.80. The risk of losses increases when cultivation is carried out under rainfed conditions and decreases when irrigated. It was concluded that the AquaCrop model is an effective tool in predicting forage production and productive arrangements for the Brazilian semiarid region, with direct application in the indication of productive arrangements with better responses and aid in the elaboration of the agricultural calendar, planning and decision-making. However, additional investigations are needed to optimize the model applied to forage crops, integrating biotic factors in the simulations, in addition to different cropping arrangements. |
publishDate |
2022 |
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv |
2022-08-31 |
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv |
2023-06-13T16:39:40Z |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/doctoralThesis |
format |
doctoralThesis |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.citation.fl_str_mv |
PINHEIRO, Antonio Gebson. Simulação de sistemas agrícolas com uso do modelo Aquacrop parametrizado para culturas forrageiras em ambiente semiárido. 2022. 170 f. Tese (Programa de Pós-Graduação em Engenharia Agrícola) - Universidade Federal Rural de Pernambuco, Recife. |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://www.tede2.ufrpe.br:8080/tede2/handle/tede2/9069 |
identifier_str_mv |
PINHEIRO, Antonio Gebson. Simulação de sistemas agrícolas com uso do modelo Aquacrop parametrizado para culturas forrageiras em ambiente semiárido. 2022. 170 f. Tese (Programa de Pós-Graduação em Engenharia Agrícola) - Universidade Federal Rural de Pernambuco, Recife. |
url |
http://www.tede2.ufrpe.br:8080/tede2/handle/tede2/9069 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
por |
language |
por |
dc.relation.program.fl_str_mv |
-5347692450416052129 |
dc.relation.confidence.fl_str_mv |
600 600 600 |
dc.relation.department.fl_str_mv |
-2862116196355079674 |
dc.relation.cnpq.fl_str_mv |
9185445721588761555 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Universidade Federal Rural de Pernambuco |
dc.publisher.program.fl_str_mv |
Programa de Pós-Graduação em Engenharia Agrícola |
dc.publisher.initials.fl_str_mv |
UFRPE |
dc.publisher.country.fl_str_mv |
Brasil |
dc.publisher.department.fl_str_mv |
Departamento de Engenharia Agrícola |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Universidade Federal Rural de Pernambuco |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
reponame:Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da UFRPE instname:Universidade Federal Rural de Pernambuco (UFRPE) instacron:UFRPE |
instname_str |
Universidade Federal Rural de Pernambuco (UFRPE) |
instacron_str |
UFRPE |
institution |
UFRPE |
reponame_str |
Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da UFRPE |
collection |
Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da UFRPE |
bitstream.url.fl_str_mv |
http://www.tede2.ufrpe.br:8080/tede2/bitstream/tede2/9069/2/Antonio+Gebson+Pinheiro.pdf http://www.tede2.ufrpe.br:8080/tede2/bitstream/tede2/9069/1/license.txt |
bitstream.checksum.fl_str_mv |
e1b460a4fdc471ee04640f8c31647f43 bd3efa91386c1718a7f26a329fdcb468 |
bitstream.checksumAlgorithm.fl_str_mv |
MD5 MD5 |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da UFRPE - Universidade Federal Rural de Pernambuco (UFRPE) |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
bdtd@ufrpe.br ||bdtd@ufrpe.br |
_version_ |
1810102271440060416 |