Risks associated with a double-cropping production system - a case study in southern Brazil
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2019 |
Outros Autores: | , , , |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | eng |
Título da fonte: | Scientia Agrícola (Online) |
Texto Completo: | http://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0103-90162019001200130 |
Resumo: | ABSTRACT: This study assessed the risk exposure of the production system of a typical farm in southern Brazil. Five possible production systems were analyzed, combining three crops (soybeans, corn seasons and wheat) in different crop-year combinations, for example: “Summer soybeans followed by corn” and “Autumn corn followed by winter wheat”. Five different production systems were created based on the intensity of land use for each of the crops. Primary data were collected from a typical farm in the producing region over eight seasons (2006/07 to 2013/14). The Monte Carlo simulation technique was used to evaluate negative Net Operating Revenue (NOR) risk. The results showed that the production system with soybean and first season corn had a higher NOR and lower risk when compared with the other four production systems, which intensified the land use in the second season. When the production system had a higher rate of corn and/or wheat, the NOR and the risk to the production system increased for the first or second crop. Both corn and wheat in the second crop increased the risk to the production system on the typical farm in Cascavel, in the state of Parana (PR). |
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oai:scielo:S0103-90162019001200130 |
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Scientia Agrícola (Online) |
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|
spelling |
Risks associated with a double-cropping production system - a case study in southern BrazilMonte Carlo simulationrisk analysisfarm riskABSTRACT: This study assessed the risk exposure of the production system of a typical farm in southern Brazil. Five possible production systems were analyzed, combining three crops (soybeans, corn seasons and wheat) in different crop-year combinations, for example: “Summer soybeans followed by corn” and “Autumn corn followed by winter wheat”. Five different production systems were created based on the intensity of land use for each of the crops. Primary data were collected from a typical farm in the producing region over eight seasons (2006/07 to 2013/14). The Monte Carlo simulation technique was used to evaluate negative Net Operating Revenue (NOR) risk. The results showed that the production system with soybean and first season corn had a higher NOR and lower risk when compared with the other four production systems, which intensified the land use in the second season. When the production system had a higher rate of corn and/or wheat, the NOR and the risk to the production system increased for the first or second crop. Both corn and wheat in the second crop increased the risk to the production system on the typical farm in Cascavel, in the state of Parana (PR).Escola Superior de Agricultura "Luiz de Queiroz"2019-04-01info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersiontext/htmlhttp://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0103-90162019001200130Scientia Agricola v.76 n.2 2019reponame:Scientia Agrícola (Online)instname:Universidade de São Paulo (USP)instacron:USP10.1590/1678-992x-2017-0191info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessOsaki,MauroAlves,Lucilio Rogerio AparecidoLima,Fabio FranciscoRibeiro,Renato GarciaBarros,Geraldo Sant'Ana de Camargoeng2018-12-04T00:00:00Zoai:scielo:S0103-90162019001200130Revistahttp://revistas.usp.br/sa/indexPUBhttps://old.scielo.br/oai/scielo-oai.phpscientia@usp.br||alleoni@usp.br1678-992X0103-9016opendoar:2018-12-04T00:00Scientia Agrícola (Online) - Universidade de São Paulo (USP)false |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Risks associated with a double-cropping production system - a case study in southern Brazil |
title |
Risks associated with a double-cropping production system - a case study in southern Brazil |
spellingShingle |
Risks associated with a double-cropping production system - a case study in southern Brazil Osaki,Mauro Monte Carlo simulation risk analysis farm risk |
title_short |
Risks associated with a double-cropping production system - a case study in southern Brazil |
title_full |
Risks associated with a double-cropping production system - a case study in southern Brazil |
title_fullStr |
Risks associated with a double-cropping production system - a case study in southern Brazil |
title_full_unstemmed |
Risks associated with a double-cropping production system - a case study in southern Brazil |
title_sort |
Risks associated with a double-cropping production system - a case study in southern Brazil |
author |
Osaki,Mauro |
author_facet |
Osaki,Mauro Alves,Lucilio Rogerio Aparecido Lima,Fabio Francisco Ribeiro,Renato Garcia Barros,Geraldo Sant'Ana de Camargo |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Alves,Lucilio Rogerio Aparecido Lima,Fabio Francisco Ribeiro,Renato Garcia Barros,Geraldo Sant'Ana de Camargo |
author2_role |
author author author author |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Osaki,Mauro Alves,Lucilio Rogerio Aparecido Lima,Fabio Francisco Ribeiro,Renato Garcia Barros,Geraldo Sant'Ana de Camargo |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Monte Carlo simulation risk analysis farm risk |
topic |
Monte Carlo simulation risk analysis farm risk |
description |
ABSTRACT: This study assessed the risk exposure of the production system of a typical farm in southern Brazil. Five possible production systems were analyzed, combining three crops (soybeans, corn seasons and wheat) in different crop-year combinations, for example: “Summer soybeans followed by corn” and “Autumn corn followed by winter wheat”. Five different production systems were created based on the intensity of land use for each of the crops. Primary data were collected from a typical farm in the producing region over eight seasons (2006/07 to 2013/14). The Monte Carlo simulation technique was used to evaluate negative Net Operating Revenue (NOR) risk. The results showed that the production system with soybean and first season corn had a higher NOR and lower risk when compared with the other four production systems, which intensified the land use in the second season. When the production system had a higher rate of corn and/or wheat, the NOR and the risk to the production system increased for the first or second crop. Both corn and wheat in the second crop increased the risk to the production system on the typical farm in Cascavel, in the state of Parana (PR). |
publishDate |
2019 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2019-04-01 |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0103-90162019001200130 |
url |
http://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0103-90162019001200130 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
10.1590/1678-992x-2017-0191 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
text/html |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Escola Superior de Agricultura "Luiz de Queiroz" |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Escola Superior de Agricultura "Luiz de Queiroz" |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
Scientia Agricola v.76 n.2 2019 reponame:Scientia Agrícola (Online) instname:Universidade de São Paulo (USP) instacron:USP |
instname_str |
Universidade de São Paulo (USP) |
instacron_str |
USP |
institution |
USP |
reponame_str |
Scientia Agrícola (Online) |
collection |
Scientia Agrícola (Online) |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Scientia Agrícola (Online) - Universidade de São Paulo (USP) |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
scientia@usp.br||alleoni@usp.br |
_version_ |
1748936464808280064 |