O método Delphi e a estrutura da economia brasileira em 2010
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2003 |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | por |
Título da fonte: | Economia Aplicada |
Texto Completo: | https://www.revistas.usp.br/ecoa/article/view/220109 |
Resumo: | Dealing with data for final demand, value added, gross output, employment and household consumption derived from the Brazilian input-outputtables of 1959,1970,1980,1990 and 1998, this article had the purpose of, dealing with the Delphi Method, generating the corresponding figuresfor 2010. The original data have shown deep structural change in Brazil. From 1959 to 1990, Agriculture swapped its position with both Industry and Services. In 2010, it is expected that the primary and secondary sectors will face additional reductions in their shares, while Services will generate near 60% ofthe economy's value added. The relative positions of these big sectors shows that Brazil has a long road to cover to match the sectoral structure of the advanced capitalist countries. The suggested structure of household consumption for 2010 does not appear to face substantial changes, with the lower 70% embracing slightly more than one fifth of this variable. |
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Economia Aplicada |
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O método Delphi e a estrutura da economia brasileira em 2010Delphi methodstructural changeeconomic forecastsDealing with data for final demand, value added, gross output, employment and household consumption derived from the Brazilian input-outputtables of 1959,1970,1980,1990 and 1998, this article had the purpose of, dealing with the Delphi Method, generating the corresponding figuresfor 2010. The original data have shown deep structural change in Brazil. From 1959 to 1990, Agriculture swapped its position with both Industry and Services. In 2010, it is expected that the primary and secondary sectors will face additional reductions in their shares, while Services will generate near 60% ofthe economy's value added. The relative positions of these big sectors shows that Brazil has a long road to cover to match the sectoral structure of the advanced capitalist countries. The suggested structure of household consumption for 2010 does not appear to face substantial changes, with the lower 70% embracing slightly more than one fifth of this variable.Universidade de São Paulo, FEA-RP/USP2003-04-11info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionapplication/pdfhttps://www.revistas.usp.br/ecoa/article/view/22010910.11606/1413-8050/ea220109Economia Aplicada; Vol. 7 Núm. 2 (2003); 413-432Economia Aplicada; Vol. 7 No. 2 (2003); 413-432Economia Aplicada; v. 7 n. 2 (2003); 413-4321980-53301413-8050reponame:Economia Aplicadainstname:Universidade de São Paulo (USP)instacron:USPporhttps://www.revistas.usp.br/ecoa/article/view/220109/200923Copyright (c) 2003 Economia Aplicadahttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessBêrni, Duilio de Avila 2023-12-11T19:45:22Zoai:revistas.usp.br:article/220109Revistahttps://www.revistas.usp.br/ecoaPUBhttps://www.revistas.usp.br/ecoa/oai||revecap@usp.br1980-53301413-8050opendoar:2023-12-11T19:45:22Economia Aplicada - Universidade de São Paulo (USP)false |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
O método Delphi e a estrutura da economia brasileira em 2010 |
title |
O método Delphi e a estrutura da economia brasileira em 2010 |
spellingShingle |
O método Delphi e a estrutura da economia brasileira em 2010 Bêrni, Duilio de Avila Delphi method structural change economic forecasts |
title_short |
O método Delphi e a estrutura da economia brasileira em 2010 |
title_full |
O método Delphi e a estrutura da economia brasileira em 2010 |
title_fullStr |
O método Delphi e a estrutura da economia brasileira em 2010 |
title_full_unstemmed |
O método Delphi e a estrutura da economia brasileira em 2010 |
title_sort |
O método Delphi e a estrutura da economia brasileira em 2010 |
author |
Bêrni, Duilio de Avila |
author_facet |
Bêrni, Duilio de Avila |
author_role |
author |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Bêrni, Duilio de Avila |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Delphi method structural change economic forecasts |
topic |
Delphi method structural change economic forecasts |
description |
Dealing with data for final demand, value added, gross output, employment and household consumption derived from the Brazilian input-outputtables of 1959,1970,1980,1990 and 1998, this article had the purpose of, dealing with the Delphi Method, generating the corresponding figuresfor 2010. The original data have shown deep structural change in Brazil. From 1959 to 1990, Agriculture swapped its position with both Industry and Services. In 2010, it is expected that the primary and secondary sectors will face additional reductions in their shares, while Services will generate near 60% ofthe economy's value added. The relative positions of these big sectors shows that Brazil has a long road to cover to match the sectoral structure of the advanced capitalist countries. The suggested structure of household consumption for 2010 does not appear to face substantial changes, with the lower 70% embracing slightly more than one fifth of this variable. |
publishDate |
2003 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2003-04-11 |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
https://www.revistas.usp.br/ecoa/article/view/220109 10.11606/1413-8050/ea220109 |
url |
https://www.revistas.usp.br/ecoa/article/view/220109 |
identifier_str_mv |
10.11606/1413-8050/ea220109 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
por |
language |
por |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
https://www.revistas.usp.br/ecoa/article/view/220109/200923 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
Copyright (c) 2003 Economia Aplicada http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
rights_invalid_str_mv |
Copyright (c) 2003 Economia Aplicada http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0 |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Universidade de São Paulo, FEA-RP/USP |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Universidade de São Paulo, FEA-RP/USP |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
Economia Aplicada; Vol. 7 Núm. 2 (2003); 413-432 Economia Aplicada; Vol. 7 No. 2 (2003); 413-432 Economia Aplicada; v. 7 n. 2 (2003); 413-432 1980-5330 1413-8050 reponame:Economia Aplicada instname:Universidade de São Paulo (USP) instacron:USP |
instname_str |
Universidade de São Paulo (USP) |
instacron_str |
USP |
institution |
USP |
reponame_str |
Economia Aplicada |
collection |
Economia Aplicada |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Economia Aplicada - Universidade de São Paulo (USP) |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
||revecap@usp.br |
_version_ |
1800221693621305344 |