The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on mortality: life expectancy reduction and geographical disparities in Argentina
Autor(a) principal: | |
---|---|
Data de Publicação: | 2022 |
Outros Autores: | , |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | eng |
Título da fonte: | Revista brasileira de epidemiologia (Online) |
Texto Completo: | http://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S1415-790X2022000100413 |
Resumo: | ABSTRACT: Objective: To assess the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on mortality in Argentina, considering temporal trends in life expectancy at birth and premature mortality rate during 2010-2020. Methods: Based on demographic projections, this ecological time-series study compares a “normal” versus a “COVID-19” mortality scenario for 2020 over a set of 11 Argentine provinces. Annual life expectancy at birth and age-standardized rates of premature mortality were estimated from 2010 to 2020. Joinpoint regression and multilevel models were used. Results: A potential reduction in life expectancy at birth (a gap between scenarios >1 year) was observed. A significant (negative) point of inflection in temporal trends was identified for the country and most of the provinces, under the COVID-19 mortality scenario. However, our findings reveal disparities between provinces in the estimated life expectancy reduction toward 2020 (values range from -0.63 to -1.85 year in females and up to -2.55 years in males). While men showed more accentuated declines in life expectancy at birth in 2020 (a national gap between scenarios of -1.47 year in men vs. -1.35 year in women), women experienced more unfavorable temporal trends of premature mortality. In the absence of COVID-19, an improvement in both indicators was estimated toward 2020 in both sexes, while a return to levels reported in the past was observed under the COVID-19 scenario. Conclusion: The COVID-19 pandemic might seriously affect the trends of mortality and exacerbate health disadvantages in Argentina. A temporal and contextual perspective of health inequities merits special attention in the COVID-19 research. |
id |
ABRASCO-1_e692cea43cd835db637d5259399c282b |
---|---|
oai_identifier_str |
oai:scielo:S1415-790X2022000100413 |
network_acronym_str |
ABRASCO-1 |
network_name_str |
Revista brasileira de epidemiologia (Online) |
repository_id_str |
|
spelling |
The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on mortality: life expectancy reduction and geographical disparities in ArgentinaSARS-CoV-2Life expectancyPremature mortalityHealth status disparitiesDemographyLatin AmericaABSTRACT: Objective: To assess the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on mortality in Argentina, considering temporal trends in life expectancy at birth and premature mortality rate during 2010-2020. Methods: Based on demographic projections, this ecological time-series study compares a “normal” versus a “COVID-19” mortality scenario for 2020 over a set of 11 Argentine provinces. Annual life expectancy at birth and age-standardized rates of premature mortality were estimated from 2010 to 2020. Joinpoint regression and multilevel models were used. Results: A potential reduction in life expectancy at birth (a gap between scenarios >1 year) was observed. A significant (negative) point of inflection in temporal trends was identified for the country and most of the provinces, under the COVID-19 mortality scenario. However, our findings reveal disparities between provinces in the estimated life expectancy reduction toward 2020 (values range from -0.63 to -1.85 year in females and up to -2.55 years in males). While men showed more accentuated declines in life expectancy at birth in 2020 (a national gap between scenarios of -1.47 year in men vs. -1.35 year in women), women experienced more unfavorable temporal trends of premature mortality. In the absence of COVID-19, an improvement in both indicators was estimated toward 2020 in both sexes, while a return to levels reported in the past was observed under the COVID-19 scenario. Conclusion: The COVID-19 pandemic might seriously affect the trends of mortality and exacerbate health disadvantages in Argentina. A temporal and contextual perspective of health inequities merits special attention in the COVID-19 research.Associação Brasileira de Saúde Coletiva2022-01-01info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersiontext/htmlhttp://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S1415-790X2022000100413Revista Brasileira de Epidemiologia v.25 2022reponame:Revista brasileira de epidemiologia (Online)instname:Associação Brasileira de Saúde Coletiva (ABRASCO)instacron:ABRASCO10.1590/1980-549720220018info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessPou,Sonia AlejandraDiaz,Maria Del PilarGonzalez,Leandro Marianoeng2022-07-01T00:00:00Zoai:scielo:S1415-790X2022000100413Revistahttp://www.scielo.br/rbepidhttps://old.scielo.br/oai/scielo-oai.php||revbrepi@usp.br1980-54971415-790Xopendoar:2022-07-01T00:00Revista brasileira de epidemiologia (Online) - Associação Brasileira de Saúde Coletiva (ABRASCO)false |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on mortality: life expectancy reduction and geographical disparities in Argentina |
title |
The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on mortality: life expectancy reduction and geographical disparities in Argentina |
spellingShingle |
The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on mortality: life expectancy reduction and geographical disparities in Argentina Pou,Sonia Alejandra SARS-CoV-2 Life expectancy Premature mortality Health status disparities Demography Latin America |
title_short |
The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on mortality: life expectancy reduction and geographical disparities in Argentina |
title_full |
The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on mortality: life expectancy reduction and geographical disparities in Argentina |
title_fullStr |
The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on mortality: life expectancy reduction and geographical disparities in Argentina |
title_full_unstemmed |
The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on mortality: life expectancy reduction and geographical disparities in Argentina |
title_sort |
The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on mortality: life expectancy reduction and geographical disparities in Argentina |
author |
Pou,Sonia Alejandra |
author_facet |
Pou,Sonia Alejandra Diaz,Maria Del Pilar Gonzalez,Leandro Mariano |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Diaz,Maria Del Pilar Gonzalez,Leandro Mariano |
author2_role |
author author |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Pou,Sonia Alejandra Diaz,Maria Del Pilar Gonzalez,Leandro Mariano |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
SARS-CoV-2 Life expectancy Premature mortality Health status disparities Demography Latin America |
topic |
SARS-CoV-2 Life expectancy Premature mortality Health status disparities Demography Latin America |
description |
ABSTRACT: Objective: To assess the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on mortality in Argentina, considering temporal trends in life expectancy at birth and premature mortality rate during 2010-2020. Methods: Based on demographic projections, this ecological time-series study compares a “normal” versus a “COVID-19” mortality scenario for 2020 over a set of 11 Argentine provinces. Annual life expectancy at birth and age-standardized rates of premature mortality were estimated from 2010 to 2020. Joinpoint regression and multilevel models were used. Results: A potential reduction in life expectancy at birth (a gap between scenarios >1 year) was observed. A significant (negative) point of inflection in temporal trends was identified for the country and most of the provinces, under the COVID-19 mortality scenario. However, our findings reveal disparities between provinces in the estimated life expectancy reduction toward 2020 (values range from -0.63 to -1.85 year in females and up to -2.55 years in males). While men showed more accentuated declines in life expectancy at birth in 2020 (a national gap between scenarios of -1.47 year in men vs. -1.35 year in women), women experienced more unfavorable temporal trends of premature mortality. In the absence of COVID-19, an improvement in both indicators was estimated toward 2020 in both sexes, while a return to levels reported in the past was observed under the COVID-19 scenario. Conclusion: The COVID-19 pandemic might seriously affect the trends of mortality and exacerbate health disadvantages in Argentina. A temporal and contextual perspective of health inequities merits special attention in the COVID-19 research. |
publishDate |
2022 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2022-01-01 |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S1415-790X2022000100413 |
url |
http://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S1415-790X2022000100413 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
10.1590/1980-549720220018 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
text/html |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Associação Brasileira de Saúde Coletiva |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Associação Brasileira de Saúde Coletiva |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
Revista Brasileira de Epidemiologia v.25 2022 reponame:Revista brasileira de epidemiologia (Online) instname:Associação Brasileira de Saúde Coletiva (ABRASCO) instacron:ABRASCO |
instname_str |
Associação Brasileira de Saúde Coletiva (ABRASCO) |
instacron_str |
ABRASCO |
institution |
ABRASCO |
reponame_str |
Revista brasileira de epidemiologia (Online) |
collection |
Revista brasileira de epidemiologia (Online) |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Revista brasileira de epidemiologia (Online) - Associação Brasileira de Saúde Coletiva (ABRASCO) |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
||revbrepi@usp.br |
_version_ |
1754212957149986816 |