LEPTOSPIROSIS’S TREND AND SEASONALIT Y IN BRAZIL: STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF NOTIFIED CASES BET WEEN 2008 AND 2012

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Pereira, Carlos Alexandre Rodrigues
Data de Publicação: 2014
Outros Autores: Barata, Martha Macedo de Lima, Costa Neto, Cristina, Monteiro, Gina Torres Rego
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: por
Título da fonte: Saúde e Pesquisa (Online)
Texto Completo: https://periodicos.unicesumar.edu.br/index.php/saudpesq/article/view/3604
Resumo: Leptospirosis is endemic in tropical countries such as Brazil. In order to quantify the cases stemming the trend of this disease in Brazil, free of seasonal variations, we conducted a statistical analysis of the time series of cases reported monthly between January 2008 and December 2012. We conducted periodicity analysis and seasonal decomposition using data reported in SINAN (Notifiable Diseases Information System). We create a graph with the original and the trend-cycle series, through which we make our analyzes and raise some hypotheses. Seasonal variables as the rain really can be associated with leptospirosis, but this disease may occurs independently of the rain and it is possible that the amount of cases could be greater if the search had been continued active throughout the dry season, as can be viewed in the comparative graph. This check is added to the results of previous studies, which warn of danger to be expected that cases of leptospirosis occur only during rainy periods and due to contact with rain or floods, which may decrease the active search for disease in dry periods and may neglect other possibilities of disease transmission.
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spelling LEPTOSPIROSIS’S TREND AND SEASONALIT Y IN BRAZIL: STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF NOTIFIED CASES BET WEEN 2008 AND 2012Tendência e Sazonalidade da Leptospirose no Brasil: Análise Estatística dos Casos Notificados entre 2008 e 2012LeptospirosisEpidemiologyDescriptiveNeglected DiseasesEnvironmental HealthLeptospirosisEpidemiologyDescriptiveNeglected DiseasesEnvironmental Health / Doença NegligenciadaEpidemiologia DescritivaLeptospiroseSaúde Ambiental.Leptospirosis is endemic in tropical countries such as Brazil. In order to quantify the cases stemming the trend of this disease in Brazil, free of seasonal variations, we conducted a statistical analysis of the time series of cases reported monthly between January 2008 and December 2012. We conducted periodicity analysis and seasonal decomposition using data reported in SINAN (Notifiable Diseases Information System). We create a graph with the original and the trend-cycle series, through which we make our analyzes and raise some hypotheses. Seasonal variables as the rain really can be associated with leptospirosis, but this disease may occurs independently of the rain and it is possible that the amount of cases could be greater if the search had been continued active throughout the dry season, as can be viewed in the comparative graph. This check is added to the results of previous studies, which warn of danger to be expected that cases of leptospirosis occur only during rainy periods and due to contact with rain or floods, which may decrease the active search for disease in dry periods and may neglect other possibilities of disease transmission.Leptospirosis is endemic in tropical countries such as Brazil. In order to quantify the cases stemming the trend of this disease in Brazil, free of seasonal variations, we conducted a statistical analysis of the time series of cases reported monthly between January 2008 and December 2012. We conducted periodicity analysis and seasonal decomposition using data reported in SINAN (Notifiable Diseases Information System). We create a graph with the original and the trend-cycle series, through which we make our analyzes and raise some hypotheses. Seasonal variables as the rain really can be associated with leptospirosis, but this disease may occurs independently of the rain and it is possible that the amount of cases could be greater if the search had been continued active throughout the dry season, as can be viewed in the comparative graph. This check is added to the results of previous studies, which warn of danger to be expected that cases of leptospirosis occur only during rainy periods and due to contact with rain or floods, which may decrease the active search for disease in dry periods and may neglect other possibilities of disease transmission. RESUMO: A leptospirose é endêmica em países tropicais como o Brasil. Para quantificar os casos decorrentes de sua tendência no Brasil, livre de variações sazonais, foi realizada uma análise estatística da série temporal de casos notificados entre janeiro de 2008 e dezembro de 2012. Realizou-se análise de periodicidade e decomposição sazonal usando dados notificados no SINAN (Sistema de Informação de Agravos de Notificação). Um gráfico comparativo contendo a série original e a série de tendência-ciclo foi criado para subsidiar as análises. Variáveis sazonais, como a precipitação, realmente podem estar associadas à leptospirose, mas esta doença pode ocorrer independentemente das chuvas e é possível que a quantidade de casos seja maior se a busca continuar ativa durante a estação seca, como pode ser visto no gráfico comparativo. Esta verificação se soma aos resultados de estudos anteriores que alertam para o perigo de se esperar que os casos de leptospirose ocorram apenas durante períodos de chuva e devido ao contato com chuva ou inundações, o que pode diminuir a busca ativa de doença em períodos de seca e pode negligenciar outras possibilidades de transmissão da doença.Universidade Cesumar - UniCesumar2014-11-04info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionAvaliado por ParesStatistical Analysisapplication/pdfhttps://periodicos.unicesumar.edu.br/index.php/saudpesq/article/view/3604Saúde e Pesquisa; Vol 7 No 3 (2014): set./dez.Saúde e Pesquisa; v. 7 n. 3 (2014): set./dez.2176-9206reponame:Saúde e Pesquisa (Online)instname:Cesumar Diretoria de Pesquisainstacron:CESUMARporhttps://periodicos.unicesumar.edu.br/index.php/saudpesq/article/view/3604/2479Pereira, Carlos Alexandre RodriguesBarata, Martha Macedo de LimaCosta Neto, CristinaMonteiro, Gina Torres Regoinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess2020-09-04T14:23:05Zoai:ojs.pkp.sfu.ca:article/3604Revistahttps://periodicos.unicesumar.edu.br/index.php/saudpesqPUBhttps://periodicos.unicesumar.edu.br/index.php/saudpesq/oainaep@cesumar.br2176-92061983-1870opendoar:2020-09-04T14:23:05Saúde e Pesquisa (Online) - Cesumar Diretoria de Pesquisafalse
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv LEPTOSPIROSIS’S TREND AND SEASONALIT Y IN BRAZIL: STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF NOTIFIED CASES BET WEEN 2008 AND 2012
Tendência e Sazonalidade da Leptospirose no Brasil: Análise Estatística dos Casos Notificados entre 2008 e 2012
title LEPTOSPIROSIS’S TREND AND SEASONALIT Y IN BRAZIL: STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF NOTIFIED CASES BET WEEN 2008 AND 2012
spellingShingle LEPTOSPIROSIS’S TREND AND SEASONALIT Y IN BRAZIL: STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF NOTIFIED CASES BET WEEN 2008 AND 2012
Pereira, Carlos Alexandre Rodrigues
Leptospirosis
Epidemiology
Descriptive
Neglected Diseases
Environmental Health
Leptospirosis
Epidemiology
Descriptive
Neglected Diseases
Environmental Health / Doença Negligenciada
Epidemiologia Descritiva
Leptospirose
Saúde Ambiental
.
title_short LEPTOSPIROSIS’S TREND AND SEASONALIT Y IN BRAZIL: STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF NOTIFIED CASES BET WEEN 2008 AND 2012
title_full LEPTOSPIROSIS’S TREND AND SEASONALIT Y IN BRAZIL: STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF NOTIFIED CASES BET WEEN 2008 AND 2012
title_fullStr LEPTOSPIROSIS’S TREND AND SEASONALIT Y IN BRAZIL: STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF NOTIFIED CASES BET WEEN 2008 AND 2012
title_full_unstemmed LEPTOSPIROSIS’S TREND AND SEASONALIT Y IN BRAZIL: STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF NOTIFIED CASES BET WEEN 2008 AND 2012
title_sort LEPTOSPIROSIS’S TREND AND SEASONALIT Y IN BRAZIL: STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF NOTIFIED CASES BET WEEN 2008 AND 2012
author Pereira, Carlos Alexandre Rodrigues
author_facet Pereira, Carlos Alexandre Rodrigues
Barata, Martha Macedo de Lima
Costa Neto, Cristina
Monteiro, Gina Torres Rego
author_role author
author2 Barata, Martha Macedo de Lima
Costa Neto, Cristina
Monteiro, Gina Torres Rego
author2_role author
author
author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Pereira, Carlos Alexandre Rodrigues
Barata, Martha Macedo de Lima
Costa Neto, Cristina
Monteiro, Gina Torres Rego
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Leptospirosis
Epidemiology
Descriptive
Neglected Diseases
Environmental Health
Leptospirosis
Epidemiology
Descriptive
Neglected Diseases
Environmental Health / Doença Negligenciada
Epidemiologia Descritiva
Leptospirose
Saúde Ambiental
.
topic Leptospirosis
Epidemiology
Descriptive
Neglected Diseases
Environmental Health
Leptospirosis
Epidemiology
Descriptive
Neglected Diseases
Environmental Health / Doença Negligenciada
Epidemiologia Descritiva
Leptospirose
Saúde Ambiental
.
description Leptospirosis is endemic in tropical countries such as Brazil. In order to quantify the cases stemming the trend of this disease in Brazil, free of seasonal variations, we conducted a statistical analysis of the time series of cases reported monthly between January 2008 and December 2012. We conducted periodicity analysis and seasonal decomposition using data reported in SINAN (Notifiable Diseases Information System). We create a graph with the original and the trend-cycle series, through which we make our analyzes and raise some hypotheses. Seasonal variables as the rain really can be associated with leptospirosis, but this disease may occurs independently of the rain and it is possible that the amount of cases could be greater if the search had been continued active throughout the dry season, as can be viewed in the comparative graph. This check is added to the results of previous studies, which warn of danger to be expected that cases of leptospirosis occur only during rainy periods and due to contact with rain or floods, which may decrease the active search for disease in dry periods and may neglect other possibilities of disease transmission.
publishDate 2014
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2014-11-04
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
Avaliado por Pares
Statistical Analysis
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv https://periodicos.unicesumar.edu.br/index.php/saudpesq/article/view/3604
url https://periodicos.unicesumar.edu.br/index.php/saudpesq/article/view/3604
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv por
language por
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv https://periodicos.unicesumar.edu.br/index.php/saudpesq/article/view/3604/2479
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Universidade Cesumar - UniCesumar
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Universidade Cesumar - UniCesumar
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv Saúde e Pesquisa; Vol 7 No 3 (2014): set./dez.
Saúde e Pesquisa; v. 7 n. 3 (2014): set./dez.
2176-9206
reponame:Saúde e Pesquisa (Online)
instname:Cesumar Diretoria de Pesquisa
instacron:CESUMAR
instname_str Cesumar Diretoria de Pesquisa
instacron_str CESUMAR
institution CESUMAR
reponame_str Saúde e Pesquisa (Online)
collection Saúde e Pesquisa (Online)
repository.name.fl_str_mv Saúde e Pesquisa (Online) - Cesumar Diretoria de Pesquisa
repository.mail.fl_str_mv naep@cesumar.br
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