LEPTOSPIROSIS’S TREND AND SEASONALIT Y IN BRAZIL: STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF NOTIFIED CASES BET WEEN 2008 AND 2012
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2014 |
Outros Autores: | , , |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | por |
Título da fonte: | Saúde e Pesquisa (Online) |
Texto Completo: | https://periodicos.unicesumar.edu.br/index.php/saudpesq/article/view/3604 |
Resumo: | Leptospirosis is endemic in tropical countries such as Brazil. In order to quantify the cases stemming the trend of this disease in Brazil, free of seasonal variations, we conducted a statistical analysis of the time series of cases reported monthly between January 2008 and December 2012. We conducted periodicity analysis and seasonal decomposition using data reported in SINAN (Notifiable Diseases Information System). We create a graph with the original and the trend-cycle series, through which we make our analyzes and raise some hypotheses. Seasonal variables as the rain really can be associated with leptospirosis, but this disease may occurs independently of the rain and it is possible that the amount of cases could be greater if the search had been continued active throughout the dry season, as can be viewed in the comparative graph. This check is added to the results of previous studies, which warn of danger to be expected that cases of leptospirosis occur only during rainy periods and due to contact with rain or floods, which may decrease the active search for disease in dry periods and may neglect other possibilities of disease transmission. |
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LEPTOSPIROSIS’S TREND AND SEASONALIT Y IN BRAZIL: STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF NOTIFIED CASES BET WEEN 2008 AND 2012Tendência e Sazonalidade da Leptospirose no Brasil: Análise Estatística dos Casos Notificados entre 2008 e 2012LeptospirosisEpidemiologyDescriptiveNeglected DiseasesEnvironmental HealthLeptospirosisEpidemiologyDescriptiveNeglected DiseasesEnvironmental Health / Doença NegligenciadaEpidemiologia DescritivaLeptospiroseSaúde Ambiental.Leptospirosis is endemic in tropical countries such as Brazil. In order to quantify the cases stemming the trend of this disease in Brazil, free of seasonal variations, we conducted a statistical analysis of the time series of cases reported monthly between January 2008 and December 2012. We conducted periodicity analysis and seasonal decomposition using data reported in SINAN (Notifiable Diseases Information System). We create a graph with the original and the trend-cycle series, through which we make our analyzes and raise some hypotheses. Seasonal variables as the rain really can be associated with leptospirosis, but this disease may occurs independently of the rain and it is possible that the amount of cases could be greater if the search had been continued active throughout the dry season, as can be viewed in the comparative graph. This check is added to the results of previous studies, which warn of danger to be expected that cases of leptospirosis occur only during rainy periods and due to contact with rain or floods, which may decrease the active search for disease in dry periods and may neglect other possibilities of disease transmission.Leptospirosis is endemic in tropical countries such as Brazil. In order to quantify the cases stemming the trend of this disease in Brazil, free of seasonal variations, we conducted a statistical analysis of the time series of cases reported monthly between January 2008 and December 2012. We conducted periodicity analysis and seasonal decomposition using data reported in SINAN (Notifiable Diseases Information System). We create a graph with the original and the trend-cycle series, through which we make our analyzes and raise some hypotheses. Seasonal variables as the rain really can be associated with leptospirosis, but this disease may occurs independently of the rain and it is possible that the amount of cases could be greater if the search had been continued active throughout the dry season, as can be viewed in the comparative graph. This check is added to the results of previous studies, which warn of danger to be expected that cases of leptospirosis occur only during rainy periods and due to contact with rain or floods, which may decrease the active search for disease in dry periods and may neglect other possibilities of disease transmission. RESUMO: A leptospirose é endêmica em países tropicais como o Brasil. Para quantificar os casos decorrentes de sua tendência no Brasil, livre de variações sazonais, foi realizada uma análise estatística da série temporal de casos notificados entre janeiro de 2008 e dezembro de 2012. Realizou-se análise de periodicidade e decomposição sazonal usando dados notificados no SINAN (Sistema de Informação de Agravos de Notificação). Um gráfico comparativo contendo a série original e a série de tendência-ciclo foi criado para subsidiar as análises. Variáveis sazonais, como a precipitação, realmente podem estar associadas à leptospirose, mas esta doença pode ocorrer independentemente das chuvas e é possível que a quantidade de casos seja maior se a busca continuar ativa durante a estação seca, como pode ser visto no gráfico comparativo. Esta verificação se soma aos resultados de estudos anteriores que alertam para o perigo de se esperar que os casos de leptospirose ocorram apenas durante períodos de chuva e devido ao contato com chuva ou inundações, o que pode diminuir a busca ativa de doença em períodos de seca e pode negligenciar outras possibilidades de transmissão da doença.Universidade Cesumar - UniCesumar2014-11-04info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionAvaliado por ParesStatistical Analysisapplication/pdfhttps://periodicos.unicesumar.edu.br/index.php/saudpesq/article/view/3604Saúde e Pesquisa; Vol 7 No 3 (2014): set./dez.Saúde e Pesquisa; v. 7 n. 3 (2014): set./dez.2176-9206reponame:Saúde e Pesquisa (Online)instname:Cesumar Diretoria de Pesquisainstacron:CESUMARporhttps://periodicos.unicesumar.edu.br/index.php/saudpesq/article/view/3604/2479Pereira, Carlos Alexandre RodriguesBarata, Martha Macedo de LimaCosta Neto, CristinaMonteiro, Gina Torres Regoinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess2020-09-04T14:23:05Zoai:ojs.pkp.sfu.ca:article/3604Revistahttps://periodicos.unicesumar.edu.br/index.php/saudpesqPUBhttps://periodicos.unicesumar.edu.br/index.php/saudpesq/oainaep@cesumar.br2176-92061983-1870opendoar:2020-09-04T14:23:05Saúde e Pesquisa (Online) - Cesumar Diretoria de Pesquisafalse |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
LEPTOSPIROSIS’S TREND AND SEASONALIT Y IN BRAZIL: STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF NOTIFIED CASES BET WEEN 2008 AND 2012 Tendência e Sazonalidade da Leptospirose no Brasil: Análise Estatística dos Casos Notificados entre 2008 e 2012 |
title |
LEPTOSPIROSIS’S TREND AND SEASONALIT Y IN BRAZIL: STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF NOTIFIED CASES BET WEEN 2008 AND 2012 |
spellingShingle |
LEPTOSPIROSIS’S TREND AND SEASONALIT Y IN BRAZIL: STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF NOTIFIED CASES BET WEEN 2008 AND 2012 Pereira, Carlos Alexandre Rodrigues Leptospirosis Epidemiology Descriptive Neglected Diseases Environmental Health Leptospirosis Epidemiology Descriptive Neglected Diseases Environmental Health / Doença Negligenciada Epidemiologia Descritiva Leptospirose Saúde Ambiental . |
title_short |
LEPTOSPIROSIS’S TREND AND SEASONALIT Y IN BRAZIL: STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF NOTIFIED CASES BET WEEN 2008 AND 2012 |
title_full |
LEPTOSPIROSIS’S TREND AND SEASONALIT Y IN BRAZIL: STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF NOTIFIED CASES BET WEEN 2008 AND 2012 |
title_fullStr |
LEPTOSPIROSIS’S TREND AND SEASONALIT Y IN BRAZIL: STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF NOTIFIED CASES BET WEEN 2008 AND 2012 |
title_full_unstemmed |
LEPTOSPIROSIS’S TREND AND SEASONALIT Y IN BRAZIL: STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF NOTIFIED CASES BET WEEN 2008 AND 2012 |
title_sort |
LEPTOSPIROSIS’S TREND AND SEASONALIT Y IN BRAZIL: STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF NOTIFIED CASES BET WEEN 2008 AND 2012 |
author |
Pereira, Carlos Alexandre Rodrigues |
author_facet |
Pereira, Carlos Alexandre Rodrigues Barata, Martha Macedo de Lima Costa Neto, Cristina Monteiro, Gina Torres Rego |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Barata, Martha Macedo de Lima Costa Neto, Cristina Monteiro, Gina Torres Rego |
author2_role |
author author author |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Pereira, Carlos Alexandre Rodrigues Barata, Martha Macedo de Lima Costa Neto, Cristina Monteiro, Gina Torres Rego |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Leptospirosis Epidemiology Descriptive Neglected Diseases Environmental Health Leptospirosis Epidemiology Descriptive Neglected Diseases Environmental Health / Doença Negligenciada Epidemiologia Descritiva Leptospirose Saúde Ambiental . |
topic |
Leptospirosis Epidemiology Descriptive Neglected Diseases Environmental Health Leptospirosis Epidemiology Descriptive Neglected Diseases Environmental Health / Doença Negligenciada Epidemiologia Descritiva Leptospirose Saúde Ambiental . |
description |
Leptospirosis is endemic in tropical countries such as Brazil. In order to quantify the cases stemming the trend of this disease in Brazil, free of seasonal variations, we conducted a statistical analysis of the time series of cases reported monthly between January 2008 and December 2012. We conducted periodicity analysis and seasonal decomposition using data reported in SINAN (Notifiable Diseases Information System). We create a graph with the original and the trend-cycle series, through which we make our analyzes and raise some hypotheses. Seasonal variables as the rain really can be associated with leptospirosis, but this disease may occurs independently of the rain and it is possible that the amount of cases could be greater if the search had been continued active throughout the dry season, as can be viewed in the comparative graph. This check is added to the results of previous studies, which warn of danger to be expected that cases of leptospirosis occur only during rainy periods and due to contact with rain or floods, which may decrease the active search for disease in dry periods and may neglect other possibilities of disease transmission. |
publishDate |
2014 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2014-11-04 |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion Avaliado por Pares Statistical Analysis |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
https://periodicos.unicesumar.edu.br/index.php/saudpesq/article/view/3604 |
url |
https://periodicos.unicesumar.edu.br/index.php/saudpesq/article/view/3604 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
por |
language |
por |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
https://periodicos.unicesumar.edu.br/index.php/saudpesq/article/view/3604/2479 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Universidade Cesumar - UniCesumar |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Universidade Cesumar - UniCesumar |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
Saúde e Pesquisa; Vol 7 No 3 (2014): set./dez. Saúde e Pesquisa; v. 7 n. 3 (2014): set./dez. 2176-9206 reponame:Saúde e Pesquisa (Online) instname:Cesumar Diretoria de Pesquisa instacron:CESUMAR |
instname_str |
Cesumar Diretoria de Pesquisa |
instacron_str |
CESUMAR |
institution |
CESUMAR |
reponame_str |
Saúde e Pesquisa (Online) |
collection |
Saúde e Pesquisa (Online) |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Saúde e Pesquisa (Online) - Cesumar Diretoria de Pesquisa |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
naep@cesumar.br |
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1754122533086429184 |