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spelling Buss, Lewis FletcherPrete Junior, Carlos AugustoAbrahim, Cláudia Maria de MouraMendrone Junior, AlfredoSalomon, TassilaAlmeida Neto, Cesar deFrança, Rafael Freitas de OliveiraBelotti, Maria C.Carvalho, Maria do Perpétuo Socorro SampaioCosta, Allyson Guimarães daCrispim, Myuki Alfaia EsashikaFerreira, Suzete C.Fraiji, Nelson AbrahimGurzenda, SusieWhittaker, CharlesKamaura, Leonardo TadashiTakecian, Pedro LoscoPeixoto, Pedro da SilvaOikawa, Marcio KatsumiOshiro, Anna Shoko NishiyaRocha, VandersonSalles, Nanci AlvesSantos, Andreza Aruska de SouzaSilva, Martirene A. daCuster, BrianParag, Kris V.Barral-Netto, ManoelKraemer, Moritz U. G.Pereira, Rafael H. M.Pybus, Oliver G.Busch, Michael P.Castro, Márcia C.Dye, ChristopherNascimento, Vitor HeloizFaria, Nuno R.Sabino, Ester Cerdeira2020-12-15T21:36:52Z2020-12-15T21:36:52Z2020BUSS, Lewis Fletcher et al. Three-quarters attack rate of SARS-CoV-2 in the Brazilian Amazon during a largely unmitigated epidemic. Science, p. 1-9, 8 Dec. 2020. Release.0036-8075https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/handle/icict/4492510.1126/science.abe97281095-9203Manoel Barral-Netto. Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Instituto Gonçalo Moniz. Salvador, BA, Brasil.Rafael F. O. França. Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Instituto Aggeu Magalhães. Departamento de Virologia e Terapia Experimental. Recife, PE, Brasil.Lewis Fletcher Buss (Universidade de São Paulo. Faculdade de Medicina. Departamento de Molestias Infecciosas e Parasitarias. São Paulo, SP, Brasil / Universidade de São Paulo. Faculdade de Medicina. Instituto de Medicina Tropical. São Paulo, SP, Brasil), Carlos A. Prete Jr. (Universidade de São Paulo. Escola Politécnica. Departamento de Engenharia de Sistemas Eletrônicos. São Paulo, Brasil), Claudia M. M. Abrahim (Fundação Hospitalar de Hematologia e Hemoterapia do Amazonas. Manaus, AM, Brasil), Alfredo Mendrone Jr. (Fundação Pró-Sangue–Hemocentro. São Paulo, SP, Brasil / Universidade de São Paulo. Faculdade de Medicina. Hospital das Clínicas. Departamento de Hematologia. Laboratório de Investigação Médica em Patogênese e Terapia Dirigida em Onco-Imuno-Hematologia (LIM-31). São Paulo, SP, Brasil), Tassila Salomon (Fundação Centro de Hematologia e Hemoterapia de Minas Gerais. Belo Horizonte, MG, Brasil / Faculdade Ciências Médicas de Minas Gerais. Belo Horizonte, MG, Brasil), Cesar de Almeida-Neto (Fundação Pró-Sangue–Hemocentro. São Paulo, SP, Brasil / Universidade de São Paulo. Faculdade de Medicina. Hospital das Clínicas. Departamento de Hematologia. Laboratório de Investigação Médica em Patogênese e Terapia Dirigida em Onco-Imuno-Hematologia (LIM-31). São Paulo, SP, Brasil), Rafael F. O. França (Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Instituto Aggeu Magalhães. Departamento de Virologia e Terapia Experimental. Recife, PE, Brasil), Maria C. Belotti (Universidade de São Paulo. Escola Politécnica. Departamento de Engenharia de Sistemas Eletrônicos. São Paulo, Brasil), Maria P. S. S. Carvalho (Fundação Hospitalar de Hematologia e Hemoterapia do Amazonas. Manaus, AM, Brasil), Allyson G. Costa (Fundação Hospitalar de Hematologia e Hemoterapia do Amazonas. Manaus, AM, Brasil), Myuki A. E. Crispim (Fundação Hospitalar de Hematologia e Hemoterapia do Amazonas. Manaus, AM, Brasil), Suzete C. Ferreira (Fundação Pró-Sangue–Hemocentro. São Paulo, SP, Brasil / Universidade de São Paulo. Faculdade de Medicina. Hospital das Clínicas. Departamento de Hematologia. Laboratório de Investigação Médica em Patogênese e Terapia Dirigida em Onco-Imuno-Hematologia (LIM-31). São Paulo, SP, Brasil), Nelson A. Fraiji (Fundação Hospitalar de Hematologia e Hemoterapia do Amazonas. Manaus, AM, Brasil), Susie Gurzenda (Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health. Department of Global Health and Population. Boston, MA, USA), Charles Whittaker (Imperial College London. School of Public Health. Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology. London, UK), Leonardo T. Kamaura (Universidade de São Paulo. Instituto de Matemática e Estatística. São Paulo, SP, Brasil), Pedro L. Takecian (Universidade de São Paulo. Instituto de Matemática e Estatística. São Paulo, SP, Brasil), Pedro da Silva Peixoto (Universidade de São Paulo. Instituto de Matemática e Estatística. São Paulo, SP, Brasil), Marcio K. Oikawa (Universidade Federal do ABC. Centro de Matemática, Computação e Cognição. São Paulo, SP, Brasil), Anna S. Nishiya (Fundação Pró-Sangue–Hemocentro. São Paulo, SP, Brasil / Universidade de São Paulo. Faculdade de Medicina. Hospital das Clínicas. Departamento de Hematologia. Laboratório de Investigação Médica em Patogênese e Terapia Dirigida em Onco-Imuno-Hematologia (LIM-31). São Paulo, SP, Brasil), Vanderson Rocha (Fundação Pró-Sangue–Hemocentro. São Paulo, SP, Brasil / Universidade de São Paulo. Faculdade de Medicina. Hospital das Clínicas. Departamento de Hematologia. Laboratório de Investigação Médica em Patogênese e Terapia Dirigida em Onco-Imuno-Hematologia (LIM-31). São Paulo, SP, Brasil), Nanci A. Salles (Fundação Pró-Sangue–Hemocentro. São Paulo, SP, Brasil), Andreza Aruska de Souza Santos (University of Oxford. Latin American Centre. Oxford School of Global and Area Studies. Oxford, UK), Martirene A. da Silva (Fundação Hospitalar de Hematologia e Hemoterapia do Amazonas. Manaus, AM, Brasil), Brian Custer (Vitalant Research Institute. San Francisco, CA, USA / University of California. San Francisco, CA, USA), Kris V. Parag (Imperial College London. MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis. J-IDEA. London, UK), Manoel Barral-Netto (Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Instituto Gonçalo Moniz. Salvador, BA, Brasil), Moritz U. G. Kraemer (University of Oxford. Department of Zoology. Oxford, UK), Rafael H. M. Pereira (Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada. Brasília, DF, Brasil), Oliver G. Pybus (University of Oxford. Department of Zoology. Oxford, UK), Michael P. Busch (Vitalant Research Institute. San Francisco, CA, USA / University of California. San Francisco, CA, USA), Márcia C. Castro (Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health. Department of Global Health and Population. Boston, MA, USA), Christopher Dye (University of Oxford. Department of Zoology. Oxford, UK), Vitor H. Nascimento (Universidade de São Paulo. Escola Politécnica. Departamento de Engenharia de Sistemas Eletrônicos. São Paulo, Brasil), Nuno R. Faria (Universidade de São Paulo. Faculdade de Medicina. Departamento de Molestias Infecciosas e Parasitarias. São Paulo, SP, Brasil / Imperial College London. MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis. J-IDEA. London, UK / University of Oxford. Department of Zoology. Oxford, UK), Ester C. Sabino (Universidade de São Paulo. Faculdade de Medicina. Departamento de Molestias Infecciosas e Parasitarias. São Paulo, SP, Brasil)Múltipla - ver em Notas.SARS-CoV-2 spread rapidly in the Brazilian Amazon and the attack rate there is an estimate of the final size of a largely unmitigated epidemic. We use a convenience sample of blood donors to show that by June, one month after the epidemic peak in Manaus, capital of Amazonas state, 44% of the population had detectable IgG antibodies. Correcting for cases without a detectable antibody response and antibody waning, we estimate a 66% attack rate in June, rising to 76% in October. This is higher than in São Paulo, in southeastern Brazil, where the estimated attack rate in October is 29%. These results confirm that, when poorly controlled, COVID-19 can infect a high fraction of the population causing high mortality.engAmerican Association for the Advancement of ScienceSARS-CoV-2BetacoronavirusEcosistema AmazônicoBrasilEpidemiasCOVID-19SARS-CoV-2BetacoronavirusAmazonian EcosystemBrazilEpidemicsCOVID-19Three-quarters attack rate of SARS-CoV-2 in the Brazilian Amazon during a largely unmitigated epidemic (Release)info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Institucional da FIOCRUZ (ARCA)instname:Fundação Oswaldo Cruz (FIOCRUZ)instacron:FIOCRUZORIGINALBuss_Lewis F._etal_IGM_2020_COVID-19.pdfBuss_Lewis F._etal_IGM_2020_COVID-19.pdfapplication/pdf1211792https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/bitstream/icict/44925/2/Buss_Lewis%20F._etal_IGM_2020_COVID-19.pdf15af15924d2e25fd1c9ef5a2a95716d3MD52LICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; 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dc.title.pt_BR.fl_str_mv Three-quarters attack rate of SARS-CoV-2 in the Brazilian Amazon during a largely unmitigated epidemic (Release)
title Three-quarters attack rate of SARS-CoV-2 in the Brazilian Amazon during a largely unmitigated epidemic (Release)
spellingShingle Three-quarters attack rate of SARS-CoV-2 in the Brazilian Amazon during a largely unmitigated epidemic (Release)
Buss, Lewis Fletcher
SARS-CoV-2
Betacoronavirus
Ecosistema Amazônico
Brasil
Epidemias
COVID-19
SARS-CoV-2
Betacoronavirus
Amazonian Ecosystem
Brazil
Epidemics
COVID-19
title_short Three-quarters attack rate of SARS-CoV-2 in the Brazilian Amazon during a largely unmitigated epidemic (Release)
title_full Three-quarters attack rate of SARS-CoV-2 in the Brazilian Amazon during a largely unmitigated epidemic (Release)
title_fullStr Three-quarters attack rate of SARS-CoV-2 in the Brazilian Amazon during a largely unmitigated epidemic (Release)
title_full_unstemmed Three-quarters attack rate of SARS-CoV-2 in the Brazilian Amazon during a largely unmitigated epidemic (Release)
title_sort Three-quarters attack rate of SARS-CoV-2 in the Brazilian Amazon during a largely unmitigated epidemic (Release)
author Buss, Lewis Fletcher
author_facet Buss, Lewis Fletcher
Prete Junior, Carlos Augusto
Abrahim, Cláudia Maria de Moura
Mendrone Junior, Alfredo
Salomon, Tassila
Almeida Neto, Cesar de
França, Rafael Freitas de Oliveira
Belotti, Maria C.
Carvalho, Maria do Perpétuo Socorro Sampaio
Costa, Allyson Guimarães da
Crispim, Myuki Alfaia Esashika
Ferreira, Suzete C.
Fraiji, Nelson Abrahim
Gurzenda, Susie
Whittaker, Charles
Kamaura, Leonardo Tadashi
Takecian, Pedro Losco
Peixoto, Pedro da Silva
Oikawa, Marcio Katsumi
Oshiro, Anna Shoko Nishiya
Rocha, Vanderson
Salles, Nanci Alves
Santos, Andreza Aruska de Souza
Silva, Martirene A. da
Custer, Brian
Parag, Kris V.
Barral-Netto, Manoel
Kraemer, Moritz U. G.
Pereira, Rafael H. M.
Pybus, Oliver G.
Busch, Michael P.
Castro, Márcia C.
Dye, Christopher
Nascimento, Vitor Heloiz
Faria, Nuno R.
Sabino, Ester Cerdeira
author_role author
author2 Prete Junior, Carlos Augusto
Abrahim, Cláudia Maria de Moura
Mendrone Junior, Alfredo
Salomon, Tassila
Almeida Neto, Cesar de
França, Rafael Freitas de Oliveira
Belotti, Maria C.
Carvalho, Maria do Perpétuo Socorro Sampaio
Costa, Allyson Guimarães da
Crispim, Myuki Alfaia Esashika
Ferreira, Suzete C.
Fraiji, Nelson Abrahim
Gurzenda, Susie
Whittaker, Charles
Kamaura, Leonardo Tadashi
Takecian, Pedro Losco
Peixoto, Pedro da Silva
Oikawa, Marcio Katsumi
Oshiro, Anna Shoko Nishiya
Rocha, Vanderson
Salles, Nanci Alves
Santos, Andreza Aruska de Souza
Silva, Martirene A. da
Custer, Brian
Parag, Kris V.
Barral-Netto, Manoel
Kraemer, Moritz U. G.
Pereira, Rafael H. M.
Pybus, Oliver G.
Busch, Michael P.
Castro, Márcia C.
Dye, Christopher
Nascimento, Vitor Heloiz
Faria, Nuno R.
Sabino, Ester Cerdeira
author2_role author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Buss, Lewis Fletcher
Prete Junior, Carlos Augusto
Abrahim, Cláudia Maria de Moura
Mendrone Junior, Alfredo
Salomon, Tassila
Almeida Neto, Cesar de
França, Rafael Freitas de Oliveira
Belotti, Maria C.
Carvalho, Maria do Perpétuo Socorro Sampaio
Costa, Allyson Guimarães da
Crispim, Myuki Alfaia Esashika
Ferreira, Suzete C.
Fraiji, Nelson Abrahim
Gurzenda, Susie
Whittaker, Charles
Kamaura, Leonardo Tadashi
Takecian, Pedro Losco
Peixoto, Pedro da Silva
Oikawa, Marcio Katsumi
Oshiro, Anna Shoko Nishiya
Rocha, Vanderson
Salles, Nanci Alves
Santos, Andreza Aruska de Souza
Silva, Martirene A. da
Custer, Brian
Parag, Kris V.
Barral-Netto, Manoel
Kraemer, Moritz U. G.
Pereira, Rafael H. M.
Pybus, Oliver G.
Busch, Michael P.
Castro, Márcia C.
Dye, Christopher
Nascimento, Vitor Heloiz
Faria, Nuno R.
Sabino, Ester Cerdeira
dc.subject.other.pt_BR.fl_str_mv SARS-CoV-2
Betacoronavirus
Ecosistema Amazônico
Brasil
Epidemias
COVID-19
topic SARS-CoV-2
Betacoronavirus
Ecosistema Amazônico
Brasil
Epidemias
COVID-19
SARS-CoV-2
Betacoronavirus
Amazonian Ecosystem
Brazil
Epidemics
COVID-19
dc.subject.en.en.fl_str_mv SARS-CoV-2
Betacoronavirus
Amazonian Ecosystem
Brazil
dc.subject.en.pt_BR.fl_str_mv Epidemics
COVID-19
description Manoel Barral-Netto. Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Instituto Gonçalo Moniz. Salvador, BA, Brasil.
publishDate 2020
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv 2020-12-15T21:36:52Z
dc.date.available.fl_str_mv 2020-12-15T21:36:52Z
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv 2020
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.citation.fl_str_mv BUSS, Lewis Fletcher et al. Three-quarters attack rate of SARS-CoV-2 in the Brazilian Amazon during a largely unmitigated epidemic. Science, p. 1-9, 8 Dec. 2020. Release.
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/handle/icict/44925
dc.identifier.issn.pt_BR.fl_str_mv 0036-8075
dc.identifier.doi.none.fl_str_mv 10.1126/science.abe9728
dc.identifier.eissn.none.fl_str_mv 1095-9203
identifier_str_mv BUSS, Lewis Fletcher et al. Three-quarters attack rate of SARS-CoV-2 in the Brazilian Amazon during a largely unmitigated epidemic. Science, p. 1-9, 8 Dec. 2020. Release.
0036-8075
10.1126/science.abe9728
1095-9203
url https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/handle/icict/44925
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
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publisher.none.fl_str_mv American Association for the Advancement of Science
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repository.name.fl_str_mv Repositório Institucional da FIOCRUZ (ARCA) - Fundação Oswaldo Cruz (FIOCRUZ)
repository.mail.fl_str_mv repositorio.arca@fiocruz.br
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