Spatial diffusion of Zika fever epidemics in the Municipality of Salvador-Bahia, Brazil, in 2015-2016: does Zika fever have the same spread pattern as Dengue and Chikungunya fever epidemics?

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Santana, Laís Santos
Data de Publicação: 2020
Outros Autores: Braga, Jose Ueleres
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: eng
Título da fonte: Repositório Institucional da FIOCRUZ (ARCA)
Texto Completo: https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/handle/icict/41542
Resumo: Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Escola Nacional de Saúde Pública Sergio Arouca. Programa de Pós-Graduação Stricto Sensu em Epidemiologia em Saúde Pública. Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil.
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spelling Santana, Laís SantosBraga, Jose Ueleres2020-06-04T20:15:23Z2020-06-04T20:15:23Z2020SANTANA, Laís Santos; BRAGA, Jose Ueleres. Spatial diffusion of Zika fever epidemics in the Municipality of Salvador-Bahia, Brazil, in 2015-2016: does Zika fever have the same spread pattern as Dengue and Chikungunya fever epidemics? Revista da Sociedade Brasileira de Medicina Tropical, v. 53, p. 1-11, 2020.0037-8682https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/handle/icict/4154210.1590/0037-8682-0563-20191678-9849engSociedade Brasileira de Medicina TropicalZika VirusVírus ChikungunyaDengueArbovirusZikaChikungunyaDengueArbovirusesSpatial DiffusionZika VirusChikungunya VirusDengueArbovirusesSpatial diffusion of Zika fever epidemics in the Municipality of Salvador-Bahia, Brazil, in 2015-2016: does Zika fever have the same spread pattern as Dengue and Chikungunya fever epidemics?info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleFundação Oswaldo Cruz. Escola Nacional de Saúde Pública Sergio Arouca. Programa de Pós-Graduação Stricto Sensu em Epidemiologia em Saúde Pública. Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil.Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Escola Nacional de Saúde Pública Sergio Arouca. Departamento de Epidemiologia e Métodos Quantitativos. Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil / Universidade do Estado do Rio de Janeiro. Instituto de Medicina Social. Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil.INTRODUCTION: The recent emergence and rapid spread of Zika and Chikungunya fevers in Brazil, occurring simultaneously to a Dengue fever epidemic, together represent major challenges to public health authorities. This study aimed to identify and compare the 2015-2016 spatial diffusion pattern of Zika, Chikungunya, and Dengue epidemics in Salvador-Bahia. METHODS: We used two study designs comprising a cross-sectional-to-point pattern and an ecological analysis of lattice data. Residential addresses involving notified cases were geocoded. We used four spatial diffusion analysis techniques: (i) visual inspection of the sequential kernel and choropleth map, (ii) spatial correlogram analysis, (iii) spatial local autocorrelation (LISA) changes analysis and, (iv) nearest neighbor index (NNI) modeling. RESULTS: Kernel and choropleth maps indicated that arboviruses spread to neighboring areas near the first reported cases and occupied these new areas, suggesting a diffusion expansion pattern. A greater case density occurred in central and western areas. In 2015 and 2016, the NNI best-fit model had an S-curve compatible with an expansion pattern for Zika (R2 = 0.94; 0.95), Chikungunya (R2 = 0.99; 0.98) and Dengue (R2 = 0.93; 0.99) epidemics, respectively. Spatial correlograms indicated a decline in spatial lag autocorrelations for the three diseases (expansion pattern). Significant LISA changes suggested different diffusion patterns, although a small number of changes were detected. CONCLUSIONS: These findings indicate diffusion expansion, a unique spatial diffusion pattern of Zika, Chikungunya, and Dengue epidemics in Salvador-Bahia, namely. Knowing how and where arboviruses spread in Salvador-Bahia can help improve subsequent specific epidemic control interventions.info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Institucional da FIOCRUZ (ARCA)instname:Fundação Oswaldo Cruz (FIOCRUZ)instacron:FIOCRUZLICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-82991https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/bitstream/icict/41542/1/license.txt5a560609d32a3863062d77ff32785d58MD51ORIGINALSpatialDiffusionZikaFever.pdfSpatialDiffusionZikaFever.pdfapplication/pdf3073272https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/bitstream/icict/41542/2/SpatialDiffusionZikaFever.pdf7b2bb36d41c8f3f49ff65ce313ae9b7aMD52TEXTSpatialDiffusionZikaFever.pdf.txtSpatialDiffusionZikaFever.pdf.txtExtracted texttext/plain39046https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/bitstream/icict/41542/3/SpatialDiffusionZikaFever.pdf.txt48505be99825aa0a80a99db0aab2355cMD53icict/415422020-06-07 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dc.title.pt_BR.fl_str_mv Spatial diffusion of Zika fever epidemics in the Municipality of Salvador-Bahia, Brazil, in 2015-2016: does Zika fever have the same spread pattern as Dengue and Chikungunya fever epidemics?
title Spatial diffusion of Zika fever epidemics in the Municipality of Salvador-Bahia, Brazil, in 2015-2016: does Zika fever have the same spread pattern as Dengue and Chikungunya fever epidemics?
spellingShingle Spatial diffusion of Zika fever epidemics in the Municipality of Salvador-Bahia, Brazil, in 2015-2016: does Zika fever have the same spread pattern as Dengue and Chikungunya fever epidemics?
Santana, Laís Santos
Zika Virus
Vírus Chikungunya
Dengue
Arbovirus
Zika
Chikungunya
Dengue
Arboviruses
Spatial Diffusion
Zika Virus
Chikungunya Virus
Dengue
Arboviruses
title_short Spatial diffusion of Zika fever epidemics in the Municipality of Salvador-Bahia, Brazil, in 2015-2016: does Zika fever have the same spread pattern as Dengue and Chikungunya fever epidemics?
title_full Spatial diffusion of Zika fever epidemics in the Municipality of Salvador-Bahia, Brazil, in 2015-2016: does Zika fever have the same spread pattern as Dengue and Chikungunya fever epidemics?
title_fullStr Spatial diffusion of Zika fever epidemics in the Municipality of Salvador-Bahia, Brazil, in 2015-2016: does Zika fever have the same spread pattern as Dengue and Chikungunya fever epidemics?
title_full_unstemmed Spatial diffusion of Zika fever epidemics in the Municipality of Salvador-Bahia, Brazil, in 2015-2016: does Zika fever have the same spread pattern as Dengue and Chikungunya fever epidemics?
title_sort Spatial diffusion of Zika fever epidemics in the Municipality of Salvador-Bahia, Brazil, in 2015-2016: does Zika fever have the same spread pattern as Dengue and Chikungunya fever epidemics?
author Santana, Laís Santos
author_facet Santana, Laís Santos
Braga, Jose Ueleres
author_role author
author2 Braga, Jose Ueleres
author2_role author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Santana, Laís Santos
Braga, Jose Ueleres
dc.subject.other.pt_BR.fl_str_mv Zika Virus
Vírus Chikungunya
Dengue
Arbovirus
topic Zika Virus
Vírus Chikungunya
Dengue
Arbovirus
Zika
Chikungunya
Dengue
Arboviruses
Spatial Diffusion
Zika Virus
Chikungunya Virus
Dengue
Arboviruses
dc.subject.en.pt_BR.fl_str_mv Zika
Chikungunya
Dengue
Arboviruses
Spatial Diffusion
dc.subject.decs.pt_BR.fl_str_mv Zika Virus
Chikungunya Virus
Dengue
Arboviruses
description Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Escola Nacional de Saúde Pública Sergio Arouca. Programa de Pós-Graduação Stricto Sensu em Epidemiologia em Saúde Pública. Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil.
publishDate 2020
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv 2020-06-04T20:15:23Z
dc.date.available.fl_str_mv 2020-06-04T20:15:23Z
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv 2020
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.citation.fl_str_mv SANTANA, Laís Santos; BRAGA, Jose Ueleres. Spatial diffusion of Zika fever epidemics in the Municipality of Salvador-Bahia, Brazil, in 2015-2016: does Zika fever have the same spread pattern as Dengue and Chikungunya fever epidemics? Revista da Sociedade Brasileira de Medicina Tropical, v. 53, p. 1-11, 2020.
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/handle/icict/41542
dc.identifier.issn.pt_BR.fl_str_mv 0037-8682
dc.identifier.doi.none.fl_str_mv 10.1590/0037-8682-0563-2019
dc.identifier.eissn.none.fl_str_mv 1678-9849
identifier_str_mv SANTANA, Laís Santos; BRAGA, Jose Ueleres. Spatial diffusion of Zika fever epidemics in the Municipality of Salvador-Bahia, Brazil, in 2015-2016: does Zika fever have the same spread pattern as Dengue and Chikungunya fever epidemics? Revista da Sociedade Brasileira de Medicina Tropical, v. 53, p. 1-11, 2020.
0037-8682
10.1590/0037-8682-0563-2019
1678-9849
url https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/handle/icict/41542
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Sociedade Brasileira de Medicina Tropical
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Sociedade Brasileira de Medicina Tropical
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:Repositório Institucional da FIOCRUZ (ARCA)
instname:Fundação Oswaldo Cruz (FIOCRUZ)
instacron:FIOCRUZ
instname_str Fundação Oswaldo Cruz (FIOCRUZ)
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institution FIOCRUZ
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collection Repositório Institucional da FIOCRUZ (ARCA)
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https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/bitstream/icict/41542/2/SpatialDiffusionZikaFever.pdf
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