Severe airport sanitarian control could slow down the spreading of COVID-19 pandemics in Brazil

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Ribeiro, Sérvio Pontes
Data de Publicação: 2020
Outros Autores: Dáttilo, Wesley, Silva, Alcides Castro e, Reis, Alexandre Barbosa, Góes Neto, Aristóteles, Alcantara, Luiz Carlos Junior, Giovanetti, Marta, Vital, Wendel Coura, Fernandes, Geraldo Wilson, Azevedo, Vasco Ariston C.
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: eng
Título da fonte: Repositório Institucional da FIOCRUZ (ARCA)
Texto Completo: https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/handle/icict/42415
Resumo: Universidade Federal de Ouro Preto. Núcleo de Pesquisas em Ciências Biológicas. Ouro Preto, MG, Brasil.
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spelling Ribeiro, Sérvio PontesDáttilo, WesleySilva, Alcides Castro eReis, Alexandre BarbosaGóes Neto, AristótelesAlcantara, Luiz Carlos JuniorGiovanetti, MartaVital, Wendel CouraFernandes, Geraldo WilsonAzevedo, Vasco Ariston C.2020-07-27T20:37:06Z2020-07-27T20:37:06Z2020RIBEIRO, Sérvio Pontes et al. Severe airport sanitarian control could slow down the spreading of COVID-19 pandemics in Brazil. medRxiv, p. 1-15, Mar. 2020.https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/handle/icict/4241510.1101/2020.03.26.20044370engSARS-CoV-2Dinâmica de metapopulaçãoPovos indígenasAmazôniaCOVID-19PandemiaSARS-CoV-2SIR modelMetapopulation dynamicsAmazoniaIndigenous peopleone-EcohealthCOVID-19PandemicSevere airport sanitarian control could slow down the spreading of COVID-19 pandemics in Brazilinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleUniversidade Federal de Ouro Preto. Núcleo de Pesquisas em Ciências Biológicas. Ouro Preto, MG, Brasil.Red de Ecoetología, Instituto de Ecología AC. Xalapa, Vera Cruz, Mexico.Universidade Federal de Ouro Preto. Departamento de Física. Laboratório da Ciência da Complexidade. Ouro Preto, MG, Brasil.Universidade Federal de Ouro Preto. Escola de Farmácia. Departamento de Análises Clínicas. Laboratório de Imunopatologia. Ouro Preto, MG, Brasil.Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais. Instituto de Ciências Biológicas. Departamento de Microbiologia. Laboratório de Biologia Molecular e Computacional de Fungos. Belo Horizonte, MG, Brasil.Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Instituto Oswaldo Cruz. Laboratório de Flavivírus. Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil.Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Instituto Oswaldo Cruz. Laboratório de Flavivírus. Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil.Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais. ICB. Departamento de Genética, Ecologia & Evolução. Belo Horizonte, MG, Brasil.Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais. ICB. Departamento de Genética, Ecologia & Evolução. Belo Horizonte, MG, Brasil.Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais. ICB. Departamento de Genética, Ecologia & Evolução. Belo Horizonte, MG, Brasil.We investigated a likely scenario of COVID-19 spreading in Brazil through the complex airport network of the country, for the 90 days after the first national occurrence of the disease. After the confirmation of the first imported cases, the lack of a proper airport entrance control resulted in the infection spreading in a manner directly proportional to the amount of flights reaching each city, following first occurrence of the virus coming from abroad. Methodology. We developed a SIR (Susceptible-InfectedRecovered) model divided in a metapopulation structure, where cities with airports were demes connected by the number of flights. Subsequently, we further explored the role of Manaus airport for a rapid entrance of the pandemic into indigenous territories situated in remote places of the Amazon region. Results. The expansion of the SARS-CoV-2 virus between cities was fast, directly proportional to the airport closeness centrality within the Brazilian air transportation network. There was a clear pattern in the expansion of the pandemic, with a stiff exponential expansion of cases for all cities. The more an airport showed closeness centrality, the greater was its vulnerability to SARS-CoV-2. Conclusions. We discussed the weak pandemic control performance of Brazil in comparison with other tropical, developing countries, namely India and Nigeria. Finally, we proposed measures for containing virus spreading taking into consideration the scenario of high poverty.info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Institucional da FIOCRUZ (ARCA)instname:Fundação Oswaldo Cruz (FIOCRUZ)instacron:FIOCRUZLICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-82991https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/bitstream/icict/42415/1/license.txt5a560609d32a3863062d77ff32785d58MD51ORIGINALLCJAlcantara_MartaGiovanetti_etal_IOC_2020.pdfLCJAlcantara_MartaGiovanetti_etal_IOC_2020.pdfapplication/pdf10031111https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/bitstream/icict/42415/2/LCJAlcantara_MartaGiovanetti_etal_IOC_2020.pdf07b22b969e398b29a281720485391593MD52TEXTLCJAlcantara_MartaGiovanetti_etal_IOC_2020.pdf.txtLCJAlcantara_MartaGiovanetti_etal_IOC_2020.pdf.txtExtracted texttext/plain36782https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/bitstream/icict/42415/3/LCJAlcantara_MartaGiovanetti_etal_IOC_2020.pdf.txtb3d7ff6b93b53ea0e2bd5d30d552affdMD53icict/424152022-06-24 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dc.title.pt_BR.fl_str_mv Severe airport sanitarian control could slow down the spreading of COVID-19 pandemics in Brazil
title Severe airport sanitarian control could slow down the spreading of COVID-19 pandemics in Brazil
spellingShingle Severe airport sanitarian control could slow down the spreading of COVID-19 pandemics in Brazil
Ribeiro, Sérvio Pontes
SARS-CoV-2
Dinâmica de metapopulação
Povos indígenas
Amazônia
COVID-19
Pandemia
SARS-CoV-2
SIR model
Metapopulation dynamics
Amazonia
Indigenous people
one-Ecohealth
COVID-19
Pandemic
title_short Severe airport sanitarian control could slow down the spreading of COVID-19 pandemics in Brazil
title_full Severe airport sanitarian control could slow down the spreading of COVID-19 pandemics in Brazil
title_fullStr Severe airport sanitarian control could slow down the spreading of COVID-19 pandemics in Brazil
title_full_unstemmed Severe airport sanitarian control could slow down the spreading of COVID-19 pandemics in Brazil
title_sort Severe airport sanitarian control could slow down the spreading of COVID-19 pandemics in Brazil
author Ribeiro, Sérvio Pontes
author_facet Ribeiro, Sérvio Pontes
Dáttilo, Wesley
Silva, Alcides Castro e
Reis, Alexandre Barbosa
Góes Neto, Aristóteles
Alcantara, Luiz Carlos Junior
Giovanetti, Marta
Vital, Wendel Coura
Fernandes, Geraldo Wilson
Azevedo, Vasco Ariston C.
author_role author
author2 Dáttilo, Wesley
Silva, Alcides Castro e
Reis, Alexandre Barbosa
Góes Neto, Aristóteles
Alcantara, Luiz Carlos Junior
Giovanetti, Marta
Vital, Wendel Coura
Fernandes, Geraldo Wilson
Azevedo, Vasco Ariston C.
author2_role author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Ribeiro, Sérvio Pontes
Dáttilo, Wesley
Silva, Alcides Castro e
Reis, Alexandre Barbosa
Góes Neto, Aristóteles
Alcantara, Luiz Carlos Junior
Giovanetti, Marta
Vital, Wendel Coura
Fernandes, Geraldo Wilson
Azevedo, Vasco Ariston C.
dc.subject.other.pt_BR.fl_str_mv SARS-CoV-2
Dinâmica de metapopulação
Povos indígenas
Amazônia
COVID-19
Pandemia
topic SARS-CoV-2
Dinâmica de metapopulação
Povos indígenas
Amazônia
COVID-19
Pandemia
SARS-CoV-2
SIR model
Metapopulation dynamics
Amazonia
Indigenous people
one-Ecohealth
COVID-19
Pandemic
dc.subject.en.pt_BR.fl_str_mv SARS-CoV-2
SIR model
Metapopulation dynamics
Amazonia
Indigenous people
one-Ecohealth
COVID-19
Pandemic
description Universidade Federal de Ouro Preto. Núcleo de Pesquisas em Ciências Biológicas. Ouro Preto, MG, Brasil.
publishDate 2020
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv 2020-07-27T20:37:06Z
dc.date.available.fl_str_mv 2020-07-27T20:37:06Z
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv 2020
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.citation.fl_str_mv RIBEIRO, Sérvio Pontes et al. Severe airport sanitarian control could slow down the spreading of COVID-19 pandemics in Brazil. medRxiv, p. 1-15, Mar. 2020.
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/handle/icict/42415
dc.identifier.doi.none.fl_str_mv 10.1101/2020.03.26.20044370
identifier_str_mv RIBEIRO, Sérvio Pontes et al. Severe airport sanitarian control could slow down the spreading of COVID-19 pandemics in Brazil. medRxiv, p. 1-15, Mar. 2020.
10.1101/2020.03.26.20044370
url https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/handle/icict/42415
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:Repositório Institucional da FIOCRUZ (ARCA)
instname:Fundação Oswaldo Cruz (FIOCRUZ)
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