Rainfall and other meteorological factors as drivers of urban transmission of leptospirosis
| Autor(a) principal: | |
|---|---|
| Data de Publicação: | 2022 |
| Outros Autores: | , , , , , , , , , , , , |
| Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
| Idioma: | eng |
| Título da fonte: | Repositório Institucional da FIOCRUZ (ARCA) |
| Texto Completo: | https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/handle/icict/52566 |
Resumo: | Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (Capes). Wellcome Trust. Ecologia e Evolução de Programa de Doenças Infecciosas |
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Cunha, MarceloCosta, FedericoRibeiro, Guilherme S.Carvalho, Marilia S.Reis, Renato B.Nery Jr, NivisonPischel, LaurenGouveia, Edilane L.Santos, Andreia C.Queiroz, AdrianoWunder Jr., Elsio A.Reis, Mitermayer G.Diggle, Peter J.Ko, Albert I.2022-05-06T17:45:59Z2022-05-06T17:45:59Z2022CUNHA, Marcelo et al. Rainfall and other meteorological factors as drivers of urban transmission of leptospirosis. PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases, v.16, n. 4, p. 1-15, 2022.1935-2735https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/handle/icict/5256610.1371/journal.pntd.0007507Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (Capes). Wellcome Trust. Ecologia e Evolução de Programa de Doenças InfecciosasMinistério da Saúde. Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Escola Nacional de Saúde Pública. Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil.Ministério da Saúde. Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Instituto Gonçalo Moniz. Salvador, BA, Brasil / Universidade Federal da Bahia. Instituto de Saúde Coletiva. Salvador, BA, Brasil / University of Lancaster. Faculty of Health and Medicine. Lancaster, United Kingdom / Yale University. School of Public Health. Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases. New Heaven, Connecticut, United States of America.Ministério da Saúde. Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Instituto Gonçalo Moniz. Salvador, BA, Brasil / Universidade Federal da Bahia. Faculdade de Medicina. Salvador, BA, Brasil.Ministério da Saúde. Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Escola Nacional de Saúde Pública. Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil.Ministério da Saúde. Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Instituto Gonçalo Moniz. Salvador, BA, Brasil.Ministério da Saúde. Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Instituto Gonçalo Moniz. Salvador, BA, Brasil / Universidade Federal da Bahia. Instituto de Saúde Coletiva. Salvador, BA, Brasil.Yale University. School of Public Health. Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases. New Heaven, Connecticut, United States of America.Ministério da Saúde. Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Instituto Gonçalo Moniz. Salvador, BA, Brasil.Ministério da Saúde. Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Instituto Gonçalo Moniz. Salvador, BA, Brasil.Ministério da Saúde. Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Instituto Gonçalo Moniz. Salvador, BA, Brasil.Ministério da Saúde. Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Instituto Gonçalo Moniz. Salvador, BA, Brasil / Yale University. School of Public Health. Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases. New Heaven, Connecticut, United States of America.Ministério da Saúde. Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Instituto Gonçalo Moniz. Salvador, BA, Brasil / Yale University. School of Public Health. Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases. New Heaven, Connecticut, United States of America / Universidade Federal da Bahia. Faculdade de Medicina. Salvador, BA, Brasil.University of Lancaster. Faculty of Health and Medicine. Lancaster, United Kingdom / Yale University. School of Public Health. Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases. New Heaven, Connecticut, United States of America.Ministério da Saúde. Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Instituto Gonçalo Moniz. Salvador, BA, Brasil / Yale University. School of Public Health. Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases. New Heaven, Connecticut, United States of America.Background: Leptospirosis is an important public health problem affecting vulnerable urban slum populations in developing country settings. However, the complex interaction of meteorological factors driving the temporal trends of leptospirosis remain incompletely understood. Methods and findings: From March 1996—March 2010, we investigated the association between the weekly incidence of leptospirosis and meteorological anomalies in the city of Salvador, Brazil by using a dynamic generalized linear model that accounted for time lags, overall trend, and seasonal variation. Our model showed an increase of leptospirosis cases associated with higher than expected rainfall, lower than expected temperature and higher than expected humidity. There was a lag of one-to-two weeks between weekly values for significant meteorological variables and leptospirosis incidence. Independent of the season, a weekly cumulative rainfall anomaly of 20 mm increased the risk of leptospirosis by 12% compared to a week following the expected seasonal pattern. Finally, over the 14-year study period, the annual incidence of leptospirosis decreased significantly by a factor of 2.7 (8.3 versus 3.0 per 100,000 people), independently of variations in climate. Conclusions: Strategies to control leptospirosis should focus on avoiding contact with contaminated sources of Leptospira as well as on increasing awareness in the population and health professionals within the short time window after low-level or extreme high-level rainfall events. Increased leptospirosis incidence was restricted to one-to-two weeks after those events suggesting that infectious Leptospira survival may be limited to short time intervals.engPublic Library of ScienceLeptospiroseTransmissão de Doença InfecciosaChuvaLeptospirosisDisease Transmission, InfectiousRainLeptospirosisTransmisión de Enfermedad InfecciosaLluviaLeptospiroseTransmission de maladie infectieusePluieRainfall and other meteorological factors as drivers of urban transmission of leptospirosisinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Institucional da FIOCRUZ (ARCA)instname:Fundação Oswaldo Cruz (FIOCRUZ)instacron:FIOCRUZLICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-82991https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/bitstream/icict/52566/1/license.txt5a560609d32a3863062d77ff32785d58MD51ORIGINALCunha, Marcelo - Rainfall and other.pdfCunha, Marcelo - Rainfall and 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| dc.title.pt_BR.fl_str_mv |
Rainfall and other meteorological factors as drivers of urban transmission of leptospirosis |
| title |
Rainfall and other meteorological factors as drivers of urban transmission of leptospirosis |
| spellingShingle |
Rainfall and other meteorological factors as drivers of urban transmission of leptospirosis Cunha, Marcelo Leptospirose Transmissão de Doença Infecciosa Chuva Leptospirosis Disease Transmission, Infectious Rain Leptospirosis Transmisión de Enfermedad Infecciosa Lluvia Leptospirose Transmission de maladie infectieuse Pluie |
| title_short |
Rainfall and other meteorological factors as drivers of urban transmission of leptospirosis |
| title_full |
Rainfall and other meteorological factors as drivers of urban transmission of leptospirosis |
| title_fullStr |
Rainfall and other meteorological factors as drivers of urban transmission of leptospirosis |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Rainfall and other meteorological factors as drivers of urban transmission of leptospirosis |
| title_sort |
Rainfall and other meteorological factors as drivers of urban transmission of leptospirosis |
| author |
Cunha, Marcelo |
| author_facet |
Cunha, Marcelo Costa, Federico Ribeiro, Guilherme S. Carvalho, Marilia S. Reis, Renato B. Nery Jr, Nivison Pischel, Lauren Gouveia, Edilane L. Santos, Andreia C. Queiroz, Adriano Wunder Jr., Elsio A. Reis, Mitermayer G. Diggle, Peter J. Ko, Albert I. |
| author_role |
author |
| author2 |
Costa, Federico Ribeiro, Guilherme S. Carvalho, Marilia S. Reis, Renato B. Nery Jr, Nivison Pischel, Lauren Gouveia, Edilane L. Santos, Andreia C. Queiroz, Adriano Wunder Jr., Elsio A. Reis, Mitermayer G. Diggle, Peter J. Ko, Albert I. |
| author2_role |
author author author author author author author author author author author author author |
| dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Cunha, Marcelo Costa, Federico Ribeiro, Guilherme S. Carvalho, Marilia S. Reis, Renato B. Nery Jr, Nivison Pischel, Lauren Gouveia, Edilane L. Santos, Andreia C. Queiroz, Adriano Wunder Jr., Elsio A. Reis, Mitermayer G. Diggle, Peter J. Ko, Albert I. |
| dc.subject.other.pt_BR.fl_str_mv |
Leptospirose Transmissão de Doença Infecciosa Chuva |
| topic |
Leptospirose Transmissão de Doença Infecciosa Chuva Leptospirosis Disease Transmission, Infectious Rain Leptospirosis Transmisión de Enfermedad Infecciosa Lluvia Leptospirose Transmission de maladie infectieuse Pluie |
| dc.subject.en.pt_BR.fl_str_mv |
Leptospirosis Disease Transmission, Infectious Rain |
| dc.subject.es.pt_BR.fl_str_mv |
Leptospirosis Transmisión de Enfermedad Infecciosa Lluvia |
| dc.subject.fr.pt_BR.fl_str_mv |
Leptospirose Transmission de maladie infectieuse Pluie |
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Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (Capes). Wellcome Trust. Ecologia e Evolução de Programa de Doenças Infecciosas |
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2022 |
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2022-05-06T17:45:59Z |
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2022-05-06T17:45:59Z |
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2022 |
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CUNHA, Marcelo et al. Rainfall and other meteorological factors as drivers of urban transmission of leptospirosis. PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases, v.16, n. 4, p. 1-15, 2022. |
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https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/handle/icict/52566 |
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1935-2735 |
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10.1371/journal.pntd.0007507 |
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CUNHA, Marcelo et al. Rainfall and other meteorological factors as drivers of urban transmission of leptospirosis. PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases, v.16, n. 4, p. 1-15, 2022. 1935-2735 10.1371/journal.pntd.0007507 |
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