Beef cattle prices in the "Pantanal Mato-grossense", Brazil

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: García, Eduardo Alfonso Cadavid
Data de Publicação: 2014
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: por
Título da fonte: Pesquisa Agropecuária Brasileira (Online)
Texto Completo: https://seer.sct.embrapa.br/index.php/pab/article/view/15353
Resumo: The price analysis was performed for cyclic and seasonal trend components, identifying the structural forms of price variations for each component. The main conclusions are: (a) by trend analysis, mean animal price increase was estimated being Cr$ 55.81 (real cruzeiros of 1977) for the lean steer; the price increase of the fat steer was estimated as Cr$ 5.92/kg of dry weight, 10% higher than for the lean steer. (b) By periodical function analysis, beef cattle cycles were estimated as eight years for the lean steer compared to seven years for the fat steer; (c) The real price variations of the lean steer follow the fat steer prices "pari passu", with a 6.6 month lag phase estimated through the fundamental cycle of periodical functions analysis; (d) The seasonal analysis based on "centered moveable mean" and complemented with the periodical function applied to a "well behaved" cycle showed that the lean steer real price presents rates below 100 between January and August, and increases above 100 from September to November; the temporal difference between harvest of the fat steer and she lean steer was estimated as 1.86 months.
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spelling Beef cattle prices in the "Pantanal Mato-grossense", BrazilOs preços da pecuária bovina do Pantanal Mato-grossensetrend; seasonal cycle; beef cycle; periodical function; price elasticity; relative pricetendência; ciclo sazonal; ciclo pecuário; função periódica; elasticidade de preço; preço relativoThe price analysis was performed for cyclic and seasonal trend components, identifying the structural forms of price variations for each component. The main conclusions are: (a) by trend analysis, mean animal price increase was estimated being Cr$ 55.81 (real cruzeiros of 1977) for the lean steer; the price increase of the fat steer was estimated as Cr$ 5.92/kg of dry weight, 10% higher than for the lean steer. (b) By periodical function analysis, beef cattle cycles were estimated as eight years for the lean steer compared to seven years for the fat steer; (c) The real price variations of the lean steer follow the fat steer prices "pari passu", with a 6.6 month lag phase estimated through the fundamental cycle of periodical functions analysis; (d) The seasonal analysis based on "centered moveable mean" and complemented with the periodical function applied to a "well behaved" cycle showed that the lean steer real price presents rates below 100 between January and August, and increases above 100 from September to November; the temporal difference between harvest of the fat steer and she lean steer was estimated as 1.86 months.A análise de preço foi realizada para os componentes de tendência cíclica e de estacionalidade, identificando, para cada componente, as formas estruturais das variações do preço. As principais conclusões são: a) pela análise de tendência, estimou-se aumento médio do preço de Cr$ 55,81/boi magro (cruzeiros reais de 1977); para o caso do boi gordo, o aumento médio anual foi de Cr$ 5,92/15 kg de peso vivo; em termos comparativos estimou-se aumento do preço do boi gordo 10% superior ao estimado para o boi magro; b) pela análise de funções periódicas, estimaram-se ciclos pecuários, para o boi magro, de oito anos; para o boi gordo, de sete anos; c) as variações do preço real do boi magro seguem pari passu aquelas do boi gordo, estimando-se, da análise do ciclo fundamental das funções periódicas, defasagem de 6,6 meses; d) a análise sazonal, feita pela média móvel centralizada e complementada pela função periódica aplicada ao ciclo bem comportado, mostrou que o preço real do boi magro apresenta índices inferiores a 100, entre janeiro e agosto, com elevações acima de 100, de setembro a novembro; a diferença temporal entre as safras do boi gordo e do boi magro foi estimada em 1,86 mês.Pesquisa Agropecuaria BrasileiraPesquisa Agropecuária BrasileiraGarcía, Eduardo Alfonso Cadavid2014-04-16info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionapplication/pdfhttps://seer.sct.embrapa.br/index.php/pab/article/view/15353Pesquisa Agropecuaria Brasileira; v.19, n.2, fev. 1984; 123-148Pesquisa Agropecuária Brasileira; v.19, n.2, fev. 1984; 123-1481678-39210100-104xreponame:Pesquisa Agropecuária Brasileira (Online)instname:Empresa Brasileira de Pesquisa Agropecuária (Embrapa)instacron:EMBRAPAporhttps://seer.sct.embrapa.br/index.php/pab/article/view/15353/9224info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess2014-04-16T19:16:05Zoai:ojs.seer.sct.embrapa.br:article/15353Revistahttp://seer.sct.embrapa.br/index.php/pabPRIhttps://old.scielo.br/oai/scielo-oai.phppab@sct.embrapa.br || sct.pab@embrapa.br1678-39210100-204Xopendoar:2014-04-16T19:16:05Pesquisa Agropecuária Brasileira (Online) - Empresa Brasileira de Pesquisa Agropecuária (Embrapa)false
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Beef cattle prices in the "Pantanal Mato-grossense", Brazil
Os preços da pecuária bovina do Pantanal Mato-grossense
title Beef cattle prices in the "Pantanal Mato-grossense", Brazil
spellingShingle Beef cattle prices in the "Pantanal Mato-grossense", Brazil
García, Eduardo Alfonso Cadavid
trend; seasonal cycle; beef cycle; periodical function; price elasticity; relative price
tendência; ciclo sazonal; ciclo pecuário; função periódica; elasticidade de preço; preço relativo
title_short Beef cattle prices in the "Pantanal Mato-grossense", Brazil
title_full Beef cattle prices in the "Pantanal Mato-grossense", Brazil
title_fullStr Beef cattle prices in the "Pantanal Mato-grossense", Brazil
title_full_unstemmed Beef cattle prices in the "Pantanal Mato-grossense", Brazil
title_sort Beef cattle prices in the "Pantanal Mato-grossense", Brazil
author García, Eduardo Alfonso Cadavid
author_facet García, Eduardo Alfonso Cadavid
author_role author
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv

dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv García, Eduardo Alfonso Cadavid
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv trend; seasonal cycle; beef cycle; periodical function; price elasticity; relative price
tendência; ciclo sazonal; ciclo pecuário; função periódica; elasticidade de preço; preço relativo
topic trend; seasonal cycle; beef cycle; periodical function; price elasticity; relative price
tendência; ciclo sazonal; ciclo pecuário; função periódica; elasticidade de preço; preço relativo
description The price analysis was performed for cyclic and seasonal trend components, identifying the structural forms of price variations for each component. The main conclusions are: (a) by trend analysis, mean animal price increase was estimated being Cr$ 55.81 (real cruzeiros of 1977) for the lean steer; the price increase of the fat steer was estimated as Cr$ 5.92/kg of dry weight, 10% higher than for the lean steer. (b) By periodical function analysis, beef cattle cycles were estimated as eight years for the lean steer compared to seven years for the fat steer; (c) The real price variations of the lean steer follow the fat steer prices "pari passu", with a 6.6 month lag phase estimated through the fundamental cycle of periodical functions analysis; (d) The seasonal analysis based on "centered moveable mean" and complemented with the periodical function applied to a "well behaved" cycle showed that the lean steer real price presents rates below 100 between January and August, and increases above 100 from September to November; the temporal difference between harvest of the fat steer and she lean steer was estimated as 1.86 months.
publishDate 2014
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2014-04-16
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv https://seer.sct.embrapa.br/index.php/pab/article/view/15353
url https://seer.sct.embrapa.br/index.php/pab/article/view/15353
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv por
language por
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv https://seer.sct.embrapa.br/index.php/pab/article/view/15353/9224
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Pesquisa Agropecuaria Brasileira
Pesquisa Agropecuária Brasileira
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Pesquisa Agropecuaria Brasileira
Pesquisa Agropecuária Brasileira
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv Pesquisa Agropecuaria Brasileira; v.19, n.2, fev. 1984; 123-148
Pesquisa Agropecuária Brasileira; v.19, n.2, fev. 1984; 123-148
1678-3921
0100-104x
reponame:Pesquisa Agropecuária Brasileira (Online)
instname:Empresa Brasileira de Pesquisa Agropecuária (Embrapa)
instacron:EMBRAPA
instname_str Empresa Brasileira de Pesquisa Agropecuária (Embrapa)
instacron_str EMBRAPA
institution EMBRAPA
reponame_str Pesquisa Agropecuária Brasileira (Online)
collection Pesquisa Agropecuária Brasileira (Online)
repository.name.fl_str_mv Pesquisa Agropecuária Brasileira (Online) - Empresa Brasileira de Pesquisa Agropecuária (Embrapa)
repository.mail.fl_str_mv pab@sct.embrapa.br || sct.pab@embrapa.br
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