Beef cattle prices in the "Pantanal Mato-grossense", Brazil
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2014 |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | por |
Título da fonte: | Pesquisa Agropecuária Brasileira (Online) |
Texto Completo: | https://seer.sct.embrapa.br/index.php/pab/article/view/15353 |
Resumo: | The price analysis was performed for cyclic and seasonal trend components, identifying the structural forms of price variations for each component. The main conclusions are: (a) by trend analysis, mean animal price increase was estimated being Cr$ 55.81 (real cruzeiros of 1977) for the lean steer; the price increase of the fat steer was estimated as Cr$ 5.92/kg of dry weight, 10% higher than for the lean steer. (b) By periodical function analysis, beef cattle cycles were estimated as eight years for the lean steer compared to seven years for the fat steer; (c) The real price variations of the lean steer follow the fat steer prices "pari passu", with a 6.6 month lag phase estimated through the fundamental cycle of periodical functions analysis; (d) The seasonal analysis based on "centered moveable mean" and complemented with the periodical function applied to a "well behaved" cycle showed that the lean steer real price presents rates below 100 between January and August, and increases above 100 from September to November; the temporal difference between harvest of the fat steer and she lean steer was estimated as 1.86 months. |
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Beef cattle prices in the "Pantanal Mato-grossense", BrazilOs preços da pecuária bovina do Pantanal Mato-grossensetrend; seasonal cycle; beef cycle; periodical function; price elasticity; relative pricetendência; ciclo sazonal; ciclo pecuário; função periódica; elasticidade de preço; preço relativoThe price analysis was performed for cyclic and seasonal trend components, identifying the structural forms of price variations for each component. The main conclusions are: (a) by trend analysis, mean animal price increase was estimated being Cr$ 55.81 (real cruzeiros of 1977) for the lean steer; the price increase of the fat steer was estimated as Cr$ 5.92/kg of dry weight, 10% higher than for the lean steer. (b) By periodical function analysis, beef cattle cycles were estimated as eight years for the lean steer compared to seven years for the fat steer; (c) The real price variations of the lean steer follow the fat steer prices "pari passu", with a 6.6 month lag phase estimated through the fundamental cycle of periodical functions analysis; (d) The seasonal analysis based on "centered moveable mean" and complemented with the periodical function applied to a "well behaved" cycle showed that the lean steer real price presents rates below 100 between January and August, and increases above 100 from September to November; the temporal difference between harvest of the fat steer and she lean steer was estimated as 1.86 months.A análise de preço foi realizada para os componentes de tendência cíclica e de estacionalidade, identificando, para cada componente, as formas estruturais das variações do preço. As principais conclusões são: a) pela análise de tendência, estimou-se aumento médio do preço de Cr$ 55,81/boi magro (cruzeiros reais de 1977); para o caso do boi gordo, o aumento médio anual foi de Cr$ 5,92/15 kg de peso vivo; em termos comparativos estimou-se aumento do preço do boi gordo 10% superior ao estimado para o boi magro; b) pela análise de funções periódicas, estimaram-se ciclos pecuários, para o boi magro, de oito anos; para o boi gordo, de sete anos; c) as variações do preço real do boi magro seguem pari passu aquelas do boi gordo, estimando-se, da análise do ciclo fundamental das funções periódicas, defasagem de 6,6 meses; d) a análise sazonal, feita pela média móvel centralizada e complementada pela função periódica aplicada ao ciclo bem comportado, mostrou que o preço real do boi magro apresenta índices inferiores a 100, entre janeiro e agosto, com elevações acima de 100, de setembro a novembro; a diferença temporal entre as safras do boi gordo e do boi magro foi estimada em 1,86 mês.Pesquisa Agropecuaria BrasileiraPesquisa Agropecuária BrasileiraGarcía, Eduardo Alfonso Cadavid2014-04-16info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionapplication/pdfhttps://seer.sct.embrapa.br/index.php/pab/article/view/15353Pesquisa Agropecuaria Brasileira; v.19, n.2, fev. 1984; 123-148Pesquisa Agropecuária Brasileira; v.19, n.2, fev. 1984; 123-1481678-39210100-104xreponame:Pesquisa Agropecuária Brasileira (Online)instname:Empresa Brasileira de Pesquisa Agropecuária (Embrapa)instacron:EMBRAPAporhttps://seer.sct.embrapa.br/index.php/pab/article/view/15353/9224info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess2014-04-16T19:16:05Zoai:ojs.seer.sct.embrapa.br:article/15353Revistahttp://seer.sct.embrapa.br/index.php/pabPRIhttps://old.scielo.br/oai/scielo-oai.phppab@sct.embrapa.br || sct.pab@embrapa.br1678-39210100-204Xopendoar:2014-04-16T19:16:05Pesquisa Agropecuária Brasileira (Online) - Empresa Brasileira de Pesquisa Agropecuária (Embrapa)false |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Beef cattle prices in the "Pantanal Mato-grossense", Brazil Os preços da pecuária bovina do Pantanal Mato-grossense |
title |
Beef cattle prices in the "Pantanal Mato-grossense", Brazil |
spellingShingle |
Beef cattle prices in the "Pantanal Mato-grossense", Brazil García, Eduardo Alfonso Cadavid trend; seasonal cycle; beef cycle; periodical function; price elasticity; relative price tendência; ciclo sazonal; ciclo pecuário; função periódica; elasticidade de preço; preço relativo |
title_short |
Beef cattle prices in the "Pantanal Mato-grossense", Brazil |
title_full |
Beef cattle prices in the "Pantanal Mato-grossense", Brazil |
title_fullStr |
Beef cattle prices in the "Pantanal Mato-grossense", Brazil |
title_full_unstemmed |
Beef cattle prices in the "Pantanal Mato-grossense", Brazil |
title_sort |
Beef cattle prices in the "Pantanal Mato-grossense", Brazil |
author |
García, Eduardo Alfonso Cadavid |
author_facet |
García, Eduardo Alfonso Cadavid |
author_role |
author |
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv |
|
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
García, Eduardo Alfonso Cadavid |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
trend; seasonal cycle; beef cycle; periodical function; price elasticity; relative price tendência; ciclo sazonal; ciclo pecuário; função periódica; elasticidade de preço; preço relativo |
topic |
trend; seasonal cycle; beef cycle; periodical function; price elasticity; relative price tendência; ciclo sazonal; ciclo pecuário; função periódica; elasticidade de preço; preço relativo |
description |
The price analysis was performed for cyclic and seasonal trend components, identifying the structural forms of price variations for each component. The main conclusions are: (a) by trend analysis, mean animal price increase was estimated being Cr$ 55.81 (real cruzeiros of 1977) for the lean steer; the price increase of the fat steer was estimated as Cr$ 5.92/kg of dry weight, 10% higher than for the lean steer. (b) By periodical function analysis, beef cattle cycles were estimated as eight years for the lean steer compared to seven years for the fat steer; (c) The real price variations of the lean steer follow the fat steer prices "pari passu", with a 6.6 month lag phase estimated through the fundamental cycle of periodical functions analysis; (d) The seasonal analysis based on "centered moveable mean" and complemented with the periodical function applied to a "well behaved" cycle showed that the lean steer real price presents rates below 100 between January and August, and increases above 100 from September to November; the temporal difference between harvest of the fat steer and she lean steer was estimated as 1.86 months. |
publishDate |
2014 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2014-04-16 |
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv |
|
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
https://seer.sct.embrapa.br/index.php/pab/article/view/15353 |
url |
https://seer.sct.embrapa.br/index.php/pab/article/view/15353 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
por |
language |
por |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
https://seer.sct.embrapa.br/index.php/pab/article/view/15353/9224 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Pesquisa Agropecuaria Brasileira Pesquisa Agropecuária Brasileira |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Pesquisa Agropecuaria Brasileira Pesquisa Agropecuária Brasileira |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
Pesquisa Agropecuaria Brasileira; v.19, n.2, fev. 1984; 123-148 Pesquisa Agropecuária Brasileira; v.19, n.2, fev. 1984; 123-148 1678-3921 0100-104x reponame:Pesquisa Agropecuária Brasileira (Online) instname:Empresa Brasileira de Pesquisa Agropecuária (Embrapa) instacron:EMBRAPA |
instname_str |
Empresa Brasileira de Pesquisa Agropecuária (Embrapa) |
instacron_str |
EMBRAPA |
institution |
EMBRAPA |
reponame_str |
Pesquisa Agropecuária Brasileira (Online) |
collection |
Pesquisa Agropecuária Brasileira (Online) |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Pesquisa Agropecuária Brasileira (Online) - Empresa Brasileira de Pesquisa Agropecuária (Embrapa) |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
pab@sct.embrapa.br || sct.pab@embrapa.br |
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1793416682383867904 |