Crowdfunding and electoral performance in Brazil: statistical analysis of the elections for federal deputy in 2018

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Secchi, Leonardo
Data de Publicação: 2021
Outros Autores: Wink Junior, Marcos Vinicio, Moraes, Cryslan Jorjan de
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: por
eng
Título da fonte: Revista de Administração Pública
Texto Completo: https://periodicos.fgv.br/rap/article/view/84861
Resumo: The article seeks to analyze the performance of crowdfunding as a fundraising strategy in the election campaign for the Brazilian Congress in the 2018 general elections. The article also analyzes the influence of the socioeconomic and demographic profiles of the candidates associated with the decision to adopt crowdfunding. The methodology used was logistic regression, considering the following independent variables: funds raised, education, age, race, and marital status of the candidate, in addition to the party’s ideology, size, and age of the party. The binary dependent variables were: use of crowdfunding (or not) and the campaign’s outcome. The data source was the Electoral Data Repository of the Brazilian Superior Electoral Court (TSE), with information from all candidates running for federal deputy in all Brazilian states in the 2018 general elections. The resulting analysis shows that crowdfunding was statistically more used by white, young, highly educated candidates from the Southern region of Brazil. There is also evidence that crowdfunding is an electoral strategy used especially by candidates from recently created parties, from the left, center-left or right (those in the center and center-right did not use crowdfunding as frequently) and larger parties. Finally, the econometric model points to an average increase of 5.55 percentage points in the probability of electoral success of candidates using crowdfunding.
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spelling Crowdfunding and electoral performance in Brazil: statistical analysis of the elections for federal deputy in 2018Crowdfunding y desempeño electoral en Brasil: análisis estadístico de las elecciones a diputado federal en 2018Crowdfunding e desempenho eleitoral no Brasil: análise estatística das eleições para deputado federal em 2018legislative electionselectoral fundingelectoral campaigningcrowdfundingBrazilelecciones legislativasfinanciación electoralrecaudación de fondoscrowdfundingBrasileleições legislativasfinanciamento eleitoralfinanciamento coletivocrowdfundingBrasilThe article seeks to analyze the performance of crowdfunding as a fundraising strategy in the election campaign for the Brazilian Congress in the 2018 general elections. The article also analyzes the influence of the socioeconomic and demographic profiles of the candidates associated with the decision to adopt crowdfunding. The methodology used was logistic regression, considering the following independent variables: funds raised, education, age, race, and marital status of the candidate, in addition to the party’s ideology, size, and age of the party. The binary dependent variables were: use of crowdfunding (or not) and the campaign’s outcome. The data source was the Electoral Data Repository of the Brazilian Superior Electoral Court (TSE), with information from all candidates running for federal deputy in all Brazilian states in the 2018 general elections. The resulting analysis shows that crowdfunding was statistically more used by white, young, highly educated candidates from the Southern region of Brazil. There is also evidence that crowdfunding is an electoral strategy used especially by candidates from recently created parties, from the left, center-left or right (those in the center and center-right did not use crowdfunding as frequently) and larger parties. Finally, the econometric model points to an average increase of 5.55 percentage points in the probability of electoral success of candidates using crowdfunding.El artículo busca analizar el desempeño del crowdfunding como estrategia de captación de fondos para la campaña electoral de diputado federal en las elecciones generales de Brasil en 2018. También se analizó la influencia de las características socioeconómicas y demográficas de los candidatos asociada a la decisión de adoptar el financiamiento colectivo como alternativa de recaudación en la campaña electoral. Se utilizó la metodología de regresión logística considerando las siguientes variables independientes: valores recaudados, nivel de instrucción, edad, raza y estado civil del candidato, además de la ideología, tamaño y antigüedad de su partido político. Las variables dependientes binarias fueron: uso o no de crowdfunding y éxito o fracaso electoral. La fuente de datos fue el Tribunal Superior Electoral de Brasil (TSE), con información de todos los candidatos a diputado federal en la elección de 2018. Entre los resultados alcanzados está que el crowdfunding fue estadísticamente más utilizado por candidatos blancos, jóvenes y de alto nivel de escolaridad y de la región sur de Brasil. También hay evidencia de que el crowdfunding es una estrategia electoral utilizada especialmente por candidatos de partidos de reciente creación, de izquierda, centro-izquierda o derecha (los de centro y centro-derecha registraron menos uso) y tamaño de los partidos políticos. Finalmente, el modelo econométrico apunta a un aumento promedio del 5,55 puntos porcentuales en la probabilidad de éxito electoral de los candidatos que utilizaron el crowdfunding.O artigo busca analisar o desempenho do financiamento coletivo (crowdfunding) como estratégia de arrecadação de recursos para a campanha eleitoral a deputado federal nas eleições de 2018. Também foi analisada a influência de características socioeconômicas e demográficas dos candidatos associada à decisão de adoção do financiamento coletivo como alternativa arrecadatória na campanha eleitoral. A metodologia utilizada foi a de regressão logística, considerando as seguintes variáveis independentes: valores arrecadados, escolaridade, idade, raça e estado civil do candidato, além de ideologia, tamanho e antiguidade do partido. As variáveis dependentes binárias foram: utilização ou não do crowdfunding e sucesso ou insucesso eleitoral. A fonte de dados foi o repositório de dados eleitorais do Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE), com informações de todos os candidatos a deputado federal, de todos os estados brasileiros, no pleito de 2018. Entre os resultados obtidos, encontra-se que o crowdfunding foi estatisticamente mais usado por candidatos brancos, jovens, de alta escolaridade e da região Sul. Há evidências também de que o crowdfunding seja uma estratégia eleitoral utilizada sobretudo por candidatos de partidos de criação recente, de esquerda, centro-esquerda ou de direita – os de centro e centro-direita tiveram menor utilização –, e daqueles com maior bancada. Por fim, o modelo econométrico aponta um acréscimo médio de 5,55 pontos percentuais na probabilidade de sucesso eleitoral dos candidatos que se valeram do crowdfunding.Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV EBAPE)2021-10-29info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionapplication/pdfapplication/pdfhttps://periodicos.fgv.br/rap/article/view/8486110.1590/0034-761220200876Brazilian Journal of Public Administration; Vol. 55 No. 5 (2021); 1191-1214Revista de Administração Pública; Vol. 55 Núm. 5 (2021); 1191-1214Revista de Administração Pública; v. 55 n. 5 (2021); 1191-12141982-31340034-7612reponame:Revista de Administração Públicainstname:Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV)instacron:FGVporenghttps://periodicos.fgv.br/rap/article/view/84861/80299https://periodicos.fgv.br/rap/article/view/84861/80300Secchi, LeonardoWink Junior, Marcos VinicioMoraes, Cryslan Jorjan deinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess2021-11-08T18:31:47Zoai:ojs.periodicos.fgv.br:article/84861Revistahttps://ebape.fgv.br/publicacoes/rapONGhttps://old.scielo.br/oai/scielo-oai.php||rap@fgv.br1982-31340034-7612opendoar:2021-11-08T18:31:47Revista de Administração Pública - Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV)false
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Crowdfunding and electoral performance in Brazil: statistical analysis of the elections for federal deputy in 2018
Crowdfunding y desempeño electoral en Brasil: análisis estadístico de las elecciones a diputado federal en 2018
Crowdfunding e desempenho eleitoral no Brasil: análise estatística das eleições para deputado federal em 2018
title Crowdfunding and electoral performance in Brazil: statistical analysis of the elections for federal deputy in 2018
spellingShingle Crowdfunding and electoral performance in Brazil: statistical analysis of the elections for federal deputy in 2018
Secchi, Leonardo
legislative elections
electoral funding
electoral campaigning
crowdfunding
Brazil
elecciones legislativas
financiación electoral
recaudación de fondos
crowdfunding
Brasil
eleições legislativas
financiamento eleitoral
financiamento coletivo
crowdfunding
Brasil
title_short Crowdfunding and electoral performance in Brazil: statistical analysis of the elections for federal deputy in 2018
title_full Crowdfunding and electoral performance in Brazil: statistical analysis of the elections for federal deputy in 2018
title_fullStr Crowdfunding and electoral performance in Brazil: statistical analysis of the elections for federal deputy in 2018
title_full_unstemmed Crowdfunding and electoral performance in Brazil: statistical analysis of the elections for federal deputy in 2018
title_sort Crowdfunding and electoral performance in Brazil: statistical analysis of the elections for federal deputy in 2018
author Secchi, Leonardo
author_facet Secchi, Leonardo
Wink Junior, Marcos Vinicio
Moraes, Cryslan Jorjan de
author_role author
author2 Wink Junior, Marcos Vinicio
Moraes, Cryslan Jorjan de
author2_role author
author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Secchi, Leonardo
Wink Junior, Marcos Vinicio
Moraes, Cryslan Jorjan de
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv legislative elections
electoral funding
electoral campaigning
crowdfunding
Brazil
elecciones legislativas
financiación electoral
recaudación de fondos
crowdfunding
Brasil
eleições legislativas
financiamento eleitoral
financiamento coletivo
crowdfunding
Brasil
topic legislative elections
electoral funding
electoral campaigning
crowdfunding
Brazil
elecciones legislativas
financiación electoral
recaudación de fondos
crowdfunding
Brasil
eleições legislativas
financiamento eleitoral
financiamento coletivo
crowdfunding
Brasil
description The article seeks to analyze the performance of crowdfunding as a fundraising strategy in the election campaign for the Brazilian Congress in the 2018 general elections. The article also analyzes the influence of the socioeconomic and demographic profiles of the candidates associated with the decision to adopt crowdfunding. The methodology used was logistic regression, considering the following independent variables: funds raised, education, age, race, and marital status of the candidate, in addition to the party’s ideology, size, and age of the party. The binary dependent variables were: use of crowdfunding (or not) and the campaign’s outcome. The data source was the Electoral Data Repository of the Brazilian Superior Electoral Court (TSE), with information from all candidates running for federal deputy in all Brazilian states in the 2018 general elections. The resulting analysis shows that crowdfunding was statistically more used by white, young, highly educated candidates from the Southern region of Brazil. There is also evidence that crowdfunding is an electoral strategy used especially by candidates from recently created parties, from the left, center-left or right (those in the center and center-right did not use crowdfunding as frequently) and larger parties. Finally, the econometric model points to an average increase of 5.55 percentage points in the probability of electoral success of candidates using crowdfunding.
publishDate 2021
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2021-10-29
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv https://periodicos.fgv.br/rap/article/view/84861
10.1590/0034-761220200876
url https://periodicos.fgv.br/rap/article/view/84861
identifier_str_mv 10.1590/0034-761220200876
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv por
eng
language por
eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv https://periodicos.fgv.br/rap/article/view/84861/80299
https://periodicos.fgv.br/rap/article/view/84861/80300
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV EBAPE)
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV EBAPE)
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv Brazilian Journal of Public Administration; Vol. 55 No. 5 (2021); 1191-1214
Revista de Administração Pública; Vol. 55 Núm. 5 (2021); 1191-1214
Revista de Administração Pública; v. 55 n. 5 (2021); 1191-1214
1982-3134
0034-7612
reponame:Revista de Administração Pública
instname:Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV)
instacron:FGV
instname_str Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV)
instacron_str FGV
institution FGV
reponame_str Revista de Administração Pública
collection Revista de Administração Pública
repository.name.fl_str_mv Revista de Administração Pública - Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV)
repository.mail.fl_str_mv ||rap@fgv.br
_version_ 1798943774740578304

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