Electoral rules, political competition and fiscal spending: regression discontinuity evidence from brazilian municipalities
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2010 |
Outros Autores: | , |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | eng |
Título da fonte: | Repositório Institucional do FGV (FGV Repositório Digital) |
Texto Completo: | http://hdl.handle.net/10438/6680 |
Resumo: | We exploit a discontinuity in Brazilian municipal election rules to investigate whether political competition has a causal impact on policy choices. In municipalities with less than 200,000 voters mayors are elected with a plurality of the vote. In municipalities with more than 200,000 voters a run-off election takes place among the top two candidates if neither achieves a majority of the votes. At a first stage, we show that the possibility of runoff increases political competition. At a second stage, we use the discontinuity as a source of exogenous variation to infer causality from political competition to fiscal policy. Our second stage results suggest that political competition induces more investment and less current spending, particularly personnel expenses. Furthermore, the impact of political competition is larger when incumbents can run for reelection, suggesting incentives matter insofar as incumbents can themselves remain in office. |
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Chamon, MarcosMello, João Manoel Pinho deFirpo, Sergio PinheiroEscolas::EESP2010-06-16T21:21:00Z2010-06-16T21:21:00Z2010-06-16http://hdl.handle.net/10438/6680We exploit a discontinuity in Brazilian municipal election rules to investigate whether political competition has a causal impact on policy choices. In municipalities with less than 200,000 voters mayors are elected with a plurality of the vote. In municipalities with more than 200,000 voters a run-off election takes place among the top two candidates if neither achieves a majority of the votes. At a first stage, we show that the possibility of runoff increases political competition. At a second stage, we use the discontinuity as a source of exogenous variation to infer causality from political competition to fiscal policy. Our second stage results suggest that political competition induces more investment and less current spending, particularly personnel expenses. Furthermore, the impact of political competition is larger when incumbents can run for reelection, suggesting incentives matter insofar as incumbents can themselves remain in office.engTextos para Discussão;208Electoral systemsFiscal SpendingStrategic votingPolitical competitionRegression discontinuityEconomiaEconomiaElectoral rules, political competition and fiscal spending: regression discontinuity evidence from brazilian municipalitiesinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articlereponame:Repositório Institucional do FGV (FGV Repositório Digital)instname:Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV)instacron:FGVinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessORIGINALTD 208 - Marcos Chamon; Joao Mello; Sergio Firpo.pdfTD 208 - Marcos Chamon; Joao Mello; Sergio Firpo.pdfapplication/pdf585772https://repositorio.fgv.br/bitstreams/e9094d62-baf6-4396-98b6-035d581f6b20/download02f0d28907c90a431f0c3aed8da97557MD51LICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; 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dc.title.por.fl_str_mv |
Electoral rules, political competition and fiscal spending: regression discontinuity evidence from brazilian municipalities |
title |
Electoral rules, political competition and fiscal spending: regression discontinuity evidence from brazilian municipalities |
spellingShingle |
Electoral rules, political competition and fiscal spending: regression discontinuity evidence from brazilian municipalities Chamon, Marcos Electoral systems Fiscal Spending Strategic voting Political competition Regression discontinuity Economia Economia |
title_short |
Electoral rules, political competition and fiscal spending: regression discontinuity evidence from brazilian municipalities |
title_full |
Electoral rules, political competition and fiscal spending: regression discontinuity evidence from brazilian municipalities |
title_fullStr |
Electoral rules, political competition and fiscal spending: regression discontinuity evidence from brazilian municipalities |
title_full_unstemmed |
Electoral rules, political competition and fiscal spending: regression discontinuity evidence from brazilian municipalities |
title_sort |
Electoral rules, political competition and fiscal spending: regression discontinuity evidence from brazilian municipalities |
author |
Chamon, Marcos |
author_facet |
Chamon, Marcos Mello, João Manoel Pinho de Firpo, Sergio Pinheiro |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Mello, João Manoel Pinho de Firpo, Sergio Pinheiro |
author2_role |
author author |
dc.contributor.unidadefgv.por.fl_str_mv |
Escolas::EESP |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Chamon, Marcos Mello, João Manoel Pinho de Firpo, Sergio Pinheiro |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Electoral systems Fiscal Spending |
topic |
Electoral systems Fiscal Spending Strategic voting Political competition Regression discontinuity Economia Economia |
dc.subject.eng.fl_str_mv |
Strategic voting Political competition Regression discontinuity |
dc.subject.area.por.fl_str_mv |
Economia |
dc.subject.bibliodata.por.fl_str_mv |
Economia |
description |
We exploit a discontinuity in Brazilian municipal election rules to investigate whether political competition has a causal impact on policy choices. In municipalities with less than 200,000 voters mayors are elected with a plurality of the vote. In municipalities with more than 200,000 voters a run-off election takes place among the top two candidates if neither achieves a majority of the votes. At a first stage, we show that the possibility of runoff increases political competition. At a second stage, we use the discontinuity as a source of exogenous variation to infer causality from political competition to fiscal policy. Our second stage results suggest that political competition induces more investment and less current spending, particularly personnel expenses. Furthermore, the impact of political competition is larger when incumbents can run for reelection, suggesting incentives matter insofar as incumbents can themselves remain in office. |
publishDate |
2010 |
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv |
2010-06-16T21:21:00Z |
dc.date.available.fl_str_mv |
2010-06-16T21:21:00Z |
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv |
2010-06-16 |
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info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
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http://hdl.handle.net/10438/6680 |
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eng |
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eng |
dc.relation.ispartofseries.por.fl_str_mv |
Textos para Discussão;208 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
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openAccess |
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