Competition, campaign spending and electoral fragmentation effects on voter turnout and valid votes in Brazilian local elections in 2012

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Souza, Cíntia Pinheiro Ribeiro de
Data de Publicação: 2019
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: por
Título da fonte: Opinião Pública (Online)
Texto Completo: https://periodicos.sbu.unicamp.br/ojs/index.php/op/article/view/8656617
Resumo: This article investigates factors associated with the levels of voter turnout, in particular, contextual political variables. The argument is that with the weakening of enduring constraints, such as sociodemographic and sociopsychological, we must consider the short-term effect of the conjuncture on electoral participation. The study of this effect is still incipient in Brazil and Latin America. The initial expectation was that competition, campaign spending, and fragmentation were positively associated with aggregate voter turnout. This hypothesis was tested using multivariate linear models in the mayoral elections of 2012. The results confirm this hypothesis in relation to competition and campaign expenditures, with even more force on valid votes compared to attendance itself. However, the results point to a negative effect of fragmentation.
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spelling Competition, campaign spending and electoral fragmentation effects on voter turnout and valid votes in Brazilian local elections in 2012Efectos de competencia, gastos de campaña y fragmentación electoral sobre participación y votos válidos en las elecciones municipales brasileñas en 2012Efeitos de competição, gastos de campanha e fragmentação eleitoral sobre comparecimento e votos válidos nas eleições municipais brasileiras em 2012Voter turnoutElectoral competitionCampaign spendingElectoral fragmentationBrazil.Participación electoralCompetencia electoralGastos de campañaFragmentación electoralBrasil.Comparecimento eleitoralCompetição eleitoralGastos de campanhaFragmentação eleitoralBrasil.This article investigates factors associated with the levels of voter turnout, in particular, contextual political variables. The argument is that with the weakening of enduring constraints, such as sociodemographic and sociopsychological, we must consider the short-term effect of the conjuncture on electoral participation. The study of this effect is still incipient in Brazil and Latin America. The initial expectation was that competition, campaign spending, and fragmentation were positively associated with aggregate voter turnout. This hypothesis was tested using multivariate linear models in the mayoral elections of 2012. The results confirm this hypothesis in relation to competition and campaign expenditures, with even more force on valid votes compared to attendance itself. However, the results point to a negative effect of fragmentation.Este artículo investiga factores asociados a los niveles de participación electoral, en particular, variables políticas contextuales. El argumento es que, con el debilitamiento de condicionantes duraderos, como los sociodemográficos y los sociopsicológicos, debemos atentar al efecto de corto plazo de la coyuntura sobre la participación electoral. El estudio de ese efecto aún es incipiente en Brasil y en América Latina. La expectativa inicial era que la competencia, los gastos de campaña y la fragmentación estuvieran asociados positivamente con la participación electoral agregada. Esta hipótesis fue probada por medio de modelos lineales multivariados en las elecciones para alcalde de 2012. Los resultados confirman esa hipótesis en relación a la competencia y los gastos de campaña, con aún más fuerza sobre los votos válidos si se comparan a la comparecencia en sí. Sin embargo, los resultados apuntan a un efecto negativo de la fragmentación.Este artigo investiga fatores associados aos níveis de comparecimento eleitoral, em especial, variáveis políticas contextuais. O argumento é de que, com o enfraquecimento de condicionantes duradouros, como os sociodemográficos e os sociopsicológicos, devemos atentar ao efeito de curto prazo da conjuntura sobre a participação eleitoral. O estudo desse efeito ainda é incipiente no Brasil e na América Latina. A expectativa inicial era de que competição, gastos de campanha e fragmentação estivessem associados positivamente com a participação eleitoral agregada. Essa hipótese foi testada por meio de modelos lineares multivariados nas eleições para prefeito de 2012. Os resultados confirmam essa hipótese em relação à competição e aos gastos de campanha, com mais força ainda sobre os votos válidos se comparados ao comparecimento em si. Porém, os resultados apontam um efeito negativo da fragmentação.Universidade Estadual de Campinas2019-09-12info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionExploratory researchInvestigación exploratoriaPesquisa exploratóriaapplication/pdfhttps://periodicos.sbu.unicamp.br/ojs/index.php/op/article/view/8656617Opinião Pública; Vol. 25 No. 2 (2019): maio/ago.; 312-342Opinião Pública; Vol. 25 Núm. 2 (2019): maio/ago.; 312-342Opinião Pública; v. 25 n. 2 (2019): maio/ago.; 312-3421807-0191reponame:Opinião Pública (Online)instname:Universidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP)instacron:UNICAMPporhttps://periodicos.sbu.unicamp.br/ojs/index.php/op/article/view/8656617/21290Brazil; 2012Brasil; 2012Brasil; 2012Souza, Cíntia Pinheiro Ribeiro deinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess2019-09-12T17:02:44Zoai:ojs.periodicos.sbu.unicamp.br:article/8656617Revistahttps://periodicos.sbu.unicamp.br/ojs/index.php/opPUBhttps://periodicos.sbu.unicamp.br/ojs/index.php/op/oaicesop@unicamp.br||racael@unicamp.br || rop@unicamp.br1807-01910104-6276opendoar:2019-09-12T17:02:44Opinião Pública (Online) - Universidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP)false
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Competition, campaign spending and electoral fragmentation effects on voter turnout and valid votes in Brazilian local elections in 2012
Efectos de competencia, gastos de campaña y fragmentación electoral sobre participación y votos válidos en las elecciones municipales brasileñas en 2012
Efeitos de competição, gastos de campanha e fragmentação eleitoral sobre comparecimento e votos válidos nas eleições municipais brasileiras em 2012
title Competition, campaign spending and electoral fragmentation effects on voter turnout and valid votes in Brazilian local elections in 2012
spellingShingle Competition, campaign spending and electoral fragmentation effects on voter turnout and valid votes in Brazilian local elections in 2012
Souza, Cíntia Pinheiro Ribeiro de
Voter turnout
Electoral competition
Campaign spending
Electoral fragmentation
Brazil.
Participación electoral
Competencia electoral
Gastos de campaña
Fragmentación electoral
Brasil.
Comparecimento eleitoral
Competição eleitoral
Gastos de campanha
Fragmentação eleitoral
Brasil.
title_short Competition, campaign spending and electoral fragmentation effects on voter turnout and valid votes in Brazilian local elections in 2012
title_full Competition, campaign spending and electoral fragmentation effects on voter turnout and valid votes in Brazilian local elections in 2012
title_fullStr Competition, campaign spending and electoral fragmentation effects on voter turnout and valid votes in Brazilian local elections in 2012
title_full_unstemmed Competition, campaign spending and electoral fragmentation effects on voter turnout and valid votes in Brazilian local elections in 2012
title_sort Competition, campaign spending and electoral fragmentation effects on voter turnout and valid votes in Brazilian local elections in 2012
author Souza, Cíntia Pinheiro Ribeiro de
author_facet Souza, Cíntia Pinheiro Ribeiro de
author_role author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Souza, Cíntia Pinheiro Ribeiro de
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Voter turnout
Electoral competition
Campaign spending
Electoral fragmentation
Brazil.
Participación electoral
Competencia electoral
Gastos de campaña
Fragmentación electoral
Brasil.
Comparecimento eleitoral
Competição eleitoral
Gastos de campanha
Fragmentação eleitoral
Brasil.
topic Voter turnout
Electoral competition
Campaign spending
Electoral fragmentation
Brazil.
Participación electoral
Competencia electoral
Gastos de campaña
Fragmentación electoral
Brasil.
Comparecimento eleitoral
Competição eleitoral
Gastos de campanha
Fragmentação eleitoral
Brasil.
description This article investigates factors associated with the levels of voter turnout, in particular, contextual political variables. The argument is that with the weakening of enduring constraints, such as sociodemographic and sociopsychological, we must consider the short-term effect of the conjuncture on electoral participation. The study of this effect is still incipient in Brazil and Latin America. The initial expectation was that competition, campaign spending, and fragmentation were positively associated with aggregate voter turnout. This hypothesis was tested using multivariate linear models in the mayoral elections of 2012. The results confirm this hypothesis in relation to competition and campaign expenditures, with even more force on valid votes compared to attendance itself. However, the results point to a negative effect of fragmentation.
publishDate 2019
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2019-09-12
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
Exploratory research
Investigación exploratoria
Pesquisa exploratória
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv https://periodicos.sbu.unicamp.br/ojs/index.php/op/article/view/8656617
url https://periodicos.sbu.unicamp.br/ojs/index.php/op/article/view/8656617
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv por
language por
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv https://periodicos.sbu.unicamp.br/ojs/index.php/op/article/view/8656617/21290
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.coverage.none.fl_str_mv Brazil; 2012
Brasil; 2012
Brasil; 2012
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Universidade Estadual de Campinas
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Universidade Estadual de Campinas
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv Opinião Pública; Vol. 25 No. 2 (2019): maio/ago.; 312-342
Opinião Pública; Vol. 25 Núm. 2 (2019): maio/ago.; 312-342
Opinião Pública; v. 25 n. 2 (2019): maio/ago.; 312-342
1807-0191
reponame:Opinião Pública (Online)
instname:Universidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP)
instacron:UNICAMP
instname_str Universidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP)
instacron_str UNICAMP
institution UNICAMP
reponame_str Opinião Pública (Online)
collection Opinião Pública (Online)
repository.name.fl_str_mv Opinião Pública (Online) - Universidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP)
repository.mail.fl_str_mv cesop@unicamp.br||racael@unicamp.br || rop@unicamp.br
_version_ 1800217018057621504

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