Racionalidade limitada na decisão de consumo de etanol no Brasil: um estudo para o período de 2001 até 2011
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2013 |
Tipo de documento: | Dissertação |
Idioma: | por |
Título da fonte: | Repositório Institucional do FGV (FGV Repositório Digital) |
Texto Completo: | http://hdl.handle.net/10438/10452 |
Resumo: | Studies of ethanol consumption for light vehicles in Brazil arouses interest for researches from different parts of the world, due to the possibility of obtaining empirical results able to highlight key features of consumer behavior for this product. This dissertation proposes a study that estimates the demand equation for ethanol in Brazil in order to investigate the existence of consumption inertia that will be defined as habit in this study. An econometric model was conducted in two stages with monthly data from ANP, using instrumental variables that controlled the endogeneity in prices, to test the existence of empirical evidences of consumption inertia in consumer making decision. The states were classified in terms of ethanol-gasoline parity prices (near or far from the value of 70%) and income (rich or poor) using interaction range for these variables. The analysis was divided in two periods to capture the influence of growing fleet flex-fuel vehicles in Brazilian economy. Finally, scenarios was constructed based on moving averages (for calculating the fuel´s parity price) to understand the changes in the elasticities under the influence of stability in the states classification over time. It was concluded that there are significant differences in the values of own and cross-price elasticities between the two analyzed periods and for the different parity price ranges and income classification. The influence of inertia in the consumption decision was evidenced only for the states classified as rich, because the results captured differences in the prices elasticities magnitude only when was considered high stability criteria in time, providing evidences that short term fluctuations in ethanol prices (considering states classified as riches), in cases that significant differences in elasticities were not evidenced, comparing states classified 'in' and 'out' of the parity price range, i.e., on average, consumers in these states are able to adopt a less advantageous option (in terms of efficiency) due consumption inertia. For states classified as poor it was not observed. |
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Silva, João Paulo Cabral daEscolas::EESPAzevedo, Paulo Furquim deLima, Lilian MalufOrellano, Verônica Inês Fernandez2013-01-31T16:31:49Z2013-01-31T16:31:49Z2013-01-21SILVA, João Paulo Cabral da. Racionalidade limitada na decisão de consumo de etanol no Brasil: um estudo para o período de 2001 até 2011. Dissertação (Mestrado Profissional em Finanças e Economia) - FGV - Fundação Getúlio Vargas, São Paulo, 2013.http://hdl.handle.net/10438/10452Studies of ethanol consumption for light vehicles in Brazil arouses interest for researches from different parts of the world, due to the possibility of obtaining empirical results able to highlight key features of consumer behavior for this product. This dissertation proposes a study that estimates the demand equation for ethanol in Brazil in order to investigate the existence of consumption inertia that will be defined as habit in this study. An econometric model was conducted in two stages with monthly data from ANP, using instrumental variables that controlled the endogeneity in prices, to test the existence of empirical evidences of consumption inertia in consumer making decision. The states were classified in terms of ethanol-gasoline parity prices (near or far from the value of 70%) and income (rich or poor) using interaction range for these variables. The analysis was divided in two periods to capture the influence of growing fleet flex-fuel vehicles in Brazilian economy. Finally, scenarios was constructed based on moving averages (for calculating the fuel´s parity price) to understand the changes in the elasticities under the influence of stability in the states classification over time. It was concluded that there are significant differences in the values of own and cross-price elasticities between the two analyzed periods and for the different parity price ranges and income classification. The influence of inertia in the consumption decision was evidenced only for the states classified as rich, because the results captured differences in the prices elasticities magnitude only when was considered high stability criteria in time, providing evidences that short term fluctuations in ethanol prices (considering states classified as riches), in cases that significant differences in elasticities were not evidenced, comparing states classified 'in' and 'out' of the parity price range, i.e., on average, consumers in these states are able to adopt a less advantageous option (in terms of efficiency) due consumption inertia. For states classified as poor it was not observed.Os estudos sobre consumo de etanol para veículos leves no Brasil geram bastante interesse para pesquisadores de diversas partes do mundo, dada a possibilidade de investigar características chaves sobre o comportamento do consumidor desse produto. Esta dissertação propõe um estudo que estima a equação de demanda de etanol no Brasil com o objetivo de investigar a existência de inércia na decisão de consumo, que neste trabalho chamaremos de hábito. Foi ajustado um modelo econométrico em dois estágios com dados mensais da ANP, utilizando-se variáveis instrumentais que controlaram a endogeneidade dos preços, para procurar evidências empíricas sobre a influência da inércia na decisão de consumo. Os estados foram classificados em termos das paridades de preço etanol-gasolina (próximos ou distantes do valor de 70%) e em termos de renda (ricos ou pobres). A análise foi dividida em dois períodos para se capturar a influência da entrada da frota flex-fuel na economia brasileira. Por fim foram construídos cenários baseados em médias móveis (para o cálculo das paridades de preço dos combustíveis) para investigar a influência do hábito na decisão de consumo. Concluiu-se que há diferenças significativas nos valores das elasticidades-preço próprias e cruzadas entre os dois períodos estudados e para as diferentes faixas de paridades de preços e classificação de renda. Evidências da influência da inércia na decisão do consumo foram encontradas apenas para os estados classificados como ricos, pois se encontrou diferenças nas magnitudes das elasticidades de preços entre faixas de paridade apenas ao se considerar os critérios de maior estabilidade no tempo, fornecendo indícios de que consumidores desses estados são capazes de adotar uma opção menos vantajosa (em termos de rendimento) como consequência da inércia na decisão de consumo. Para os estados classificados como pobre isto não foi evidenciado.porEconomia comportamentalParidade de preçosEconomiaGasolinaCombustíveis - Preços - BrasilÁlcool como combustível - ConsumoComportamento do consumidorRacionalidade limitada na decisão de consumo de etanol no Brasil: um estudo para o período de 2001 até 2011info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesisreponame:Repositório Institucional do FGV (FGV Repositório Digital)instname:Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV)instacron:FGVinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessORIGINALDissertação_JoãoPaulo_Banca_21jan - VersaoFinal.pdfDissertação_JoãoPaulo_Banca_21jan - VersaoFinal.pdfDissertação Versão Finalapplication/pdf1484921http://bibliotecadigital.fgv.br:80/dspace/bitstream/10438/10452/1/Disserta%c3%a7%c3%a3o_Jo%c3%a3oPaulo_Banca_21jan%20-%20VersaoFinal.pdf12637857b12d46622ca9953720295f30MD51LICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; 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dc.title.por.fl_str_mv |
Racionalidade limitada na decisão de consumo de etanol no Brasil: um estudo para o período de 2001 até 2011 |
title |
Racionalidade limitada na decisão de consumo de etanol no Brasil: um estudo para o período de 2001 até 2011 |
spellingShingle |
Racionalidade limitada na decisão de consumo de etanol no Brasil: um estudo para o período de 2001 até 2011 Silva, João Paulo Cabral da Economia comportamental Paridade de preços Economia Gasolina Combustíveis - Preços - Brasil Álcool como combustível - Consumo Comportamento do consumidor |
title_short |
Racionalidade limitada na decisão de consumo de etanol no Brasil: um estudo para o período de 2001 até 2011 |
title_full |
Racionalidade limitada na decisão de consumo de etanol no Brasil: um estudo para o período de 2001 até 2011 |
title_fullStr |
Racionalidade limitada na decisão de consumo de etanol no Brasil: um estudo para o período de 2001 até 2011 |
title_full_unstemmed |
Racionalidade limitada na decisão de consumo de etanol no Brasil: um estudo para o período de 2001 até 2011 |
title_sort |
Racionalidade limitada na decisão de consumo de etanol no Brasil: um estudo para o período de 2001 até 2011 |
author |
Silva, João Paulo Cabral da |
author_facet |
Silva, João Paulo Cabral da |
author_role |
author |
dc.contributor.unidadefgv.por.fl_str_mv |
Escolas::EESP |
dc.contributor.member.none.fl_str_mv |
Azevedo, Paulo Furquim de Lima, Lilian Maluf |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Silva, João Paulo Cabral da |
dc.contributor.advisor1.fl_str_mv |
Orellano, Verônica Inês Fernandez |
contributor_str_mv |
Orellano, Verônica Inês Fernandez |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Economia comportamental Paridade de preços |
topic |
Economia comportamental Paridade de preços Economia Gasolina Combustíveis - Preços - Brasil Álcool como combustível - Consumo Comportamento do consumidor |
dc.subject.area.por.fl_str_mv |
Economia |
dc.subject.bibliodata.por.fl_str_mv |
Gasolina Combustíveis - Preços - Brasil Álcool como combustível - Consumo Comportamento do consumidor |
description |
Studies of ethanol consumption for light vehicles in Brazil arouses interest for researches from different parts of the world, due to the possibility of obtaining empirical results able to highlight key features of consumer behavior for this product. This dissertation proposes a study that estimates the demand equation for ethanol in Brazil in order to investigate the existence of consumption inertia that will be defined as habit in this study. An econometric model was conducted in two stages with monthly data from ANP, using instrumental variables that controlled the endogeneity in prices, to test the existence of empirical evidences of consumption inertia in consumer making decision. The states were classified in terms of ethanol-gasoline parity prices (near or far from the value of 70%) and income (rich or poor) using interaction range for these variables. The analysis was divided in two periods to capture the influence of growing fleet flex-fuel vehicles in Brazilian economy. Finally, scenarios was constructed based on moving averages (for calculating the fuel´s parity price) to understand the changes in the elasticities under the influence of stability in the states classification over time. It was concluded that there are significant differences in the values of own and cross-price elasticities between the two analyzed periods and for the different parity price ranges and income classification. The influence of inertia in the consumption decision was evidenced only for the states classified as rich, because the results captured differences in the prices elasticities magnitude only when was considered high stability criteria in time, providing evidences that short term fluctuations in ethanol prices (considering states classified as riches), in cases that significant differences in elasticities were not evidenced, comparing states classified 'in' and 'out' of the parity price range, i.e., on average, consumers in these states are able to adopt a less advantageous option (in terms of efficiency) due consumption inertia. For states classified as poor it was not observed. |
publishDate |
2013 |
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv |
2013-01-31T16:31:49Z |
dc.date.available.fl_str_mv |
2013-01-31T16:31:49Z |
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv |
2013-01-21 |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesis |
format |
masterThesis |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.citation.fl_str_mv |
SILVA, João Paulo Cabral da. Racionalidade limitada na decisão de consumo de etanol no Brasil: um estudo para o período de 2001 até 2011. Dissertação (Mestrado Profissional em Finanças e Economia) - FGV - Fundação Getúlio Vargas, São Paulo, 2013. |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://hdl.handle.net/10438/10452 |
identifier_str_mv |
SILVA, João Paulo Cabral da. Racionalidade limitada na decisão de consumo de etanol no Brasil: um estudo para o período de 2001 até 2011. Dissertação (Mestrado Profissional em Finanças e Economia) - FGV - Fundação Getúlio Vargas, São Paulo, 2013. |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/10438/10452 |
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por |
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por |
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info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
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openAccess |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
reponame:Repositório Institucional do FGV (FGV Repositório Digital) instname:Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV) instacron:FGV |
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Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV) |
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FGV |
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FGV |
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Repositório Institucional do FGV (FGV Repositório Digital) |
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Repositório Institucional do FGV (FGV Repositório Digital) |
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Repositório Institucional do FGV (FGV Repositório Digital) - Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV) |
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