Crises financeira nos anos 1990 e poupança externa
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2008 |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | por |
Título da fonte: | Repositório Institucional do FGV (FGV Repositório Digital) |
Texto Completo: | http://hdl.handle.net/10438/2168 |
Resumo: | Differently of what says conventional economic analysis, the cause of the 1990s financial crises in Mexico, Asia, Brazil and Argentina was not primarily fiscal, but the decision of governments to grow with foreign savings, i.e., with current account deficits. These were balance of payment crises triggered by a overvalued local currency and the high level of the foreign debt and/or the fast growth of the current account deficit. Given that, foreign creditors suddenly become persuaded that the country does not face just a liquidity but a solvency problem, and stop rolling over the debt. An econometric test substantiates these claims |
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Bresser-Pereira, Luiz CarlosEscolas::EESP2008-12-23T16:16:17Z2008-12-23T16:16:17Z2008-12-23http://hdl.handle.net/10438/2168Differently of what says conventional economic analysis, the cause of the 1990s financial crises in Mexico, Asia, Brazil and Argentina was not primarily fiscal, but the decision of governments to grow with foreign savings, i.e., with current account deficits. These were balance of payment crises triggered by a overvalued local currency and the high level of the foreign debt and/or the fast growth of the current account deficit. Given that, foreign creditors suddenly become persuaded that the country does not face just a liquidity but a solvency problem, and stop rolling over the debt. An econometric test substantiates these claimsAo contrário do que afirma a análise econômica convencional, a causa das crises financeiras dos anos 1990 no México, Ásia, Brasil e Argentina não foi principalmente fiscal, mas sim a decisão dos governos de crescerem com poupança externa, isto é, com déficits em conta corrente. Essas foram crises de balanço de pagamento geradas pela sobreapreciação da moeda local e pelo alto nível de dívida externa e/ou rápido crescimento de déficit de conta corrente. Assim, repentinamente os credores externos se convenceram de que o país não enfrenta apenas um problema de liquidez, mas de solvência, e para de rolar a dívida. Um teste econométrico demonstra essas afirmaçõesporTextos para Discussão;172Financial crisisBalance of payment crisisForeign savingsExchange rateEconomiaCrise financeiraPoupançaTaxas de câmbioCrises financeira nos anos 1990 e poupança externainfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articlereponame:Repositório Institucional do FGV (FGV Repositório Digital)instname:Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV)instacron:FGVinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessORIGINALTD 172 Bresser-Pereira.pdfTD 172 Bresser-Pereira.pdfapplication/pdf272926https://repositorio.fgv.br/bitstreams/bcf53580-8bdb-44c4-a627-68554601cc07/download59bd4f34e256936075b37c7692ffd9bbMD51LICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-84712https://repositorio.fgv.br/bitstreams/5c37ce22-ce2d-4955-a8c5-6fd13c7cb23c/download40e2fb413e2de6707228bed01e01729cMD52TEXTTD 172 Bresser-Pereira.pdf.txtTD 172 Bresser-Pereira.pdf.txtExtracted 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dc.title.por.fl_str_mv |
Crises financeira nos anos 1990 e poupança externa |
title |
Crises financeira nos anos 1990 e poupança externa |
spellingShingle |
Crises financeira nos anos 1990 e poupança externa Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos Financial crisis Balance of payment crisis Foreign savings Exchange rate Economia Crise financeira Poupança Taxas de câmbio |
title_short |
Crises financeira nos anos 1990 e poupança externa |
title_full |
Crises financeira nos anos 1990 e poupança externa |
title_fullStr |
Crises financeira nos anos 1990 e poupança externa |
title_full_unstemmed |
Crises financeira nos anos 1990 e poupança externa |
title_sort |
Crises financeira nos anos 1990 e poupança externa |
author |
Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos |
author_facet |
Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos |
author_role |
author |
dc.contributor.unidadefgv.por.fl_str_mv |
Escolas::EESP |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Financial crisis Balance of payment crisis Foreign savings Exchange rate |
topic |
Financial crisis Balance of payment crisis Foreign savings Exchange rate Economia Crise financeira Poupança Taxas de câmbio |
dc.subject.area.por.fl_str_mv |
Economia |
dc.subject.bibliodata.por.fl_str_mv |
Crise financeira Poupança Taxas de câmbio |
description |
Differently of what says conventional economic analysis, the cause of the 1990s financial crises in Mexico, Asia, Brazil and Argentina was not primarily fiscal, but the decision of governments to grow with foreign savings, i.e., with current account deficits. These were balance of payment crises triggered by a overvalued local currency and the high level of the foreign debt and/or the fast growth of the current account deficit. Given that, foreign creditors suddenly become persuaded that the country does not face just a liquidity but a solvency problem, and stop rolling over the debt. An econometric test substantiates these claims |
publishDate |
2008 |
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv |
2008-12-23T16:16:17Z |
dc.date.available.fl_str_mv |
2008-12-23T16:16:17Z |
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv |
2008-12-23 |
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info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
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article |
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dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://hdl.handle.net/10438/2168 |
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http://hdl.handle.net/10438/2168 |
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por |
language |
por |
dc.relation.ispartofseries.por.fl_str_mv |
Textos para Discussão;172 |
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openAccess |
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