Electoral accountability and governors´ election in Brazil, 1990-2006
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2010 |
Outros Autores: | |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo de conferência |
Idioma: | eng |
Título da fonte: | Repositório Institucional do FGV (FGV Repositório Digital) |
Texto Completo: | http://hdl.handle.net/10438/19794 |
Resumo: | The scholarship on the accountability of local incumbents usually focuses on two main hypotheses. The first, the sub-national vote, argues that voters rely mostly on information on incumbent’s local performance. The second hypothesis, the referendum vote, argues that is voters´ decision give more weight to national aspects, particularly their assessment of the president’s performance. In this last case, the electoral fate of local incumbents would be determined by aspects outside their reach. In this paper we test those two hypotheses for the Brazilian case using a data set on 131 governor’s elections for the 27 Brazilian states between 1990 and 2006. To our knowledge, this is the first time these two hypotheses are tested in a multiparty context, since previous studies focused mainly on two-party systems. Our results show no support for the referendum hypothesis, as national variables did not have any effect on the probability of governors´ reelection. Among the local variables, there is a negative effect from state fiscal deficits, a result that contradicts usual expectations on new democracies. |
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Avelino Filho, GeorgeBarone, Leonardo SangaliDemais unidades::CEPESP2018-01-16T14:06:33Z2018-01-16T14:06:33Z2010http://hdl.handle.net/10438/19794The scholarship on the accountability of local incumbents usually focuses on two main hypotheses. The first, the sub-national vote, argues that voters rely mostly on information on incumbent’s local performance. The second hypothesis, the referendum vote, argues that is voters´ decision give more weight to national aspects, particularly their assessment of the president’s performance. In this last case, the electoral fate of local incumbents would be determined by aspects outside their reach. In this paper we test those two hypotheses for the Brazilian case using a data set on 131 governor’s elections for the 27 Brazilian states between 1990 and 2006. To our knowledge, this is the first time these two hypotheses are tested in a multiparty context, since previous studies focused mainly on two-party systems. Our results show no support for the referendum hypothesis, as national variables did not have any effect on the probability of governors´ reelection. Among the local variables, there is a negative effect from state fiscal deficits, a result that contradicts usual expectations on new democracies.engGovernors´ electionElectoral accountabilityEconomic performanceAdministração públicaBrasil - GovernadoresEleições - Aspectos econômicos - BrasilVoto - Aspectos econômicos - BrasilElectoral accountability and governors´ election in Brazil, 1990-2006info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/conferenceObjectinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Institucional do FGV (FGV Repositório Digital)instname:Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV)instacron:FGVTEXTCEPESP_Avelino Filho; Barone.pdf.txtCEPESP_Avelino Filho; Barone.pdf.txtExtracted texttext/plain37685https://repositorio.fgv.br/bitstreams/69786317-c000-4c82-9b32-876231c9af7d/download2e0f5f03fcce31856ffb1e554989997fMD55ORIGINALCEPESP_Avelino Filho; Barone.pdfCEPESP_Avelino Filho; 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dc.title.eng.fl_str_mv |
Electoral accountability and governors´ election in Brazil, 1990-2006 |
title |
Electoral accountability and governors´ election in Brazil, 1990-2006 |
spellingShingle |
Electoral accountability and governors´ election in Brazil, 1990-2006 Avelino Filho, George Governors´ election Electoral accountability Economic performance Administração pública Brasil - Governadores Eleições - Aspectos econômicos - Brasil Voto - Aspectos econômicos - Brasil |
title_short |
Electoral accountability and governors´ election in Brazil, 1990-2006 |
title_full |
Electoral accountability and governors´ election in Brazil, 1990-2006 |
title_fullStr |
Electoral accountability and governors´ election in Brazil, 1990-2006 |
title_full_unstemmed |
Electoral accountability and governors´ election in Brazil, 1990-2006 |
title_sort |
Electoral accountability and governors´ election in Brazil, 1990-2006 |
author |
Avelino Filho, George |
author_facet |
Avelino Filho, George Barone, Leonardo Sangali |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Barone, Leonardo Sangali |
author2_role |
author |
dc.contributor.unidadefgv.por.fl_str_mv |
Demais unidades::CEPESP |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Avelino Filho, George Barone, Leonardo Sangali |
dc.subject.eng.fl_str_mv |
Governors´ election Electoral accountability Economic performance |
topic |
Governors´ election Electoral accountability Economic performance Administração pública Brasil - Governadores Eleições - Aspectos econômicos - Brasil Voto - Aspectos econômicos - Brasil |
dc.subject.area.por.fl_str_mv |
Administração pública |
dc.subject.bibliodata.por.fl_str_mv |
Brasil - Governadores Eleições - Aspectos econômicos - Brasil Voto - Aspectos econômicos - Brasil |
description |
The scholarship on the accountability of local incumbents usually focuses on two main hypotheses. The first, the sub-national vote, argues that voters rely mostly on information on incumbent’s local performance. The second hypothesis, the referendum vote, argues that is voters´ decision give more weight to national aspects, particularly their assessment of the president’s performance. In this last case, the electoral fate of local incumbents would be determined by aspects outside their reach. In this paper we test those two hypotheses for the Brazilian case using a data set on 131 governor’s elections for the 27 Brazilian states between 1990 and 2006. To our knowledge, this is the first time these two hypotheses are tested in a multiparty context, since previous studies focused mainly on two-party systems. Our results show no support for the referendum hypothesis, as national variables did not have any effect on the probability of governors´ reelection. Among the local variables, there is a negative effect from state fiscal deficits, a result that contradicts usual expectations on new democracies. |
publishDate |
2010 |
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv |
2010 |
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv |
2018-01-16T14:06:33Z |
dc.date.available.fl_str_mv |
2018-01-16T14:06:33Z |
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eng |
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