Incubation period of Hemileia vastatrix in coffee plants in Brazil simulated under climate change

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Ghini,Raquel
Data de Publicação: 2011
Outros Autores: Hamada,Emília, Pedro Júnior,Mário José, Gonçalves,Renata Ribeiro do Valle
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: eng
Título da fonte: Summa phytopathologica (Online)
Texto Completo: http://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0100-54052011000200001
Resumo: Risk analysis of climate change on plant diseases has great importance for agriculture since it allows the evaluation of management strategies to minimize future damages. This work aimed to simulate future scenarios of coffee rust (Hemileia vastatrix) epidemics by elaborating geographic distribution maps using a model that estimates the pathogen incubation period and the output from three General Circulation Models (CSIRO-Mk3.0, INM-CM3.0, and MIROC3.2.medres). The climatological normal from 1961-1990 was compared with that of the decades 2020s, 2050s and 2080s using scenarios A2 and B1 from the IPCC. Maps were prepared with a spatial resolution of 0.5 × 0.5 degrees of latitude and longitude for ten producing states in Brazil. The climate variables used were maximum and minimum monthly temperatures. The maps obtained in scenario A2 showed a tendency towards a reduction in the incubation period when future scenarios are compared with the climatological normal from 1961-1990. A reduction in the period was also observed in scenario B1, although smaller than that in scenario A2.
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spelling Incubation period of Hemileia vastatrix in coffee plants in Brazil simulated under climate changeCoffea arabicacoffee rustfuture scenariosglobal warmingRisk analysis of climate change on plant diseases has great importance for agriculture since it allows the evaluation of management strategies to minimize future damages. This work aimed to simulate future scenarios of coffee rust (Hemileia vastatrix) epidemics by elaborating geographic distribution maps using a model that estimates the pathogen incubation period and the output from three General Circulation Models (CSIRO-Mk3.0, INM-CM3.0, and MIROC3.2.medres). The climatological normal from 1961-1990 was compared with that of the decades 2020s, 2050s and 2080s using scenarios A2 and B1 from the IPCC. Maps were prepared with a spatial resolution of 0.5 × 0.5 degrees of latitude and longitude for ten producing states in Brazil. The climate variables used were maximum and minimum monthly temperatures. The maps obtained in scenario A2 showed a tendency towards a reduction in the incubation period when future scenarios are compared with the climatological normal from 1961-1990. A reduction in the period was also observed in scenario B1, although smaller than that in scenario A2.Grupo Paulista de Fitopatologia2011-06-01info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersiontext/htmlhttp://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0100-54052011000200001Summa Phytopathologica v.37 n.2 2011reponame:Summa phytopathologica (Online)instname:Grupo Paulista de Fitopatologiainstacron:GPF10.1590/S0100-54052011000200001info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessGhini,RaquelHamada,EmíliaPedro Júnior,Mário JoséGonçalves,Renata Ribeiro do Valleeng2011-06-29T00:00:00Zoai:scielo:S0100-54052011000200001Revistahttp://www.scielo.br/sphttps://old.scielo.br/oai/scielo-oai.phpsumma@fca.unesp.br1980-54540100-5405opendoar:2011-06-29T00:00Summa phytopathologica (Online) - Grupo Paulista de Fitopatologiafalse
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Incubation period of Hemileia vastatrix in coffee plants in Brazil simulated under climate change
title Incubation period of Hemileia vastatrix in coffee plants in Brazil simulated under climate change
spellingShingle Incubation period of Hemileia vastatrix in coffee plants in Brazil simulated under climate change
Ghini,Raquel
Coffea arabica
coffee rust
future scenarios
global warming
title_short Incubation period of Hemileia vastatrix in coffee plants in Brazil simulated under climate change
title_full Incubation period of Hemileia vastatrix in coffee plants in Brazil simulated under climate change
title_fullStr Incubation period of Hemileia vastatrix in coffee plants in Brazil simulated under climate change
title_full_unstemmed Incubation period of Hemileia vastatrix in coffee plants in Brazil simulated under climate change
title_sort Incubation period of Hemileia vastatrix in coffee plants in Brazil simulated under climate change
author Ghini,Raquel
author_facet Ghini,Raquel
Hamada,Emília
Pedro Júnior,Mário José
Gonçalves,Renata Ribeiro do Valle
author_role author
author2 Hamada,Emília
Pedro Júnior,Mário José
Gonçalves,Renata Ribeiro do Valle
author2_role author
author
author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Ghini,Raquel
Hamada,Emília
Pedro Júnior,Mário José
Gonçalves,Renata Ribeiro do Valle
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Coffea arabica
coffee rust
future scenarios
global warming
topic Coffea arabica
coffee rust
future scenarios
global warming
description Risk analysis of climate change on plant diseases has great importance for agriculture since it allows the evaluation of management strategies to minimize future damages. This work aimed to simulate future scenarios of coffee rust (Hemileia vastatrix) epidemics by elaborating geographic distribution maps using a model that estimates the pathogen incubation period and the output from three General Circulation Models (CSIRO-Mk3.0, INM-CM3.0, and MIROC3.2.medres). The climatological normal from 1961-1990 was compared with that of the decades 2020s, 2050s and 2080s using scenarios A2 and B1 from the IPCC. Maps were prepared with a spatial resolution of 0.5 × 0.5 degrees of latitude and longitude for ten producing states in Brazil. The climate variables used were maximum and minimum monthly temperatures. The maps obtained in scenario A2 showed a tendency towards a reduction in the incubation period when future scenarios are compared with the climatological normal from 1961-1990. A reduction in the period was also observed in scenario B1, although smaller than that in scenario A2.
publishDate 2011
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2011-06-01
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv http://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0100-54052011000200001
url http://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0100-54052011000200001
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv 10.1590/S0100-54052011000200001
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv text/html
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Grupo Paulista de Fitopatologia
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Grupo Paulista de Fitopatologia
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv Summa Phytopathologica v.37 n.2 2011
reponame:Summa phytopathologica (Online)
instname:Grupo Paulista de Fitopatologia
instacron:GPF
instname_str Grupo Paulista de Fitopatologia
instacron_str GPF
institution GPF
reponame_str Summa phytopathologica (Online)
collection Summa phytopathologica (Online)
repository.name.fl_str_mv Summa phytopathologica (Online) - Grupo Paulista de Fitopatologia
repository.mail.fl_str_mv summa@fca.unesp.br
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