Arboviruses epidemic associates with Guillain-Barre syndrome: temporal series in northeast Brazil

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Lopes, Johnnatas
Data de Publicação: 2024
Outros Autores: Carvalho, Maylon Wellik dos Santos, Souza, Gustavo Roberto Santana, Barbosa, Romero Henrique de Almeida, Barbosa, Poliana Kalinne Simões de Melo, Freitas, Rodrigo Pegado de Abreu, Souza, Clécio Gabriel de
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: por
Título da fonte: Revista Baiana de Saúde Pública (Online)
Texto Completo: https://rbsp.sesab.ba.gov.br/index.php/rbsp/article/view/3959
Resumo: Arboviruses cause public health problems in several countries, and records show thatthey can generate central and peripheral neurological complications with permanent sequelae. However, it is not certain which arbovirus is responsible for outbreaks of the Guillain-Barré Syndrome (GBS), especially in Brazil. Thus, the objective of this study is to verify if there is a coincidence between the GBS outbreak and the most common arboviruses in Northeastern Brazil, as well as their relationship. An ecological time series study was designed with the federative units of Northeastern Brazil, using hospitalizations for Guillain-Barré syndrome and notifications of arbovirus infections between 2014 and 2019 as a data source. Distribution incidence curves were constructed for the conditions studied, and generalized estimating equations (GEE) models were applied to estimate the relationship between arboviruses and Guillain-Barré. The results showed a similar distribution for the incidences of Chikungunya virus (z=7.82; p=0.001), Zika virus (z=3.69; p=0.03), and Guillain-Barré syndrome (z=2.98; p=0.05) from 2014 to 2019. The GEE model revealed that the distribution of Chikungunya incidence is associated with the distribution of GBS incidence in each year (x2Wald=3,969; p=0.046). This pattern was repeated in seven of the nine states, while the Zika virus had a significant relationship with GBS in only two states. The outbreak of GBS in Northeastern Brazil appears to be probabilistically related to outbreaks of the Chikungunya virus.
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spelling Arboviruses epidemic associates with Guillain-Barre syndrome: temporal series in northeast BrazilEpidemia de arbovirosis asociada al síndrome de Guillain-Barré: serie temporal en el noroeste de BrasilEpidemia de arboviroses associada à síndrome de Guillain-Barré: série temporal no nordeste brasileiroSíndrome de Guillain-BarréZika vírusVírus chikungunyaVírus da dengueBrasilGuillain-Barre SyndromeZika VirusChikungunya virusDengue VirusBrazilSíndrome de Guillain-BarréVirus ZikaVirus ChikunguñaVirus del DengueBrasilArboviruses cause public health problems in several countries, and records show thatthey can generate central and peripheral neurological complications with permanent sequelae. However, it is not certain which arbovirus is responsible for outbreaks of the Guillain-Barré Syndrome (GBS), especially in Brazil. Thus, the objective of this study is to verify if there is a coincidence between the GBS outbreak and the most common arboviruses in Northeastern Brazil, as well as their relationship. An ecological time series study was designed with the federative units of Northeastern Brazil, using hospitalizations for Guillain-Barré syndrome and notifications of arbovirus infections between 2014 and 2019 as a data source. Distribution incidence curves were constructed for the conditions studied, and generalized estimating equations (GEE) models were applied to estimate the relationship between arboviruses and Guillain-Barré. The results showed a similar distribution for the incidences of Chikungunya virus (z=7.82; p=0.001), Zika virus (z=3.69; p=0.03), and Guillain-Barré syndrome (z=2.98; p=0.05) from 2014 to 2019. The GEE model revealed that the distribution of Chikungunya incidence is associated with the distribution of GBS incidence in each year (x2Wald=3,969; p=0.046). This pattern was repeated in seven of the nine states, while the Zika virus had a significant relationship with GBS in only two states. The outbreak of GBS in Northeastern Brazil appears to be probabilistically related to outbreaks of the Chikungunya virus.Los arbovirus causan problemas de salud pública en varios países y, según indican los reportes, pueden producir complicaciones neurológicas centrales y periféricas con secuelas permanentes. Sin embargo, no se sabe cuál de ellos es realmente el responsable de los brotes del síndrome de Guillain-Barré (SGB), especialmente en Brasil. Así, el objetivo de este estudio es verificar si existen coincidencias entre el brote del SGB y los arbovirus más comunes en el Noreste de Brasil y sus asociaciones. Se diseñó un estudio de series temporales ecológico en las unidades federativas del Noreste de Brasil, adoptando como fuente de datos las hospitalizaciones y las notificaciones de arbovirosis de Guillain-Barré entre 2014 y 2019. Se construyeron curvas de distribución de incidencia para las condiciones científicas, y se aplicó una ecuación estimada generalizada (GEE) para estimar la relación entre arbovirus y Guillain-Barré. Se encontró que existe una distribución similar en las incidencias de virus del chikunguña (z=7,82; p=0,001), virus del Zika (z=3,69; p=0,03) y síndrome de Guillain-Barré (z =2,98; p=0,05) entre 2014 y 2019. El modelo GEE reveló que la distribución de la incidencia de chikunguña está asociada con la distribución de la incidencia de SGB en cada año (x2Wald=3,969; p=0,046). Este patrón se repitió en siete de los nueve estados, mientras que el virus del Zika presentó una relación significativa con el SGB en solo dos estados. El brote del SGB en el Noreste de Brasil parece estar relacionado probabilísticamente con los brotes del virus del chikunguña.As arboviroses são problemas de saúde pública em vários países e há registros de que podem produzir complicações neurológicas centrais e periféricas com sequelas permanentes. Entretanto, não se sabe ao certo qual delas é realmente responsável pelos surtos da Síndrome de Guillain-Barré (SGB), principalmente no Brasil. Assim, o objetivo é verificar se há coincidência entre o surto de SGB e as arboviroses mais comuns no Nordeste do Brasil e suas relações. Foi desenhado um estudo ecológico de série temporal com as unidades federativas do Nordeste do Brasil, adotando como fonte de dados as internações Guillain-Barré e as notificações de infecções por arbovírus entre 2014 e 2019. Curvas de distribuição de incidência foram construídas para as condições estudadas, e foram aplicados modelos de equações generalizadas estimadas (GEE) para estimar a relação entre arbovírus e Guillain-Barré. Evidencia-se que há distribuição semelhante para as incidências do vírus Chikungunya (z=7,82; p=0,001), vírus Zika (z=3,69; p=0,03) e síndrome de Guillain-Barré (z=2,98; p=0,05) entre 2014 e 2019. O modelo GEE revelou que a distribuição da incidência de Chikungunya está associada à distribuição da incidência de SGB em cada ano (x2Wald=3,969; p=0,046). Esse padrão se repetiu em sete dos nove estados, enquanto o zika vírus teve uma relação significativa com o GBS em apenas dois estados. Conclui-se, então, que o surto de SGB no Nordeste do Brasil parece estar probabilisticamente relacionado aos surtos do vírus Chikungunya.SESAB2024-04-02info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionapplication/pdfhttps://rbsp.sesab.ba.gov.br/index.php/rbsp/article/view/395910.22278/2318-2660.2024.v47.n4.a3959Revista Baiana de Saúde Pública; v. 47 n. 4 (2023); 53-652318-26600100-023310.22278/2318-2660.2024.v47.N4reponame:Revista Baiana de Saúde Pública (Online)instname:Secretaria da Saúde do Estado da Bahia (Sesab)instacron:IBICTporhttps://rbsp.sesab.ba.gov.br/index.php/rbsp/article/view/3959/3276Copyright (c) 2024 Revista Baiana de Saúde Públicainfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessLopes, JohnnatasCarvalho, Maylon Wellik dos Santos Souza, Gustavo Roberto Santana Barbosa, Romero Henrique de Almeida Barbosa, Poliana Kalinne Simões de Melo Freitas, Rodrigo Pegado de Abreu Souza, Clécio Gabriel de 2024-04-02T13:52:28Zoai:ojs.pkp.sfu.ca:article/3959Revistahttps://rbsp.sesab.ba.gov.br/index.php/rbspPUBhttps://rbsp.sesab.ba.gov.br/index.php/rbsp/oai||saude.revista@saude.ba.gov.br|| rbsp.saude@saude.ba.gov.br2318-26600100-0233opendoar:2024-04-02T13:52:28Revista Baiana de Saúde Pública (Online) - Secretaria da Saúde do Estado da Bahia (Sesab)false
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Arboviruses epidemic associates with Guillain-Barre syndrome: temporal series in northeast Brazil
Epidemia de arbovirosis asociada al síndrome de Guillain-Barré: serie temporal en el noroeste de Brasil
Epidemia de arboviroses associada à síndrome de Guillain-Barré: série temporal no nordeste brasileiro
title Arboviruses epidemic associates with Guillain-Barre syndrome: temporal series in northeast Brazil
spellingShingle Arboviruses epidemic associates with Guillain-Barre syndrome: temporal series in northeast Brazil
Lopes, Johnnatas
Síndrome de Guillain-Barré
Zika vírus
Vírus chikungunya
Vírus da dengue
Brasil
Guillain-Barre Syndrome
Zika Virus
Chikungunya virus
Dengue Virus
Brazil
Síndrome de Guillain-Barré
Virus Zika
Virus Chikunguña
Virus del Dengue
Brasil
title_short Arboviruses epidemic associates with Guillain-Barre syndrome: temporal series in northeast Brazil
title_full Arboviruses epidemic associates with Guillain-Barre syndrome: temporal series in northeast Brazil
title_fullStr Arboviruses epidemic associates with Guillain-Barre syndrome: temporal series in northeast Brazil
title_full_unstemmed Arboviruses epidemic associates with Guillain-Barre syndrome: temporal series in northeast Brazil
title_sort Arboviruses epidemic associates with Guillain-Barre syndrome: temporal series in northeast Brazil
author Lopes, Johnnatas
author_facet Lopes, Johnnatas
Carvalho, Maylon Wellik dos Santos
Souza, Gustavo Roberto Santana
Barbosa, Romero Henrique de Almeida
Barbosa, Poliana Kalinne Simões de Melo
Freitas, Rodrigo Pegado de Abreu
Souza, Clécio Gabriel de
author_role author
author2 Carvalho, Maylon Wellik dos Santos
Souza, Gustavo Roberto Santana
Barbosa, Romero Henrique de Almeida
Barbosa, Poliana Kalinne Simões de Melo
Freitas, Rodrigo Pegado de Abreu
Souza, Clécio Gabriel de
author2_role author
author
author
author
author
author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Lopes, Johnnatas
Carvalho, Maylon Wellik dos Santos
Souza, Gustavo Roberto Santana
Barbosa, Romero Henrique de Almeida
Barbosa, Poliana Kalinne Simões de Melo
Freitas, Rodrigo Pegado de Abreu
Souza, Clécio Gabriel de
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Síndrome de Guillain-Barré
Zika vírus
Vírus chikungunya
Vírus da dengue
Brasil
Guillain-Barre Syndrome
Zika Virus
Chikungunya virus
Dengue Virus
Brazil
Síndrome de Guillain-Barré
Virus Zika
Virus Chikunguña
Virus del Dengue
Brasil
topic Síndrome de Guillain-Barré
Zika vírus
Vírus chikungunya
Vírus da dengue
Brasil
Guillain-Barre Syndrome
Zika Virus
Chikungunya virus
Dengue Virus
Brazil
Síndrome de Guillain-Barré
Virus Zika
Virus Chikunguña
Virus del Dengue
Brasil
description Arboviruses cause public health problems in several countries, and records show thatthey can generate central and peripheral neurological complications with permanent sequelae. However, it is not certain which arbovirus is responsible for outbreaks of the Guillain-Barré Syndrome (GBS), especially in Brazil. Thus, the objective of this study is to verify if there is a coincidence between the GBS outbreak and the most common arboviruses in Northeastern Brazil, as well as their relationship. An ecological time series study was designed with the federative units of Northeastern Brazil, using hospitalizations for Guillain-Barré syndrome and notifications of arbovirus infections between 2014 and 2019 as a data source. Distribution incidence curves were constructed for the conditions studied, and generalized estimating equations (GEE) models were applied to estimate the relationship between arboviruses and Guillain-Barré. The results showed a similar distribution for the incidences of Chikungunya virus (z=7.82; p=0.001), Zika virus (z=3.69; p=0.03), and Guillain-Barré syndrome (z=2.98; p=0.05) from 2014 to 2019. The GEE model revealed that the distribution of Chikungunya incidence is associated with the distribution of GBS incidence in each year (x2Wald=3,969; p=0.046). This pattern was repeated in seven of the nine states, while the Zika virus had a significant relationship with GBS in only two states. The outbreak of GBS in Northeastern Brazil appears to be probabilistically related to outbreaks of the Chikungunya virus.
publishDate 2024
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