Study of the demand-supply for radiopharmaceuticals in IPEN
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2020 |
Outros Autores: | , , |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo de conferência |
Título da fonte: | Repositório Institucional do IPEN |
Texto Completo: | http://repositorio.ipen.br/handle/123456789/30575 |
Resumo: | Radiopharmaceuticals are unique medicinal formulations containing radioisotopes and are used in nuclear medicine for diagnosis and/or therapy for chronic diseases such as cancer, alzheimer and cardiac disorders. The increase in the incidence of these diseases in the Brazilian population and the trend of increasing demand for radiopharmaceuticals motivated the elaboration of this work from a system dynamics perspective. The aim of this paper is to present a System Dynamic Model for simulating the interaction between demand, capacity, workforce and production of radiopharmaceuticals produced by IPEN. The validity of this model is verified by running in Vensim PLE software using historical data. The model was based on the generic structure of commodity markets and main variables were considered to represent the market polices. The preliminary model presented was able to capture the expected behavior of the industry of radiopharmaceuticals. Two alternative scenarios were developed, one to analyze the impacts of investment in infrastructure of IPEN and the other to investigate the workforce investment. As result, the model performed well in representing the behavior of the market. In addition, scenario tests showed that investment in infrastructure and workforce investment have a significant impact in the dynamic of the system. |
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2020-01-06T14:30:48Z2020-01-06T14:30:48ZOctober 21-25, 2019http://repositorio.ipen.br/handle/123456789/305750000-0001-9544-4509Radiopharmaceuticals are unique medicinal formulations containing radioisotopes and are used in nuclear medicine for diagnosis and/or therapy for chronic diseases such as cancer, alzheimer and cardiac disorders. The increase in the incidence of these diseases in the Brazilian population and the trend of increasing demand for radiopharmaceuticals motivated the elaboration of this work from a system dynamics perspective. The aim of this paper is to present a System Dynamic Model for simulating the interaction between demand, capacity, workforce and production of radiopharmaceuticals produced by IPEN. The validity of this model is verified by running in Vensim PLE software using historical data. The model was based on the generic structure of commodity markets and main variables were considered to represent the market polices. The preliminary model presented was able to capture the expected behavior of the industry of radiopharmaceuticals. Two alternative scenarios were developed, one to analyze the impacts of investment in infrastructure of IPEN and the other to investigate the workforce investment. As result, the model performed well in representing the behavior of the market. In addition, scenario tests showed that investment in infrastructure and workforce investment have a significant impact in the dynamic of the system.Submitted by Celia Satomi Uehara (celia.u-topservice@ipen.br) on 2020-01-06T14:30:48Z No. of bitstreams: 1 26225.pdf: 927142 bytes, checksum: a428bfaad22a1303587966158ca8db60 (MD5)Made available in DSpace on 2020-01-06T14:30:48Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 26225.pdf: 927142 bytes, checksum: a428bfaad22a1303587966158ca8db60 (MD5)1617-1628Associa????o Brasileira de Energia Nuclearcomputerized simulationdynamical systemsinteractionsinvestmentmarketpersonnelproductionradiopharmaceuticalssupply and demandv codesbrazilian cnenStudy of the demand-supply for radiopharmaceuticals in IPENinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/conferenceObjectINACIRio de JaneiroSantos, SP103089685202600600600MUTARELLI, RITA de C.LIMA, ANA C. de S.SABUNDJIAN, GAIANEINTERNATIONAL NUCLEAR ATLANTIC CONFERENCEinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Institucional do IPENinstname:Instituto de Pesquisas Energéticas e Nucleares (IPEN)instacron:IPEN262252019SABUNDJIAN, GAIANELIMA, ANA C. de S.MUTARELLI, RITA de C.20-01Proceedings202968510308a system dynamics approachSABUNDJIAN, GAIANE:202:420:NLIMA, ANA C. de S.:9685:420:NMUTARELLI, RITA de C.:10308:420:SLICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-81748http://repositorio.ipen.br/bitstream/123456789/30575/2/license.txt8a4605be74aa9ea9d79846c1fba20a33MD52ORIGINAL26225.pdf26225.pdfapplication/pdf927142http://repositorio.ipen.br/bitstream/123456789/30575/1/26225.pdfa428bfaad22a1303587966158ca8db60MD51123456789/305752020-04-05 20:16:28.931oai:repositorio.ipen.br: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Repositório InstitucionalPUBhttp://repositorio.ipen.br/oai/requestbibl@ipen.bropendoar:45102020-04-05T20:16:28Repositório Institucional do IPEN - Instituto de Pesquisas Energéticas e Nucleares (IPEN)false |
dc.title.pt_BR.fl_str_mv |
Study of the demand-supply for radiopharmaceuticals in IPEN |
title |
Study of the demand-supply for radiopharmaceuticals in IPEN |
spellingShingle |
Study of the demand-supply for radiopharmaceuticals in IPEN MUTARELLI, RITA de C. computerized simulation dynamical systems interactions investment market personnel production radiopharmaceuticals supply and demand v codes brazilian cnen |
title_short |
Study of the demand-supply for radiopharmaceuticals in IPEN |
title_full |
Study of the demand-supply for radiopharmaceuticals in IPEN |
title_fullStr |
Study of the demand-supply for radiopharmaceuticals in IPEN |
title_full_unstemmed |
Study of the demand-supply for radiopharmaceuticals in IPEN |
title_sort |
Study of the demand-supply for radiopharmaceuticals in IPEN |
author |
MUTARELLI, RITA de C. |
author_facet |
MUTARELLI, RITA de C. LIMA, ANA C. de S. SABUNDJIAN, GAIANE INTERNATIONAL NUCLEAR ATLANTIC CONFERENCE |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
LIMA, ANA C. de S. SABUNDJIAN, GAIANE INTERNATIONAL NUCLEAR ATLANTIC CONFERENCE |
author2_role |
author author author |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
MUTARELLI, RITA de C. LIMA, ANA C. de S. SABUNDJIAN, GAIANE INTERNATIONAL NUCLEAR ATLANTIC CONFERENCE |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
computerized simulation dynamical systems interactions investment market personnel production radiopharmaceuticals supply and demand v codes brazilian cnen |
topic |
computerized simulation dynamical systems interactions investment market personnel production radiopharmaceuticals supply and demand v codes brazilian cnen |
description |
Radiopharmaceuticals are unique medicinal formulations containing radioisotopes and are used in nuclear medicine for diagnosis and/or therapy for chronic diseases such as cancer, alzheimer and cardiac disorders. The increase in the incidence of these diseases in the Brazilian population and the trend of increasing demand for radiopharmaceuticals motivated the elaboration of this work from a system dynamics perspective. The aim of this paper is to present a System Dynamic Model for simulating the interaction between demand, capacity, workforce and production of radiopharmaceuticals produced by IPEN. The validity of this model is verified by running in Vensim PLE software using historical data. The model was based on the generic structure of commodity markets and main variables were considered to represent the market polices. The preliminary model presented was able to capture the expected behavior of the industry of radiopharmaceuticals. Two alternative scenarios were developed, one to analyze the impacts of investment in infrastructure of IPEN and the other to investigate the workforce investment. As result, the model performed well in representing the behavior of the market. In addition, scenario tests showed that investment in infrastructure and workforce investment have a significant impact in the dynamic of the system. |
publishDate |
2020 |
dc.date.evento.pt_BR.fl_str_mv |
October 21-25, 2019 |
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv |
2020-01-06T14:30:48Z |
dc.date.available.fl_str_mv |
2020-01-06T14:30:48Z |
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info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
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1617-1628 |
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Associa????o Brasileira de Energia Nuclear |
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Associa????o Brasileira de Energia Nuclear |
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