Multitemporal land use and cover analysis coupled with climatic change scenarios to protect the endangered taxon Asphodelus bento-rainhae subsp. bento-rainhae

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Almeida, A.M.
Data de Publicação: 2023
Outros Autores: Delgado, F.M.G., Roque, N., Ribeiro, M.M.A., Fernandez, P.
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: eng
Título da fonte: Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
Texto Completo: http://hdl.handle.net/10400.11/8687
Resumo: : Climate change and land use and land cover (LULC) change are impacting the species’ geographic distribution, causing range shifts and reducing suitable habitats. Asphodelus bento-rainhae subsp. bento-rainhae (AbR) is an endangered endemic plant restricted to Serra da Gardunha (Portugal), and knowledge of those changes will help to design conservation measures. MaxEnt was used to model AbR’s current distribution and project it into the future, 2050, using the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway SSP3-7. The Portuguese LULC maps from 1951–1980, 1995, 2007, and 2018 were used to assess and quantify LULC changes over time. The results showed that the AbR current predicted distribution matches its actual known distribution, which will not be affected by future predicted climate change. The significant LULC changes were observed during the study periods 1951–1980 to 2018, particularly between 1951–1980 and 1995. Scrubland and Agriculture decreased by 5% and 2.5%, respectively, and Forests increased by 4% in the study area. In the occurrence area, Agriculture increased, and Forests decreased between 1980 and 2018, due to Orchard expansion (34%) and declines in Chestnut (16.9%) and Pine (11%) areas, respectively. The use of species distribution models and the LULC change analysis contributed to understanding current and future species distribution. The LULC changes will have a significant impact on future species distribution. To prevent the extinction of this endemic species in the future, it is crucial to implement conservation measures, namely species monitoring, replantation, and germplasm conservation, in addition to guidelines for habitat conservation.
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spelling Multitemporal land use and cover analysis coupled with climatic change scenarios to protect the endangered taxon Asphodelus bento-rainhae subsp. bento-rainhaeAsphodelus bento-rainhae subsp. bento-rainhaeClimate changeConservationSpecies distribution modelingMaxEntLULC: Climate change and land use and land cover (LULC) change are impacting the species’ geographic distribution, causing range shifts and reducing suitable habitats. Asphodelus bento-rainhae subsp. bento-rainhae (AbR) is an endangered endemic plant restricted to Serra da Gardunha (Portugal), and knowledge of those changes will help to design conservation measures. MaxEnt was used to model AbR’s current distribution and project it into the future, 2050, using the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway SSP3-7. The Portuguese LULC maps from 1951–1980, 1995, 2007, and 2018 were used to assess and quantify LULC changes over time. The results showed that the AbR current predicted distribution matches its actual known distribution, which will not be affected by future predicted climate change. The significant LULC changes were observed during the study periods 1951–1980 to 2018, particularly between 1951–1980 and 1995. Scrubland and Agriculture decreased by 5% and 2.5%, respectively, and Forests increased by 4% in the study area. In the occurrence area, Agriculture increased, and Forests decreased between 1980 and 2018, due to Orchard expansion (34%) and declines in Chestnut (16.9%) and Pine (11%) areas, respectively. The use of species distribution models and the LULC change analysis contributed to understanding current and future species distribution. The LULC changes will have a significant impact on future species distribution. To prevent the extinction of this endemic species in the future, it is crucial to implement conservation measures, namely species monitoring, replantation, and germplasm conservation, in addition to guidelines for habitat conservation.Repositório Científico do Instituto Politécnico de Castelo BrancoAlmeida, A.M.Delgado, F.M.G.Roque, N.Ribeiro, M.M.A.Fernandez, P.2023-10-24T15:20:29Z20232023-10-22T21:58:06Z2023-01-01T00:00:00Zinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.11/8687engALMEIDA, Alice Maria [et al.] (2023) - Multitemporal land use and cover analysis coupled with climatic change scenarios to protect the endangered taxon Asphodelus bento-rainhae subsp. bento-rainhae. Plants. DOI: 10.3390/plants121629142223-7747cv-prod-337175210.3390/plants12162914info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãoinstacron:RCAAP2023-12-30T01:50:26Zoai:repositorio.ipcb.pt:10400.11/8687Portal AgregadorONGhttps://www.rcaap.pt/oai/openaireopendoar:71602024-03-19T21:26:02.628551Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãofalse
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Multitemporal land use and cover analysis coupled with climatic change scenarios to protect the endangered taxon Asphodelus bento-rainhae subsp. bento-rainhae
title Multitemporal land use and cover analysis coupled with climatic change scenarios to protect the endangered taxon Asphodelus bento-rainhae subsp. bento-rainhae
spellingShingle Multitemporal land use and cover analysis coupled with climatic change scenarios to protect the endangered taxon Asphodelus bento-rainhae subsp. bento-rainhae
Almeida, A.M.
Asphodelus bento-rainhae subsp. bento-rainhae
Climate change
Conservation
Species distribution modeling
MaxEnt
LULC
title_short Multitemporal land use and cover analysis coupled with climatic change scenarios to protect the endangered taxon Asphodelus bento-rainhae subsp. bento-rainhae
title_full Multitemporal land use and cover analysis coupled with climatic change scenarios to protect the endangered taxon Asphodelus bento-rainhae subsp. bento-rainhae
title_fullStr Multitemporal land use and cover analysis coupled with climatic change scenarios to protect the endangered taxon Asphodelus bento-rainhae subsp. bento-rainhae
title_full_unstemmed Multitemporal land use and cover analysis coupled with climatic change scenarios to protect the endangered taxon Asphodelus bento-rainhae subsp. bento-rainhae
title_sort Multitemporal land use and cover analysis coupled with climatic change scenarios to protect the endangered taxon Asphodelus bento-rainhae subsp. bento-rainhae
author Almeida, A.M.
author_facet Almeida, A.M.
Delgado, F.M.G.
Roque, N.
Ribeiro, M.M.A.
Fernandez, P.
author_role author
author2 Delgado, F.M.G.
Roque, N.
Ribeiro, M.M.A.
Fernandez, P.
author2_role author
author
author
author
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv Repositório Científico do Instituto Politécnico de Castelo Branco
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Almeida, A.M.
Delgado, F.M.G.
Roque, N.
Ribeiro, M.M.A.
Fernandez, P.
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Asphodelus bento-rainhae subsp. bento-rainhae
Climate change
Conservation
Species distribution modeling
MaxEnt
LULC
topic Asphodelus bento-rainhae subsp. bento-rainhae
Climate change
Conservation
Species distribution modeling
MaxEnt
LULC
description : Climate change and land use and land cover (LULC) change are impacting the species’ geographic distribution, causing range shifts and reducing suitable habitats. Asphodelus bento-rainhae subsp. bento-rainhae (AbR) is an endangered endemic plant restricted to Serra da Gardunha (Portugal), and knowledge of those changes will help to design conservation measures. MaxEnt was used to model AbR’s current distribution and project it into the future, 2050, using the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway SSP3-7. The Portuguese LULC maps from 1951–1980, 1995, 2007, and 2018 were used to assess and quantify LULC changes over time. The results showed that the AbR current predicted distribution matches its actual known distribution, which will not be affected by future predicted climate change. The significant LULC changes were observed during the study periods 1951–1980 to 2018, particularly between 1951–1980 and 1995. Scrubland and Agriculture decreased by 5% and 2.5%, respectively, and Forests increased by 4% in the study area. In the occurrence area, Agriculture increased, and Forests decreased between 1980 and 2018, due to Orchard expansion (34%) and declines in Chestnut (16.9%) and Pine (11%) areas, respectively. The use of species distribution models and the LULC change analysis contributed to understanding current and future species distribution. The LULC changes will have a significant impact on future species distribution. To prevent the extinction of this endemic species in the future, it is crucial to implement conservation measures, namely species monitoring, replantation, and germplasm conservation, in addition to guidelines for habitat conservation.
publishDate 2023
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2023-10-24T15:20:29Z
2023
2023-10-22T21:58:06Z
2023-01-01T00:00:00Z
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/10400.11/8687
url http://hdl.handle.net/10400.11/8687
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv ALMEIDA, Alice Maria [et al.] (2023) - Multitemporal land use and cover analysis coupled with climatic change scenarios to protect the endangered taxon Asphodelus bento-rainhae subsp. bento-rainhae. Plants. DOI: 10.3390/plants12162914
2223-7747
cv-prod-3371752
10.3390/plants12162914
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
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