Multitemporal land use and cover analysis coupled with climatic change scenarios to protect the endangered taxon Asphodelus bento-rainhae subsp. bento-rainhae
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2023 |
Outros Autores: | , , , |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | eng |
Título da fonte: | Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
Texto Completo: | http://hdl.handle.net/10400.11/8687 |
Resumo: | : Climate change and land use and land cover (LULC) change are impacting the species’ geographic distribution, causing range shifts and reducing suitable habitats. Asphodelus bento-rainhae subsp. bento-rainhae (AbR) is an endangered endemic plant restricted to Serra da Gardunha (Portugal), and knowledge of those changes will help to design conservation measures. MaxEnt was used to model AbR’s current distribution and project it into the future, 2050, using the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway SSP3-7. The Portuguese LULC maps from 1951–1980, 1995, 2007, and 2018 were used to assess and quantify LULC changes over time. The results showed that the AbR current predicted distribution matches its actual known distribution, which will not be affected by future predicted climate change. The significant LULC changes were observed during the study periods 1951–1980 to 2018, particularly between 1951–1980 and 1995. Scrubland and Agriculture decreased by 5% and 2.5%, respectively, and Forests increased by 4% in the study area. In the occurrence area, Agriculture increased, and Forests decreased between 1980 and 2018, due to Orchard expansion (34%) and declines in Chestnut (16.9%) and Pine (11%) areas, respectively. The use of species distribution models and the LULC change analysis contributed to understanding current and future species distribution. The LULC changes will have a significant impact on future species distribution. To prevent the extinction of this endemic species in the future, it is crucial to implement conservation measures, namely species monitoring, replantation, and germplasm conservation, in addition to guidelines for habitat conservation. |
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Multitemporal land use and cover analysis coupled with climatic change scenarios to protect the endangered taxon Asphodelus bento-rainhae subsp. bento-rainhaeAsphodelus bento-rainhae subsp. bento-rainhaeClimate changeConservationSpecies distribution modelingMaxEntLULC: Climate change and land use and land cover (LULC) change are impacting the species’ geographic distribution, causing range shifts and reducing suitable habitats. Asphodelus bento-rainhae subsp. bento-rainhae (AbR) is an endangered endemic plant restricted to Serra da Gardunha (Portugal), and knowledge of those changes will help to design conservation measures. MaxEnt was used to model AbR’s current distribution and project it into the future, 2050, using the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway SSP3-7. The Portuguese LULC maps from 1951–1980, 1995, 2007, and 2018 were used to assess and quantify LULC changes over time. The results showed that the AbR current predicted distribution matches its actual known distribution, which will not be affected by future predicted climate change. The significant LULC changes were observed during the study periods 1951–1980 to 2018, particularly between 1951–1980 and 1995. Scrubland and Agriculture decreased by 5% and 2.5%, respectively, and Forests increased by 4% in the study area. In the occurrence area, Agriculture increased, and Forests decreased between 1980 and 2018, due to Orchard expansion (34%) and declines in Chestnut (16.9%) and Pine (11%) areas, respectively. The use of species distribution models and the LULC change analysis contributed to understanding current and future species distribution. The LULC changes will have a significant impact on future species distribution. To prevent the extinction of this endemic species in the future, it is crucial to implement conservation measures, namely species monitoring, replantation, and germplasm conservation, in addition to guidelines for habitat conservation.Repositório Científico do Instituto Politécnico de Castelo BrancoAlmeida, A.M.Delgado, F.M.G.Roque, N.Ribeiro, M.M.A.Fernandez, P.2023-10-24T15:20:29Z20232023-10-22T21:58:06Z2023-01-01T00:00:00Zinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.11/8687engALMEIDA, Alice Maria [et al.] (2023) - Multitemporal land use and cover analysis coupled with climatic change scenarios to protect the endangered taxon Asphodelus bento-rainhae subsp. bento-rainhae. Plants. DOI: 10.3390/plants121629142223-7747cv-prod-337175210.3390/plants12162914info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãoinstacron:RCAAP2023-12-30T01:50:26Zoai:repositorio.ipcb.pt:10400.11/8687Portal AgregadorONGhttps://www.rcaap.pt/oai/openaireopendoar:71602024-03-19T21:26:02.628551Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãofalse |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Multitemporal land use and cover analysis coupled with climatic change scenarios to protect the endangered taxon Asphodelus bento-rainhae subsp. bento-rainhae |
title |
Multitemporal land use and cover analysis coupled with climatic change scenarios to protect the endangered taxon Asphodelus bento-rainhae subsp. bento-rainhae |
spellingShingle |
Multitemporal land use and cover analysis coupled with climatic change scenarios to protect the endangered taxon Asphodelus bento-rainhae subsp. bento-rainhae Almeida, A.M. Asphodelus bento-rainhae subsp. bento-rainhae Climate change Conservation Species distribution modeling MaxEnt LULC |
title_short |
Multitemporal land use and cover analysis coupled with climatic change scenarios to protect the endangered taxon Asphodelus bento-rainhae subsp. bento-rainhae |
title_full |
Multitemporal land use and cover analysis coupled with climatic change scenarios to protect the endangered taxon Asphodelus bento-rainhae subsp. bento-rainhae |
title_fullStr |
Multitemporal land use and cover analysis coupled with climatic change scenarios to protect the endangered taxon Asphodelus bento-rainhae subsp. bento-rainhae |
title_full_unstemmed |
Multitemporal land use and cover analysis coupled with climatic change scenarios to protect the endangered taxon Asphodelus bento-rainhae subsp. bento-rainhae |
title_sort |
Multitemporal land use and cover analysis coupled with climatic change scenarios to protect the endangered taxon Asphodelus bento-rainhae subsp. bento-rainhae |
author |
Almeida, A.M. |
author_facet |
Almeida, A.M. Delgado, F.M.G. Roque, N. Ribeiro, M.M.A. Fernandez, P. |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Delgado, F.M.G. Roque, N. Ribeiro, M.M.A. Fernandez, P. |
author2_role |
author author author author |
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv |
Repositório Científico do Instituto Politécnico de Castelo Branco |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Almeida, A.M. Delgado, F.M.G. Roque, N. Ribeiro, M.M.A. Fernandez, P. |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Asphodelus bento-rainhae subsp. bento-rainhae Climate change Conservation Species distribution modeling MaxEnt LULC |
topic |
Asphodelus bento-rainhae subsp. bento-rainhae Climate change Conservation Species distribution modeling MaxEnt LULC |
description |
: Climate change and land use and land cover (LULC) change are impacting the species’ geographic distribution, causing range shifts and reducing suitable habitats. Asphodelus bento-rainhae subsp. bento-rainhae (AbR) is an endangered endemic plant restricted to Serra da Gardunha (Portugal), and knowledge of those changes will help to design conservation measures. MaxEnt was used to model AbR’s current distribution and project it into the future, 2050, using the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway SSP3-7. The Portuguese LULC maps from 1951–1980, 1995, 2007, and 2018 were used to assess and quantify LULC changes over time. The results showed that the AbR current predicted distribution matches its actual known distribution, which will not be affected by future predicted climate change. The significant LULC changes were observed during the study periods 1951–1980 to 2018, particularly between 1951–1980 and 1995. Scrubland and Agriculture decreased by 5% and 2.5%, respectively, and Forests increased by 4% in the study area. In the occurrence area, Agriculture increased, and Forests decreased between 1980 and 2018, due to Orchard expansion (34%) and declines in Chestnut (16.9%) and Pine (11%) areas, respectively. The use of species distribution models and the LULC change analysis contributed to understanding current and future species distribution. The LULC changes will have a significant impact on future species distribution. To prevent the extinction of this endemic species in the future, it is crucial to implement conservation measures, namely species monitoring, replantation, and germplasm conservation, in addition to guidelines for habitat conservation. |
publishDate |
2023 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2023-10-24T15:20:29Z 2023 2023-10-22T21:58:06Z 2023-01-01T00:00:00Z |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://hdl.handle.net/10400.11/8687 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/10400.11/8687 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
ALMEIDA, Alice Maria [et al.] (2023) - Multitemporal land use and cover analysis coupled with climatic change scenarios to protect the endangered taxon Asphodelus bento-rainhae subsp. bento-rainhae. Plants. DOI: 10.3390/plants12162914 2223-7747 cv-prod-3371752 10.3390/plants12162914 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
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Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação |
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RCAAP |
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Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
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Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
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Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação |
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