Demography of Physicians in Portugal: Prospective Analysis
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2014 |
Outros Autores: | , |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | por eng |
Título da fonte: | Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
Texto Completo: | https://www.actamedicaportuguesa.com/revista/index.php/amp/article/view/5183 |
Resumo: | Introduction: The study modelled the physicians predictable allocation by medical specialty, in the horizon of 2025. It was based on the physicians demographics in Portugal and through the development of different future scenarios.Material and Methods: In the study was developed a Supply Model, which represents the capacity of medical training installed in Portugal, and a Necessity Model that perspective possible futures for the provision of medical professionals.Results: Each model comprehends several scenarios, according to different context variables (introduction or not of limits topostgraduate training capacity, demographic trends, ratios recommended by Colleges Specialty ...).Discussion/Conclusion: The models comparison lead to the conclusion that the training system has the capacity to meet the needs of physicians in all scenarios developed, and it even generates a surplus of medical professionals that may not be absorbed by the healthcare system, in the horizon of 2025. |
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Demography of Physicians in Portugal: Prospective AnalysisDemografia Médica em Portugal: Análise ProspetivaIntroduction: The study modelled the physicians predictable allocation by medical specialty, in the horizon of 2025. It was based on the physicians demographics in Portugal and through the development of different future scenarios.Material and Methods: In the study was developed a Supply Model, which represents the capacity of medical training installed in Portugal, and a Necessity Model that perspective possible futures for the provision of medical professionals.Results: Each model comprehends several scenarios, according to different context variables (introduction or not of limits topostgraduate training capacity, demographic trends, ratios recommended by Colleges Specialty ...).Discussion/Conclusion: The models comparison lead to the conclusion that the training system has the capacity to meet the needs of physicians in all scenarios developed, and it even generates a surplus of medical professionals that may not be absorbed by the healthcare system, in the horizon of 2025.Introdução: Partindo da caracterização demográfica dos médicos em Portugal e através do desenvolvimento de diferentes cenários prospetivos, modelou-se a evolução previsível da dotação de médicos, por especialidade, no horizonte de 2025.Material e Métodos: Foi desenvolvido um Modelo da Oferta, que representa a capacidade de formação de médicos instalada no sistema, e um Modelo de Necessidades, que perspetiva futuros possíveis para a dotação de profissionais.Resultados: Cada um dos modelos incluiu diferentes cenários, de acordo com variáveis de contexto diversas (introdução ou não de limites à capacidade formativa pós-graduada, evolução demográfica, rácios recomendados pelos Colégios de Especialidade…).Discussão/Conclusão: Da confrontação dos modelos desenvolvidos e dos respetivos cenários resultou a conclusão de que o sistema tem capacidade para suprir as necessidades de médicos no horizonte de 2025 em todos os cenários modelados, gerando mesmo profissionais que poderão não ser absorvidos pelo sistema de saúde.Ordem dos Médicos2014-04-30info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleapplication/pdfapplication/pdfhttps://www.actamedicaportuguesa.com/revista/index.php/amp/article/view/5183oai:ojs.www.actamedicaportuguesa.com:article/5183Acta Médica Portuguesa; Vol. 27 No. 2 (2014): March-April; 246-251Acta Médica Portuguesa; Vol. 27 N.º 2 (2014): Março-Abril; 246-2511646-07580870-399Xreponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãoinstacron:RCAAPporenghttps://www.actamedicaportuguesa.com/revista/index.php/amp/article/view/5183https://www.actamedicaportuguesa.com/revista/index.php/amp/article/view/5183/3939https://www.actamedicaportuguesa.com/revista/index.php/amp/article/view/5183/4116Santana, PaulaPeixoto, HelenaDuarte, Nunoinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess2022-12-20T11:04:14Zoai:ojs.www.actamedicaportuguesa.com:article/5183Portal AgregadorONGhttps://www.rcaap.pt/oai/openaireopendoar:71602024-03-19T16:19:02.567105Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãofalse |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Demography of Physicians in Portugal: Prospective Analysis Demografia Médica em Portugal: Análise Prospetiva |
title |
Demography of Physicians in Portugal: Prospective Analysis |
spellingShingle |
Demography of Physicians in Portugal: Prospective Analysis Santana, Paula |
title_short |
Demography of Physicians in Portugal: Prospective Analysis |
title_full |
Demography of Physicians in Portugal: Prospective Analysis |
title_fullStr |
Demography of Physicians in Portugal: Prospective Analysis |
title_full_unstemmed |
Demography of Physicians in Portugal: Prospective Analysis |
title_sort |
Demography of Physicians in Portugal: Prospective Analysis |
author |
Santana, Paula |
author_facet |
Santana, Paula Peixoto, Helena Duarte, Nuno |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Peixoto, Helena Duarte, Nuno |
author2_role |
author author |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Santana, Paula Peixoto, Helena Duarte, Nuno |
description |
Introduction: The study modelled the physicians predictable allocation by medical specialty, in the horizon of 2025. It was based on the physicians demographics in Portugal and through the development of different future scenarios.Material and Methods: In the study was developed a Supply Model, which represents the capacity of medical training installed in Portugal, and a Necessity Model that perspective possible futures for the provision of medical professionals.Results: Each model comprehends several scenarios, according to different context variables (introduction or not of limits topostgraduate training capacity, demographic trends, ratios recommended by Colleges Specialty ...).Discussion/Conclusion: The models comparison lead to the conclusion that the training system has the capacity to meet the needs of physicians in all scenarios developed, and it even generates a surplus of medical professionals that may not be absorbed by the healthcare system, in the horizon of 2025. |
publishDate |
2014 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2014-04-30 |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
https://www.actamedicaportuguesa.com/revista/index.php/amp/article/view/5183 oai:ojs.www.actamedicaportuguesa.com:article/5183 |
url |
https://www.actamedicaportuguesa.com/revista/index.php/amp/article/view/5183 |
identifier_str_mv |
oai:ojs.www.actamedicaportuguesa.com:article/5183 |
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por eng |
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por eng |
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https://www.actamedicaportuguesa.com/revista/index.php/amp/article/view/5183 https://www.actamedicaportuguesa.com/revista/index.php/amp/article/view/5183/3939 https://www.actamedicaportuguesa.com/revista/index.php/amp/article/view/5183/4116 |
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info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
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openAccess |
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application/pdf application/pdf |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Ordem dos Médicos |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Ordem dos Médicos |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
Acta Médica Portuguesa; Vol. 27 No. 2 (2014): March-April; 246-251 Acta Médica Portuguesa; Vol. 27 N.º 2 (2014): Março-Abril; 246-251 1646-0758 0870-399X reponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação instacron:RCAAP |
instname_str |
Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação |
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RCAAP |
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RCAAP |
reponame_str |
Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
collection |
Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
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Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação |
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