ARDL panel estimation of stock market indices and macroeconomic environment of CEE and SEE countries in the last decade of transition
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2017 |
Outros Autores: | , |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | eng |
Título da fonte: | Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
Texto Completo: | http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/15773 |
Resumo: | We tested the hypothesis of the procyclicality of stock exchanges regarding the economic activity of CEE and SEE countries, to measure the level of financial integration during the last decade of the transition period, and to compare these two groups of emerging countries. Our ARDL panel estimates support the hypothesis of procyclicality in the transition period in the CEE and SEE regions, and further financial integration, due to the opening up of the market economy and repricing of systematic risk, followed by large capital inflows, trade liberalization and industrial production, along with the implementation of institutional reforms regarding EU integration. In addition, the significant positive coefficient of capital inflows and negative coefficient of unemployment rate in the CEE and SEE panel ARDL results confirm the volatility of the transition process, as is obvious in higher industrial production, followed by the significant impact of import on CEE countries and the much higher significant impact of export on SEE countries. |
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ARDL panel estimation of stock market indices and macroeconomic environment of CEE and SEE countries in the last decade of transitionPanel estimationStock exchangeCentral and Eastern EuropeSouth East EuropeFinancial integrationWe tested the hypothesis of the procyclicality of stock exchanges regarding the economic activity of CEE and SEE countries, to measure the level of financial integration during the last decade of the transition period, and to compare these two groups of emerging countries. Our ARDL panel estimates support the hypothesis of procyclicality in the transition period in the CEE and SEE regions, and further financial integration, due to the opening up of the market economy and repricing of systematic risk, followed by large capital inflows, trade liberalization and industrial production, along with the implementation of institutional reforms regarding EU integration. In addition, the significant positive coefficient of capital inflows and negative coefficient of unemployment rate in the CEE and SEE panel ARDL results confirm the volatility of the transition process, as is obvious in higher industrial production, followed by the significant impact of import on CEE countries and the much higher significant impact of export on SEE countries.Springer VerlagRepositório da Universidade de LisboaPeša, Anita RadmanWrońska-Bukalska, ElżbietaBosna, Jurica2018-07-03T08:14:50Z2017-122017-12-01T00:00:00Zinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/15773engPeša, Anita Radman, Elżbieta Wrońska-Bukalska e Jurica Bosna (2017). "ARDL panel estimation of stock market indices and macroeconomic environment of CEE and SEE countries in the last decade of transition". Portuguese Economic Journal, 16(3):205-2211617-982X (print)10.1007/s10258-017-0134-0metadata only accessinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãoinstacron:RCAAP2023-05-28T01:31:01Zoai:www.repository.utl.pt:10400.5/15773Portal AgregadorONGhttps://www.rcaap.pt/oai/openaireopendoar:71602024-03-19T17:01:21.373180Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãofalse |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
ARDL panel estimation of stock market indices and macroeconomic environment of CEE and SEE countries in the last decade of transition |
title |
ARDL panel estimation of stock market indices and macroeconomic environment of CEE and SEE countries in the last decade of transition |
spellingShingle |
ARDL panel estimation of stock market indices and macroeconomic environment of CEE and SEE countries in the last decade of transition Peša, Anita Radman Panel estimation Stock exchange Central and Eastern Europe South East Europe Financial integration |
title_short |
ARDL panel estimation of stock market indices and macroeconomic environment of CEE and SEE countries in the last decade of transition |
title_full |
ARDL panel estimation of stock market indices and macroeconomic environment of CEE and SEE countries in the last decade of transition |
title_fullStr |
ARDL panel estimation of stock market indices and macroeconomic environment of CEE and SEE countries in the last decade of transition |
title_full_unstemmed |
ARDL panel estimation of stock market indices and macroeconomic environment of CEE and SEE countries in the last decade of transition |
title_sort |
ARDL panel estimation of stock market indices and macroeconomic environment of CEE and SEE countries in the last decade of transition |
author |
Peša, Anita Radman |
author_facet |
Peša, Anita Radman Wrońska-Bukalska, Elżbieta Bosna, Jurica |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Wrońska-Bukalska, Elżbieta Bosna, Jurica |
author2_role |
author author |
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv |
Repositório da Universidade de Lisboa |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Peša, Anita Radman Wrońska-Bukalska, Elżbieta Bosna, Jurica |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Panel estimation Stock exchange Central and Eastern Europe South East Europe Financial integration |
topic |
Panel estimation Stock exchange Central and Eastern Europe South East Europe Financial integration |
description |
We tested the hypothesis of the procyclicality of stock exchanges regarding the economic activity of CEE and SEE countries, to measure the level of financial integration during the last decade of the transition period, and to compare these two groups of emerging countries. Our ARDL panel estimates support the hypothesis of procyclicality in the transition period in the CEE and SEE regions, and further financial integration, due to the opening up of the market economy and repricing of systematic risk, followed by large capital inflows, trade liberalization and industrial production, along with the implementation of institutional reforms regarding EU integration. In addition, the significant positive coefficient of capital inflows and negative coefficient of unemployment rate in the CEE and SEE panel ARDL results confirm the volatility of the transition process, as is obvious in higher industrial production, followed by the significant impact of import on CEE countries and the much higher significant impact of export on SEE countries. |
publishDate |
2017 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2017-12 2017-12-01T00:00:00Z 2018-07-03T08:14:50Z |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/15773 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/15773 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
Peša, Anita Radman, Elżbieta Wrońska-Bukalska e Jurica Bosna (2017). "ARDL panel estimation of stock market indices and macroeconomic environment of CEE and SEE countries in the last decade of transition". Portuguese Economic Journal, 16(3):205-221 1617-982X (print) 10.1007/s10258-017-0134-0 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
metadata only access info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
rights_invalid_str_mv |
metadata only access |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Springer Verlag |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Springer Verlag |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
reponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação instacron:RCAAP |
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Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação |
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RCAAP |
institution |
RCAAP |
reponame_str |
Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
collection |
Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
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1799131102187618304 |