Trends in diabetes incidence from1992 to 2015 and projections for 2024: a Portuguese General Practitioner’s Network study
Autor(a) principal: | |
---|---|
Data de Publicação: | 2016 |
Outros Autores: | , , , , , , |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | eng |
Título da fonte: | Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
Texto Completo: | http://hdl.handle.net/10400.18/4100 |
Resumo: | Background: Diabetes is known as a major cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide. Portugal is known as the European country with the highest prevalence of this disease. While diabetes prevalence data is up dated annually inPortugal, the General Practitioner’s (GP) Sentinel Network represents the only data source on diabetes incidence. This study describes the trends in Diabetes incidence, between 1992 and 2015, and estimate projections for the future incidence rates in Portugal until 2024. Methods: An ecological time-series study was conducted using data from GP Sentinel Net-work between 1992 and 2015. Family doctors reported all new cases of Diabetes in their patients’lists. Annual trends were estimated through Poisson regression models as well as the future incidence rates (until 2024), sex and age group stratified. Incidence rate projec-tions were adjusted to the distribution of the resident Portuguese population given Statistics Portugal projections. Results: The average increase in Diabetes incidence rate was in total 4.29%(CI95%3.80–4.80) per year under study .Until1998–2000, the annual incidence rate was higher inwomen, and from 1998–2000 to 2013-2015 turn out to be higher in men. The incidence rate projected for 2022–2024 was 972.77/105 inhabitants in total, and 846.74/105 and 1114.42/105, respectively, in women and men. Conclusions: This is the first study in Portugal to estimate diabetes incidence rate projections. The disturbing reported projections seem realistic if things continue as in the past. Actually, effective public health policies will need to be undertaken to minimize this alarming future scenario. |
id |
RCAP_342c54946616e04d85d05525e997c00e |
---|---|
oai_identifier_str |
oai:repositorio.insa.pt:10400.18/4100 |
network_acronym_str |
RCAP |
network_name_str |
Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
repository_id_str |
7160 |
spelling |
Trends in diabetes incidence from1992 to 2015 and projections for 2024: a Portuguese General Practitioner’s Network studyDiabetesIncidenceProjectionsPortugalEpidemiologyEstados de Saúde e de DoençaMédicos-SentinelaBackground: Diabetes is known as a major cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide. Portugal is known as the European country with the highest prevalence of this disease. While diabetes prevalence data is up dated annually inPortugal, the General Practitioner’s (GP) Sentinel Network represents the only data source on diabetes incidence. This study describes the trends in Diabetes incidence, between 1992 and 2015, and estimate projections for the future incidence rates in Portugal until 2024. Methods: An ecological time-series study was conducted using data from GP Sentinel Net-work between 1992 and 2015. Family doctors reported all new cases of Diabetes in their patients’lists. Annual trends were estimated through Poisson regression models as well as the future incidence rates (until 2024), sex and age group stratified. Incidence rate projec-tions were adjusted to the distribution of the resident Portuguese population given Statistics Portugal projections. Results: The average increase in Diabetes incidence rate was in total 4.29%(CI95%3.80–4.80) per year under study .Until1998–2000, the annual incidence rate was higher inwomen, and from 1998–2000 to 2013-2015 turn out to be higher in men. The incidence rate projected for 2022–2024 was 972.77/105 inhabitants in total, and 846.74/105 and 1114.42/105, respectively, in women and men. Conclusions: This is the first study in Portugal to estimate diabetes incidence rate projections. The disturbing reported projections seem realistic if things continue as in the past. Actually, effective public health policies will need to be undertaken to minimize this alarming future scenario.Elsevier/ Primary Care Diabetes EuropeRepositório Científico do Instituto Nacional de SaúdeSousa-Uva, MafaldaAntunes, LilianaNunes, BaltazarRodrigues, Ana PaulaSimões, José AugustoRibeiro, RogérioBoavida, José ManuelDias, Carlos Matias2017-06-28T00:30:12Z2016-102016-10-01T00:00:00Zinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.18/4100engPrim Care Diabetes. 2016 Oct;10(5):329-33. doi: 10.1016/j.pcd.2016.05.003. Epub 2016 Jun 271751-991810.1016/j.pcd.2016.05.003info:eu-repo/semantics/embargoedAccessreponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãoinstacron:RCAAP2023-07-20T15:40:08Zoai:repositorio.insa.pt:10400.18/4100Portal AgregadorONGhttps://www.rcaap.pt/oai/openaireopendoar:71602024-03-19T18:38:54.274939Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãofalse |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Trends in diabetes incidence from1992 to 2015 and projections for 2024: a Portuguese General Practitioner’s Network study |
title |
Trends in diabetes incidence from1992 to 2015 and projections for 2024: a Portuguese General Practitioner’s Network study |
spellingShingle |
Trends in diabetes incidence from1992 to 2015 and projections for 2024: a Portuguese General Practitioner’s Network study Sousa-Uva, Mafalda Diabetes Incidence Projections Portugal Epidemiology Estados de Saúde e de Doença Médicos-Sentinela |
title_short |
Trends in diabetes incidence from1992 to 2015 and projections for 2024: a Portuguese General Practitioner’s Network study |
title_full |
Trends in diabetes incidence from1992 to 2015 and projections for 2024: a Portuguese General Practitioner’s Network study |
title_fullStr |
Trends in diabetes incidence from1992 to 2015 and projections for 2024: a Portuguese General Practitioner’s Network study |
title_full_unstemmed |
Trends in diabetes incidence from1992 to 2015 and projections for 2024: a Portuguese General Practitioner’s Network study |
title_sort |
Trends in diabetes incidence from1992 to 2015 and projections for 2024: a Portuguese General Practitioner’s Network study |
author |
Sousa-Uva, Mafalda |
author_facet |
Sousa-Uva, Mafalda Antunes, Liliana Nunes, Baltazar Rodrigues, Ana Paula Simões, José Augusto Ribeiro, Rogério Boavida, José Manuel Dias, Carlos Matias |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Antunes, Liliana Nunes, Baltazar Rodrigues, Ana Paula Simões, José Augusto Ribeiro, Rogério Boavida, José Manuel Dias, Carlos Matias |
author2_role |
author author author author author author author |
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv |
Repositório Científico do Instituto Nacional de Saúde |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Sousa-Uva, Mafalda Antunes, Liliana Nunes, Baltazar Rodrigues, Ana Paula Simões, José Augusto Ribeiro, Rogério Boavida, José Manuel Dias, Carlos Matias |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Diabetes Incidence Projections Portugal Epidemiology Estados de Saúde e de Doença Médicos-Sentinela |
topic |
Diabetes Incidence Projections Portugal Epidemiology Estados de Saúde e de Doença Médicos-Sentinela |
description |
Background: Diabetes is known as a major cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide. Portugal is known as the European country with the highest prevalence of this disease. While diabetes prevalence data is up dated annually inPortugal, the General Practitioner’s (GP) Sentinel Network represents the only data source on diabetes incidence. This study describes the trends in Diabetes incidence, between 1992 and 2015, and estimate projections for the future incidence rates in Portugal until 2024. Methods: An ecological time-series study was conducted using data from GP Sentinel Net-work between 1992 and 2015. Family doctors reported all new cases of Diabetes in their patients’lists. Annual trends were estimated through Poisson regression models as well as the future incidence rates (until 2024), sex and age group stratified. Incidence rate projec-tions were adjusted to the distribution of the resident Portuguese population given Statistics Portugal projections. Results: The average increase in Diabetes incidence rate was in total 4.29%(CI95%3.80–4.80) per year under study .Until1998–2000, the annual incidence rate was higher inwomen, and from 1998–2000 to 2013-2015 turn out to be higher in men. The incidence rate projected for 2022–2024 was 972.77/105 inhabitants in total, and 846.74/105 and 1114.42/105, respectively, in women and men. Conclusions: This is the first study in Portugal to estimate diabetes incidence rate projections. The disturbing reported projections seem realistic if things continue as in the past. Actually, effective public health policies will need to be undertaken to minimize this alarming future scenario. |
publishDate |
2016 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2016-10 2016-10-01T00:00:00Z 2017-06-28T00:30:12Z |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://hdl.handle.net/10400.18/4100 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/10400.18/4100 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
Prim Care Diabetes. 2016 Oct;10(5):329-33. doi: 10.1016/j.pcd.2016.05.003. Epub 2016 Jun 27 1751-9918 10.1016/j.pcd.2016.05.003 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/embargoedAccess |
eu_rights_str_mv |
embargoedAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Elsevier/ Primary Care Diabetes Europe |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Elsevier/ Primary Care Diabetes Europe |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
reponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação instacron:RCAAP |
instname_str |
Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação |
instacron_str |
RCAAP |
institution |
RCAAP |
reponame_str |
Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
collection |
Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
|
_version_ |
1799132127052169216 |