The macroeconomic effects of (different) oil shocks: a VAR approach

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Moreira, André Rocha Graça Fernandes
Data de Publicação: 2009
Tipo de documento: Dissertação
Idioma: eng
Título da fonte: Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
Texto Completo: http://hdl.handle.net/10362/9455
Resumo: A Work Project, presented as part of the requirements for the Award of a Masters Degree in Economics from the NOVA – School of Business and Economics
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spelling The macroeconomic effects of (different) oil shocks: a VAR approachA Work Project, presented as part of the requirements for the Award of a Masters Degree in Economics from the NOVA – School of Business and EconomicsThis paper investigates the contribution of oil supply, global activity and precautionary oil-demand innovations for the major episodes of increasing oil prices and US macroeconomic fluctuations. The empirical approach employed is based on the recursively identified VAR model of the crude oil market proposed in Kilian (2008). The estimated results attribute the 2002-2008 oil price increase to global activity and to precautionary demand shocks (during the 2004-2006 period). Furthermore, based on the responses of US industrial production and producer prices, the distinct innovations are shown to produce different macroeconomic effects. Industrial production, in particular, is shown to respond positively and significantly to global activity shocks in the shortrun, complementing and reinforcing Kilian’s explanation for the thriving behavior of the US economy between 2002 and 2008. Finally, evidence supporting the relevance of Blanchard and Galí’s structural change hypothesis is provided.NSBE - UNLPina, JoaquimRUNMoreira, André Rocha Graça Fernandes2013-05-06T13:18:06Z2009-062009-06-01T00:00:00Zinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesisapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/10362/9455enginfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãoinstacron:RCAAP2024-03-11T03:42:33Zoai:run.unl.pt:10362/9455Portal AgregadorONGhttps://www.rcaap.pt/oai/openaireopendoar:71602024-03-20T03:18:50.499772Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãofalse
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv The macroeconomic effects of (different) oil shocks: a VAR approach
title The macroeconomic effects of (different) oil shocks: a VAR approach
spellingShingle The macroeconomic effects of (different) oil shocks: a VAR approach
Moreira, André Rocha Graça Fernandes
title_short The macroeconomic effects of (different) oil shocks: a VAR approach
title_full The macroeconomic effects of (different) oil shocks: a VAR approach
title_fullStr The macroeconomic effects of (different) oil shocks: a VAR approach
title_full_unstemmed The macroeconomic effects of (different) oil shocks: a VAR approach
title_sort The macroeconomic effects of (different) oil shocks: a VAR approach
author Moreira, André Rocha Graça Fernandes
author_facet Moreira, André Rocha Graça Fernandes
author_role author
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv Pina, Joaquim
RUN
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Moreira, André Rocha Graça Fernandes
description A Work Project, presented as part of the requirements for the Award of a Masters Degree in Economics from the NOVA – School of Business and Economics
publishDate 2009
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2009-06
2009-06-01T00:00:00Z
2013-05-06T13:18:06Z
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
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url http://hdl.handle.net/10362/9455
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
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dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv NSBE - UNL
publisher.none.fl_str_mv NSBE - UNL
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