Outstanding Challenges in the Transferability of Ecological Models
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2018 |
Outros Autores: | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | por |
Título da fonte: | Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
Texto Completo: | http://hdl.handle.net/10174/23525 |
Resumo: | Predictive models are central to many scientific disciplines and vital for informing management in a rapidly changing world. However, limited understanding of the accuracy and precision of models transferred to novel conditions (their ‘trans- ferability’) undermines confidence in their predictions. Here, 50 experts identified priority knowledge gaps which, if filled, will most improve model transfers. These are summarized into six technical and six fundamental challenges, which underlie the combined need to intensify research on the determinants of ecological predictability, including species traits and data quality, and develop best prac- tices for transferring models. Of high importance is the identification of a widely applicable set of transferability metrics, with appropriate tools to quantify the sources and impacts of prediction uncertainty under novel conditions. |
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Outstanding Challenges in the Transferability of Ecological ModelsPredictive models are central to many scientific disciplines and vital for informing management in a rapidly changing world. However, limited understanding of the accuracy and precision of models transferred to novel conditions (their ‘trans- ferability’) undermines confidence in their predictions. Here, 50 experts identified priority knowledge gaps which, if filled, will most improve model transfers. These are summarized into six technical and six fundamental challenges, which underlie the combined need to intensify research on the determinants of ecological predictability, including species traits and data quality, and develop best prac- tices for transferring models. Of high importance is the identification of a widely applicable set of transferability metrics, with appropriate tools to quantify the sources and impacts of prediction uncertainty under novel conditions.2018-10-04T11:39:20Z2018-10-042018-01-01T00:00:00Zinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articlehttp://hdl.handle.net/10174/23525http://hdl.handle.net/10174/23525por01695347Yates, Katherine L.; Bouchet, Phil J.; Caley, M. Julian; Mengersen, Kerrie; Randin, Christophe F.; Parnell, Stephen; Fielding, Alan H.; Bamford, Andrew J.; Ban, Stephen; Barbosa, A. Márcia; Dormann, Carsten F.; Elith, Jane; Embling, Clare B.; Ervin, Gary N.; Fisher, Rebecca; Gould, Susan; Graf, Roland F.; Gregr, Edward J.; Halpin, Patrick N.; Heikkinen, Risto K.; Heinänen, Stefan; Jones, Alice R.; Krishnakumar, Periyadan K.; Lauria, Valentina; Lozano-Montes, Hector; Mannocci, Laura; Mellin, Camille; Mesgaran, Mohsen B.; Moreno-Amat, Elena; Mormede, Sophie; Novaczek, Emilie; Oppel, Steffen; Ortuño Crespo, Guillermo; Peterson, A. Townsend; Rapacciuolo, Giovanni; Roberts, Jason J.; Ross, Rebecca E.; Scales, Kylie L.; Schoeman, David; Snelgrove, Paul; et al.Outstanding Challenges in the Transferability of Ecological Models, Trends in Ecology & Evolution, 33, 10, 790-802, 2018.ndndndndndndndndndndndndndndndndndndndndndndndndndndndndndndndndndndndndndndndndndYates, Katherine L.Bouchet, Phil J.Caley, M. JulianMengersen, KerrieRandin, Christophe F.Parnell, StephenFielding, Alan H.Bamford, Andrew J.Ban, StephenBarbosa, A. MárciaDormann, Carsten F.Elith, JaneEmbling, Clare B.Ervin, Gary N.Fisher, RebeccaGould, SusanGraf, Roland F.Gregr, Edward J.Halpin, Patrick N.Heikkinen, Risto K.Heinänen, StefanJones, Alice R.Krishnakumar, Periyadan K.Lauria, ValentinaLozano-Montes, HectorMannocci, LauraMellin, CamilleMesgaran, Mohsen B.Moreno-Amat, ElenaMormede, SophieNovaczek, EmilieOppel, SteffenOrtuño Crespo, GuillermoPeterson, A. TownsendRapacciuolo, GiovanniRoberts, Jason J.Ross, Rebecca E.Scales, Kylie L.Schoeman, DavidSnelgrove, Paulet al.info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãoinstacron:RCAAP2024-01-03T19:15:44Zoai:dspace.uevora.pt:10174/23525Portal AgregadorONGhttps://www.rcaap.pt/oai/openaireopendoar:71602024-03-20T01:14:21.827357Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãofalse |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Outstanding Challenges in the Transferability of Ecological Models |
title |
Outstanding Challenges in the Transferability of Ecological Models |
spellingShingle |
Outstanding Challenges in the Transferability of Ecological Models Yates, Katherine L. |
title_short |
Outstanding Challenges in the Transferability of Ecological Models |
title_full |
Outstanding Challenges in the Transferability of Ecological Models |
title_fullStr |
Outstanding Challenges in the Transferability of Ecological Models |
title_full_unstemmed |
Outstanding Challenges in the Transferability of Ecological Models |
title_sort |
Outstanding Challenges in the Transferability of Ecological Models |
author |
Yates, Katherine L. |
author_facet |
Yates, Katherine L. Bouchet, Phil J. Caley, M. Julian Mengersen, Kerrie Randin, Christophe F. Parnell, Stephen Fielding, Alan H. Bamford, Andrew J. Ban, Stephen Barbosa, A. Márcia Dormann, Carsten F. Elith, Jane Embling, Clare B. Ervin, Gary N. Fisher, Rebecca Gould, Susan Graf, Roland F. Gregr, Edward J. Halpin, Patrick N. Heikkinen, Risto K. Heinänen, Stefan Jones, Alice R. Krishnakumar, Periyadan K. Lauria, Valentina Lozano-Montes, Hector Mannocci, Laura Mellin, Camille Mesgaran, Mohsen B. Moreno-Amat, Elena Mormede, Sophie Novaczek, Emilie Oppel, Steffen Ortuño Crespo, Guillermo Peterson, A. Townsend Rapacciuolo, Giovanni Roberts, Jason J. Ross, Rebecca E. Scales, Kylie L. Schoeman, David Snelgrove, Paul et al. |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Bouchet, Phil J. Caley, M. Julian Mengersen, Kerrie Randin, Christophe F. Parnell, Stephen Fielding, Alan H. Bamford, Andrew J. Ban, Stephen Barbosa, A. Márcia Dormann, Carsten F. Elith, Jane Embling, Clare B. Ervin, Gary N. Fisher, Rebecca Gould, Susan Graf, Roland F. Gregr, Edward J. Halpin, Patrick N. Heikkinen, Risto K. Heinänen, Stefan Jones, Alice R. Krishnakumar, Periyadan K. Lauria, Valentina Lozano-Montes, Hector Mannocci, Laura Mellin, Camille Mesgaran, Mohsen B. Moreno-Amat, Elena Mormede, Sophie Novaczek, Emilie Oppel, Steffen Ortuño Crespo, Guillermo Peterson, A. Townsend Rapacciuolo, Giovanni Roberts, Jason J. Ross, Rebecca E. Scales, Kylie L. Schoeman, David Snelgrove, Paul et al. |
author2_role |
author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Yates, Katherine L. Bouchet, Phil J. Caley, M. Julian Mengersen, Kerrie Randin, Christophe F. Parnell, Stephen Fielding, Alan H. Bamford, Andrew J. Ban, Stephen Barbosa, A. Márcia Dormann, Carsten F. Elith, Jane Embling, Clare B. Ervin, Gary N. Fisher, Rebecca Gould, Susan Graf, Roland F. Gregr, Edward J. Halpin, Patrick N. Heikkinen, Risto K. Heinänen, Stefan Jones, Alice R. Krishnakumar, Periyadan K. Lauria, Valentina Lozano-Montes, Hector Mannocci, Laura Mellin, Camille Mesgaran, Mohsen B. Moreno-Amat, Elena Mormede, Sophie Novaczek, Emilie Oppel, Steffen Ortuño Crespo, Guillermo Peterson, A. Townsend Rapacciuolo, Giovanni Roberts, Jason J. Ross, Rebecca E. Scales, Kylie L. Schoeman, David Snelgrove, Paul et al. |
description |
Predictive models are central to many scientific disciplines and vital for informing management in a rapidly changing world. However, limited understanding of the accuracy and precision of models transferred to novel conditions (their ‘trans- ferability’) undermines confidence in their predictions. Here, 50 experts identified priority knowledge gaps which, if filled, will most improve model transfers. These are summarized into six technical and six fundamental challenges, which underlie the combined need to intensify research on the determinants of ecological predictability, including species traits and data quality, and develop best prac- tices for transferring models. Of high importance is the identification of a widely applicable set of transferability metrics, with appropriate tools to quantify the sources and impacts of prediction uncertainty under novel conditions. |
publishDate |
2018 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2018-10-04T11:39:20Z 2018-10-04 2018-01-01T00:00:00Z |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://hdl.handle.net/10174/23525 http://hdl.handle.net/10174/23525 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/10174/23525 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
por |
language |
por |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
01695347 Yates, Katherine L.; Bouchet, Phil J.; Caley, M. Julian; Mengersen, Kerrie; Randin, Christophe F.; Parnell, Stephen; Fielding, Alan H.; Bamford, Andrew J.; Ban, Stephen; Barbosa, A. Márcia; Dormann, Carsten F.; Elith, Jane; Embling, Clare B.; Ervin, Gary N.; Fisher, Rebecca; Gould, Susan; Graf, Roland F.; Gregr, Edward J.; Halpin, Patrick N.; Heikkinen, Risto K.; Heinänen, Stefan; Jones, Alice R.; Krishnakumar, Periyadan K.; Lauria, Valentina; Lozano-Montes, Hector; Mannocci, Laura; Mellin, Camille; Mesgaran, Mohsen B.; Moreno-Amat, Elena; Mormede, Sophie; Novaczek, Emilie; Oppel, Steffen; Ortuño Crespo, Guillermo; Peterson, A. Townsend; Rapacciuolo, Giovanni; Roberts, Jason J.; Ross, Rebecca E.; Scales, Kylie L.; Schoeman, David; Snelgrove, Paul; et al.Outstanding Challenges in the Transferability of Ecological Models, Trends in Ecology & Evolution, 33, 10, 790-802, 2018. nd nd nd nd nd nd nd nd nd nd nd nd nd nd nd nd nd nd nd nd nd nd nd nd nd nd nd nd nd nd nd nd nd nd nd nd nd nd nd nd nd |
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info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
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openAccess |
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