Asylum Migration, Borders, and Terrorism in a Structural Gravity Model
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2021 |
Outros Autores: | , |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | eng |
Título da fonte: | Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
Texto Completo: | https://doi.org/10.17645/pag.v9i4.4438 |
Resumo: | In this article, we examine the impact of terrorist attacks on asylum-related migration flows. So far, the literature that examines the “push factors” such as terrorism that explain forced migration has omitted the fact that the vast majority of people forced to flee typically do so toward other locations within the country. The novel feature of our research is the estimation of a structural gravity equation that includes both international migration and internally displaced persons (IDP), a theoretically consistent framework that allows us to identify country-specific variables such as terror attacks. For that purpose, we use information on the number of asylum applications, the number of IDP, and the number of terrorist attacks in each country for a sample of 119 origin developing countries and 141 destination countries over 2009–2018. The empirical results reveal several interesting and policy-relevant traits. Firstly, forced migration abroad is still minimal compared to IDP, but globalization forces are pushing up the ratio. Secondly, terror violence has a positive and significant effect on asylum migration flows relative to the number of IDP. Thirdly, omitting internally displaced people biases downward the impact of terrorism on asylum applications. Fourthly, we observe regional heterogeneity in the effect of terrorism on asylum migration flows; in Latin America, terrorist attacks have a much larger impact on the number of asylum applications relative to IDP than in Asia or Africa. |
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Asylum Migration, Borders, and Terrorism in a Structural Gravity Modelasylum migration; forced migration; internally displaced persons; structural gravity; terrorismIn this article, we examine the impact of terrorist attacks on asylum-related migration flows. So far, the literature that examines the “push factors” such as terrorism that explain forced migration has omitted the fact that the vast majority of people forced to flee typically do so toward other locations within the country. The novel feature of our research is the estimation of a structural gravity equation that includes both international migration and internally displaced persons (IDP), a theoretically consistent framework that allows us to identify country-specific variables such as terror attacks. For that purpose, we use information on the number of asylum applications, the number of IDP, and the number of terrorist attacks in each country for a sample of 119 origin developing countries and 141 destination countries over 2009–2018. The empirical results reveal several interesting and policy-relevant traits. Firstly, forced migration abroad is still minimal compared to IDP, but globalization forces are pushing up the ratio. Secondly, terror violence has a positive and significant effect on asylum migration flows relative to the number of IDP. Thirdly, omitting internally displaced people biases downward the impact of terrorism on asylum applications. Fourthly, we observe regional heterogeneity in the effect of terrorism on asylum migration flows; in Latin America, terrorist attacks have a much larger impact on the number of asylum applications relative to IDP than in Asia or Africa.Cogitatio2021-10-28info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleapplication/pdfhttps://doi.org/10.17645/pag.v9i4.4438oai:ojs.cogitatiopress.com:article/4438Politics and Governance; Vol 9, No 4 (2021): Migration and Refugee Flows: New Insights; 146-1582183-2463reponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãoinstacron:RCAAPenghttps://www.cogitatiopress.com/politicsandgovernance/article/view/4438https://doi.org/10.17645/pag.v9i4.4438https://www.cogitatiopress.com/politicsandgovernance/article/view/4438/4438https://www.cogitatiopress.com/politicsandgovernance/article/downloadSuppFile/4438/2022Copyright (c) 2021 Federico Carril-Caccia, Jordi Paniagua, Francisco Requenahttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessCarril-Caccia, FedericoPaniagua, JordiRequena, Francisco2022-10-21T16:03:50Zoai:ojs.cogitatiopress.com:article/4438Portal AgregadorONGhttps://www.rcaap.pt/oai/openaireopendoar:71602024-03-19T16:13:47.174790Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãofalse |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Asylum Migration, Borders, and Terrorism in a Structural Gravity Model |
title |
Asylum Migration, Borders, and Terrorism in a Structural Gravity Model |
spellingShingle |
Asylum Migration, Borders, and Terrorism in a Structural Gravity Model Carril-Caccia, Federico asylum migration; forced migration; internally displaced persons; structural gravity; terrorism |
title_short |
Asylum Migration, Borders, and Terrorism in a Structural Gravity Model |
title_full |
Asylum Migration, Borders, and Terrorism in a Structural Gravity Model |
title_fullStr |
Asylum Migration, Borders, and Terrorism in a Structural Gravity Model |
title_full_unstemmed |
Asylum Migration, Borders, and Terrorism in a Structural Gravity Model |
title_sort |
Asylum Migration, Borders, and Terrorism in a Structural Gravity Model |
author |
Carril-Caccia, Federico |
author_facet |
Carril-Caccia, Federico Paniagua, Jordi Requena, Francisco |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Paniagua, Jordi Requena, Francisco |
author2_role |
author author |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Carril-Caccia, Federico Paniagua, Jordi Requena, Francisco |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
asylum migration; forced migration; internally displaced persons; structural gravity; terrorism |
topic |
asylum migration; forced migration; internally displaced persons; structural gravity; terrorism |
description |
In this article, we examine the impact of terrorist attacks on asylum-related migration flows. So far, the literature that examines the “push factors” such as terrorism that explain forced migration has omitted the fact that the vast majority of people forced to flee typically do so toward other locations within the country. The novel feature of our research is the estimation of a structural gravity equation that includes both international migration and internally displaced persons (IDP), a theoretically consistent framework that allows us to identify country-specific variables such as terror attacks. For that purpose, we use information on the number of asylum applications, the number of IDP, and the number of terrorist attacks in each country for a sample of 119 origin developing countries and 141 destination countries over 2009–2018. The empirical results reveal several interesting and policy-relevant traits. Firstly, forced migration abroad is still minimal compared to IDP, but globalization forces are pushing up the ratio. Secondly, terror violence has a positive and significant effect on asylum migration flows relative to the number of IDP. Thirdly, omitting internally displaced people biases downward the impact of terrorism on asylum applications. Fourthly, we observe regional heterogeneity in the effect of terrorism on asylum migration flows; in Latin America, terrorist attacks have a much larger impact on the number of asylum applications relative to IDP than in Asia or Africa. |
publishDate |
2021 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2021-10-28 |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
https://doi.org/10.17645/pag.v9i4.4438 oai:ojs.cogitatiopress.com:article/4438 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.17645/pag.v9i4.4438 |
identifier_str_mv |
oai:ojs.cogitatiopress.com:article/4438 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
https://www.cogitatiopress.com/politicsandgovernance/article/view/4438 https://doi.org/10.17645/pag.v9i4.4438 https://www.cogitatiopress.com/politicsandgovernance/article/view/4438/4438 https://www.cogitatiopress.com/politicsandgovernance/article/downloadSuppFile/4438/2022 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
Copyright (c) 2021 Federico Carril-Caccia, Jordi Paniagua, Francisco Requena http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
rights_invalid_str_mv |
Copyright (c) 2021 Federico Carril-Caccia, Jordi Paniagua, Francisco Requena http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Cogitatio |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Cogitatio |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
Politics and Governance; Vol 9, No 4 (2021): Migration and Refugee Flows: New Insights; 146-158 2183-2463 reponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação instacron:RCAAP |
instname_str |
Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação |
instacron_str |
RCAAP |
institution |
RCAAP |
reponame_str |
Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
collection |
Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação |
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1799130591245893632 |