Risk vs return: A comparative analysis between a developed and an emerging stock market
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2022 |
Tipo de documento: | Dissertação |
Idioma: | eng |
Título da fonte: | Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
Texto Completo: | http://hdl.handle.net/10071/26269 |
Resumo: | Emerging stock markets have presented several opportunities for international investors over the last decades. This thesis addresses the risk-adjusted returns of an emerging stock market by comparing its returns and volatility with a developed stock market. Using the United States and China as the representative markets, the dissertation explores the opportunities offered by the emerging market for international investors. Most of the previous literature focuses on the diversification benefits of emerging stock markets. In this study, I innovate by looking at these markets as an alternative investment rather than the diversification potential. To compare the risk-adjusted returns of the two markets I calculate the weekly Sharpe ratio for the S&P 500 and the SSE Composite for 18 years. I perform multiple linear regression, for both the emerging and the developed markets, to analyze the factors that affect the Sharpe ratio calculated. The empirical results confirm that the financial market characteristics, the macroeconomic factors, and the correlation/contagion impact the performance of both the emerging and the developed stock markets. Regarding the risk-adjusted returns, the results show that in the period studied, the index representative of the US market presents higher returns, lower volatility, and consequently a higher Sharpe ratio than the one for the Chinese market index. Such results suggest that the developed stock market offers higher and more sustained risk-adjusted returns in comparison to the emerging stock market. |
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Risk vs return: A comparative analysis between a developed and an emerging stock marketEmerging marketRisk-adjusted returnsSharpe ratioVolatilidade -- VolatilityMercado emergenteRisco ajustado ao retornoEmerging stock markets have presented several opportunities for international investors over the last decades. This thesis addresses the risk-adjusted returns of an emerging stock market by comparing its returns and volatility with a developed stock market. Using the United States and China as the representative markets, the dissertation explores the opportunities offered by the emerging market for international investors. Most of the previous literature focuses on the diversification benefits of emerging stock markets. In this study, I innovate by looking at these markets as an alternative investment rather than the diversification potential. To compare the risk-adjusted returns of the two markets I calculate the weekly Sharpe ratio for the S&P 500 and the SSE Composite for 18 years. I perform multiple linear regression, for both the emerging and the developed markets, to analyze the factors that affect the Sharpe ratio calculated. The empirical results confirm that the financial market characteristics, the macroeconomic factors, and the correlation/contagion impact the performance of both the emerging and the developed stock markets. Regarding the risk-adjusted returns, the results show that in the period studied, the index representative of the US market presents higher returns, lower volatility, and consequently a higher Sharpe ratio than the one for the Chinese market index. Such results suggest that the developed stock market offers higher and more sustained risk-adjusted returns in comparison to the emerging stock market.Os mercados bolsistas emergentes têm apresentado diversas oportunidades para os investidores internacionais ao longo das últimas décadas. Esta tese aborda o retorno ajustado ao risco de um mercado emergente ao comparar os retornos e volatilidade deste mercado com os de um mercado desenvolvido. Usando os Estados Unidos e China como os mercados representativos, a dissertação explora as oportunidades oferecidas pelo mercado emergente para os investidores internacionais. A maioria da literatura desenvolvida anteriormente destaca os benefícios da diversificação conseguida através dos mercados bolsistas emergentes. Neste estudo, inovo ao analisar estes mercados como um investimento alternativo, em vez de focar nos benefícios de diversificação. Para comparar o retorno ajustado ao risco dos dois mercados, calculo o Sharpe ratio semanal para o S&P 500 e para o SSE Composite durante um período de 18 anos. Realizo uma regressão linear múltipla, para os mercados emergente e desenvolvido, a fim de analisar os factores que afectam o Sharpe ratio calculado. Os resultados empíricos confirmam que as características dos mercados financeiros, os factores macroeconómicos, e a correlação/contágio têm um impacto no desempenho de ambos os mercados. No que diz respeito aos retornos ajustados ao risco, os resultados indicam que o índice representativo do mercado dos Estados Unidos apresenta um retorno superior, uma volatilidade menor, e consequentemente um Sharpe ratio mais elevado do que o calculado para o índice de mercado chinês. Estes resultados permitem concluir que o mercado bolsista desenvolvido apresenta um maior e mais sustentado retorno ajustado ao risco em comparação com o mercado emergente.2022-10-12T10:38:40Z2022-07-25T00:00:00Z2022-07-252022-05info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesisapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/10071/26269TID:203075048engGouveia, João Filipeinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãoinstacron:RCAAP2023-11-09T17:54:24Zoai:repositorio.iscte-iul.pt:10071/26269Portal AgregadorONGhttps://www.rcaap.pt/oai/openaireopendoar:71602024-03-19T22:27:24.889797Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãofalse |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Risk vs return: A comparative analysis between a developed and an emerging stock market |
title |
Risk vs return: A comparative analysis between a developed and an emerging stock market |
spellingShingle |
Risk vs return: A comparative analysis between a developed and an emerging stock market Gouveia, João Filipe Emerging market Risk-adjusted returns Sharpe ratio Volatilidade -- Volatility Mercado emergente Risco ajustado ao retorno |
title_short |
Risk vs return: A comparative analysis between a developed and an emerging stock market |
title_full |
Risk vs return: A comparative analysis between a developed and an emerging stock market |
title_fullStr |
Risk vs return: A comparative analysis between a developed and an emerging stock market |
title_full_unstemmed |
Risk vs return: A comparative analysis between a developed and an emerging stock market |
title_sort |
Risk vs return: A comparative analysis between a developed and an emerging stock market |
author |
Gouveia, João Filipe |
author_facet |
Gouveia, João Filipe |
author_role |
author |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Gouveia, João Filipe |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Emerging market Risk-adjusted returns Sharpe ratio Volatilidade -- Volatility Mercado emergente Risco ajustado ao retorno |
topic |
Emerging market Risk-adjusted returns Sharpe ratio Volatilidade -- Volatility Mercado emergente Risco ajustado ao retorno |
description |
Emerging stock markets have presented several opportunities for international investors over the last decades. This thesis addresses the risk-adjusted returns of an emerging stock market by comparing its returns and volatility with a developed stock market. Using the United States and China as the representative markets, the dissertation explores the opportunities offered by the emerging market for international investors. Most of the previous literature focuses on the diversification benefits of emerging stock markets. In this study, I innovate by looking at these markets as an alternative investment rather than the diversification potential. To compare the risk-adjusted returns of the two markets I calculate the weekly Sharpe ratio for the S&P 500 and the SSE Composite for 18 years. I perform multiple linear regression, for both the emerging and the developed markets, to analyze the factors that affect the Sharpe ratio calculated. The empirical results confirm that the financial market characteristics, the macroeconomic factors, and the correlation/contagion impact the performance of both the emerging and the developed stock markets. Regarding the risk-adjusted returns, the results show that in the period studied, the index representative of the US market presents higher returns, lower volatility, and consequently a higher Sharpe ratio than the one for the Chinese market index. Such results suggest that the developed stock market offers higher and more sustained risk-adjusted returns in comparison to the emerging stock market. |
publishDate |
2022 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2022-10-12T10:38:40Z 2022-07-25T00:00:00Z 2022-07-25 2022-05 |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesis |
format |
masterThesis |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://hdl.handle.net/10071/26269 TID:203075048 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/10071/26269 |
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TID:203075048 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
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info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
reponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação instacron:RCAAP |
instname_str |
Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação |
instacron_str |
RCAAP |
institution |
RCAAP |
reponame_str |
Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
collection |
Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação |
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1799134836997226496 |